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Sireți vs Politehnica UTM Result & Analysis

Date: 11/07/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 1-2
Sireți
Sireți
Vs
60%
23%
17%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Politehnica UTM
Politehnica UTM
Moldova: Super Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sireți win✗ Miss
60.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Politehnica UTM win✓ Hit
17.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SirețiSireți

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D01L13L10W03L43W52W10W00D03LA·FC 10/04H·SPA18/04A·POL24/04H·FLO02/05A·ISK05/05H·FC 09/05H·OGU16/05H·ISK20/05H·FLO27/05A·DAC05/07
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.551.283.001.002.071.57
vs Stronger (14)2.291.212.710.711.861.71
vs Similar (12)3.251.674.171.672.331.67
vs Weaker (3)1.000.000.500.002.000.00
Clean sheet %28% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Politehnica UTM) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Politehnica UTMPolitehnica UTM

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D21W11D20W51W31W20W20W11D00DA·SIR14/03H·ISK20/03A·SPA04/04H·FLO11/04H·FC 17/04H·SIR24/04A·ISK01/05H·SPA04/05A·FLO09/05H·SHE04/07
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.472.031.871.671.072.40
vs Stronger (15)1.202.801.432.431.003.12
vs Similar (13)1.771.382.291.141.171.67
vs Weaker (2)1.500.502.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %17% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Sireți) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%5%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.4%
Under 1.5
17.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.7%
Under 2.5
40.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.4%
Under 3.5
62.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.0%
No
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.7%
1-0
8.4%
3-1
6.9%
3-0
6.7%
0-0
5.5%
2-2
5.1%
Sireți goals ↓
Politehnica UTM goals →
01234
05.5%3.7%2.4%0.8%0.2%
18.4%11%4.9%1.7%0.4%
29.7%9.9%5.1%1.7%0.4%
36.7%6.9%3.5%1.2%0.3%
43.4%3.5%1.8%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sireți goals (down), columns = Politehnica UTM goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Zimbru
2.11
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.00
Petrocub
1.56
Dacia-Buiucani
1.56
Politehnica UTM
1.33
Milsami Orhei
1.11
Sireți
0.78
CSF Bălți
0.22
Sireți is 0.56 points worse than Politehnica UTM in terms of average points per game (0.78 vs 1.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Zimbru
2.56
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.11
Petrocub
1.89
Politehnica UTM
1.67
Dacia-Buiucani
1.22
Milsami Orhei
0.89
Sireți
0.67
CSF Bălți
0.56
Sireți is 1.00 goals worse than Politehnica UTM in terms of goals scored per game (0.67 vs 1.67).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sheriff Tiraspol
0.89
Petrocub
1.00
Zimbru
1.11
Sireți
1.11
Politehnica UTM
1.33
Dacia-Buiucani
1.33
Milsami Orhei
1.56
CSF Bălți
3.22
Sireți is 0.22 goals better than Politehnica UTM in terms of goals conceded per game (1.11 vs 1.33).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SirețiSireți

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D00D12L00D00D12L41W10W00D02LA·FC 10/04H·SPA18/04A·POL24/04H·FLO02/05A·ISK05/05H·FC 09/05H·OGU16/05H·ISK20/05H·FLO27/05A·DAC05/07
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.410.551.530.271.290.86
vs Stronger (14)1.290.641.140.291.431.00
vs Similar (12)1.830.582.500.331.170.83
vs Weaker (3)0.330.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %62% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Politehnica UTM) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Politehnica UTMPolitehnica UTM

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D21W10W10W21W21W20W00D01L00DA·SIR14/03H·ISK20/03A·SPA04/04H·FLO11/04H·FC 17/04H·SIR24/04A·ISK01/05H·SPA04/05A·FLO09/05H·SHE04/07
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.901.000.800.471.00
vs Stronger (15)0.601.400.711.290.501.50
vs Similar (13)0.920.381.290.430.500.33
vs Weaker (2)0.500.501.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Sireți) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sireți over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sireți over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sireți over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Politehnica UTM over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Politehnica UTM over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Politehnica UTM over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SirețiSireți

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L01L10W03L31W11D00D00D01LA·FC 10/04H·SPA18/04A·POL24/04H·FLO02/05A·ISK05/05H·FC 09/05H·OGU16/05H·ISK20/05H·FLO27/05A·DAC05/07
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.140.721.470.730.790.71
vs Stronger (14)1.000.571.570.430.430.71
vs Similar (12)1.421.081.671.331.170.83
vs Weaker (3)0.670.000.500.001.000.00
Clean sheet %45% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Politehnica UTM) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Politehnica UTMPolitehnica UTM

