Ska-khabarovsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl Result & Analysis

Ska-khabarovsk are the clear favourites, with the model assigning a 63% chance of a home win, 22% for a draw and 15% for Shinnik Yaroslavl. The prediction hinges on Ska-khabarovsk’s strong home form - they average 2.4 goals scored and only 0.4 conceded against similar opposition - while Shinnik’s away average is a modest 1.0 scored and 1.71 conceded. The expected total of 3.0 goals points to a lively encounter, yet the most likely total is 2 goals, with a 24% chance. The single most probable scoreline is 2-0, with a 10.9% probability. The model’s picks include a 91.6% chance of Over 2.5 cards, 84.6% for Under 11.5 corners, 80.7% for Over 3.5 cards, 80.3% for Over 1.5 goals (a hit) and 76.0% for Under 10.5 corners. Recent form shows Ska-khabarovsk struggling after two straight defeats, while Shinnik come off a draw. All figures are presented as percentages and every selection is listed with its probability.

Ska-khabarovsk’s recent form, after two straight defeats, finally turned into a win, extending their run and setting the stage for the model’s prediction. The final score of 3-1 confirmed the home victory that the model had favoured, with a 63% probability. The model’s selection of Over 1.5 goals, at 80.3%, also hit, as the match produced three goals. Every suggested pick was settled: Over 1.5 hit, and the home win call was correct. The outcome matched the model’s expectations, underscoring the accuracy of its probability estimates for this First League encounter.