Sivasspor are favoured to win, with a 45 % chance of triumph, a 28 % chance of a draw and a 27 % chance of a Manisa F.K. win. The match is expected to see 2.6 goals on average, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.4 % probability. Sivasspor, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, average 1.36 goals scored and 1.36 conceded. Manisa F.K., on the road, average 1.25 goals scored but concede 1.83 against similar teams. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 goals at 99.4 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.2 %, Under 6.5 at 98.1 % with a 3 % edge, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.1 % with a 7 % edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.4 % with a 7 % edge, Away under 3.5 goals at 97.2 % with a 3 % edge, Under 5.5 at 94.8 % with a 3 % edge, and Home under 2.5 2H goals at 94.6 % with a 6 % edge. Sivasspor have recently lost to Kayserispor 0-2, while Manisa F.K. are riding a three-game winning streak, winning 4-1 over Vanspor FK.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, a home win, failed to materialise as the match finished 2-2, a draw that extends both sides’ recent form streaks. The model’s call was therefore incorrect. The final score was 2-2, confirming the actual result of a draw. The model’s selection of a home win carried a 45% probability, while the most likely total was 2 goals at 26%. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.4%; Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.2%; Under 6.5 hit at 98.1%; Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.1%; Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.4%; Away under 3.5 goals hit at 97.2%; Under 5.5 hit at 94.8%; Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 94.6%. All probabilities are expressed as percentages.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Sivasspor win✗ Miss
44.9%
Avg Implied 43.0% · @ 2.12
Edge
+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.19
Betano
2.18
Dafabet
2.17
Superbet
2.17
10Bet
2.15
Draw✓ Hit
28.0%
Avg Implied 27.4% · @ 3.33
Edge
+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.54
Unibet
3.45
Dafabet
3.40
Betfair
3.40
10Bet
3.35
Manisa F.K. win✗ Miss
27.1%
Avg Implied 29.6% · @ 3.08
Edge
-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.22
Superbet
3.15
Dafabet
3.15
1xBet
3.14
Betfair
3.10
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Sivasspor
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.27
1.31
1.31
0.93
1.21
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (28)
1.14
1.21
1.33
1.33
0.92
1.08
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Manisa F.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manisa F.K.
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.33
2.06
0.88
1.14
1.86
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (29)
1.69
1.34
2.20
0.87
1.14
1.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Sivasspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.3%
@ 1.25+1.2%
Under 1.5
24.7%
@ 3.57-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.27
Betano
1.27
Unibet
1.27
Betfair
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.80
Pinnacle
3.78
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.60
BetVictor
3.60
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.2%
@ 1.83-1.8%
Under 2.5
50.8%
@ 1.90+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.86
Pinnacle
1.86
Bet365
1.85
Betfair
1.85
Unibet
1.83
Under
Pinnacle
1.97
Bet365
1.95
10Bet
1.93
Betano
1.93
SBO
1.92
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
27.3%
@ 3.05-3.0%
Under 3.5
72.7%
@ 1.33+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.25
BetVictor
3.13
Pinnacle
3.12
Unibet
3.10
Under
Betano
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Superbet
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.0%
@ 1.67-1.2%
No
46.0%
@ 2.06+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.73
Unibet
1.70
William Hil
1.70
Superbet
1.68
Betfair
1.67
No
Betfair
2.15
BetVictor
2.10
Betano
2.10
1xBet
2.08
Superbet
2.07
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%@ 5.95+6.0%
1-0
9.6%@ 7.50+3.7%
2-1
9.2%@ 7.94+3.7%
0-0
8.3%@ 9.99+4.0%
2-0
8.2%@ 9.81+3.7%
1-2
6.9%@ 10.09+2.5%
0-1
6.8%@ 9.46+2.2%
2-2 ✓
5.2%@ 11.81+1.5%
Sivasspor goals ↓
Manisa F.K. goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.3%
6.8%
4.5%
1.7%
0.5%
1
9.6%
13%
6.9%
2.6%
0.7%
2
8.2%
9.2%
5.2%
2.0%
0.6%
3
4.1%
4.6%
2.6%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.6%
1.8%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sivasspor goals (down), columns = Manisa F.K. goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Batman Petrolspor
2.60
Bursaspor
2.40
Sarıyer
2.00
Kayserispor
2.00
Iğdır FK
1.80
Mardin 1969
1.80
Keçiörengücü
1.60
Manisa F.K.