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D01L10W30W10W00D20W10W00DA·SIR14/03H·ISK20/03A·SPA04/04H·FLO11/04H·FC 17/04H·SIR24/04A·ISK01/05H·SPA04/05A·FLO09/05H·SHE04/07
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.130.870.870.601.40
vs Stronger (15)0.601.400.711.140.501.62
vs Similar (13)0.851.001.000.710.671.33
vs Weaker (2)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Sireți) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sireți over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sireți over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sireți over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Politehnica UTM over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Politehnica UTM over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Politehnica UTM over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (24)
€6m
PET (22)
€5m
ZIM (24)
€4m
MO (22)
€3m
DAC (21)
€2m
PU (13)
€1m
SIR (7)
€1m
CB (5)
€1m
Sireți and Politehnica UTM have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (8)
€3m
PET (9)
€2m
ZIM (9)
€2m
MO (6)
€1m
DAC (5)
€0m
PU (2)
€0m
SIR (2)
€0m
CB (2)
€0m
Sireți and Politehnica UTM have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (6)
€1m
ZIM (7)
€1m
MO (5)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
SIR (5)
€1m
DAC (6)
€0m
PU (4)
€0m
CB (0)
€0m
Sireți and Politehnica UTM have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (10)
€3m
PET (8)
€2m
MO (11)
€2m
ZIM (8)
€1m
DAC (10)
€1m
CB (3)
€1m
PU (7)
€0m
SIR (0)
€0m
Sireți and Politehnica UTM have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
SIR wins
1
Draws
1
PU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Sireți vs Politehnica UTM · H/A from SIR
DateH/AGameScore
24/04/26APolitehnica UTM Vs SIR3-1
14/03/26HSIR Vs Politehnica UTM1-1

SirețiSireți

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/07/26ADacia-Buiucani Vs SIR3-0
27/05/26HSIR Vs Floreşti0-0
20/05/26HSIR Vs Iskra1-0
16/05/26HSIR Vs Oguzsport5-2
09/05/26HSIR Vs FC Stăuceni4-3
05/05/26AIskra Vs SIR3-0
02/05/26HSIR Vs Floreşti1-0
24/04/26APolitehnica UTM Vs SIR3-1
18/04/26HSIR Vs Spartanii Selemet0-1
10/04/26AFC Stăuceni Vs SIR1-1

Politehnica UTMPolitehnica UTM

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/07/26HPU Vs Sheriff Tiraspol0-0
09/05/26AFloreşti Vs PU1-1
04/05/26HPU Vs Spartanii Selemet2-0
01/05/26AIskra Vs PU0-2
24/04/26HPU Vs Sireți3-1
17/04/26HPU Vs FC Stăuceni5-1
11/04/26HPU Vs Floreşti2-0
04/04/26ASpartanii Selemet Vs PU1-1
20/03/26HPU Vs Iskra2-1
14/03/26ASireți Vs PU1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Sireți
Sireți
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDL2.03
HomeWWWWD2.40
AwayWDLLL1.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%73%50%
AVG goals3.834.003.64
Over 1.5 %83%67%100%
Over 2.5 %62%53%71%
Over 3.5 %55%53%57%
Scored2.553.002.07
Conceded1.281.001.57
BTTS59%53%64%
Clean Sheet28%40%14%
Corners---
Cards---
Politehnica UTM
Politehnica UTM
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDD1.12
HomeWWWWD1.47
AwayDDDWD0.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %31%47%13%
AVG goals3.503.533.47
Over 1.5 %91%88%93%
Over 2.5 %69%76%60%
Over 3.5 %47%53%40%
Scored1.381.651.07
Conceded2.121.882.40
BTTS62%53%73%
Clean Sheet16%18%13%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ZimbruZimbru919
67%
2.1
2310+13
3.7
100%
78%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2112.61.1
-
2Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol918
56%
2.0
198+11
3.0
67%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3132.10.9
-
3PetrocubPetrocub914
44%
1.6
179+8
2.9
78%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.91.0
-
4Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani914
44%
1.6
1112-1
2.6
56%
56%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.21.3
-
5Politehnica UTMPolitehnica UTM912
33%
1.3
1512+3
3.0
78%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.3
-
6Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei910
22%
1.1
814-6
2.4
56%
44%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1120.91.6
-
7SirețiSireți97
0%
0.8
610-4
1.8
67%
33%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0100.71.1
-
8CSF BălțiCSF Bălți92
0%
0.2
529-24
3.8
100%
78%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.63.2
-
Moldova: Super Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Super Liga stats & trends →

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