The model favours an away win, with a 47 % chance for Dunajska Streda, 28 % for a draw and 25 % for Skalica. The expected total goals sit at 2.5, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 13.6 % probability. Skalica, playing at home against a stronger side, averages 1.25 goals scored and 0.75 conceded, while Dunajska Streda, on the road against a weaker opponent, averages 2.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.6 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (99.0 %), Under 6.5 (98.5 % with a 6 % edge), Home under 3.5 goals (97.9 % with a 6 % edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.3 % with a 5 % edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (96.1 % with a 5 % edge), Under 5.5 (95.6 % with a 5 % edge) and Away under 2.5 2H goals (94.3 % with a 5 % edge). Skalica come off a 0-2 loss to Zemplín Michalovce, while Dunajska Streda arrive on a three-game winning streak, having beaten Podbrezová 5-0.
Results analysis
Skalica’s recent form, still rattled after two straight defeats, could not stop Dunajska Streda, who entered the match on a four-game winning run. The final score was 1-6, an away win that matched the model’s favourite, which had a 47% probability. The model’s prediction of an away victory was therefore correct. The expected total of 2.5 goals was far below the actual total of 7, a clear outlier. The model’s selections performed as follows: Under 7.5 hit at 99.6%; Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.0%; Under 6.5 missed at 98.5%; Home under 3.5 goals hit at 97.9%; Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.7%; Away under 2.5 HT goals missed at 96.5%; Under 5.5 missed at 95.7%; Away under 2.5 2H goals missed at 94.1%.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Skalica win✗ Miss
24.8%
Avg Implied 21.6% · @ 4.27
Edge
+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
4.75
Pinnacle
4.57
Marathonbet
4.50
1xBet
4.47
BetVictor
4.40
Draw✗ Miss
28.5%
Avg Implied 25.5% · @ 3.61
Edge
+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.83
Bet365
3.80
1xBet
3.72
Marathonbet
3.72
Betano
3.70
Dunajska Streda win✓ Hit
46.8%
Avg Implied 53.0% · @ 1.74
Edge
-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.80
Dafabet
1.80
Unibet
1.79
SBO
1.76
Betano
1.75
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Skalica
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.43
1.50
1.00
1.06
1.72
vs Stronger (14)
1.29
1.79
1.25
0.75
1.30
2.20
vs Similar (15)
1.20
1.20
1.62
1.12
0.71
1.29
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunajska Streda) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dunajska Streda
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
3.1
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.13
1.23
2.36
1.07
1.94
1.38
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
1.27
2.09
2.00
1.83
0.40
2.40
vs Weaker (19)
2.63
0.74
2.62
0.50
2.64
0.91
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Skalica) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.9%
@ 1.23-2.2%
Under 1.5
27.1%
@ 3.72+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
Unibet
1.26
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Under
Betfair
4.10
Bet365
4.00
Pinnacle
3.89
BetVictor
3.80
1xBet
3.72
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.2%
@ 1.78-6.2%
Under 2.5
53.8%
@ 1.96+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.85
Unibet
1.81
Betano
1.80
SBO
1.80
Pinnacle
1.80
Under
Bet365
2.05
Pinnacle
2.03
10Bet
2.00
SBO
1.98
Marathonbet
1.98
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
24.7%
@ 2.93-7.0%
Under 3.5
75.3%
@ 1.35+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.10
Superbet
3.05
Unibet
3.00
Pinnacle
2.98
10Bet
2.95
Under
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
Pinnacle
1.39
10Bet
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.0%
@ 1.74-2.1%
No
49.0%
@ 1.96+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.77
Betfair
1.75
William Hil
1.75
Marathonbet
1.72
No
1xBet
2.01
Betfair
2.00
Betano
2.00
BetVictor
2.00
Marathonbet
1.98
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%@ 6.55+6.8%
0-1
10.8%@ 6.81+4.3%
0-0
9.3%@ 10.34+5.0%
1-2
9.2%@ 7.49+3.3%
0-2
9.0%@ 7.97+3.4%
1-0
7.0%@ 11.81+3.3%
2-1
6.3%@ 12.97+2.9%
2-2
4.7%@ 13.33+1.4%
Skalica goals ↓
Dunajska Streda goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.3%
11%
9.0%
4.5%
1.7%
1
7.0%
14%
9.2%
4.6%
1.7%
2
4.2%
6.3%
4.7%
2.4%
0.9%
3
1.5%
2.2%
1.6%
0.8%
0.3%
4
0.4%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Skalica goals (down), columns = Dunajska Streda goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dunajska Streda
