This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo Zagreb
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.47
2.07
1.20
1.33
1.73
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (10)
1.20
1.40
1.00
1.33
1.50
1.50
vs Weaker (19)
2.05
1.42
2.78
1.11
1.40
1.70
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Sibenik) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.8%
Under 1.5
25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.5%
Under 2.5
51.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.7%
Under 3.5
73.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.8%
No
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.0%
0-0
8.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.1%
2-2
5.2%
Sibenik goals ↓
Dinamo Zagreb goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.5%
9.4%
7.8%
3.8%
1.4%
1
7.2%
14%
9.0%
4.4%
1.6%
2
4.9%
7.1%
5.2%
2.5%
0.9%
3
1.9%
2.8%
2.0%
1.0%
0.4%
4
0.5%
0.8%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sibenik goals (down), columns = Dinamo Zagreb goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dinamo Zagreb
1.81
HNK Rijeka
1.81
HNK Hajduk Split
1.75
NK Varazdin
1.36
Istra 1961
1.33
NK Slaven Belupo
1.33
NK Osijek
1.17
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.08
HNK Gorica
1.03
Sibenik
0.83
Sibenik is 0.97 points worse than Dinamo Zagreb in terms of average points per game (0.83 vs 1.81).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dinamo Zagreb
1.92
HNK Hajduk Split
1.36
HNK Rijeka
1.36
NK Osijek
1.28
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.25
NK Slaven Belupo
1.17
Istra 1961
1.08
HNK Gorica
0.81
Sibenik
0.78
NK Varazdin
0.78
Sibenik is 1.14 goals worse than Dinamo Zagreb in terms of goals scored per game (0.78 vs 1.92).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
HNK Rijeka
0.58
NK Varazdin
0.67
HNK Hajduk Split
0.94
Dinamo Zagreb
1.14
Istra 1961
1.17
NK Slaven Belupo
1.25
HNK Gorica
1.42
NK Osijek
1.44
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.50
Sibenik
1.67
Sibenik is 0.53 goals worse than Dinamo Zagreb in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 1.14).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Dinamo Zagreb
60%
HNK Hajduk Split
53%
NK Slaven Belupo
51%
NK Varazdin
50%
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
50%
NK Osijek
49%
Istra 1961
49%
HNK Rijeka
47%
HNK Gorica
46%
Sibenik
45%
Sibenik is 15.3 percentage points worse than Dinamo Zagreb in terms of average possession (45% vs 60%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sibenik
For 3.7 · Against 5.0 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 11.7 · Total 25.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dinamo Zagreb
For 5.6 · Against 3.3 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 14.8 · Total 26.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sibenik
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.5
7.5
9.6
2.6
2.8
2.4
24.9
26.9
22.9
vs Stronger (9)
8.6
6.3
9.7
4.2
6.3
3.2
25.3
28.3
23.8
vs Similar (41)
8.5
7.8
9.5
2.2
2.3
2.2
24.7
26.5
22.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
36%
21%
50%
34%
36%
32%
71%
79%
64%
% under line
64%
79%
50%
66%
64%
68%
29%
21%
36%
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo Zagreb
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.2
10.2
4.9
4.6
5.2
25.6
25.0
26.1
vs Stronger (2)
13.0
-
13.0
2.5
-
2.5
15.0
-
15.0
vs Similar (16)
9.1
9.2
8.9
6.0
6.0
6.0
26.6
26.6
26.6
vs Weaker (32)
9.8
9.1
10.5
4.5
3.9
5.1
25.7
24.1
27.2
% over line
54%
54%
54%
74%
71%
77%
74%
75%
73%
% under line
46%
46%
46%
26%
29%
23%
26%
25%
27%
This opponent (Sibenik) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
10.5