1.60
Fatih Karagümrük
1.60
Muğlaspor
1.60
Bandırmaspor
1.20
Antalyaspor
1.20
Pendikspor
1.00
Vanspor FK
0.80
Esenler Erokspor
0.80
Bodrum FK
0.80
Sivasspor
0.60
Ümraniyespor
0.60
İstanbulspor
0.40
Boluspor
0.00
Sivasspor is 1.00 points worse than Manisa F.K. in terms of average points per game (0.60 vs 1.60).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Keçiörengücü
2.40
Batman Petrolspor
2.00
Bursaspor
2.00
Manisa F.K.
2.00
Antalyaspor
1.60
Sarıyer
1.60
Mardin 1969
1.60
Iğdır FK
1.40
Pendikspor
1.40
Kayserispor
1.40
Fatih Karagümrük
1.20
Vanspor FK
1.00
Bandırmaspor
1.00
Sivasspor
1.00
İstanbulspor
1.00
Ümraniyespor
0.80
Muğlaspor
0.60
Esenler Erokspor
0.40
Bodrum FK
0.40
Boluspor
0.20
Sivasspor is 1.00 goals worse than Manisa F.K. in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Muğlaspor
0.40
Bandırmaspor
0.60
Esenler Erokspor
0.60
Mardin 1969
0.60
Bursaspor
0.60
Kayserispor
0.60
Sarıyer
0.80
Batman Petrolspor
0.80
Iğdır FK
0.80
Bodrum FK
0.80
Ümraniyespor
1.20
Fatih Karagümrük
1.20
Keçiörengücü
1.60
Sivasspor
1.60
Manisa F.K.
1.60
Antalyaspor
2.00
Vanspor FK
2.20
Boluspor
2.20
Pendikspor
2.20
İstanbulspor
2.60
Sivasspor and Manisa F.K. are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.60).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Esenler Erokspor
61%
Bandırmaspor
60%
Bursaspor
59%
Manisa F.K.
55%
Antalyaspor
55%
Kayserispor
53%
Batman Petrolspor
52%
Ümraniyespor
52%
Pendikspor
51%
Sarıyer
50%
Iğdır FK
49%
Mardin 1969
49%
Sivasspor
48%
Bodrum FK
46%
Keçiörengücü
45%
Fatih Karagümrük
45%
İstanbulspor
44%
Muğlaspor
43%
Vanspor FK
42%
Boluspor
41%
Sivasspor is 6.8 percentage points worse than Manisa F.K. in terms of average possession (48% vs 55%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sivasspor
For 6.9 · Against 4.3 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 8.7 · Total 18.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Manisa F.K.
For 3.7 · Against 6.8 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.4 · Against 12.5 · Total 21.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sivasspor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
10.0
9.0
4.3
5.0
3.7
23.3
24.0
22.6
vs Stronger (5)
9.2
11.0
8.0
3.0
2.5
3.3
17.6
20.5
15.7
vs Similar (44)
9.6
10.0
9.2
4.6
5.2
4.0
24.0
24.3
23.6
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
50%
52%
48%
64%
76%
52%
59%
57%
61%
% under line
50%
48%
52%
36%
24%
48%
41%
43%
39%
This opponent (Manisa F.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manisa F.K.
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.5
8.5
8.5
4.8
5.0
4.5
23.5
24.0
23.1
vs Stronger (3)
8.0
8.0
8.0
4.0
6.0
3.0
25.3
31.0
22.5
vs Similar (47)
8.6
8.6
8.5
4.8
5.0
4.7
23.4
23.7
23.1
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
40%
42%
38%
70%
80%
60%
62%
62%
62%
% under line
60%
58%
62%
30%
20%
40%
38%
38%
38%
This opponent (Sivasspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Kayserispor
10.0
Sivasspor
9.6
Antalyaspor
9.3
Bodrum FK
9.3
Bandırmaspor
9.2
Bursaspor
9.1
Muğlaspor
9.0
Ümraniyespor
9.0
Iğdır FK
8.9
Esenler Erokspor
8.8
Fatih Karagümrük
8.8
Mardin 1969
8.7
Manisa F.K.
