Šiauliai vs Panevėžys Result & Analysis

The match between Šiauliai and Panevėžys is a tight affair, with the model favouring an away win. The probabilities are 35% for a home victory, 27% for a draw and 37% for an away win. The average number of goals expected is 2.9, with the most likely total being 2 goals at a 25% chance. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.9% probability. Šiauliai, playing at home against an opponent of similar strength, averages 1.75 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. Panevėžys, on the road and facing a comparable side, averages 1.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. The model’s selection is Over 1.5 goals, with a 79% probability. In recent form, Šiauliai’s last five matches were LLWLL, after two straight defeats, and they lost 1-2 to Suduva Marijampole. Panevėžys, after a win, has a last-five record of WLLWD and a 2-0 victory over FK Zalgiris Vilnius.

The upset came early as the home side, after two straight defeats, secured a 2-1 win over the pre-match favourite, Panevėžys, whose model pick of an away win with a 37% probability proved wrong. The match finished 2-1 in favour of Šiauliai, giving the model’s selection a miss. The model’s only other suggestion, Over 1.5 goals with a 79% probability, hit as the game saw three goals. Šiauliai’s recent form, marked by a loss after a win, was not enough to overturn the odds, while Panevėžys, coming off a win, failed to convert their advantage. The final score confirmed the home side’s resilience and the model’s prediction fell short.