This Superliga match between Silkeborg and Odense on August 10th promises to be a finely balanced encounter, with the visitors coming off a win and the hosts still reeling from a defeat to FC Copenhagen. Silkeborg's recent form has been inconsistent, with a mix of wins and losses in their last five matches. Meanwhile, Odense has shown resilience, having won their previous match against Sonderjyske.
The model predicts an away win, with a 39% probability, while Silkeborg has a 34% chance of winning and a 27% chance of drawing. The expected total goals is 2.9, with the most likely score being 1-1, occurring with a 12.5% probability.
Silkeborg's home form has seen them average 1.22 goals scored and 1.0 conceded against similar opponents. Odense, on the other hand, has averaged 1.18 goals scored and 1.27 conceded while away against similar opponents.
The model's selection is Over 1.5 goals, with an 80.4% probability, indicating a high-scoring encounter. The model's suggested picks include Over 1.5 goals, with a 80.4% probability, and the home win percentage is 34%, the draw percentage is 27%, and the away win percentage is 39%.
Silkeborg's 1-0 win over Odense extends their run of consecutive wins, following a draw and three losses. This upset result was a surprise, given that the pre-match favourite, Odense, was predicted to win with a 39% probability. However, the model's selection, an away win, was incorrect. The model's call was wrong, as the actual result was a home win. The model's selection of an away win had a 39% probability. The suggested pick of Over 1.5 goals also missed, with an 80.7% probability.
Silkeborg| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.37 | 2.00 | 1.07 | 1.64 | 1.62 | 2.31 |
| vs Stronger (9) | 0.78 | 3.67 | 0.80 | 2.80 | 0.75 | 4.75 |
| vs Similar (19) | 1.42 | 1.37 | 1.22 | 1.00 | 1.60 | 1.70 |
| vs Weaker (2) | 3.50 | 0.50 | - | - | 3.50 | 0.50 |
| Clean sheet % | 13% (-10pp vs league) | |||||
Odense| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.57 | 1.47 | 1.57 | 1.43 | 1.56 | 1.50 |
| vs Stronger (7) | 1.71 | 2.86 | 1.50 | 2.75 | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| vs Similar (23) | 1.52 | 1.04 | 1.60 | 0.90 | 1.46 | 1.15 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 27% (+4pp vs league) | |||||
| Odense goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 6.2% | 12% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| 2 | 5.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| 3 | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
Silkeborg
Odense
Silkeborg| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 9.6 | 9.8 | 9.4 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 18.6 | 18.2 | 19.0 |
| vs Stronger (17) | 9.3 | 10.0 | 8.5 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 17.8 | 18.4 | 17.0 |
| vs Similar (31) | 9.7 | 9.7 | 9.7 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 19.0 | 18.1 | 19.8 |
| vs Weaker (2) | - | - | - | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| % over line | 52% | 50% | 55% | 30% | 39% | 22% | 30% | 27% | 32% |
| % under line | 48% | 50% | 45% | 70% | 61% | 78% | 70% | 73% | 68% |
Odense| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 10.8 | 10.6 | 11.0 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 21.9 | 22.1 | 21.6 |
| vs Stronger (10) | 9.3 | 9.0 | 9.6 | 3.6 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 21.8 | 22.6 | 21.0 |
| vs Similar (37) | 11.5 | 11.3 | 11.6 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 21.9 | 21.9 | 21.9 |
| vs Weaker (3) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| % over line | 65% | 71% | 59% | 22% | 26% | 19% | 53% | 53% | 53% |
| % under line | 35% | 29% | 41% | 78% | 74% | 81% | 47% | 47% | 47% |
Silkeborg| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.73 | 1.03 | 0.64 | 0.79 | 0.81 | 1.25 |
| vs Stronger (9) | 0.56 | 1.89 | 0.80 | 1.40 | 0.25 | 2.50 |
| vs Similar (19) | 0.79 | 0.68 | 0.56 | 0.44 | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| vs Weaker (2) | 1.00 | 0.50 | - | - | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Clean sheet % | 40% (+17pp vs league) | |||||
Odense| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.57 | 0.73 | 0.50 | 0.79 | 0.62 | 0.69 |
| vs Stronger (7) | 0.29 | 2.00 | 0.25 | 2.00 | 0.33 | 2.00 |
| vs Similar (23) | 0.65 | 0.35 | 0.60 | 0.30 | 0.69 | 0.38 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+34pp vs league) | |||||
Silkeborg| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.63 | 0.97 | 0.43 | 0.86 | 0.81 | 1.06 |
| vs Stronger (9) | 0.22 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 1.40 | 0.50 | 2.25 |
