Silkeborg’s recent run of losses and a 0-1 defeat to FC Nordsjaelland signals a fragile home form, while FC Midtjylland’s two-game winning streak and a 1-0 victory over Randers FC show they are in fine shape on the road. The model therefore names an away win as the clear favourite, assigning a 62 % chance to that outcome. The probability of a draw sits at 23 %, and a home win is only 15 %. The expected total is 2.8 goals, with the most likely total of two goals at 25 %. The single most probable scoreline is 0-2 for the visitors, with a 11.3 % probability. Silkeborg averages 0.8 goals scored and 2.8 conceded at home against stronger opposition, whereas Midtjylland averages 2.22 goals scored and 1.0 conceded away against weaker teams. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.1 %) with a 5 % edge, Home under 2.5 HT goals (99.0 %), Home under 3.5 goals (98.8 % edge 7), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.9 % edge 6), Under 6.5 (97.4 % edge 5), Away under 2.5 HT goals (96.1 % edge 7), Away +2 handicap (95.0 % edge 3) and Home under 2.5 goals (94.1 % edge 5).
Results analysis
Silkeborg’s return from a draw and FC Midtjylland’s unbeaten run of five games set the stage, yet the pre-match favourite, the model’s pick of an Away win with a 59% probability, failed to materialise. The match finished 1-1, a draw that left the model’s prediction incorrect. Every model selection was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.2%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.0%, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 98.6%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 98.1%, Under 6.5 hit at 97.5%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 96.0%, Away +2 handicap hit at 94.2%, and Home under 2.5 goals hit at 93.4%. The outcome was a tidy 1-1 draw, proving the model’s favourite was wrong.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Silkeborg win✗ Miss
16.7%
Avg Implied 14.8% · @ 6.34
Edge
+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
6.66
Marathonbet
6.65
1xBet
6.63
Bet365
6.50
10Bet
6.50
Draw✓ Hit
24.1%
Avg Implied 19.4% · @ 4.81
Edge
+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
5.24
Bet365
5.00
Dafabet
5.00
1xBet
4.95
Marathonbet
4.95
FC Midtjylland win✗ Miss
59.2%
Avg Implied 65.8% · @ 1.42
Edge
-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.49
Dafabet
1.46
Betano
1.45
Unibet
1.45
10Bet
1.44
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Silkeborg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
2.07
1.00
1.57
1.06
2.50
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
3.40
0.80
2.80
0.20
4.00
vs Similar (20)
1.30
1.40
1.11
0.89
1.45
1.82
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Midtjylland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Midtjylland
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
0.93
1.53
1.27
1.73
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
1.21
0.86
1.12
1.12
1.33
0.50
vs Weaker (16)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.43
2.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
37% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Silkeborg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.1%
@ 1.13-5.2%
Under 1.5
21.9%
@ 5.62+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.15
Pinnacle
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Betano
1.15
Unibet
1.14
Under
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Pinnacle
5.92
BetVictor
5.75
Superbet
5.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.3%
@ 1.46-11.0%
Under 2.5
46.7%
@ 2.62+11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Unibet
1.48
Bet365
1.48
Under
Pinnacle
2.77
Betano
2.70
BetVictor
2.63
Betfair
2.63
Superbet
2.62
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.0%
@ 2.17-12.5%
Under 3.5
69.0%
@ 1.67+12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
2.25
Unibet
2.23
Superbet
2.22
Pinnacle
2.21
Betfair
2.20
Under
Betano
1.72
Pinnacle
1.72
1xBet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.68
10Bet
1.67
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.0%
@ 1.60-5.8%
No
48.0%
@ 2.20+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.63
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Marathonbet
1.60
William Hil
1.60
No
Betfair
2.30
Betano
2.22
BetVictor
2.20
Bet365
2.20
William Hil
2.20
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
11.5%@ 8.93+6.4%
0-2
10.8%@ 8.06+5.2%
0-1
10.4%@ 8.84+5.2%
1-2
9.9%@ 7.69+4.0%
0-0
7.1%@ 17.28+4.5%
0-3
6.8%@ 10.19+2.3%
1-3
6.2%@ 9.86+1.6%
2-1
4.8%@ 17.17+2.2%
Silkeborg goals ↓
FC Midtjylland goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.1%
