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Sireți vs Floreşti Result & Analysis

Date: 02/05/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 1-0
Sireți
Sireți
Vs
68%
20%
12%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Floreşti
Floreşti
Moldova: Super Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sireți win✓ Hit
67.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
20.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Floreşti win✗ Miss
12.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SirețiSireți

Last 10 – goals for & against
90-941W91W31W20W11D20W40W11D01L13LA·UNI01/11H·OLI08/11A·SHE22/11A·SPA07/03H·POL14/03A·FLO19/03H·ISK04/04A·FC 10/04H·SPA18/04A·POL24/04← Liga 1Super Liga →
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.861.183.401.002.421.33
vs Stronger (11)2.451.002.800.402.171.50
vs Similar (10)3.401.504.001.602.801.40
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %23% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Floreşti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FloreştiFloreşti

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L30W11D31W22D02L10W02L11D12LA·OGU02/11H·ZIM07/11A·FCM21/11H·ISK06/03A·SPA14/03H·SIR19/03H·FC 03/04A·POL11/04A·ISK17/04H·SPA25/04← Liga 1Super Liga →
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.801.831.711.941.921.69
vs Stronger (27)1.811.931.752.061.911.73
vs Similar (3)1.671.001.000.002.001.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Sireți) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%012%122%222%317%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
82.8%
Under 1.5
17.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
60.5%
Under 2.5
39.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.1%
Under 3.5
61.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.9%
No
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.5%
1-0 ✓
9.0%
3-0
8.4%
3-1
7.3%
0-0
5.2%
4-0
4.7%
Sireți goals ↓
Floreşti goals →
01234
05.2%3.0%1.7%0.5%0.1%
19.0%9.5%3.8%1.1%0.2%
211%9.7%4.2%1.2%0.3%
38.4%7.3%3.2%0.9%0.2%
44.7%4.1%1.8%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sireți goals (down), columns = Floreşti goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Petrocub
2.35
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.06
Zimbru
2.00
Sireți
1.85
Oguzsport
1.50
Milsami Orhei
1.48
Floreşti
1.31
CSF Bălți
1.19
Politehnica UTM
1.13
Iskra
1.08
Victoria Bardar
1.00
Spartanii Selemet
0.88
Dacia-Buiucani
0.52
FCM Ungheni
0.50
FC Stăuceni
0.45
Făleşti
0.00
Univer Comrat
0.00
Sireți is 0.54 points better than Floreşti in terms of average points per game (1.85 vs 1.31).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FCM Ungheni
2.50
Oguzsport
2.50
Zimbru
2.26
Petrocub
2.06
Univer Comrat
2.00
Sheriff Tiraspol
1.84
Sireți
1.69
Milsami Orhei
1.52
Politehnica UTM
1.42
Floreşti
1.38
Iskra
1.00
Victoria Bardar
1.00
CSF Bălți
1.00
Spartanii Selemet
0.97
Dacia-Buiucani
0.97
FC Stăuceni
0.91
Făleşti
0.00
Sireți is 0.31 goals better than Floreşti in terms of goals scored per game (1.69 vs 1.38).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Petrocub
0.55
Sheriff Tiraspol
0.71
Victoria Bardar
1.00
Zimbru
1.03
Sireți
1.08
Milsami Orhei
1.23
Iskra
1.25
Floreşti
1.31
CSF Bălți
1.42
Dacia-Buiucani
1.90
FC Stăuceni
2.09
Politehnica UTM
2.19
Spartanii Selemet
2.45
FCM Ungheni
3.00
Făleşti
3.00
Univer Comrat
3.00
Oguzsport
3.50
Sireți is 0.23 goals better than Floreşti in terms of goals conceded per game (1.08 vs 1.31).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SirețiSireți

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W41W20W10W00D10W20W11D00D12LA·UNI01/11H·OLI08/11A·SHE22/11A·SPA07/03H·POL14/03A·FLO19/03H·ISK04/04A·FC 10/04H·SPA18/04A·POL24/04← Liga 1Super Liga →
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.590.501.700.101.500.83
vs Stronger (11)1.450.641.200.001.671.17
vs Similar (10)1.800.402.200.201.400.60
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %64% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Floreşti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FloreştiFloreşti

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W01L01L02L01L00D01L01L12LA·OGU02/11H·ZIM07/11A·FCM21/11H·ISK06/03A·SPA14/03H·SIR19/03H·FC 03/04A·POL11/04A·ISK17/04H·SPA25/04← Liga 1Super Liga →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.930.710.880.771.00
vs Stronger (27)0.740.960.750.940.731.00
vs Similar (3)0.670.670.000.001.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Sireți) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sireți over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sireți over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sireți over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SirețiSireți

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W50W11D10W11D10W20W00D01L01LA·UNI01/11H·OLI08/11A·SHE22/11A·SPA07/03H·POL14/03A·FLO19/03H·ISK04/04A·FC 10/04H·SPA18/04A·POL24/04← Liga 1Super Liga →
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.681.700.900.920.50
vs Stronger (11)1.000.361.600.400.500.33
vs Similar (10)1.601.101.801.401.400.80
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %45% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Floreşti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FloreştiFloreşti

