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Sigma Olomouc II vs Chrudim Result & Analysis

Date: 14/05/2023
Time: 08:15
Final 2-2
Sigma Olomouc II
Sigma Olomouc II
Vs
42%
30%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Chrudim
Chrudim
Czech-Republic: FNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sigma Olomouc II win✗ Miss
41.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
30.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Chrudim win✗ Miss
27.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Sigma Olomouc IISigma Olomouc II

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D20W01L12L11D11D23L41W20W41WA·OPA04/03H·PRO13/03A·KAR19/03H·ART02/04A·TŘI08/04H·VAR16/04A·DUK19/04H·PŘÍ24/04A·SLA29/04A·VLA06/05
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.421.501.691.311.151.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.501.581.831.421.171.75
vs Weaker (2)0.500.500.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Chrudim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ChrudimChrudim

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D11D11D11D10W12L11D11D00DA·VYS03/03A·SPA19/03H·TÁB25/03H·PRO01/04A·ART07/04H·OPA15/04A·KAR19/04H·TŘI22/04A·DUK29/04H·SLA06/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.040.921.230.850.851.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.000.961.250.830.751.08
vs Weaker (2)1.500.501.001.002.000.00
Clean sheet %38% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Sigma Olomouc II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.2%
Under 1.5
30.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
41.6%
Under 2.5
58.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
21.0%
Under 3.5
79.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.3%
No
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
1-0
11.3%
0-0
10.9%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.1%
Sigma Olomouc II goals ↓
Chrudim goals →
01234
011%8.6%5.1%1.7%0.4%
111%14%6.7%2.3%0.6%
28.3%8.5%4.4%1.5%0.4%
33.6%3.7%1.9%0.7%0.2%
41.2%1.2%0.6%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sigma Olomouc II goals (down), columns = Chrudim goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Karviná
1.87
Vyškov
1.73
Příbram
1.70
Dukla Praha
1.57
Artis
1.53
Varnsdorf
1.43
Táborsko
1.40
Chrudim
1.30
Sigma Olomouc II
1.30
Sparta Praha II
1.30
Vlašim
1.27
Prostějov
1.20
Opava
1.13
Vysočina Jihlava
1.13
Slavia Praha II
1.07
Třinec
0.90
Sigma Olomouc II and Chrudim are level in average points per game (both 1.30).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Karviná
1.93
Vlašim
1.80
Varnsdorf
1.80
Dukla Praha
1.70
Příbram
1.60
Vyškov
1.50
Slavia Praha II
1.40
Sigma Olomouc II
1.37
Táborsko
1.30
Prostějov
1.30
Artis
1.27
Vysočina Jihlava
1.23
Chrudim
1.07
Sparta Praha II
1.07
Třinec
1.00
Opava
0.87
Sigma Olomouc II is 0.30 goals better than Chrudim in terms of goals scored per game (1.37 vs 1.07).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Artis
0.90
Opava
0.97
Vyškov
0.97
Chrudim
1.07
Příbram
1.07
Karviná
1.23
Sparta Praha II
1.30
Táborsko
1.43
Dukla Praha
1.50
Sigma Olomouc II
1.53
Varnsdorf
1.53
Třinec
1.60
Vlašim
1.63
Vysočina Jihlava
1.70
Slavia Praha II
1.87
Prostějov
1.90
Sigma Olomouc II is 0.47 goals worse than Chrudim in terms of goals conceded per game (1.53 vs 1.07).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Sigma Olomouc IISigma Olomouc II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W00D10W00D10W12L30W00D11DA·OPA04/03H·PRO13/03A·KAR19/03H·ART02/04A·TŘI08/04H·VAR16/04A·DUK19/04H·PŘÍ24/04A·SLA29/04A·VLA06/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.691.000.620.460.77
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.790.751.080.670.500.83
vs Weaker (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Chrudim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ChrudimChrudim

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D11D01L01L00D10W11D10W00DA·VYS03/03A·SPA19/03H·TÁB25/03H·PRO01/04A·ART07/04H·OPA15/04A·KAR19/04H·TŘI22/04A·DUK29/04H·SLA06/05
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.380.540.540.690.230.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.380.540.500.670.250.42
vs Weaker (2)0.500.501.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %54% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Sigma Olomouc II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sigma Olomouc II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sigma Olomouc II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sigma Olomouc II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chrudim over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chrudim over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chrudim over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Sigma Olomouc IISigma Olomouc II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W01L02L11D01L11D11D20W30WA·OPA04/03H·PRO13/03A·KAR19/03H·ART02/04A·TŘI08/04H·VAR16/04A·DUK19/04H·PŘÍ24/04A·SLA29/04A·VLA06/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.690.810.690.690.690.92
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.710.830.750.750.670.92
vs Weaker (2)0.500.500.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Chrudim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ChrudimChrudim

