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Sigma Olomouc II vs Varnsdorf Result & Analysis

Date: 25/05/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 2-1
Sigma Olomouc II
Sigma Olomouc II
Vs
50%
26%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Varnsdorf
Varnsdorf
Czech-Republic: FNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sigma Olomouc II win✓ Hit
50.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Varnsdorf win✗ Miss
23.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Sigma Olomouc IISigma Olomouc II

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D10W10W42W21W30W10W30W31W31WA·VIK31/03H·OPA07/04A·PŘÍ12/04H·HAN17/04A·ART20/04A·DUK27/04H·TÁB05/05A·VLA08/05H·SPA13/05A·CHR19/05
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.231.431.071.811.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)1.541.211.231.001.801.40
vs Weaker (2)3.001.504.002.002.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Varnsdorf) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VarnsdorfVarnsdorf

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D14L41W11D51W12L33D32W11D10WH·ART27/03A·TÁB06/04H·ZBR14/04A·CHR17/04H·PRO21/04A·VYŠ27/04A·VYS03/05H·HAN08/05A·VIK12/05H·PŘÍ19/05
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.672.201.601.201.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.701.672.201.601.201.73
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %7% (-20pp vs league)
This opponent (Sigma Olomouc II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.0%
Under 1.5
21.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.4%
Under 2.5
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.1%
Under 3.5
67.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.8%
No
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%
2-1 ✓
9.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-0
8.5%
0-0
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
3-1
5.6%
2-2
5.5%
Sigma Olomouc II goals ↓
Varnsdorf goals →
01234
06.9%5.4%3.7%1.4%0.4%
18.8%12%6.4%2.4%0.7%
28.5%9.7%5.5%2.1%0.6%
34.9%5.6%3.1%1.2%0.3%
42.1%2.4%1.4%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sigma Olomouc II goals (down), columns = Varnsdorf goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dukla Praha
2.00
Sigma Olomouc II
1.90
Táborsko
1.63
Vyškov
1.57
Chrudim
1.40
Opava
1.33
Vlašim
1.33
Zbrojovka Brno
1.30
Artis
1.30
Viktoria Žižkov
1.30
Příbram
1.23
Prostějov
1.23
Sparta Praha II
1.23
Varnsdorf
1.20
Vysočina Jihlava
1.17
Hanácká
0.83
Sigma Olomouc II is 0.70 points better than Varnsdorf in terms of average points per game (1.90 vs 1.20).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dukla Praha
1.83
Sparta Praha II
1.73
Varnsdorf
1.70
Chrudim
1.63
Sigma Olomouc II
1.63
Vyškov
1.50
Viktoria Žižkov
1.47
Vysočina Jihlava
1.40
Prostějov
1.40
Zbrojovka Brno
1.37
Vlašim
1.37
Táborsko
1.37
Opava
1.20
Artis
1.13
Hanácká
1.10
Příbram
1.07
Sigma Olomouc II is 0.07 goals worse than Varnsdorf in terms of goals scored per game (1.63 vs 1.70).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Táborsko
0.87
Dukla Praha
0.97
Artis
1.13
Opava
1.20
Sigma Olomouc II
1.27
Vyškov
1.27
Zbrojovka Brno
1.40
Vlašim
1.43
Příbram
1.43
Vysočina Jihlava
1.53
Chrudim
1.60
Varnsdorf
1.67
Viktoria Žižkov
1.70
Prostějov
1.73
Hanácká
1.77
Sparta Praha II
1.93
Sigma Olomouc II is 0.40 goals better than Varnsdorf in terms of goals conceded per game (1.27 vs 1.67).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Sigma Olomouc IISigma Olomouc II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L00D00D20W01L30W00D20W30W11DA·VIK31/03H·OPA07/04A·PŘÍ12/04H·HAN17/04A·ART20/04A·DUK27/04H·TÁB05/05A·VLA08/05H·SPA13/05A·CHR19/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.630.710.290.690.94
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.640.680.620.310.671.00
vs Weaker (2)1.500.002.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Varnsdorf) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VarnsdorfVarnsdorf

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L21W00D10W11D11D10W01L00DH·ART27/03A·TÁB06/04H·ZBR14/04A·CHR17/04H·PRO21/04A·VYŠ27/04A·VYS03/05H·HAN08/05A·VIK12/05H·PŘÍ19/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.770.730.800.530.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.630.770.730.800.530.73
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Sigma Olomouc II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sigma Olomouc II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sigma Olomouc II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sigma Olomouc II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varnsdorf over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varnsdorf over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varnsdorf over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Sigma Olomouc IISigma Olomouc II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W10W22D20W00D10W10W01L20WA·VIK31/03H·OPA07/04A·PŘÍ12/04H·HAN17/04A·ART20/04A·DUK27/04H·TÁB05/05A·VLA08/05H·SPA13/05A·CHR19/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.600.710.791.120.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.890.540.620.691.130.40
vs Weaker (2)1.501.502.002.001.001.00
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Varnsdorf) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VarnsdorfVarnsdorf