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D20W10W30W20W01L10W01L10W00DA·OGU02/11H·ZIM07/11A·FCM21/11H·ISK06/03A·SPA14/03H·SIR19/03H·FC 03/04A·POL11/04A·ISK17/04H·SPA25/04← Liga 1Super Liga →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.901.001.061.150.69
vs Stronger (27)1.070.961.001.121.180.73
vs Similar (3)1.000.331.000.001.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Sireți) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sireți over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sireți over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sireți over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.8%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (24)
€6m
PET (22)
€5m
ZIM (24)
€4m
MO (22)
€3m
DAC (21)
€2m
SS (12)
€1m
PU (13)
€1m
SIR (7)
€1m
CB (5)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (8)
€3m
PET (9)
€2m
ZIM (9)
€2m
MO (6)
€1m
DAC (5)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
PU (2)
€0m
SIR (2)
€0m
CB (2)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (6)
€1m
ZIM (7)
€1m
MO (5)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
SIR (5)
€1m
SS (4)
€0m
DAC (6)
€0m
PU (4)
€0m
CB (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (10)
€3m
PET (8)
€2m
MO (11)
€2m
ZIM (8)
€1m
DAC (10)
€1m
CB (3)
€1m
PU (7)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
FU (2)
€0m
SIR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
SIR wins
0
Draws
0
FLO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Sireți vs Floreşti · H/A from SIR
DateH/AGameScore
19/03/26AFloreşti Vs SIR0-2

SirețiSireți

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/04/26APolitehnica UTM Vs SIR3-1
18/04/26HSIR Vs Spartanii Selemet0-1
10/04/26AFC Stăuceni Vs SIR1-1
04/04/26HSIR Vs Iskra4-0
19/03/26AFloreşti Vs SIR0-2
14/03/26HSIR Vs Politehnica UTM1-1
07/03/26ASpartanii Selemet Vs SIR0-2
22/11/25ASheriff II Vs SIR1-3
08/11/25HSIR Vs Olimp Comrat9-1
01/11/25AUniver Comrat Vs SIR1-4

FloreştiFloreşti

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/04/26HFLO Vs Spartanii Selemet1-2
17/04/26AIskra Vs FLO1-1
11/04/26APolitehnica UTM Vs FLO2-0
03/04/26HFLO Vs FC Stăuceni1-0
19/03/26HFLO Vs Sireți0-2
14/03/26ASpartanii Selemet Vs FLO2-2
06/03/26HFLO Vs Iskra3-1
21/11/25AFCM Ungheni Vs FLO1-1
07/11/25HFLO Vs Zimbru II3-0
02/11/25AOguzsport Vs FLO1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Sireți
Sireți
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLL2.09
HomeWWDWL2.30
AwayWWWDL1.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %64%70%58%
AVG goals4.054.403.75
Over 1.5 %91%80%100%
Over 2.5 %64%60%67%
Over 3.5 %64%60%67%
Scored2.863.402.42
Conceded1.181.001.33
BTTS68%60%75%
Clean Sheet23%30%17%
Corners---
Cards---
Floreşti
Floreşti
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDL0.88
HomeWWLWL1.00
AwayLDDLD0.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%28%20%
AVG goals4.363.804.92
Over 1.5 %88%88%88%
Over 2.5 %70%76%64%
Over 3.5 %52%48%56%
Scored1.161.241.08
Conceded3.202.563.84
BTTS36%32%40%
Clean Sheet14%24%4%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PetrocubPetrocub3173
71%
2.4
6417+47
2.6
81%
48%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.10.5
-
2Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol3164
65%
2.1
5722+35
2.5
68%
48%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3131.80.7
-
3ZimbruZimbru3162
58%
2.0
7032+38
3.3
87%
65%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2112.31.0
-
4Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei3146
42%
1.5
4738+9
2.7
77%
65%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.51.2
-
5CSF BălțiCSF Bălți3137
32%
1.2
3144-13
2.4
71%
42%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.4
-
6Politehnica UTMPolitehnica UTM3135
32%
1.1
4468-24
3.6
94%
71%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.42.2
-
7Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet3329
24%
0.9
3281-49
3.4
85%
58%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.5
-
8SirețiSireți1324
54%
1.8
2214+8
2.8
69%
38%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.71.1
-
9FloreştiFloreşti1317
31%
1.3
1817+1
2.7
69%
38%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
10Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani3116
13%
0.5
3059-29
2.9
81%
61%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.01.9
-
11IskraIskra1213
25%
1.1
1215-3
2.2
75%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
12FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni115
0%
0.5
1023-13
3.0
64%
45%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.1
-
13OguzsportOguzsport23
50%
1.5
57-2
6.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.53.5
-
14Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
15FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni21
0%
0.5
56-1
5.5
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.53.0
-
16Univer ComratUniver Comrat10
0%
0.0
23-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.03.0
-
17FăleştiFăleşti10
0%
0.0
03-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.03.0
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Moldova: Super Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Super Liga stats & trends →

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