Dinamo Zagreb
9.7
NK Osijek
9.5
HNK Hajduk Split
9.3
NK Slaven Belupo
9.2
Sibenik
8.9
HNK Gorica
8.7
HNK Rijeka
8.7
NK Varazdin
8.2
Istra 1961
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Istra 1961
5.3
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
5.1
HNK Rijeka
5.0
Dinamo Zagreb
5.0
NK Slaven Belupo
4.8
NK Varazdin
4.8
NK Osijek
4.7
HNK Hajduk Split
4.7
Sibenik
4.4
HNK Gorica
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Istra 1961
29.2
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
27.5
HNK Rijeka
27.4
NK Varazdin
26.4
NK Slaven Belupo
26.4
HNK Hajduk Split
25.7
Dinamo Zagreb
25.6
NK Osijek
25.5
HNK Gorica
24.9
Sibenik
23.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
37.9%
Under 9.5
62.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
73.4%
Under 3.5
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
80.7%
Under 21.5
19.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sibenik
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.70
0.50
0.43
0.50
0.94
vs Stronger (9)
0.11
1.22
0.00
1.00
0.17
1.33
vs Similar (21)
0.67
0.48
0.64
0.27
0.70
0.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo Zagreb
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.63
1.00
0.40
0.60
0.87
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (10)
0.50
0.60
0.50
0.33
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (19)
1.00
0.63
1.33
0.44
0.70
0.80
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Sibenik) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sibenik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sibenik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sibenik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Zagreb over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Zagreb over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Zagreb over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sibenik
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.93
0.36
0.93
0.44
0.94
vs Stronger (9)
0.11
1.22
0.33
1.33
0.00
1.17
vs Similar (21)
0.52
0.81
0.36
0.82
0.70
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo Zagreb
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.83
1.07
0.80
0.73
0.87
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (10)
0.70
0.80
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (19)
1.05
0.79
1.44
0.67
0.70
0.90
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Sibenik) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sibenik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sibenik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sibenik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Zagreb over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Zagreb over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Zagreb over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
90.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
87.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
82.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sibenik
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ivan Santini19%
Lovre Kulušić15%
Ivan Laća12%
Jakov Anton Vasilj12%
Šime Gržan8%
Morrison Agyemang6%
Josip Majić5%
Ante Kavelj4%
Leonard Žuta4%
Stefan Perić3%
Ivan Božić3%
Roberto Punčec0%
Ivan Delić0%
Ivan Filipović0%
Antonio Đaković0%
Ivan Roca0%
Josip Gačić0%
Toni Kolega0%
Antonio Jakoliš0%
Zoran Nižić0%
Lovro Cvek0%
Iker Pozo0%
Bruno Zdunić0%
Elvir Duraković0%
Ognjen Bakić0%
Carlos Torres0%
Duje Dujmović0%
Ivan Baković0%
Marin Prekodravac0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Josip Gačić60%
Iker Pozo37%
Ivan Santini35%
Zoran Nižić25%
Josip Majić23%
Stefan Perić21%
Ivan Božić20%
