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Sioni vs Shturmi Result & Analysis

Date: 15/08/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 0-1
Sioni
Sioni
Vs
50%
28%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Shturmi
Shturmi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

This match in Georgia's Erovnuli Liga 2 is expected to be a closely contested affair, with Sioni coming off a defeat and Shturmi having just won their previous match. The home side's recent form has been inconsistent, with a last five record of LWLWD, while Shturmi has shown resilience away from home, conceding just 1.18 goals per game against similar-strength opponents.

The model predicts a home win, with a 50% probability of Sioni emerging victorious. The draw percentage stands at 28%, while Shturmi has a 22% chance of winning. The expected total number of goals is 2.5, with 2 being the most likely total goals. The single most likely score is 1-1, occurring 13.2% of the time.

Sioni has been scoring 1.22 goals per game at home against similar-strength opponents, while conceding 1.56. Shturmi, meanwhile, has been scoring 1 goal per game away from home against similar-strength opponents, while conceding 1.18.

The model's selections are Under 3.5 (74.9%), Over 1.5 (73.3%), and Home win (50%).

Results analysis

The win by Shturmi extends their run of 2 consecutive victories, following a 1-0 win over Sioni in their previous encounter. In a major upset, the away team Shturmi secured a 0-1 victory, defying the pre-match favourite Sioni, the model's selection with a 50% probability of winning. The model's call was incorrect, as Sioni failed to come through. Meanwhile, the model's selection of Under 3.5 goals hit, with a probability of 74.9%, while Over 1.5 goals missed, with a probability of 73.3%. The final score of 0-1 reflected the away team's win.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sioni win✗ Miss
50.4%
Avg Implied 35.7% · @ 2.52
Edge
+14.7%
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
2.55
1xBet
2.55
Betfair
2.55
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.50
Draw✗ Miss
27.7%
Avg Implied 28.8% · @ 3.13
Edge
-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.25
Betano
3.15
Betfair
3.10
Marathonbet
3.10
1xBet
3.10
Shturmi win✓ Hit
21.9%
Avg Implied 35.6% · @ 2.53
Edge
-13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.55
Bet365
2.55
Dafabet
2.55
1xBet
2.52
Marathonbet
2.52

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SioniSioni

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D43W30W41W50W00D20W23L32W14LA·SAB07/11A·LOK21/11H·SPA25/11A·DIN29/11H·GON06/12A·KOL30/05H·MER13/06A·ARA17/06H·SAM22/06A·GOR08/08
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.401.641.501.381.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.741.301.821.451.671.17
vs Weaker (7)0.711.711.001.670.501.75
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Shturmi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ShturmiShturmi

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L42W11D01L10W12L02L00D00D21WA·WIT26/11H·DIN30/11A·ARA08/12H·MER12/12A·MER16/12A·ODI30/05H·TEL13/06A·GAR17/06A·KOL22/06H·MER08/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.271.071.000.881.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.971.271.071.000.881.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Sioni) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%222%314%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
73.3%
@ 1.34+5.8%
Under 1.5
26.7%
@ 2.78-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.34
1xBet
1.34
Under
Marathonbet
2.78
1xBet
2.78
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.6%
@ 2.12+3.3%
Under 2.5
53.4%
@ 1.62-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.20
1xBet
2.13
Marathonbet
2.13
Betano
2.07
10Bet
2.05
Under
Bet365
1.65
1xBet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
Betano
1.60
10Bet
1.60
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.1%
@ 3.86+1.7%
Under 3.5
74.9%
@ 1.18-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.86
1xBet
3.86
Under
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.2%
@ 1.83+0.3%
No
49.8%
@ 1.82-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
1xBet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
No
1xBet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.81

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%@ 5.69+6.0%
1-0
11.2%@ 6.88+5.3%
2-0
9.8%@ 10.25+5.8%
2-1
9.4%@ 9.25+5.1%
0-0
9.1%@ 7.75+3.9%
0-1 ✓
6.4%@ 6.88+0.5%
1-2
5.8%@ 9.25+1.4%
3-0
5.1%@ 22.00+3.3%
Sioni goals ↓
Shturmi goals →
01234
09.1%6.4%3.7%1.2%0.3%
111%13%5.8%1.9%0.4%
29.8%9.4%4.5%1.5%0.4%
35.1%5.0%2.4%0.8%0.2%
42.0%2.0%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sioni goals (down), columns = Shturmi goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Telavi
2.12
Gareji
1.75
Sioni
1.62
Samtredia
1.62
Aragvi Dusheti
1.50
Odishi 1919
1.38
Gori
1.25
Shturmi
1.00
Kolkheti Poti
0.75
Merani Martvili
0.62
Sioni is 0.62 points better than Shturmi in terms of average points per game (1.62 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Samtredia
2.00
Gareji
1.50
Sioni
1.38
Gori
1.38
Aragvi Dusheti
1.38
Telavi
1.00
Kolkheti Poti
1.00
Odishi 1919
0.88
Merani Martvili
0.62
Shturmi
0.62
Sioni is 0.75 goals better than Shturmi in terms of goals scored per game (1.38 vs 0.62).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Telavi
0.38
Shturmi
1.12
Gori
1.12
Odishi 1919
1.12
Gareji
1.25
Kolkheti Poti
1.25
Aragvi Dusheti
1.25
Merani Martvili
1.38
Sioni
1.38
Samtredia
1.50
Sioni is 0.25 goals worse than Shturmi in terms of goals conceded per game (1.38 vs 1.12).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SioniSioni