10%
11%
6.8%
3.2%
1
4.5%
12%
9.9%
6.2%
2.9%
2
2.5%
4.8%
4.5%
2.9%
1.4%
3
0.8%
1.5%
1.4%
0.9%
0.4%
4
0.2%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Silkeborg goals (down), columns = FC Midtjylland goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Copenhagen
2.50
FC Midtjylland
2.33
Viborg
2.17
FC Nordsjaelland
2.17
Brondby
2.17
Randers FC
1.17
AC Horsens
1.17
Silkeborg
0.83
Odense
0.83
Lyngby
0.50
Aarhus
0.50
Sonderjyske
0.17
Silkeborg is 1.50 points worse than FC Midtjylland in terms of average points per game (0.83 vs 2.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Copenhagen
2.50
Brondby
1.83
Viborg
1.67
FC Midtjylland
1.67
FC Nordsjaelland
1.50
AC Horsens
1.33
Lyngby
1.17
Aarhus
1.17
Silkeborg
0.83
Sonderjyske
0.83
Randers FC
0.83
Odense
0.83
Silkeborg is 0.83 goals worse than FC Midtjylland in terms of goals scored per game (0.83 vs 1.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Viborg
0.67
FC Nordsjaelland
0.67
FC Midtjylland
0.83
Odense
1.17
Brondby
1.17
Randers FC
1.33
FC Copenhagen
1.33
Silkeborg
1.50
AC Horsens
1.67
Lyngby
1.83
Aarhus
1.83
Sonderjyske
2.17
Silkeborg is 0.67 goals worse than FC Midtjylland in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 0.83).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Nordsjaelland
59%
Aarhus
58%
FC Midtjylland
55%
Brondby
55%
FC Copenhagen
52%
Lyngby
52%
Odense
51%
Silkeborg
47%
Viborg
47%
Randers FC
43%
AC Horsens
43%
Sonderjyske
39%
Silkeborg is 8.2 percentage points worse than FC Midtjylland in terms of average possession (47% vs 55%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Silkeborg
For 4.2 · Against 5.3 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 7.3 · Against 10.9 · Total 18.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Midtjylland
For 6.0 · Against 3.8 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.6 · Against 15.8 · Total 30.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Silkeborg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.8
9.4
2.7
3.0
2.4
19.0
18.9
19.1
vs Stronger (17)
9.5
10.0
9.0
2.9
3.0
2.8
18.3
18.4
18.1
vs Similar (31)
9.7
9.7
9.7
2.7
3.0
2.5
19.4
19.1
19.7
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
49%
45%
52%
36%
45%
29%
31%
32%
30%
% under line
51%
55%
48%
64%
55%
71%
69%
68%
70%
This opponent (FC Midtjylland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Midtjylland
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
9.7
11.2
3.9
4.1
3.8
28.8
31.4
26.1
vs Stronger (1)
8.0
8.0
-
3.0
3.0
-
27.0
27.0
-
vs Similar (24)
10.3
9.0
11.8
3.8
4.5
3.2
29.5
32.4
26.3
vs Weaker (25)
10.7
10.6
10.8
4.0
3.8
4.3
28.2
30.9
25.9
% over line
57%
43%
71%
62%
60%
64%
88%
100%
76%
% under line
43%
57%
29%
38%
40%
36%
12%
0%
24%
This opponent (Silkeborg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Odense
10.9
AC Horsens
10.6
FC Midtjylland
10.2
Sonderjyske
10.2
Lyngby
10.1
Randers FC
9.9
Viborg
9.8
FC Copenhagen
9.8
Aarhus
9.7
Silkeborg
9.6
Brondby
9.5
FC Nordsjaelland
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Brondby
4.7
FC Midtjylland
4.4
AC Horsens
3.8
Aarhus
3.8
Lyngby
3.8
Sonderjyske
3.8
FC Copenhagen
3.8
Viborg
3.7
FC Nordsjaelland
3.7
Randers FC
3.3
Odense
3.2
Silkeborg
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Midtjylland
27.9
Viborg
24.9
Brondby
24.5
Lyngby
24.0
FC Copenhagen
23.8
Aarhus
23.6
Sonderjyske
22.0
Randers FC
21.9
Odense
21.6
FC Nordsjaelland
21.3
AC Horsens
19.9
Silkeborg
18.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
58.9%
@ 1.72+5.2%
Under 9.5
41.1%
@ 2.00-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.78
Unibet
1.76
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.72
Betano
1.72
Under
10Bet
2.05
Betano
2.05
Pinnacle
2.02
Bet365
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
47.7%
@ 1.95+0.2%
Under 3.5
52.3%
@ 1.76-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Unibet
1.77
Under
Unibet
1.90
Betano
1.72
Superbet
1.67
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
61.3%
Under 21.5
38.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Silkeborg or Draw✓ Hit
40.8%
Avg Implied 34.4% · @ 2.74
Edge
+6.5%
17%
24%
59%
covers Silkeborg + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.84
Marathonbet
2.84
Betano
2.82
Betfair
2.80
BetVictor
2.80
Silkeborg or FC Midtjylland✗ Miss
75.9%
Avg Implied 81.1% · @ 1.16
Edge
-5.2%
17%
24%
59%
covers Silkeborg + FC Midtjylland
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.19
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.18
Unibet
1.18
Draw or FC Midtjylland✓ Hit
83.3%
Avg Implied 84.5% · @ 1.11
Edge
-1.2%
17%
24%
59%
