This opponent (Lommel United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lommel United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.93
1.38
1.88
1.67
2.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
1.40
1.80
1.00
1.80
1.80
1.80
vs Weaker (4)
1.75
2.25
2.00
2.00
1.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
14% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (SK Beveren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.1%
Under 1.5
14.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
64.3%
Under 2.5
35.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
42.2%
Under 3.5
57.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.3%
No
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.4%
1-0
7.4%
3-0
7.0%
2-2
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
SK Beveren goals ↓
Lommel United goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.5%
3.0%
2.0%
0.7%
0.2%
1
7.4%
9.6%
4.6%
1.6%
0.4%
2
9.3%
9.8%
5.2%
1.8%
0.5%
3
7.0%
7.4%
3.9%
1.4%
0.4%
4
3.9%
4.1%
2.2%
0.8%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = SK Beveren goals (down), columns = Lommel United goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
RWDM
2.16
SK Beveren
2.12
Lommel United
1.59
Club Brugge II
1.53
Deinze
1.53
Beerschot VA
1.53
K. Lierse S.K.
1.44
Dender
1.22
RSC Anderlecht II
1.16
Standard Liège II
0.84
KRC Genk II
0.81
Excelsior Virton
0.78
SK Beveren is 0.53 points better than Lommel United in terms of average points per game (2.12 vs 1.59).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
SK Beveren
2.38
RWDM
2.03
Lommel United
1.66
K. Lierse S.K.
1.66
Club Brugge II
1.59
Deinze
1.53
RSC Anderlecht II
1.44
Beerschot VA
1.34
Dender
1.28
KRC Genk II
1.12
Excelsior Virton
1.00
Standard Liège II
0.97
SK Beveren is 0.72 goals better than Lommel United in terms of goals scored per game (2.38 vs 1.66).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
RWDM
0.91
SK Beveren
1.06
Beerschot VA
1.28
Lommel United
1.44
Deinze
1.47
Dender
1.47
Club Brugge II
1.50
Excelsior Virton
1.59
RSC Anderlecht II
1.75
KRC Genk II
1.81
K. Lierse S.K.
1.84
Standard Liège II
1.88
SK Beveren is 0.38 goals better than Lommel United in terms of goals conceded per game (1.06 vs 1.44).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
SK Beveren
For 4.2 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 11.9 · Total 25.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lommel United
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
SK Beveren
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.5
9.8
3.0
3.0
3.0
24.6
24.9
24.4
vs Stronger (15)
10.8
10.9
10.7
3.6
4.0
3.1
24.2
26.1
22.0
vs Similar (28)
9.1
10.5
7.8
2.6
2.7
2.5
24.8
23.2
26.4
vs Weaker (7)
11.6
9.0
13.3
3.1
2.0
4.7
25.4
26.5
24.7
% over line
61%
67%
56%
40%
40%
40%
78%
78%
78%
% under line
39%
33%
44%
60%
60%
60%
22%
22%
22%
This opponent (Lommel United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lommel United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (14)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (SK Beveren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Beerschot VA
11.0
SK Beveren
9.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Beerschot VA
4.6
SK Beveren
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SK Beveren
25.9
Beerschot VA
24.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
SK Beveren
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.63
1.00
0.67
0.67
0.60
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
0.67
0.00
0.50
0.50
0.75
vs Similar (20)
0.95
0.65
1.10
0.70
0.80
0.60
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.50
1.33
0.67
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Lommel United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lommel United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
1.00
0.38
0.75
0.83
1.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.60
0.70
0.40
0.40
0.80
1.00
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
1.75
0.33
1.33
1.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
36% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (SK Beveren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
SK Beveren over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SK Beveren over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SK Beveren over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lommel United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lommel United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lommel United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
SK Beveren
