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Sioni vs Samtredia Result & Analysis

Date: 22/06/2026
Time: 17:00
Final 3-2
Sioni
Sioni
Vs
52%
26%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Samtredia
Samtredia
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Squad value14 Games History15 Overall Statistics16 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Sioni a 52% win probability against Samtredia in the Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 on 2026-06-22, with 26% for the draw and 23% for Samtredia. The model estimates around 2.9 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (24%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (12.1%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 1.5 (79%).

Results analysis

Sioni finished 3-2 against Samtredia (Home win). Pythia had modelled a 52% home win, 26% draw and 23% away win. Picks that landed: Over 1.5 (79%).

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Sioni win✓ Hit
51.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Samtredia win✗ Miss
22.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

SioniSioni

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L12L00D43W30W41W50W00D20W23LA·SAM26/10H·RUS01/11A·SAB07/11A·LOK21/11H·SPA25/11A·DIN29/11H·GON06/12A·KOL30/05H·MER13/06A·ARA17/06
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.301.571.501.381.12
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.591.241.441.331.751.12
vs Weaker (13)1.311.381.801.801.001.12
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Samtredia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SamtrediaSamtredia

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W01L11D21W32W01L12L23L22D12LH·SIO26/10A·LOK03/11H·SPA08/11A·DIN21/11H·GON25/11A·MES29/11H·MER06/12A·GAR30/05H·KOL13/06A·MER17/06
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.331.711.071.121.56
vs Stronger (26)1.501.231.751.001.291.43
vs Similar (4)0.752.001.501.500.002.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Sioni) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.4%
Under 1.5
20.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.1%
Under 2.5
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
32.7%
Under 3.5
67.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.9%
No
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-0
8.8%
0-0
6.7%
1-2
6.1%
3-1
5.8%
2-2
5.4%
Sioni goals ↓
Samtredia goals →
01234
06.7%5.1%3.5%1.3%0.4%
18.8%12%6.1%2.3%0.6%
28.8%9.8%5.4%2.0%0.6%
35.2%5.8%3.2%1.2%0.3%
42.3%2.6%1.4%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sioni goals (down), columns = Samtredia goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Telavi
2.43
Odishi 1919
1.57
Gareji
1.57
Aragvi Dusheti
1.57
Sioni
1.43
Samtredia
1.43
Shturmi
1.14
Gori
1.00
Merani Martvili
0.71
Kolkheti Poti
0.71
Sioni and Samtredia are level in average points per game (both 1.43).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Samtredia
1.86
Gareji
1.43
Aragvi Dusheti
1.43
Sioni
1.29
Gori
1.14
Telavi
1.00
Odishi 1919
1.00
Kolkheti Poti
1.00
Merani Martvili
0.57
Shturmi
0.57
Sioni is 0.57 goals worse than Samtredia in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 1.86).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Telavi
0.14
Shturmi
0.86
Odishi 1919
0.86
Gori
1.14
Merani Martvili
1.29
Gareji
1.29
Kolkheti Poti
1.29
Aragvi Dusheti
1.29
Sioni
1.43
Samtredia
1.71
Sioni is 0.29 goals better than Samtredia in terms of goals conceded per game (1.43 vs 1.71).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SioniSioni

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D00D20W30W11D10W00D10W22DA·SAM26/10H·RUS01/11A·SAB07/11A·LOK21/11H·SPA25/11A·DIN29/11H·GON06/12A·KOL30/05H·MER13/06A·ARA17/06
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.630.640.710.620.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.760.710.670.670.880.75
vs Weaker (13)0.460.540.600.800.380.38
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Samtredia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SamtrediaSamtredia

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L01L20W20W00D02L02L01L10WH·SIO26/10A·LOK03/11H·SPA08/11A·DIN21/11H·GON25/11A·MES29/11H·MER06/12A·GAR30/05H·KOL13/06A·MER17/06
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.571.000.360.690.75
vs Stronger (26)0.920.581.080.330.790.79
vs Similar (4)0.250.500.500.500.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Sioni) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sioni over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sioni over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sioni over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samtredia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samtredia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samtredia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SioniSioni

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D12L00D23L00D30W40W00D10W01LA·SAM26/10H·RUS01/11A·SAB07/11A·LOK21/11H·SPA25/11A·DIN29/11H·GON06/12A·KOL30/05H·MER13/06A·ARA17/06
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.670.930.790.750.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.820.530.780.670.880.38
vs Weaker (13)0.850.851.201.000.620.75
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Samtredia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SamtrediaSamtredia

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D10W01L12L01L10W21W21W02LH·SIO26/10A·LOK03/11H·SPA08/11A·DIN21/11H·GON25/11A·MES29/11H·MER06/12A·GAR30/05H·KOL13/06A·MER17/06
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.770.710.710.440.81
vs Stronger (26)0.580.650.670.670.500.64
vs Similar (4)0.501.501.001.000.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Sioni) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sioni over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sioni over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sioni over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samtredia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samtredia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samtredia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KP (23)
€0m
SAM (31)
€0m
GOR (27)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GOR (0)
€0m
KP (0)
€0m
SAM (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GOR (0)
€0m
KP (0)
€0m
SAM (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GOR (0)
€0m
KP (0)
€0m
SAM (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 14. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
0
SIO wins
1
Draws
5
SAM wins

Head-to-head

Sioni vs Samtredia · H/A from SIO
DateH/AGameScore
26/10/25ASamtredia Vs SIO2-1
31/08/25HSIO Vs Samtredia0-3
15/05/25ASamtredia Vs SIO0-0
29/03/25HSIO Vs Samtredia0-1
11/12/22HSIO Vs Samtredia0-2
07/12/22ASamtredia Vs SIO1-0

SioniSioni

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/06/26AAragvi Dusheti Vs SIO3-2
13/06/26HSIO Vs Merani Martvili2-0
30/05/26AKolkheti Poti Vs SIO0-0
06/12/25HSIO Vs Gonio5-0
29/11/25ADinamo Tbilisi II Vs SIO1-4
25/11/25HSIO Vs Spaeri3-0
21/11/25ALokomotivi Tbilisi Vs SIO3-4
07/11/25ASaburtalo II Vs SIO0-0
01/11/25HSIO Vs Rustavi1-2
26/10/25ASamtredia Vs SIO2-1

SamtrediaSamtredia

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/06/26AMerani Martvili Vs SAM2-1
13/06/26HSAM Vs Kolkheti Poti2-2
30/05/26AGareji Vs SAM3-2
06/12/25HSAM Vs Merani Martvili1-2
29/11/25AMeshakhte Vs SAM1-0
25/11/25HSAM Vs Gonio3-2
21/11/25ADinamo Tbilisi II Vs SAM1-2
08/11/25HSAM Vs Spaeri1-1
03/11/25ALokomotivi Tbilisi Vs SAM1-0
26/10/25HSAM Vs Sioni2-1

📊 15. Overall Statistics

Sioni
Sioni
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWL1.40
HomeWLWWW1.60
AwayDWWDL1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%44%28%
AVG goals2.802.962.64
Over 1.5 %72%80%64%
Over 2.5 %54%56%52%
Over 3.5 %28%24%32%
Scored1.581.841.32
Conceded1.221.121.32
BTTS52%48%56%
Clean Sheet32%40%24%
Corners---
Cards---
Samtredia
Samtredia
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDL1.16
HomeWDWLD1.40
AwayLWLLL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%32%24%
AVG goals2.462.282.64
Over 1.5 %70%72%68%
Over 2.5 %48%36%60%
Over 3.5 %22%20%24%
Scored1.181.281.08
Conceded1.281.001.56
BTTS58%60%56%
Clean Sheet18%20%16%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 16. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1TelaviTelavi717
71%
2.4
71+6
1.1
29%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.1
-
2GarejiGareji711
43%
1.6
109+1
2.7
71%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
3Aragvi DushetiAragvi Dusheti711
43%
1.6
109+1
2.7
71%
29%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
4Odishi 1919Odishi 1919711
43%
1.6
76+1
1.9
57%
43%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.9
-
5SamtrediaSamtredia710
43%
1.4
1312+1
3.6
71%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.7
-
6SioniSioni710
43%
1.4
910-1
2.7
57%
43%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
7ShturmiShturmi78
29%
1.1
46-2
1.4
43%
29%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.60.9
-
8GoriGori77
29%
1.0
88+0
2.3
57%
29%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
9Kolkheti PotiKolkheti Poti75
0%
0.7
79-2
2.3
71%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
10Merani MartviliMerani Martvili75
14%
0.7
49-5
1.9
71%
29%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.3
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 stats & trends →

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