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D20W30W11D10W00D10W22D11D01LA·SAB07/11A·LOK21/11H·SPA25/11A·DIN29/11H·GON06/12A·KOL30/05H·MER13/06A·ARA17/06H·SAM22/06A·GOR08/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.630.710.710.620.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.830.650.820.730.830.58
vs Weaker (7)0.140.570.330.670.000.50
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Shturmi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ShturmiShturmi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L30W00D00D10W12L01L00D00D10WA·WIT26/11H·DIN30/11A·ARA08/12H·MER12/12A·MER16/12A·ODI30/05H·TEL13/06A·GAR17/06A·KOL22/06H·MER08/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.500.710.290.560.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.630.500.710.290.560.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Sioni) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sioni over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sioni over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sioni over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shturmi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shturmi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shturmi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SioniSioni

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D23L00D30W40W00D10W01L21W13LA·SAB07/11A·LOK21/11H·SPA25/11A·DIN29/11H·GON06/12A·KOL30/05H·MER13/06A·ARA17/06H·SAM22/06A·GOR08/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.770.930.790.750.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.910.651.000.730.830.58
vs Weaker (7)0.571.140.671.000.501.25
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Shturmi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ShturmiShturmi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L11D01L00D00D01L00D00D11DA·WIT26/11H·DIN30/11A·ARA08/12H·MER12/12A·MER16/12A·ODI30/05H·TEL13/06A·GAR17/06A·KOL22/06H·MER08/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.770.360.710.310.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.330.770.360.710.310.81
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Sioni) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sioni over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sioni over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sioni over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shturmi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shturmi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shturmi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.574.9%1.18
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
----1.7%✓ Hit
Over 1.573.3%1.34
Marathonbet
1.34
1xBet
1.34
---+5.8%✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KP (3)
€0m
SAM (4)
€0m
GOR (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KP (2)
€0m
GOR (2)
€0m
SAM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAM (1)
€0m
KP (0)
€0m
GOR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAM (2)
€0m
KP (1)
€0m
GOR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
3
SIO wins
0
Draws
1
SHT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Sioni vs Shturmi · H/A from SIO
DateH/AGameScore
05/10/24HSIO Vs Shturmi2-1
10/08/24AShturmi Vs SIO0-1
01/05/24HSIO Vs Shturmi2-1
07/03/24AShturmi Vs SIO1-0

SioniSioni

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/08/26AGori Vs SIO4-1
22/06/26HSIO Vs Samtredia3-2
17/06/26AAragvi Dusheti Vs SIO3-2
13/06/26HSIO Vs Merani Martvili2-0
30/05/26AKolkheti Poti Vs SIO0-0
06/12/25HSIO Vs Gonio5-0
29/11/25ADinamo Tbilisi II Vs SIO1-4
25/11/25HSIO Vs Spaeri3-0
21/11/25ALokomotivi Tbilisi Vs SIO3-4
07/11/25ASaburtalo II Vs SIO0-0

ShturmiShturmi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/08/26HSHT Vs Merani Martvili2-1
22/06/26AKolkheti Poti Vs SHT0-0
17/06/26AGareji Vs SHT0-0
13/06/26HSHT Vs Telavi0-2
30/05/26AOdishi 1919 Vs SHT2-1
16/12/24AMerani Martvili Vs SHT0-1
12/12/24HSHT Vs Merani Martvili0-1
08/12/24AAragvi Dusheti Vs SHT1-1
30/11/24HSHT Vs Dinamo Tbilisi II4-2
26/11/24AWIT Georgia Vs SHT1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Sioni
Sioni
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLWL1.34
HomeLWWWW1.54
AwayWWDLL1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%42%27%
AVG goals2.843.042.65
Over 1.5 %72%79%65%
Over 2.5 %52%54%50%
Over 3.5 %30%29%31%
Scored1.541.831.27
Conceded1.301.211.38
BTTS54%50%58%
Clean Sheet30%38%23%
Corners---
Cards---
Shturmi
Shturmi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDDW1.23
HomeWWLLW1.76
AwayDWLDD0.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%52%14%
AVG goals2.352.192.50
Over 1.5 %65%62%68%
Over 2.5 %42%38%45%
Over 3.5 %19%10%27%
Scored1.071.290.86
Conceded1.280.901.64
BTTS53%43%64%
Clean Sheet30%33%27%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1TelaviTelavi817
62%
2.1
83+5
1.4
38%
12%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.4
-
2GarejiGareji814
50%
1.8
1210+2
2.8
75%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.2
-
3SamtrediaSamtredia813
50%
1.6
1612+4
3.5
75%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.5
-
4SioniSioni813
50%
1.6
1111+0
2.8
62%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
5Aragvi DushetiAragvi Dusheti812
38%
1.5
1110+1
2.6
75%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.2
-
6Odishi 1919Odishi 1919811
38%
1.4
79-2
2.0
62%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.1
-
7GoriGori810
38%
1.2
119+2
2.5
62%
38%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.1
-
8ShturmiShturmi88
25%
1.0
59-4
1.8
50%
38%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.1
-
9Kolkheti PotiKolkheti Poti86
0%
0.8
810-2
2.2
75%
38%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
10Merani MartviliMerani Martvili85
12%
0.6
511-6
2.0
75%
38%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.4
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 stats & trends →

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