PythiaFootballBETA
FC Copenhagen is the clear favourite to win this match, with the model predicting an away win. This is largely due to their impressive form on the road, having scored an average of 1.89 goals and conceded just 1.78 in their away matches against weaker opponents.
The expected total goals stands at 3.4, with the most likely total number of goals being 3. The model's most likely score is 1-2, with a probability of 9.7%.
At home, Silkeborg has struggled, scoring an average of 0.6 goals and conceding 2.6, particularly against stronger opponents. FC Copenhagen's away form suggests they will capitalize on this weakness.
The model's selection is the Over 1.5 goals, with an 86.1% chance of success, and an edge of 5%. The model's suggested picks include the Over 1.5 goals, the Away win, and the Draw.
The probabilities for the match result are: 17% for a home win, 21% for a draw, and 62% for an away win. The suggested picks have the following probabilities: Over 1.5 goals (86.1%), Away win (62%), and Draw (21%).
The win extends Silkeborg's recent run of inconsistency, but it was FC Copenhagen who came out on top, securing a 1-3 away victory. The model's selection, an away win, was correct, with a pre-match probability of 62%. The model's call was spot on, as FC Copenhagen were the favourites. The suggested picks largely came in, with the model selecting Over 1.5 goals, which hit with a probability of 86.1%. The other selections included the most likely total goals, 3, which missed, and the most likely scores, 1-2, 1-1, and 0-2, all of which missed.
Silkeborg| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.33 | 2.07 | 1.00 | 1.57 | 1.62 | 2.50 |
| vs Stronger (11) | 1.00 | 3.36 | 0.60 | 2.60 | 1.33 | 4.00 |
| vs Similar (19) | 1.53 | 1.32 | 1.22 | 1.00 | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 10% (-13pp vs league) | |||||
FC Copenhagen| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.97 | 1.67 | 2.12 | 1.31 | 1.79 | 2.07 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 1.33 | 3.00 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| vs Similar (7) | 1.43 | 1.71 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.75 | 2.25 |
| vs Weaker (20) | 2.25 | 1.45 | 2.55 | 1.18 | 1.89 | 1.78 |
| Clean sheet % | 20% (-3pp vs league) | |||||
| FC Copenhagen goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 4.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 3.7% |
| 1 | 2.9% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 4.1% |
| 2 | 2.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
SilkeborgFC CopenhagenSilkeborg| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 9.4 | 9.4 | 9.4 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 18.7 | 18.8 | 18.6 |
| vs Stronger (15) | 8.9 | 9.9 | 8.1 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 3.2 | 17.5 | 18.1 | 17.0 |
| vs Similar (35) | 9.6 | 9.2 | 9.9 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 19.1 | 19.0 | 19.3 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line | 48% | 46% | 50% | 34% | 42% | 27% | 28% | 29% | 27% |
| % under line | 52% | 54% | 50% | 66% | 58% | 73% | 72% | 71% | 73% |
FC Copenhagen| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 9.6 | 10.0 | 9.2 | 3.6 | 3.2 | 4.0 | 23.5 | 22.4 | 24.6 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 11.3 | 11.5 | 11.0 | 4.3 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 22.7 | 22.5 | 23.0 |
| vs Similar (12) | 9.6 | 9.0 | 10.0 | 4.8 | 4.0 | 5.3 | 28.3 | 26.0 | 30.0 |
| vs Weaker (35) | 9.5 | 10.2 | 8.8 | 3.2 | 2.9 | 3.5 | 21.9 | 21.4 | 22.4 |
| % over line | 54% | 60% | 48% | 52% | 44% | 60% | 62% | 56% | 68% |
| % under line | 46% | 40% | 52% | 48% | 56% | 40% | 38% | 44% | 32% |
Silkeborg| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.73 | 1.10 | 0.57 | 0.64 | 0.88 | 1.50 |
| vs Stronger (11) | 0.55 | 1.91 | 0.60 | 1.20 | 0.50 | 2.50 |
| vs Similar (19) | 0.84 | 0.63 | 0.56 | 0.33 | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 37% (+14pp vs league) | |||||
FC Copenhagen| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.80 | 0.63 | 1.00 | 0.62 | 0.57 | 0.64 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Similar (7) | 0.29 | 0.29 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| vs Weaker (20) | 1.00 | 0.75 | 1.27 | 0.64 | 0.67 | 0.89 |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+34pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 86.1% | 1.15 | 1.18 | 1.18 | 1.17 | 1.17 | 1.17 | +4.7% | ✓ Hit |