| vs Similar (19) | 0.63 | 0.68 | 0.67 | 0.56 | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| vs Weaker (2) | 2.50 | 0.00 | - | - | 2.50 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 37% (+14pp vs league) | |||||
Odense| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.00 | 0.73 | 1.07 | 0.64 | 0.94 | 0.81 |
| vs Stronger (7) | 1.43 | 0.86 | 1.25 | 0.75 | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (23) | 0.87 | 0.70 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.77 | 0.77 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 53% (+30pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 cards | 90.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Under 25.5 fouls | 82.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Over 1.5 | 80.7% | 1.14 | 1.17 | 1.17 | 1.16 | 1.16 | 1.15 | -1.4% | ✗ Miss |
| Under 4.5 cards | 80.1% | 1.38 | 1.44 | 1.32 | - | - | - | +14.4% | ✓ Hit |
| Over 8.5 corners | 73.3% | 1.28 | 1.34 | 1.31 | 1.26 | 1.25 | 1.24 | +1.9% | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 | A | 2-3 | |
| 12/04/26 | H | 3-1 | |
| 07/11/25 | A | 1-1 | |
| 14/09/25 | H | 2-1 | |
| 29/10/23 | H | 0-0 | |
| 18/09/23 | A | 0-3 | |
| 07/05/23 | H | 0-1 | |
| 16/04/23 | A | 2-0 |
Silkeborg| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/26 | H | 1-3 | |
| 27/07/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 17/05/26 | A | 4-1 | |
| 10/05/26 | H | 0-4 | |
| 03/05/26 | A | 2-3 | |
| 26/04/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 22/04/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 19/04/26 | H | 2-2 | |
| 12/04/26 | H | 3-1 | |
| 05/04/26 | A | 7-0 |
Odense| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 24/07/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 17/05/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 11/05/26 | A | 2-2 | |
| 03/05/26 | H | 2-3 | |
| 26/04/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 22/04/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 19/04/26 | H | 3-1 | |
| 12/04/26 | A | 3-1 | |
| 06/04/26 | H | 1-0 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | FC Copenhagen | 6 | 15 | 83% | 2.5 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 3.8 | 100% | 83% | 83% | 8.2 | 67% | 3.3 | 50% | 22.5 | 50% | 73 | 17 | 17 | 39 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 52% |
| 2 | FC Midtjylland | 6 | 14 | 67% | 2.3 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 2.5 | 83% | 33% | 17% | 11.0 | 67% | 3.7 | 50% | 31.7 | 83% | 108 | 47 | 24 | 37 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 55% |
| 3 | Viborg | 6 | 13 | 67% | 2.2 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 2.3 | 50% | 50% | 33% | 11.3 | 67% | 2.8 | 33% | 27.2 | 100% | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 47% |
| 4 | FC Nordsjaelland | 6 | 13 | 67% | 2.2 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 2.2 | 67% | 33% | 17% | 10.3 | 50% | 3.8 | 83% | 21.7 | 50% | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 59% |
| 5 | Brondby | 6 | 13 | 67% | 2.2 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 3.0 | 83% | 50% | 50% | 11.3 | 67% | 5.0 | 100% | 26.2 | 83% | 48 | 15 | 11 | 22 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 55% |
| 6 | AC Horsens | 6 | 7 | 33% | 1.2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 3.0 | 100% | 67% | 17% | 11.3 | 67% | 3.8 | 67% | 25.7 | 83% | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 43% |
| 7 | Randers FC | 6 | 7 | 33% | 1.2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2.2 | 67% | 33% | 17% | 11.7 | 83% | 2.7 | 33% | 24.5 | 50% | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 43% |
| 8 | Odense | 6 | 5 | 17% | 0.8 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 2.0 | 50% | 33% | 17% | 13.2 | 83% | 4.0 | 50% | 23.5 | 83% | 17 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 51% |
| 9 | Silkeborg | 6 | 5 | 17% | 0.8 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 2.3 | 67% | 33% | 33% | 10.5 | 67% | 3.2 | 67% | 20.5 | 33% | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 47% |
| 10 | Aarhus | 6 | 3 | 0% | 0.5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 3.0 | 100% | 67% | 33% | 11.5 | 67% | 4.8 | 83% | 30.2 | 83% | 36 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 58% |
| 11 | Lyngby | 6 | 3 | 0% | 0.5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 3.0 | 100% | 50% | 33% | 9.5 | 67% | 5.0 | 83% | 30.8 | 100% | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 52% |
| 12 | Sonderjyske | 6 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 3.0 | 67% | 67% | 50% | 11.2 | 83% | 3.2 | 33% | 23.3 | 67% | 13 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 39% |