8.5
Pendikspor
8.5
İstanbulspor
8.3
Batman Petrolspor
8.3
Keçiörengücü
8.3
Vanspor FK
8.3
Boluspor
8.2
Sarıyer
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Muğlaspor
7.0
Batman Petrolspor
6.7
Antalyaspor
5.2
Vanspor FK
5.1
Sarıyer
5.1
Sivasspor
5.0
Pendikspor
5.0
Esenler Erokspor
5.0
Boluspor
5.0
Manisa F.K.
4.8
Iğdır FK
4.8
Keçiörengücü
4.7
İstanbulspor
4.7
Bandırmaspor
4.7
Kayserispor
4.5
Bursaspor
4.4
Fatih Karagümrük
4.4
Ümraniyespor
4.3
Bodrum FK
4.1
Mardin 1969
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Muğlaspor
34.5
Bursaspor
29.1
Fatih Karagümrük
29.0
Vanspor FK
27.8
Antalyaspor
27.1
Pendikspor
26.5
Boluspor
25.5
Batman Petrolspor
25.0
Kayserispor
24.8
Bodrum FK
24.0
Bandırmaspor
23.9
Keçiörengücü
23.5
Iğdır FK
23.5
Sarıyer
23.4
İstanbulspor
23.4
Manisa F.K.
23.4
Ümraniyespor
23.2
Sivasspor
23.0
Esenler Erokspor
22.8
Mardin 1969
21.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
45.8%
@ 1.90-3.1%
Under 9.5
54.2%
@ 1.81+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.02
Bet365
1.91
Superbet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.87
1xBet
1.86
Under
Pinnacle
1.89
1xBet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.83
Superbet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
70.5%
Under 3.5
29.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
59.7%
Under 21.5
40.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Sivasspor or Draw✓ Hit
72.9%
Avg Implied 71.1% · @ 1.29
Edge
+1.8%
45%
28%
27%
covers Sivasspor + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.37
BetVictor
1.33
Superbet
1.31
10Bet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Sivasspor or Manisa F.K.✗ Miss
72.0%
Avg Implied 73.0% · @ 1.26
Edge
-1.0%
45%
28%
27%
covers Sivasspor + Manisa F.K.
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Superbet
1.28
Draw or Manisa F.K.✓ Hit
55.1%
Avg Implied 55.9% · @ 1.64
Edge
-0.8%
45%
28%
27%
covers Draw + Manisa F.K.
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.73
William Hil
1.70
Betano
1.67
Betfair
1.67
10Bet
1.65
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Sivasspor over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
78.0%
@ 1.21+1.2%
Under
22.0%
@ 3.98-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
Pinnacle
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Under
Bet365
4.33
Pinnacle
4.19
Superbet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
BetVictor
4.00
Sivasspor over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
44.7%
@ 2.04-0.7%
Under
55.3%
@ 1.70+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.12
Betfair
2.10
BetVictor
2.10
Betano
2.05
1xBet
2.04
Under
Bet365
1.80
Pinnacle
1.72
Betano
1.72
Superbet
1.71
1xBet
1.69
Sivasspor over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
19.5%
@ 4.29-2.1%
Under
80.5%
@ 1.18+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Pinnacle
4.32
Marathonbet
4.30
1xBet
4.30
Under
Bet365
1.22
Pinnacle
1.20
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.18
BetVictor
1.17
Sivasspor over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.7%
@ 9.69-2.9%
Under
93.3%
@ 1.04+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
1xBet
10.00
Betfair
9.50
Betano
8.25
Under
Bet365
1.05
Betano
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Manisa F.K. over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
67.7%
@ 1.34-1.1%
Under
32.3%
@ 2.95+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.35
Betano
1.35
Unibet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.34
Under
Pinnacle
3.16
Betano
3.05
Betfair
3.00
BetVictor
3.00
10Bet
3.00
Manisa F.K. over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
31.2%
@ 2.69-3.5%
Under
68.8%
@ 1.42+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
Pinnacle
2.77
Betfair
2.75
1xBet
2.64
Marathonbet
2.64
Under
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.45
BetVictor
1.44
Superbet
1.43
10Bet
1.42
Manisa F.K. over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.5%
@ 6.53-3.6%
Under
89.5%
@ 1.08+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
BetVictor
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Marathonbet
6.40
1xBet
6.40
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
BetVictor
1.08
Betfair
1.08
Manisa F.K. over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.8%
@ 15.88-3.2%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.02+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Sivasspor, so a minus line means Sivasspor give that many goals of a start and Manisa F.K. receive them. At -1, Sivasspor must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Sivasspor win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Sivasspor)Actual: Manisa F.K.