Marin Prekodravac19%
Lovro Cvek19%
Ognjen Bakić19%
Morrison Agyemang16%
Roberto Punčec16%
Antonio Đaković15%
Leonard Žuta15%
Ivan Filipović14%
Ivan Roca14%
Jakov Anton Vasilj12%
Šime Gržan12%
Ante Kavelj9%
Bruno Zdunić8%
Elvir Duraković6%
Toni Kolega4%
Lovre Kulušić4%
Ivan Delić0%
Antonio Jakoliš0%
Ivan Laća0%
Carlos Torres0%
Duje Dujmović0%
Ivan Baković0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ivan Laća12%
Josip Majić9%
Ivan Božić7%
Elvir Duraković6%
Marin Prekodravac5%
Toni Kolega4%
Šime Gržan4%
Leonard Žuta4%
Ivan Santini3%
Morrison Agyemang3%
Stefan Perić0%
Roberto Punčec0%
Ivan Delić0%
Ivan Filipović0%
Antonio Đaković0%
Ivan Roca0%
Josip Gačić0%
Antonio Jakoliš0%
Zoran Nižić0%
Lovro Cvek0%
Iker Pozo0%
Jakov Anton Vasilj0%
Bruno Zdunić0%
Ognjen Bakić0%
Carlos Torres0%
Duje Dujmović0%
Ivan Baković0%
Ante Kavelj0%
Lovre Kulušić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ivan Santini26%
Josip Majić9%
Ivan Božić7%
Ivan Roca5%
Ivan Laća4%
Šime Gržan4%
Lovre Kulušić4%
Stefan Perić0%
Roberto Punčec0%
Ivan Delić0%
Ivan Filipović0%
Antonio Đaković0%
Josip Gačić0%
Toni Kolega0%
Antonio Jakoliš0%
Leonard Žuta0%
Zoran Nižić0%
Lovro Cvek0%
Iker Pozo0%
Jakov Anton Vasilj0%
Bruno Zdunić0%
Elvir Duraković0%
Ognjen Bakić0%
Carlos Torres0%
Duje Dujmović0%
Ivan Baković0%
Marin Prekodravac0%
Ante Kavelj0%
Morrison Agyemang0%
Dinamo Zagreb
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sandro Kulenović30%
Bruno Petković24%
Petar Sučić23%
Wilfried Kanga20%
Marko Pjaca19%
Luka Stojković16%
Martin Baturina14%
Arijan Ademi12%
Nathanaël Mbuku12%
Dario Špikić10%
Takuya Ogiwara9%
Ronaël Pierre-Gabriel8%
Arber Hoxha8%
Lukas Kačavenda7%
Juan Córdoba7%
Kévin Théophile-Catherine6%
Stefan Ristovski6%
Samy Mmaee5%
Raúl Torrente4%
Marko Rog3%
Danijel Zagorac0%
Sadegh Moharrami0%
Josip Mišić0%
Ivan Nevistić0%
Bartol Franjić0%
Maxime Bernauer0%
Nikola Čavlina0%
Niko Galešić0%
Branko Pavić0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Stefan Ristovski31%
Takuya Ogiwara27%
Sadegh Moharrami25%
Ronaël Pierre-Gabriel24%
Juan Córdoba21%
Samy Mmaee20%
Bartol Franjić20%
Josip Mišić18%
Kévin Théophile-Catherine18%
Arijan Ademi17%
Raúl Torrente15%
Lukas Kačavenda14%
Maxime Bernauer12%
Marko Rog10%
Luka Stojković9%
Sandro Kulenović9%
Martin Baturina9%
Danijel Zagorac8%
Bruno Petković8%
Wilfried Kanga7%
Petar Sučić6%
Ivan Nevistić3%
Arber Hoxha3%
Marko Pjaca2%
Dario Špikić0%
Nathanaël Mbuku0%
Nikola Čavlina0%
Niko Galešić0%
Branko Pavić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Martin Baturina26%
Marko Pjaca19%
Juan Córdoba14%
Luka Stojković12%
Marko Rog10%
Petar Sučić10%
Niko Galešić9%
Stefan Ristovski8%
Bruno Petković8%
Ronaël Pierre-Gabriel8%
Lukas Kačavenda7%
Bartol Franjić7%
Josip Mišić6%
Kévin Théophile-Catherine6%
Nathanaël Mbuku6%
Arber Hoxha5%
Arijan Ademi4%
Raúl Torrente4%
Danijel Zagorac0%
Sadegh Moharrami0%
Samy Mmaee0%
Dario Špikić0%
Ivan Nevistić0%
Wilfried Kanga0%
Takuya Ogiwara0%
Sandro Kulenović0%
Maxime Bernauer0%
Nikola Čavlina0%
Branko Pavić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sandro Kulenović26%
Wilfried Kanga20%
Luka Stojković19%
Martin Baturina14%
Marko Pjaca12%
Dario Špikić10%
Petar Sučić10%
Arijan Ademi8%
Bruno Petković8%
Raúl Torrente7%
Juan Córdoba7%
Samy Mmaee5%
Kévin Théophile-Catherine3%
Stefan Ristovski3%
Ronaël Pierre-Gabriel3%
Danijel Zagorac0%
Sadegh Moharrami0%
Marko Rog0%
Josip Mišić0%
Ivan Nevistić0%
Bartol Franjić0%
Takuya Ogiwara0%
Maxime Bernauer0%
Arber Hoxha0%
Nathanaël Mbuku0%
Nikola Čavlina0%
Niko Galešić0%
Lukas Kačavenda0%
Branko Pavić0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Croatia: HNL 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: HNL stats & trends →