covers Draw + FC Midtjylland
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Betano
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
Unibet
1.11
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Silkeborg over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
60.1%
@ 1.47-3.3%
Under
39.9%
@ 2.54+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.54
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.48
BetVictor
1.47
Marathonbet
1.46
Under
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Pinnacle
2.56
Superbet
2.55
10Bet
2.55
Silkeborg over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
23.4%
@ 3.33-4.6%
Under
76.6%
@ 1.29+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.61
Marathonbet
3.44
1xBet
3.44
Bet365
3.40
BetVictor
3.30
Under
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Pinnacle
1.29
Silkeborg over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
6.6%
@ 8.83-4.0%
Under
93.4%
@ 1.04+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
1xBet
9.90
Marathonbet
9.90
Betfair
8.50
Superbet
8.20
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Unibet
1.02
Silkeborg over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.4%
@ 21.33-3.1%
Under
98.6%
@ 1.01+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
29.00
Superbet
23.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
FC Midtjylland over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
84.9%
@ 1.06-2.9%
Under
15.1%
@ 7.64+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.08
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.05
Under
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.50
1xBet
8.00
Superbet
7.40
Betano
7.10
FC Midtjylland over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
56.4%
@ 1.39-10.8%
Under
43.6%
@ 2.84+10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.42
10Bet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.40
Unibet
1.40
Under
Pinnacle
3.05
1xBet
2.91
Marathonbet
2.91
BetVictor
2.88
Betfair
2.88
FC Midtjylland over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
29.4%
@ 2.24-12.3%
Under
70.6%
@ 1.60+12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.30
Unibet
2.28
Pinnacle
2.28
Betfair
2.25
Bet365
2.25
Under
Pinnacle
1.67
Marathonbet
1.63
1xBet
1.63
Betano
1.62
BetVictor
1.62
FC Midtjylland over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
12.4%
@ 4.22-9.6%
Under
87.6%
@ 1.19+9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.50
Pinnacle
4.39
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.30
Unibet
4.25
Under
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
Superbet
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
Bet365
1.20
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Silkeborg, so a minus line means Silkeborg give that many goals of a start and FC Midtjylland receive them. At -1, Silkeborg must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Silkeborg win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Silkeborg)Actual: FC Midtjylland
Silkeborg -2
1.5%
@ 40.00-0.9%
Draw -2
4.4%
@ 18.00-0.9%
FC Midtjylland +2
94.2%
@ 1.02+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
51.00
Bet365
41.00
Superbet
28.00
Draw
Betfair
20.00
Bet365
19.00
Superbet
15.00
Away
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Handicap -1 (Silkeborg)Actual: FC Midtjylland
Silkeborg -1
5.8%
@ 12.58-1.3%
Draw -1
10.9%
@ 7.26-1.4%
FC Midtjylland +1
83.3%
@ 1.11+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
17.00
Betfair
15.00
Unibet
12.50
Superbet
11.00
Marathonbet
7.40
Draw
Bet365
8.50
Betfair
8.50
Unibet
7.50
Superbet
7.00
Marathonbet
4.80
Away
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Betfair
1.08
Handicap +1 (Silkeborg)Actual: Silkeborg
Silkeborg +1
40.8%
@ 2.69+7.5%
Draw +1
23.6%
@ 3.74-0.5%
FC Midtjylland -1
35.6%
@ 2.11-7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
2.84
10Bet
2.75
Betfair
2.70
Unibet
2.63
Superbet
2.62
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
Unibet
3.60
Away
Bet365
2.20
Unibet
2.12
Superbet
2.12
Betfair
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Handicap +2 (Silkeborg)Actual: Silkeborg
Silkeborg +2
64.4%
@ 1.64+9.6%
Draw +2
18.5%
@ 4.36-2.1%
FC Midtjylland -2
17.1%
@ 3.65-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
10Bet
1.65
Superbet
1.64
Unibet
1.62
Draw
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.50
Superbet
4.25
10Bet
4.20
Away
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.70
Superbet
3.65
Unibet
3.65
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Silkeborg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.93
0.57
0.71
0.69
1.12