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W12L20W11D41W01L22D22D10W10WH·ART27/03A·TÁB06/04H·ZBR14/04A·CHR17/04H·PRO21/04A·VYŠ27/04A·VYS03/05H·HAN08/05A·VIK12/05H·PŘÍ19/05
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.901.470.800.671.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.070.901.470.800.671.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Sigma Olomouc II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sigma Olomouc II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sigma Olomouc II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sigma Olomouc II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varnsdorf over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varnsdorf over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varnsdorf over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZB (31)
€10m
ART (30)
€9m
DP (29)
€7m
VLA (22)
€4m
TÁB (23)
€3m
PRO (25)
€3m
VJ (18)
€3m
VŽ (22)
€3m
OPA (21)
€3m
HAN (24)
€2m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DP (13)
€3m
ZB (10)
€3m
ART (9)
€2m
VLA (8)
€2m
OPA (7)
€1m
TÁB (7)
€1m
VJ (4)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
VŽ (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZB (8)
€2m
ART (8)
€2m
DP (6)
€1m
VŽ (9)
€1m
VJ (6)
€1m
VLA (5)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
TÁB (6)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ART (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
DP (10)
€2m
TÁB (10)
€1m
VLA (9)
€1m
PRO (11)
€1m
VJ (8)
€1m
VŽ (8)
€1m
HAN (10)
€1m
OPA (9)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
SOI wins
2
Draws
1
VAR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Sigma Olomouc II vs Varnsdorf · H/A from SOI
DateH/AGameScore
23/07/23AVarnsdorf Vs SOI1-1
16/04/23HSOI Vs Varnsdorf1-1
11/09/22AVarnsdorf Vs SOI1-0

Sigma Olomouc IISigma Olomouc II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/05/24AChrudim Vs SOI1-3
13/05/24HSOI Vs Sparta Praha II3-1
08/05/24AVlašim Vs SOI0-3
05/05/24HSOI Vs Táborsko1-0
27/04/24ADukla Praha Vs SOI0-3
20/04/24AArtis Vs SOI1-2
17/04/24HSOI Vs Hanácká4-2
12/04/24APříbram Vs SOI0-1
07/04/24HSOI Vs Opava1-0
31/03/24AViktoria Žižkov Vs SOI2-2

VarnsdorfVarnsdorf

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/05/24HVAR Vs Příbram1-0
12/05/24AViktoria Žižkov Vs VAR1-1
08/05/24HVAR Vs Hanácká3-2
03/05/24AVysočina Jihlava Vs VAR3-3
27/04/24AVyškov Vs VAR2-1
21/04/24HVAR Vs Prostějov5-1
17/04/24AChrudim Vs VAR1-1
14/04/24HVAR Vs Zbrojovka Brno4-1
06/04/24ATáborsko Vs VAR4-1
27/03/24HVAR Vs Artis1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Sigma Olomouc II
Sigma Olomouc II
Czech-Republic: FNL
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.56
HomeWWWWW1.54
AwayWWWWW1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%46%46%
AVG goals2.982.923.04
Over 1.5 %78%75%81%
Over 2.5 %54%58%50%
Over 3.5 %32%33%31%
Scored1.541.541.54
Conceded1.441.381.50
BTTS48%50%46%
Clean Sheet30%29%31%
Corners---
Cards---
Varnsdorf
Varnsdorf
Czech-Republic: FNL
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWDW1.26
HomeDWWWW1.80
AwayLDLDD0.72
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%48%12%
AVG goals3.444.082.80
Over 1.5 %84%88%80%
Over 2.5 %58%64%52%
Over 3.5 %42%60%24%
Scored1.782.441.12
Conceded1.661.641.68
BTTS74%76%72%
Clean Sheet10%16%4%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Dukla PrahaDukla Praha3060
60%
2.0
5529+26
2.8
63%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3121.81.0
-
2Sigma Olomouc IISigma Olomouc II3057
60%
1.9
4938+11
2.9
70%
53%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
3TáborskoTáborsko3049
43%
1.6
4126+15
2.2
60%
43%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.40.9
-
4VyškovVyškov3047
43%
1.6
4538+7
2.8
67%
43%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
5ChrudimChrudim3042
37%
1.4
4948+1
3.2
77%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.6
-
6OpavaOpava3040
37%
1.3
3636+0
2.4
63%
47%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.2
-
7VlašimVlašim3040
30%
1.3
4143-2
2.8
70%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.41.4
-
8ArtisArtis3039
30%
1.3
3434+0
2.3
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2251.11.1
-
9Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno3039
37%
1.3
4142-1
2.8
70%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
3251.41.4
-
10Viktoria ŽižkovViktoria Žižkov3039
37%
1.3
4451-7
3.2
80%
50%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.51.7
-
11Sparta Praha IISparta Praha II3037
33%
1.2
5258-6
3.7
90%
70%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.9
-
12ProstějovProstějov3037
37%
1.2
4252-10
3.1
73%
63%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.7
-
13PříbramPříbram3037
37%
1.2
3243-11
2.5
63%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.11.4
-
14VarnsdorfVarnsdorf3036
27%
1.2
5150+1
3.4
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.7
-
15Vysočina JihlavaVysočina Jihlava3035
30%
1.2
4246-4
2.9
77%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.5
-
16HanáckáHanácká3025
20%
0.8
3353-20
2.9
77%
47%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.11.8
-
Czech-Republic: FNL 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: FNL stats & trends →

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