2.60
Slovan Bratislava
2.40
Žilina
2.17
Spartak Trnava
2.17
Podbrezová
1.67
FK Košice
1.20
Skalica
1.17
Zemplín Michalovce
1.17
AS Trencin
1.00
Dukla Banská Bystrica
0.67
Komárno
0.50
Ružomberok
0.17
Skalica is 1.43 points worse than Dunajska Streda in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 2.60).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dunajska Streda
3.40
Slovan Bratislava
3.00
FK Košice
2.80
Žilina
2.50
Spartak Trnava
2.17
Podbrezová
1.67
Skalica
1.50
AS Trencin
1.40
Komárno
1.00
Dukla Banská Bystrica
1.00
Zemplín Michalovce
0.83
Ružomberok
0.67
Skalica is 1.90 goals worse than Dunajska Streda in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 3.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Dunajska Streda
0.40
Slovan Bratislava
0.60
Spartak Trnava
0.83
Zemplín Michalovce
1.17
Komárno
1.83
Žilina
2.00
Podbrezová
2.00
AS Trencin
2.20
Ružomberok
2.50
Skalica
2.50
Dukla Banská Bystrica
2.50
FK Košice
2.60
Skalica is 2.10 goals worse than Dunajska Streda in terms of goals conceded per game (2.50 vs 0.40).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Skalica
For 4.8 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 13.3 · Total 26.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dunajska Streda
For 4.4 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.5 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 12.6 · Total 26.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Skalica
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
10.0
8.5
2.5
2.9
2.1
25.9
26.5
25.2
vs Stronger (21)
9.5
10.2
8.8
1.8
2.6
1.3
26.4
28.6
24.2
vs Similar (28)
9.2
9.9
8.4
3.0
3.1
3.0
25.6
25.3
25.9
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
44%
50%
38%
36%
45%
29%
70%
71%
69%
% under line
56%
50%
62%
64%
55%
71%
30%
29%
31%
This opponent (Dunajska Streda) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dunajska Streda
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.7
9.6
2.1
2.5
1.8
25.2
25.8
24.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
8.6
9.3
7.8
3.1
4.4
1.9
26.5
28.2
24.6
vs Weaker (34)
10.4
10.0
10.8
1.6
1.5
1.7
24.2
23.9
24.5
% over line
46%
54%
38%
28%
26%
30%
65%
62%
69%
% under line
54%
46%
62%
72%
74%
70%
35%
38%
31%
This opponent (Skalica) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
AS Trencin
11.2
Podbrezová
10.6
FK Košice
10.5
Ružomberok
10.2
Dukla Banská Bystrica
10.2
Zemplín Michalovce
10.0
Dunajska Streda
10.0
Slovan Bratislava
9.9
Komárno
9.8
Skalica
9.7
Žilina
9.6
Spartak Trnava
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Spartak Trnava
5.1
Slovan Bratislava
5.0
Dunajska Streda
4.9
Skalica
4.8
Podbrezová
4.7
AS Trencin
4.7
Komárno
4.5
Zemplín Michalovce
4.4
Ružomberok
4.4
FK Košice
4.2
Žilina
3.9
Dukla Banská Bystrica
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Spartak Trnava
28.1
Skalica
27.2
Komárno
27.0
Zemplín Michalovce
26.8
Podbrezová
26.5
Žilina
26.3
Dunajska Streda
26.3
Ružomberok
25.9
Slovan Bratislava
25.5
AS Trencin
25.5
FK Košice
24.0
Dukla Banská Bystrica
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
49.8%
@ 1.63-6.9%
Under 9.5
50.2%
@ 2.15+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
10Bet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.61
Betano
1.57
Under
Betano
2.30
1xBet
2.27
Pinnacle
2.23
Marathonbet
2.22
Superbet
2.00
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
68.3%
Under 3.5
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
85.3%
Under 21.5
14.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Skalica or Draw✗ Miss
53.2%
Avg Implied 46.3% · @ 1.99
Edge
+6.9%
25%
28%
47%
covers Skalica + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.10
Bet365
2.10
10Bet
2.05
1xBet
2.04
Marathonbet
2.04
Skalica or Dunajska Streda✓ Hit
71.5%
Avg Implied 75.2% · @ 1.23
Edge
-3.7%
25%
28%
47%
covers Skalica + Dunajska Streda
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Draw or Dunajska Streda✓ Hit
75.2%
Avg Implied 78.5% · @ 1.18
Edge
-3.2%
25%
28%
47%
covers Draw + Dunajska Streda
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Unibet
1.19
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Skalica over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
64.2%
@ 1.47+1.2%
Under
35.8%
@ 2.51-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.52
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.48
10Bet
1.48
Under
Betfair
2.63
Pinnacle
2.55
BetVictor
2.50
10Bet
2.50
Betano
2.50
Skalica over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
27.4%