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
1.50
0.80
1.40
0.20
1.60
vs Similar (20)
0.70
0.65
0.44
0.33
0.91
0.91
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Midtjylland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Midtjylland
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.30
0.67
0.27
0.67
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.29
0.21
0.38
0.12
0.17
0.33
vs Weaker (16)
1.00
0.38
1.00
0.43
1.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
77% (+54pp vs league)
This opponent (Silkeborg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
72.2%
@ 1.22-3.6%
Under 0.5
27.8%
@ 3.83+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.28
Unibet
1.24
Superbet
1.24
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
William Hil
3.90
Superbet
3.90
Marathonbet
3.85
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
35.7%
@ 2.13-8.3%
Under 1.5
64.3%
@ 1.67+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.20
Pinnacle
2.18
Unibet
2.17
SBO
2.16
1xBet
2.14
Under
Pinnacle
1.70
10Bet
1.70
SBO
1.70
Superbet
1.69
Bet365
1.67
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.6%
@ 4.63-7.5%
Under 2.5
87.4%
@ 1.16+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.80
Unibet
4.70
1xBet
4.65
Marathonbet
4.65
William Hil
4.60
Under
Superbet
1.19
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.17
Unibet
1.15
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Silkeborg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
37.5%
@ 2.54+0.9%
Under
62.5%
@ 1.47-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.77
Unibet
2.55
Marathonbet
2.55
Betano
2.55
1xBet
2.47
Under
10Bet
1.48
1xBet
1.48
Superbet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Unibet
1.46
Silkeborg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.5%
@ 8.96+0.1%
Under
89.5%
@ 1.04-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.75
1xBet
9.10
Unibet
9.00
Superbet
8.50
10Bet
8.50
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
Unibet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Silkeborg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.0%
@ 35.00-99.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
35.00
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Midtjylland over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
60.0%
@ 1.46-3.9%
Under
40.0%
@ 2.58+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Unibet
1.48
Superbet
1.45
Pinnacle
1.45
10Bet
1.44
Under
Pinnacle
2.78
1xBet
2.60
10Bet
2.60
Superbet
2.55
Betano
2.50
FC Midtjylland over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
18.8%
@ 3.17-10.5%
Under
81.2%
@ 1.31+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.30
Betano
3.25
Marathonbet
3.24
Superbet
3.10
10Bet
3.10
Under
1xBet
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.32
Unibet
1.28
FC Midtjylland over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.0%
@ 7.94-7.7%
Under
96.0%
@ 1.05+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
8.50
10Bet
8.00
1xBet
7.90
Superbet
7.80
Betano
7.50
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.05
Unibet
1.05
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Silkeborg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
1.13
0.43
0.86
0.38
1.38
vs Stronger (10)
0.00
1.90
0.00
1.40
0.00
2.40
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.75
0.67
0.56
0.55
0.91
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Midtjylland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Midtjylland
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.63
0.87
1.00
1.07
0.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.93
0.64
0.75
1.00
1.17
0.17
vs Weaker (16)
1.00
0.62
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Silkeborg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
81.0%
@ 1.13-1.7%
Under 0.5
19.0%
@ 5.38+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.12
Under
1xBet
5.65
Marathonbet
5.65
Bet365
5.50
Betano
5.40
Superbet
5.35
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
48.5%
@ 1.68-7.3%
Under 1.5
51.5%
@ 2.11+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.72
William Hil
1.70
Marathonbet
1.67
Unibet
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Under
Betano
2.20
1xBet
2.13
Marathonbet
2.13
Superbet
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
20.0%
@ 3.09-10.1%
Under 2.5
80.0%
@ 1.33+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
William Hil
3.25
Superbet
3.20
Unibet
3.05
1xBet
2.98
Under
Betano
1.39
Superbet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Unibet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Silkeborg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