Sivasspor -2
9.2%
@ 8.43-1.4%
Draw -2
13.9%
@ 6.07-0.8%
Manisa F.K. +2
76.9%
@ 1.20+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
9.00
Marathonbet
8.30
Bet365
8.00
Draw
Marathonbet
6.20
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Away
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Handicap -1 (Sivasspor)Actual: Manisa F.K.
Sivasspor -1
23.1%
@ 3.75-0.2%
Draw -1
21.8%
@ 3.69-1.9%
Manisa F.K. +1
55.1%
@ 1.65+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Marathonbet
3.92
Bet365
3.60
Unibet
3.25
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.84
10Bet
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Unibet
3.05
Away
Bet365
1.73
Betfair
1.67
10Bet
1.65
Unibet
1.61
Marathonbet
1.59
Handicap +1 (Sivasspor)Actual: Sivasspor
Sivasspor +1
72.9%
@ 1.26+2.5%
Draw +1
15.9%
@ 5.15-1.4%
Manisa F.K. -1
11.2%
@ 7.28-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.28
Bet365
1.25
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
4.80
Away
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
6.55
Handicap +2 (Sivasspor)Actual: Sivasspor
Sivasspor +2
88.8%
@ 1.07+1.8%
Draw +2
7.7%
@ 11.00-0.7%
Manisa F.K. -2
3.4%
@ 21.00-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.07
Draw
Bet365
11.00
Away
Bet365
21.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sivasspor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.60
0.75
0.69
0.57
0.50
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.64
0.57
0.73
0.67
0.54
0.46
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Manisa F.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manisa F.K.
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.63
0.88
0.56
0.64
0.71
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.79
0.62
0.93
0.53
0.64
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Sivasspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
67.8%
@ 1.36-0.3%
Under 0.5
32.2%
@ 2.90+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Pinnacle
1.38
BetVictor
1.38
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Under
Pinnacle
3.03
Bet365
3.00
William Hil
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Superbet
2.95
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
33.1%
@ 2.66-1.6%
Under 1.5
66.9%
@ 1.41+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.88
Betfair
2.75
Betano
2.70
Superbet
2.62
1xBet
2.62
Under
William Hil
1.44
Bet365
1.44
BetVictor
1.43
Superbet
1.43
10Bet
1.42
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
11.2%
@ 6.45-3.2%
Under 2.5
88.8%
@ 1.08+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.00
Bet365
7.00
William Hil
6.50
Betfair
6.50
1xBet
6.40
Under
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sivasspor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
46.6%
@ 1.89-2.4%
Under
53.4%
@ 1.82+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.95
Betano
1.93
Marathonbet
1.87
Superbet
1.87
1xBet
1.85
Under
1xBet
1.85
Superbet
1.83
Pinnacle
1.83
Marathonbet
1.79
Betano
1.78
Sivasspor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
12.4%
@ 5.77-3.6%
Under
87.6%
@ 1.10+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.50
Marathonbet
5.70
Betano
5.10
Under
Betano
1.13
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Sivasspor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 10.25-7.1%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.02+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Manisa F.K. over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
41.7%
@ 2.24+0.2%
Under
58.3%
@ 1.58-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.35
Superbet
2.22
Betano
2.22
1xBet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.19
Under
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.58
Pinnacle
1.58
1xBet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
Manisa F.K. over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.9%
@ 7.57-2.3%
Under
90.1%
@ 1.05+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.50
Marathonbet
7.80
Betano
6.40
Under
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
Manisa F.K. over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.8%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sivasspor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.67
0.56
0.62
0.36
0.71
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (28)
0.50
0.64
0.60
0.67
0.38
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Manisa F.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manisa F.K.