| Under 5.5 cards | 85.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Under 25.5 fouls | 75.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Over 19.5 fouls | 72.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✗ Miss |
| Under 4.5 cards | 71.6% | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | - | - | +0.8% | ✓ Hit |
| Under 11.5 corners | 71.4% | 1.39 | 1.42 | 1.42 | 1.39 | 1.36 | 1.35 | +5.3% | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 | H | 0-4 | |
| 05/04/26 | A | 7-0 | |
| 17/10/25 | H | 3-1 | |
| 21/09/25 | A | 3-3 | |
| 04/11/24 | A | 2-2 | |
| 06/10/24 | H | 2-2 | |
| 05/05/24 | H | 0-3 | |
| 21/04/24 | A | 2-0 |
Silkeborg| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 17/05/26 | A | 4-1 | |
| 10/05/26 | H | 0-4 | |
| 03/05/26 | A | 2-3 | |
| 26/04/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 22/04/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 19/04/26 | H | 2-2 | |
| 12/04/26 | H | 3-1 | |
| 05/04/26 | A | 7-0 | |
| 22/03/26 | A | 0-3 |
FC Copenhagen| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/26 | H | 3-2 | |
| 21/05/26 | A | 1-3 | |
| 17/05/26 | H | 5-0 | |
| 10/05/26 | A | 0-4 | |
| 03/05/26 | A | 3-3 | |
| 27/04/26 | H | 3-0 | |
| 22/04/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 19/04/26 | A | 1-4 | |
| 12/04/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 05/04/26 | H | 7-0 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 |  Brondby | 4 | 10 | 75% | 2.5 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 2.5 | 75% | 25% | 25% | 11.8 | 75% | 5.2 | 100% | 27.5 | 75% | 54 | 18 | 11 | 25 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 51% |
| 2 | FC Copenhagen | 3 | 9 | 100% | 3.0 | 10 | 3 | +7 | 4.3 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 10.0 | 100% | 3.0 | 67% | 22.7 | 33% | 115 | 23 | 59 | 33 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 55% |
| 3 |  FC Midtjylland | 3 | 7 | 67% | 2.3 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 3.3 | 100% | 67% | 33% | 9.0 | 33% | 4.3 | 67% | 31.0 | 100% | 120 | 62 | 27 | 32 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 54% |
| 4 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 3 | 7 | 67% | 2.3 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 1.3 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 13.7 | 67% | 3.3 | 67% | 17.0 | 0% | 80 | 31 | 18 | 30 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 57% |
| 5 |  Viborg | 4 | 7 | 50% | 1.8 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 1.2 | 25% | 25% | 0% | 13.0 | 100% | 2.5 | 25% | 27.0 | 100% | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 48% |
| 6 |  AC Horsens | 4 | 4 | 25% | 1.0 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 2.5 | 100% | 50% | 0% | 12.0 | 75% | 3.0 | 50% | 23.8 | 75% | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1.0 | 1.5 | - |
| 7 | Silkeborg | 4 | 4 | 25% | 1.0 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 2.0 | 50% | 25% | 25% | 10.0 | 50% | 3.2 | 75% | 19.8 | 25% | 26 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 49% |
| 8 |  Randers FC | 4 | 4 | 25% | 1.0 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2.2 | 75% | 25% | 25% | 12.2 | 100% | 1.8 | 25% | 20.0 | 25% | 27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 48% |
| 9 |  Odense | 4 | 3 | 25% | 0.8 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1.5 | 25% | 25% | 0% | 13.5 | 75% | 2.5 | 25% | 23.5 | 100% | 18 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 51% |
| 10 |  Aarhus | 3 | 2 | 0% | 0.7 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3.0 | 100% | 67% | 33% | 11.7 | 67% | 4.0 | 67% | 32.3 | 100% | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 54% |
| 11 |  Lyngby | 4 | 2 | 0% | 0.5 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 3.2 | 100% | 50% | 50% | 9.0 | 50% | 3.8 | 75% | 30.8 | 100% | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 1.2 | 2.0 | - |
| 12 |  Sonderjyske | 4 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2.8 | 50% | 50% | 50% | 11.8 | 75% | 3.0 | 25% | 23.0 | 75% | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 44% |