43.0%
@ 2.07-1.7%
Under
57.0%
@ 1.67+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.11
Betano
2.07
1xBet
2.07
Superbet
2.07
10Bet
2.05
Under
Betano
1.70
10Bet
1.70
Superbet
1.67
1xBet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.63
Silkeborg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
11.7%
@ 6.62-2.3%
Under
88.3%
@ 1.08+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.50
1xBet
6.70
10Bet
6.50
Superbet
6.50
Betano
5.90
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
Silkeborg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 19.92-3.0%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.01+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
22.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
FC Midtjylland over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
61.6%
@ 1.30-9.8%
Under
38.4%
@ 3.25+9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.28
Under
Betano
3.35
1xBet
3.30
10Bet
3.25
Superbet
3.10
FC Midtjylland over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
26.9%
@ 2.37-12.2%
Under
73.1%
@ 1.52+12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.50
10Bet
2.40
Marathonbet
2.35
Betano
2.32
1xBet
2.30
Under
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.51
10Bet
1.50
Superbet
1.48
FC Midtjylland over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.9%
@ 5.35-10.4%
Under
93.1%
@ 1.12+10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
5.70
10Bet
5.50
1xBet
5.30
Betano
4.90
Under
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
98.6%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
98.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.5%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.02
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.0%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.05
Unibet
1.05
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
+7.7%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
94.2%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
93.4%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Unibet
1.02
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
93.4%
1.09
Pinnacle
1.12
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Bet365
1.10
+7.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
93.1%
1.12
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
-
+10.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
89.5%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
Unibet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-0.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
88.3%
1.08
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
87.6%
1.19
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
Superbet
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
Bet365
1.20
+9.6%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.4%
1.16
Superbet
1.19
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.17
Unibet
1.15
+7.5%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
84.9%
1.17
Betano
1.17
-
-
-
-
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
84.9%
1.06
10Bet
1.08
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.05
-2.9%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
84.6%
1.26
Betano
1.30
Pinnacle
1.29
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Superbet
1.27
+10.4%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
83.3%
1.11
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Betano
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
Unibet
1.11
-1.2%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
83.3%
1.11
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Betfair
1.08
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
81.2%
1.31
1xBet
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.32
Unibet
1.28
+10.5%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
81.0%
1.13
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.12
-1.7%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.0%
1.33
Betano
1.39
Superbet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Unibet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
+10.1%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.1%
1.13
10Bet
1.15
Pinnacle
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Betano
1.15
Unibet
1.14
-5.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
76.6%
1.29
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Pinnacle
1.29
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
75.9%
1.16
Superbet
1.19
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.18
Unibet
1.18
-5.2%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals
