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Sireți vs Petrocub Result & Analysis

Date: 26/07/2026
Time: 17:00
Final 0-0
Sireți
Sireți
Vs
31%
28%
41%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Petrocub
Petrocub
Moldova: Super Liga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The match between Sirebi and Petrocub is a tight affair, with neither side clearly ahead. The model favours an away win, giving Petrocub a 41 % chance, Sirebi a 31 % chance, and a 28 % chance of a draw. The expected total is 2.7 goals, with the most likely total of two goals at 26 %. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.4 % probability. Sirebi, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 2.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Petrocub, on the road against a weaker side, averages 2.88 goals scored and only 0.25 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 1.5 with a 76.2 % chance and Under 3.5 with a 71.6 % chance. The final outcome of the last match was a 0-0 draw.

Results analysis

The match ended in a 0-0 draw, a shock that left the pre-match favourite - Petrocub, who were tipped to win with a 41 % chance - on the wrong side of the outcome. The model’s selection was therefore incorrect. Sirebi, unbeaten in their last five games, had a strong home form, while Petrocub, who had been winning away, had been struggling after two straight defeats. The model’s other picks saw the Over 1.5 goal market miss its 76.2 % probability, whereas the Under 3.5 market hit its 71.6 % chance. The final score of 0-0 confirmed a stalemate that defied expectations.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sireți win✗ Miss
30.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
28.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Petrocub win✗ Miss
41.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SirețiSireți

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-513L10W03L43W52W10W10W03L12L11DA·POL24/04H·FLO02/05A·ISK05/05H·FC 09/05H·OGU16/05H·ISK20/05H·FLO27/05A·DAC05/07H·POL11/07A·ZIM18/07
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.501.272.941.062.001.50
vs Stronger (11)2.451.272.801.002.171.50
vs Similar (17)2.711.353.301.101.861.71
vs Weaker (2)1.000.500.001.002.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrocub) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetrocubPetrocub

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W30W21W10W30W30W11D50W11D23LA·CSF05/04H·ZIM11/04A·DAC18/04H·SHE26/04A·MIL02/05H·CSF10/05A·ZIM17/05H·MIL04/07A·CSF11/07H·SHE19/07
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.200.702.620.621.880.76
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.751.062.710.861.001.22
vs Weaker (14)2.710.292.500.332.880.25
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Sireți) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
76.2%
Under 1.5
23.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
50.4%
Under 2.5
49.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.4%
Under 3.5
71.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.6%
No
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
1-2
8.9%
0-1
8.7%
0-0 ✓
8.0%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-2
5.5%
Sireți goals ↓
Petrocub goals →
01234
08.0%8.7%7.3%3.5%1.3%
17.1%13%8.9%4.3%1.6%
25.1%7.5%5.5%2.7%1.0%
32.1%3.1%2.2%1.1%0.4%
40.6%0.9%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sireți goals (down), columns = Petrocub goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.25
Zimbru
2.00
Dacia-Buiucani
1.62
Petrocub
1.38
Politehnica UTM
1.38
Milsami Orhei
1.12
Sireți
0.75
CSF Bălți
0.25
Sireți is 0.62 points worse than Petrocub in terms of average points per game (0.75 vs 1.38).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Zimbru
2.62
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.25
Politehnica UTM
1.88
Petrocub
1.75
Dacia-Buiucani
1.38
Milsami Orhei
1.00
Sireți
0.75
CSF Bălți
0.62
Sireți is 1.00 goals worse than Petrocub in terms of goals scored per game (0.75 vs 1.75).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sheriff Tiraspol
0.75
Petrocub
1.12
Zimbru
1.12
Sireți
1.25
Politehnica UTM
1.50
Dacia-Buiucani
1.50
Milsami Orhei
1.75
CSF Bălți
3.25
Sireți is 0.12 goals worse than Petrocub in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 1.12).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SirețiSireți

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L00D00D12L41W10W00D02L00D00DA·POL24/04H·FLO02/05A·ISK05/05H·FC 09/05H·OGU16/05H·ISK20/05H·FLO27/05A·DAC05/07H·POL11/07A·ZIM18/07
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.330.501.440.251.210.79
vs Stronger (11)1.360.821.000.401.671.17
vs Similar (17)1.410.351.800.200.860.57
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrocub) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetrocubPetrocub