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.70
1.19
0.31
0.50
1.14
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.90
0.72
1.27
0.33
0.50
1.14
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Sivasspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
76.8%
@ 1.21+0.6%
Under 0.5
23.2%
@ 3.88-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.22
William Hil
1.22
1xBet
1.18
Under
Bet365
4.00
1xBet
3.90
Marathonbet
3.90
Betano
3.85
Superbet
3.85
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
43.4%
@ 2.00-2.9%
Under 1.5
56.6%
@ 1.72+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.05
Superbet
2.02
1xBet
2.01
Marathonbet
2.01
Bet365
2.00
Under
10Bet
1.77
Betano
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Marathonbet
1.71
1xBet
1.71
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.8%
@ 4.17-4.4%
Under 2.5
82.2%
@ 1.19+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.40
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.15
1xBet
4.15
Under
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
William Hil
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sivasspor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
54.5%
@ 1.61-2.8%
Under
45.5%
@ 2.16+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.63
Superbet
1.62
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.59
Under
1xBet
2.22
Betano
2.18
Superbet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.09
Sivasspor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
22.3%
@ 3.85-1.6%
Under
77.7%
@ 1.21+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.05
1xBet
3.80
Betano
3.70
Under
Betano
1.23
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.18
Sivasspor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.4%
@ 8.25-5.8%
Under
94.6%
@ 1.04+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Manisa F.K. over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
45.6%
@ 1.85-4.1%
Under
54.4%
@ 1.83+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.90
Superbet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.84
Betano
1.80
Under
Betano
1.90
Marathonbet
1.82
Superbet
1.82
1xBet
1.80
Manisa F.K. over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.2%
@ 5.27-3.3%
Under
85.8%
@ 1.12+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.60
Marathonbet
5.50
Betano
4.70
Under
Betano
1.15
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Manisa F.K. over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.6%
@ 9.75-6.9%
Under
97.4%
@ 1.03+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.1%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+7.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.4%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+6.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
94.8%
1.04
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.02
-
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.6%
1.04
Betano
1.04
-
-
-
-
+5.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
93.3%
1.04
Bet365
1.05
Betano
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.1%
1.05
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
-
-
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
89.5%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
BetVictor
1.08
Betfair
1.08
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
88.8%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.8%
1.08
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
+3.2%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals
87.6%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
-
-
+3.6%
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
87.1%
1.10
Betano
1.14
Pinnacle
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.10
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
85.8%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
-
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.2%
1.19
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
William Hil
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
80.5%
1.18
Bet365
1.22
Pinnacle
1.20
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.18
BetVictor
1.17
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
78.0%
1.21
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
Pinnacle
1.21
Bet365
1.20
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
77.7%
1.21
Betano
1.23
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.18
-
-
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
76.9%
1.20
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
-
-
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
76.9%
1.29
Superbet
1.34
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
-
-
+6.3%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.8%
1.21
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.22
William Hil
1.22
1xBet
1.18
+0.6%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
75.3%
1.25
Pinnacle
1.27
Betano
1.27
Unibet
1.27
Betfair
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
72.9%
1.29
Betano
1.37
BetVictor
1.33
Superbet
1.31
10Bet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
72.9%
1.26
Marathonbet
1.28
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
72.7%
1.33
Betano
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Superbet
1.35
Bet365
1.33
+3.0%
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Away
72.0%
1.26
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Superbet
1.28
-1.0%
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sivasspor
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
R. Manaj50%
V. Ethemi0%
Charis Charisis0%
Mert Çelik0%
Amilton0%
Uğur Çiftçi0%
Mehmet Göktuğ Bakırbaş0%
Burak Kapacak0%
Cihat Çelik0%
Aaron Appindangoyé0%
Okan Erdoğan0%
S. Kavrazlı0%
K. Fidan0%
Yilmaz Cin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
V. Ethemi50%
K. Fidan50%
Mert Çelik25%
Uğur Çiftçi25%
Charis Charisis0%
R. Manaj0%
Amilton0%
Mehmet Göktuğ Bakırbaş0%
Burak Kapacak0%
Cihat Çelik0%
Aaron Appindangoyé0%
Okan Erdoğan0%
S. Kavrazlı0%
Yilmaz Cin0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Burak Kapacak33%
V. Ethemi0%
Charis Charisis0%
R. Manaj0%
Mert Çelik0%
Amilton0%
Uğur Çiftçi0%
Mehmet Göktuğ Bakırbaş0%
Cihat Çelik0%
Aaron Appindangoyé0%
Okan Erdoğan0%
S. Kavrazlı0%
K. Fidan0%
Yilmaz Cin0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
R. Manaj75%
V. Ethemi25%
Charis Charisis0%
Mert Çelik0%
Amilton0%
Uğur Çiftçi0%
Mehmet Göktuğ Bakırbaş0%
Burak Kapacak0%
Cihat Çelik0%
Aaron Appindangoyé0%
Okan Erdoğan0%
S. Kavrazlı0%
K. Fidan0%
Yilmaz Cin0%
Manisa F.K.