@ 3.31-0.7%
Under
72.6%
@ 1.29+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.40
1xBet
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.37
10Bet
3.30
Under
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Pinnacle
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Skalica over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
8.5%
@ 8.55-2.3%
Under
91.5%
@ 1.04+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.60
Marathonbet
9.60
Betfair
8.50
Superbet
8.30
Bet365
8.00
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.01
Skalica over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.1%
@ 13.50-4.9%
Under
97.9%
@ 1.01+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Dunajska Streda over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
77.6%
@ 1.15-3.3%
Under
22.4%
@ 4.85+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Betfair
1.14
10Bet
1.14
Under
1xBet
5.25
BetVictor
5.00
Betfair
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Betano
4.75
Dunajska Streda over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
44.0%
@ 1.78-8.1%
Under
56.0%
@ 1.94+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.85
Unibet
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Pinnacle
1.78
Betano
1.78
Under
Pinnacle
2.04
Betfair
2.00
BetVictor
2.00
Marathonbet
1.98
Betano
1.98
Dunajska Streda over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
19.0%
@ 3.44-8.0%
Under
81.0%
@ 1.27+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.60
Betfair
3.50
Pinnacle
3.45
10Bet
3.35
Under
Betano
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Pinnacle
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
Dunajska Streda over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
6.5%
@ 7.10-6.6%
Under
93.5%
@ 1.07+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.50
Betfair
7.50
1xBet
6.80
Betano
6.60
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Skalica, so a minus line means Skalica give that many goals of a start and Dunajska Streda receive them. At -1, Skalica must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Skalica win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Skalica)Actual: Dunajska Streda
Skalica -2
2.7%
@ 27.00-0.7%
Draw -2
6.9%
@ 13.00-0.3%
Dunajska Streda +2
90.4%
@ 1.04+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
31.00
Bet365
23.00
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
13.00
Away
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.03
Handicap -1 (Skalica)Actual: Dunajska Streda
Skalica -1
9.6%
@ 8.38-0.8%
Draw -1
15.2%
@ 5.35-1.0%
Dunajska Streda +1
75.2%
@ 1.18+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
9.00
Marathonbet
6.15
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
4.05
Away
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Handicap +1 (Skalica)Actual: Dunajska Streda
Skalica +1
53.2%
@ 1.95+8.5%
Draw +1
22.7%
@ 3.46-2.6%
Dunajska Streda -1
24.1%
@ 2.92-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.04
Betfair
2.00
Bet365
1.91
Unibet
1.76
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.56
10Bet
3.45
Unibet
2.95
Away
Bet365
3.00
Betfair
3.00
10Bet
2.90
Marathonbet
2.89
Unibet
2.80
Handicap +2 (Skalica)Actual: Dunajska Streda
Skalica +2
75.9%
@ 1.31+9.0%
Draw +2
14.5%
@ 4.82-3.6%
Dunajska Streda -2
9.6%
@ 5.86-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.36
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
Betfair
1.30
Unibet
1.23
Draw
Marathonbet
5.25
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Unibet
4.10
Away
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.85
10Bet
5.75
Unibet
5.20
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Skalica
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.90
0.75
0.67
0.39
1.06
vs Stronger (14)
0.57
1.21
0.75
0.75
0.50
1.40
vs Similar (15)
0.53
0.67
0.75
0.62
0.29
0.71
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunajska Streda) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dunajska Streda
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.47
0.93
0.50
1.06
0.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.64
0.82
1.00
0.83
0.20
0.80
vs Weaker (19)
1.21
0.26
0.88
0.25
1.45
0.27
Clean sheet %
67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Skalica) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
69.1%
@ 1.34-0.1%
Under 0.5
30.9%
@ 3.02+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.36
BetVictor
1.35
Pinnacle
1.34
Under
Pinnacle
3.23
Betfair
3.20
William Hil
3.10
10Bet
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
31.3%
@ 2.59-4.5%
Under 1.5
68.7%