73.1%
1.52
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.51
10Bet
1.50
Superbet
1.48
+12.2%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.2%
1.22
Betano
1.28
Unibet
1.24
Superbet
1.24
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-3.6%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
71.4%
1.36
Unibet
1.45
Betano
1.35
Superbet
1.29
-
-
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
70.9%
1.43
Unibet
1.47
Superbet
1.46
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.38
+6.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
70.6%
1.60
Pinnacle
1.67
Marathonbet
1.63
1xBet
1.63
Betano
1.62
BetVictor
1.62
+12.3%
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Silkeborg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Callum McCowatt40%
Oliver Ross33%
William Kirk17%
Mads Larsen0%
Jens Martin Gammelby0%
Younes Bakiz0%
Rami Al Hajj0%
Sofus Berger0%
Robin Østrøm0%
Aske Andrésen0%
Alexander Simmelhack0%
Julius Lorents0%
Villads Westh0%
Alexander Priesborg0%
Lucas Riisgaard0%
William Møller0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Callum McCowatt60%
William Møller40%
Robin Østrøm17%
Alexander Priesborg17%
Lucas Riisgaard17%
Mads Larsen0%
Jens Martin Gammelby0%
Younes Bakiz0%
Rami Al Hajj0%
Sofus Berger0%
Oliver Ross0%
Aske Andrésen0%
Alexander Simmelhack0%
Julius Lorents0%
Villads Westh0%
William Kirk0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Callum McCowatt40%
Oliver Ross17%
Mads Larsen0%
Jens Martin Gammelby0%
Younes Bakiz0%
Rami Al Hajj0%
Sofus Berger0%
Robin Østrøm0%
Aske Andrésen0%
Alexander Simmelhack0%
Julius Lorents0%
Villads Westh0%
Alexander Priesborg0%
Lucas Riisgaard0%
William Kirk0%
William Møller0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Oliver Ross17%
Mads Larsen0%
Jens Martin Gammelby0%
Younes Bakiz0%
Rami Al Hajj0%
Callum McCowatt0%
Sofus Berger0%
Robin Østrøm0%
Aske Andrésen0%
Alexander Simmelhack0%
Julius Lorents0%
Villads Westh0%
Alexander Priesborg0%
Lucas Riisgaard0%
William Kirk0%
William Møller0%
FC Midtjylland
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Stanley Iheanacho44%
Franculino Djú38%
Valdemar Byskov25%
Sofus Johannesen25%
Julius Emefile25%
Gue-sung Cho22%
Darío Osorio22%
Friday Etim22%
M. Jensen17%
Mads Bech Sørensen11%
Denil Castillo10%
R. Kristensen0%
Philip Billing0%
M. Erlić0%
E. Ólafsson0%
Adam Gabriel0%
Pedro Bravo0%
K. Wätjen0%
Beni Junior0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
M. Jensen33%
R. Kristensen30%
Sofus Johannesen25%
Darío Osorio22%
Philip Billing20%
Adam Gabriel17%
K. Wätjen17%
M. Erlić14%
Franculino Djú12%
Mads Bech Sørensen11%
Friday Etim11%
Denil Castillo10%
Gue-sung Cho0%
E. Ólafsson0%
Pedro Bravo0%
Valdemar Byskov0%
Beni Junior0%
Stanley Iheanacho0%
Julius Emefile0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Darío Osorio33%
Franculino Djú25%
Valdemar Byskov25%
Friday Etim22%
Philip Billing20%
Beni Junior17%
Sofus Johannesen12%
R. Kristensen10%
Denil Castillo10%
Mads Bech Sørensen0%
M. Erlić0%
Gue-sung Cho0%
M. Jensen0%
E. Ólafsson0%
Adam Gabriel0%
Pedro Bravo0%
K. Wätjen0%
Stanley Iheanacho0%
Julius Emefile0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Stanley Iheanacho33%
Valdemar Byskov25%
Darío Osorio22%
K. Wätjen17%
Mads Bech Sørensen11%
Friday Etim11%
R. Kristensen0%
Philip Billing0%
M. Erlić0%
Gue-sung Cho0%
M. Jensen0%
E. Ólafsson0%
Adam Gabriel0%
Pedro Bravo0%
Denil Castillo0%
Franculino Djú0%
Beni Junior0%
Sofus Johannesen0%
Julius Emefile0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
ODE (24)
€17m
RF (24)
€14m
SON (26)
€13m
LYN (22)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
Silkeborg's squad is €88m less valuable than FC Midtjylland's (€19m vs €108m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
ODE (9)
€8m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
AH (9)
€4m
SON (6)
€3m
LYN (5)
€3m
Silkeborg's attack is €41m less valuable than FC Midtjylland's (€6m vs €47m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
LYN (8)
€5m
SON (7)
€3m
RF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
AH (6)
€2m
Silkeborg's midfield is €19m less valuable than FC Midtjylland's (€5m vs €24m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
ODE (9)
€7m
SON (13)
€6m
RF (10)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
AH (12)
€4m
Silkeborg's defence is €29m less valuable than FC Midtjylland's (€8m vs €37m).
Denmark: Superliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →
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FC Copenhagen
Viborg
FC Nordsjaelland
Brondby
AC Horsens
Randers FC
Odense
Aarhus
Lyngby
Sonderjyske