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.90
0.80
1.07
0.93
0.73
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (20)
1.05
0.95
1.00
1.30
1.10
0.60
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.50
0.33
0.33
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Lommel United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lommel United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.93
1.00
1.12
0.83
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.80
1.10
0.60
1.40
1.00
0.80
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.50
1.67
0.67
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (SK Beveren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
SK Beveren over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SK Beveren over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SK Beveren over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lommel United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lommel United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lommel United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
85.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
SK Beveren · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Chris Lokesa25%
Yoni Gomis25%
Bruno Godeau0%
Christophe Janssens0%
Christian Brüls0%
Guillaume De Schryver0%
Kurt Abrahams0%
Laurent Jans0%
Sieben Dewaele0%
Lennart Mertens0%
Jearl Margaritha0%
Cheick Oumar Condé0%
Johannes Schenk0%
Moise Kaboré0%
Ferre Slegers0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jearl Margaritha67%
Sieben Dewaele50%
Christophe Janssens25%
Christian Brüls25%
Chris Lokesa25%
Yoni Gomis25%
Bruno Godeau0%
Guillaume De Schryver0%
Kurt Abrahams0%
Laurent Jans0%
Lennart Mertens0%
Cheick Oumar Condé0%
Johannes Schenk0%
Moise Kaboré0%
Ferre Slegers0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Christian Brüls25%
Ferre Slegers25%
Bruno Godeau0%
Christophe Janssens0%
Guillaume De Schryver0%
Kurt Abrahams0%
Laurent Jans0%
Sieben Dewaele0%
Lennart Mertens0%
Jearl Margaritha0%
Cheick Oumar Condé0%
Johannes Schenk0%
Chris Lokesa0%
Yoni Gomis0%
Moise Kaboré0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bruno Godeau0%
Christophe Janssens0%
Christian Brüls0%
Guillaume De Schryver0%
Kurt Abrahams0%
Laurent Jans0%
Sieben Dewaele0%
Lennart Mertens0%
Jearl Margaritha0%
Cheick Oumar Condé0%
Johannes Schenk0%
Chris Lokesa0%
Yoni Gomis0%
Moise Kaboré0%
Ferre Slegers0%
Lommel United · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tom Reyners50%
Ralf Seuntjens33%
Lucas Schoofs25%
Timothy Eyoma0%
Dries Wouters0%
Joey Pelupessy0%
Shawn Adewoye0%
Zalán Vancsa0%
Juho Talvitie0%
Sverre Nypan0%
Jason van Duiven0%
Stredair Appuah0%
Matthias Pieklak0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Timothy Eyoma25%
Dries Wouters25%
Lucas Schoofs25%
Shawn Adewoye25%
Joey Pelupessy0%
Ralf Seuntjens0%
Tom Reyners0%
Zalán Vancsa0%
Juho Talvitie0%
Sverre Nypan0%
Jason van Duiven0%
Stredair Appuah0%
Matthias Pieklak0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Juho Talvitie33%
Jason van Duiven25%
Stredair Appuah25%
Timothy Eyoma0%
Dries Wouters0%
Joey Pelupessy0%
Lucas Schoofs0%
Ralf Seuntjens0%
Shawn Adewoye0%
Tom Reyners0%
Zalán Vancsa0%
Sverre Nypan0%
Matthias Pieklak0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jason van Duiven25%
Timothy Eyoma0%
Dries Wouters0%
Joey Pelupessy0%
Lucas Schoofs0%
Ralf Seuntjens0%
Shawn Adewoye0%
Tom Reyners0%
Zalán Vancsa0%
Juho Talvitie0%
Sverre Nypan0%
Stredair Appuah0%
Matthias Pieklak0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (25)
€26m
SB (24)
€12m
BV (26)
€9m
DEN (19)
€8m
RAI (19)
€8m
KGI (18)
€7m
KLS (21)
€5m
RWD (7)
€2m
EV (11)
€2m
SK Beveren's squad is €14m less valuable than Lommel United's (€12m vs €26m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (10)
€8m
SB (9)
€4m
BV (13)
€4m
RAI (8)
€3m
KGI (9)
€2m
KLS (7)
€2m
DEN (4)
€1m
RWD (2)
€1m
EV (4)
€1m
SK Beveren's attack is €3m less valuable than Lommel United's (€4m vs €8m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (5)
€15m
DEN (6)
€3m
SB (5)
€3m
KGI (1)
€2m
RAI (3)
€2m
KLS (3)
€1m
BV (2)
€0m
RWD (1)
€0m
EV (1)
€0m
SK Beveren's midfield is €12m less valuable than Lommel United's (€3m vs €15m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BV (11)
€5m
SB (10)
€5m
LU (10)
€4m
DEN (9)
€4m
RAI (8)
€3m
KLS (11)
€3m
KGI (8)
€2m
EV (6)
€1m
RWD (4)
€1m
SK Beveren and Lommel United have a similar defence value (both €5m).
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
RWDM
Club Brugge II
Deinze
Beerschot VA
K. Lierse S.K.
Dender
RSC Anderlecht II
Standard Liège II
KRC Genk II
Excelsior Virton