Ska-khabarovsk vs KAMAZ Result & Analysis

Ska-khabarovsk are the clear favourite, with the model assigning a 62% chance of a home win, 27% for a draw and 11% for a KAMAZ victory. The 62% figure reflects the home side’s solid defensive record - 0.53 goals conceded on average at home against similar opponents - paired with a respectable 1.87 goals scored, while KAMAZ, playing away, averages 1.29 conceded and only 0.5 goals scored. The expected total of 2.1 goals points to a tight contest, and the most likely scoreline is 1-0 for Ska-khabarovsk, a 18.5% chance. The model’s picks include an 89.4% probability of Under 5.5 cards, an 84.3% chance of Under 3.5 goals, an 81.8% chance of Under 11.5 corners, a 77.9% chance of Under 4.5 cards, and a 72.5% chance of Under 10.5 corners. The home side’s recent form shows a 2-straight-defeat slump, but the away side is coming off a win, adding nuance to the prediction.

The pre-match favourite, Ska-khabarovsk, failed to deliver, as the match finished 0-0, a draw that left the model’s call wrong. The prediction had given the home side a 62% chance of victory, but the result was a stalemate. The model’s other selections were mixed: Under 5.5 cards, with an 89.4% probability, missed; Under 3.5 cards, at 84.3%, hit; and Under 4.5 cards, at 77.9%, also missed. Ska-khabarovsk’s recent form shows two straight defeats, while KAMAZ came off a win. The final score of 0-0 confirmed the draw, contradicting the model’s home-win expectation.