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D10W10W10W02L00D01L00DA·VYS03/03A·SPA19/03H·TÁB25/03H·PRO01/04A·ART07/04H·OPA15/04A·KAR19/04H·TŘI22/04A·DUK29/04H·SLA06/05
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.650.380.690.150.620.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.620.420.750.170.500.67
vs Weaker (2)1.000.000.000.002.000.00
Clean sheet %69% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Sigma Olomouc II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sigma Olomouc II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sigma Olomouc II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sigma Olomouc II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chrudim over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chrudim over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chrudim over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.579.0%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (26)
€11m
ART (30)
€9m
KAR (24)
€7m
DP (29)
€7m
VLA (22)
€4m
TÁB (23)
€3m
PRO (25)
€3m
VJ (18)
€3m
OPA (21)
€3m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
TŘI (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (11)
€4m
DP (13)
€3m
SPI (8)
€3m
ART (9)
€2m
VLA (8)
€2m
OPA (7)
€1m
TÁB (7)
€1m
VJ (4)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
TŘI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (5)
€2m
ART (8)
€2m
DP (6)
€1m
VJ (6)
€1m
VLA (5)
€1m
KAR (4)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
TÁB (6)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
TŘI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (13)
€6m
ART (13)
€5m
KAR (9)
€2m
DP (10)
€2m
TÁB (10)
€1m
VLA (9)
€1m
PRO (11)
€1m
VJ (8)
€1m
OPA (9)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
TŘI (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
SOI wins
1
Draws
0
CHR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Sigma Olomouc II vs Chrudim · H/A from SOI
DateH/AGameScore
22/10/22AChrudim Vs SOI0-0

Sigma Olomouc IISigma Olomouc II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/05/23AVlašim Vs SOI1-4
29/04/23ASlavia Praha II Vs SOI0-2
24/04/23HSOI Vs Příbram4-1
19/04/23ADukla Praha Vs SOI3-2
16/04/23HSOI Vs Varnsdorf1-1
08/04/23ATřinec Vs SOI1-1
02/04/23HSOI Vs Artis1-2
19/03/23AKarviná Vs SOI1-0
13/03/23HSOI Vs Prostějov2-0
04/03/23AOpava Vs SOI2-2

ChrudimChrudim

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/05/23HCHR Vs Slavia Praha II0-0
29/04/23ADukla Praha Vs CHR1-1
22/04/23HCHR Vs Třinec1-1
19/04/23AKarviná Vs CHR2-1
15/04/23HCHR Vs Opava1-0
07/04/23AArtis Vs CHR1-1
01/04/23HCHR Vs Prostějov1-1
25/03/23HCHR Vs Táborsko1-1
19/03/23ASparta Praha II Vs CHR0-0
03/03/23AVysočina Jihlava Vs CHR0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Sigma Olomouc II
Sigma Olomouc II
Czech-Republic: FNL
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWW1.35
HomeLWLDW1.69
AwayLDLWW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %35%46%23%
AVG goals2.923.002.85
Over 1.5 %77%77%77%
Over 2.5 %54%62%46%
Over 3.5 %46%46%46%
Scored1.421.691.15
Conceded1.501.311.69
BTTS50%54%46%
Clean Sheet27%38%15%
Corners---
Cards---
Chrudim
Chrudim
Czech-Republic: FNL
Recent: 1 Wins / 8 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDDD1.31
HomeDDWDD1.38
AwayDDDLD1.23
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %27%31%23%
AVG goals1.962.081.85
Over 1.5 %69%69%69%
Over 2.5 %31%38%23%
Over 3.5 %8%8%8%
Scored1.041.230.85
Conceded0.920.851.00
BTTS50%54%46%
Clean Sheet38%38%38%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KarvináKarviná3056
57%
1.9
5837+21
3.2
80%
70%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
4121.91.2
-
2VyškovVyškov3052
47%
1.7
4529+16
2.5
77%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.0
-
3PříbramPříbram3051
47%
1.7
4832+16
2.7
83%
57%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.61.1
-
4Dukla PrahaDukla Praha3047
47%
1.6
5145+6
3.2
83%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3121.71.5
-
5ArtisArtis3046
43%
1.5
3827+11
2.2
63%
47%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2251.30.9
-
6VarnsdorfVarnsdorf3043
40%
1.4
5446+8
3.3
90%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.5
-
7TáborskoTáborsko3042
37%
1.4
3943-4
2.7
73%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.4
-
8ChrudimChrudim3039
27%
1.3
3232+0
2.1
70%
37%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
9Sigma Olomouc IISigma Olomouc II3039
33%
1.3
4146-5
2.9
80%
53%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
10Sparta Praha IISparta Praha II3039
37%
1.3
3239-7
2.4
73%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.3
-
11VlašimVlašim3038
37%
1.3
5449+5
3.4
90%
67%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.81.6
-
12ProstějovProstějov3036
30%
1.2
3957-18
3.2
90%
53%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.9
-
13OpavaOpava3034
27%
1.1
2629-3
1.8
53%
27%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.91.0
-
14Vysočina JihlavaVysočina Jihlava3034
30%
1.1
3751-14
2.9
80%
57%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.7
-
15Slavia Praha IISlavia Praha II3032
27%
1.1
4256-14
3.3
80%
60%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
3261.41.9
-
16TřinecTřinec3027
20%
0.9
3048-18
2.6
80%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
Czech-Republic: FNL 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: FNL stats & trends →

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