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W20W10W10W00D10W10W20W10W01LA·CSF05/04H·ZIM11/04A·DAC18/04H·SHE26/04A·MIL02/05H·CSF10/05A·ZIM17/05H·MIL04/07A·CSF11/07H·SHE19/07
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.371.230.231.180.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.750.691.140.430.440.89
vs Weaker (14)1.710.001.330.002.000.00
Clean sheet %80% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Sireți) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sireți over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sireți over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sireți over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrocub over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrocub over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrocub over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SirețiSireți

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W03L31W11D00D10W01L12L11DA·POL24/04H·FLO02/05A·ISK05/05H·FC 09/05H·OGU16/05H·ISK20/05H·FLO27/05A·DAC05/07H·POL11/07A·ZIM18/07
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.771.500.810.790.71
vs Stronger (11)1.090.451.800.600.500.33
vs Similar (17)1.291.001.500.901.001.14
vs Weaker (2)0.500.500.001.001.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrocub) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetrocubPetrocub

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W11D00D30W20W01L30W01L22DA·CSF05/04H·ZIM11/04A·DAC18/04H·SHE26/04A·MIL02/05H·CSF10/05A·ZIM17/05H·MIL04/07A·CSF11/07H·SHE19/07
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.331.380.380.710.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.000.381.570.430.560.33
vs Weaker (14)1.000.291.170.330.880.25
Clean sheet %70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Sireți) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sireți over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sireți over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sireți over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrocub over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrocub over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrocub over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.576.2%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.571.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (24)
€6m
PET (22)
€5m
ZIM (24)
€4m
MO (22)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (8)
€3m
PET (9)
€2m
ZIM (9)
€2m
MO (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (6)
€1m
ZIM (7)
€1m
MO (5)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (10)
€3m
PET (8)
€2m
MO (11)
€2m
ZIM (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
SIR wins
0
Draws
0
PET wins

Head-to-head

Sireți vs Petrocub · H/A from SIR
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

SirețiSireți

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/07/26AZimbru Vs SIR1-1
11/07/26HSIR Vs Politehnica UTM1-2
05/07/26ADacia-Buiucani Vs SIR3-0
27/05/26HSIR Vs Floreşti1-0
20/05/26HSIR Vs Iskra1-0
16/05/26HSIR Vs Oguzsport5-2
09/05/26HSIR Vs FC Stăuceni4-3
05/05/26AIskra Vs SIR3-0
02/05/26HSIR Vs Floreşti1-0
24/04/26APolitehnica UTM Vs SIR3-1

PetrocubPetrocub

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/07/26HPET Vs Sheriff Tiraspol2-3
11/07/26ACSF Bălți Vs PET1-1
04/07/26HPET Vs Milsami Orhei5-0
17/05/26AZimbru Vs PET1-1
10/05/26HPET Vs CSF Bălți3-0
02/05/26AMilsami Orhei Vs PET0-3
26/04/26HPET Vs Sheriff Tiraspol1-0
18/04/26ADacia-Buiucani Vs PET1-2
11/04/26HPET Vs Zimbru3-0
05/04/26ACSF Bălți Vs PET0-2

📊 15. Overall Statistics

Sireți
Sireți
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLD2.00
HomeWWWWL2.38
AwayDLLLD1.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %61%75%47%
AVG goals3.774.003.53
Over 1.5 %84%69%100%
Over 2.5 %61%56%67%
Over 3.5 %52%50%53%
Scored2.482.942.00
Conceded1.291.061.53
BTTS61%56%67%
Clean Sheet26%38%13%
Corners---
Cards---
Petrocub
Petrocub
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWDL1.90
HomeWWWWL2.23
AwayWWWDD1.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%69%42%
AVG goals2.922.813.04
Over 1.5 %84%85%83%
Over 2.5 %54%62%46%
Over 3.5 %28%23%33%
Scored1.962.041.88
Conceded0.960.771.17
BTTS46%42%50%
Clean Sheet42%46%38%
Corners11.508.0015.00
Cards4.003.005.00

🏆 16. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol818
62%
2.2
186+12
3.0
62%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3132.20.8
-
2ZimbruZimbru816
62%
2.0
219+12
3.8
100%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2112.61.1
-
3Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani813
50%
1.6
1112-1
2.9
62%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
4PetrocubPetrocub811
38%
1.4
149+5
2.9
75%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.81.1
-
5Politehnica UTMPolitehnica UTM811
38%
1.4
1512+3
3.4
88%
62%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.5
-
6Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei89
25%
1.1
814-6
2.8
62%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.01.8
-
7SirețiSireți86
0%
0.8
610-4
2.0
75%
38%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.2
-
8CSF BălțiCSF Bălți82
0%
0.2
526-21
3.9
100%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.63.2
-
Moldova: Super Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Super Liga stats & trends →

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