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Julien Anziani67%
Yusuf Talum33%
Y. Benrahou0%
B. Touré0%
Christophe Herelle0%
V. Karakuş0%
K. Yurdakul0%
C. Sylla0%
Noha Lemina0%
A. Vargas0%
Osman Kahraman0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Y. Benrahou33%
B. Touré33%
K. Yurdakul33%
Julien Anziani0%
Christophe Herelle0%
V. Karakuş0%
Yusuf Talum0%
C. Sylla0%
Noha Lemina0%
A. Vargas0%
Osman Kahraman0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Y. Benrahou33%
C. Sylla33%
B. Touré0%
Julien Anziani0%
Christophe Herelle0%
V. Karakuş0%
Yusuf Talum0%
K. Yurdakul0%
Noha Lemina0%
A. Vargas0%
Osman Kahraman0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Julien Anziani67%
Y. Benrahou0%
B. Touré0%
Christophe Herelle0%
V. Karakuş0%
Yusuf Talum0%
K. Yurdakul0%
C. Sylla0%
Noha Lemina0%
A. Vargas0%
Osman Kahraman0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (27)
€19m
ANT (25)
€16m
BF (31)
€13m
FK (23)
€12m
KAY (23)
€12m
EE (23)
€11m
SIV (26)
€10m
IF (26)
€9m
MF (24)
€9m
BP (25)
€9m
İST (28)
€8m
BAN (29)
€7m
ÜMR (25)
€7m
PEN (26)
€6m
M1 (25)
€6m
VF (21)
€6m
KEÇ (25)
€6m
MUĞ (19)
€6m
SAR (20)
€5m
BOL (18)
€3m
Sivasspor and Manisa F.K. have a similar squad value (both €10m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (10)
€10m
BF (10)
€6m
FK (9)
€5m
KAY (9)
€5m
ANT (8)
€5m
EE (8)
€4m
SIV (10)
€4m
BP (10)
€4m
IF (7)
€4m
VF (10)
€3m
İST (10)
€3m
ÜMR (8)
€3m
MUĞ (8)
€3m
M1 (8)
€2m
SAR (7)
€2m
MF (7)
€2m
BAN (8)
€2m
KEÇ (7)
€2m
PEN (10)
€2m
BOL (5)
€1m
Sivasspor's attack is €2m more valuable than Manisa F.K.'s (€4m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (5)
€4m
ANT (6)
€4m
EE (6)
€3m
FK (3)
€3m
BF (10)
€3m
MF (7)
€3m
SIV (5)
€3m
M1 (8)
€2m
BP (5)
€2m
ÜMR (7)
€2m
IF (7)
€2m
BAN (6)
€2m
KAY (4)
€2m
PEN (5)
€2m
KEÇ (7)
€2m
MUĞ (7)
€2m
SAR (4)
€1m
VF (2)
€1m
İST (5)
€1m
BOL (5)
€1m
Sivasspor and Manisa F.K. have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ANT (11)
€7m
KAY (10)
€5m
BUR (12)
€4m
BF (11)
€4m
FK (11)
€4m
MF (10)
€4m
İST (13)
€4m
IF (12)
€3m
BAN (15)
€3m
PEN (11)
€3m
EE (9)
€3m
BP (10)
€3m
KEÇ (11)
€3m
SIV (11)
€3m
VF (9)
€2m
M1 (9)
€2m
SAR (9)
€2m
ÜMR (10)
€2m
MUĞ (4)
€2m
BOL (8)
€1m
Sivasspor's defence is €1m less valuable than Manisa F.K.'s (€3m vs €4m).
Turkey: 1. Lig 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: 1. Lig stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Batman Petrolspor
Bursaspor
Sarıyer
Kayserispor
Mardin 1969
Iğdır FK
Keçiörengücü
Muğlaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Bandırmaspor
Antalyaspor
Pendikspor
Esenler Erokspor
Bodrum FK
Vanspor FK
Ümraniyespor
İstanbulspor
Boluspor