Šiauliai vs Suduva Marijampole Result & Analysis

The model favours an away win, with a 48% chance for Suduva Marijampole to come out on top, while a 26% chance each exists for a home win or a draw. The average number of goals expected is 3.0, but the most likely total is 2 goals, a 24% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.1% chance. Šiauliai, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.85 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. Suduva, on the road against a similar strength side, averages 1.45 goals scored and 0.82 conceded. The suggested picks are: Home under 2.5 HT goals 99.1%; Under 7.5 98.9%; Home under 2.5 2H goals 97.8%; Under 6.5 96.8%; Home under 3.5 goals 96.3%; Home under 1.5 HT goals 92.6%; Under 5.5 91.9%; Away under 2.5 HT goals 91.3%. Šiauliai have recently struggled, losing their last match 0-3, while Suduva are riding a four-game winning streak, having beaten Panevėžys 2-0.

The win extends Šiauliai’s recent slump, while Suduva Marijampole’s five-game winning run continued. The final score was 1-2, confirming the away win that the model had picked with a 48% probability. The model’s selection was correct. Every suggested pick was settled: Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.9%, Under 7.5 hit at 98.9%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.9%, Under 6.5 hit at 96.8%, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 96.3%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 93.2%, Home under 1.5 HT goals hit at 92.7%, and Under 5.5 hit at 91.9%. The model’s predictions were largely accurate, with all selections hitting.