@ 1.44+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.70
Pinnacle
2.70
Superbet
2.65
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Under
10Bet
1.48
BetVictor
1.46
Pinnacle
1.46
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.44
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
10.7%
@ 6.20-4.3%
Under 2.5
89.3%
@ 1.10+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.00
Bet365
6.50
Superbet
6.20
William Hil
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Skalica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
38.6%
@ 2.52+1.8%
Under
61.4%
@ 1.47-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.68
Betano
2.55
Superbet
2.52
Marathonbet
2.51
1xBet
2.47
Under
10Bet
1.50
1xBet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.46
Superbet
1.46
Skalica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.3%
@ 8.99-1.0%
Under
90.7%
@ 1.04+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.75
1xBet
9.30
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.90
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
Skalica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunajska Streda over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
47.5%
@ 1.72-6.7%
Under
52.5%
@ 2.04+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.75
Betano
1.75
Pinnacle
1.71
10Bet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
Under
Pinnacle
2.12
10Bet
2.05
1xBet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.02
Betano
2.00
Dunajska Streda over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
17.3%
@ 4.50-3.4%
Under
82.7%
@ 1.17+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.75
Betano
4.50
1xBet
4.40
10Bet
4.33
Under
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
Dunajska Streda over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
3.5%
@ 10.50-5.4%
Under
96.5%
@ 1.02+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
11.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Skalica
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.53
0.75
0.33
0.67
0.67
vs Stronger (14)
0.71
0.57
0.50
0.00
0.80
0.80
vs Similar (15)
0.67
0.53
0.88
0.50
0.43
0.57
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunajska Streda) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dunajska Streda
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.77
1.43
0.57
0.88
0.94
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.64
1.27
1.00
1.00
0.20
1.60
vs Weaker (19)
1.42
0.47
1.75
0.25
1.18
0.64
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Skalica) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
75.9%
@ 1.21-0.8%
Under 0.5
24.1%
@ 3.98+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Under
1xBet
4.20
Betano
4.15
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
3.95
William Hil
3.80
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
40.7%
@ 2.02-5.5%
Under 1.5
59.3%
@ 1.73+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.07
William Hil
2.05
1xBet
2.01
Marathonbet
2.01
10Bet
2.00
Under
Betano
1.80
Marathonbet
1.74
1xBet
1.74
10Bet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
18.3%
@ 4.17-4.1%
Under 2.5
81.7%
@ 1.20+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.40
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.30
1xBet
3.90
Betano
3.90
Under
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.18
Superbet
1.18
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Skalica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
45.0%
@ 2.10+0.8%
Under
55.0%
@ 1.66-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.11
1xBet
2.10
Superbet
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Betano
2.07
Under
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.66
10Bet
1.65
Superbet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.63
Skalica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.3%
@ 6.85-1.3%
Under
87.7%
@ 1.07+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.60
10Bet
7.00
1xBet
6.80
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
Skalica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.3%
@ 17.50-3.2%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.01+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Dunajska Streda over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
57.0%
@ 1.49-5.1%
Under
43.0%
@ 2.44+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.54
10Bet
1.48
1xBet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Under
Betano
2.55
1xBet
2.46
10Bet
2.45
Superbet
2.32
Dunajska Streda over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
21.6%
@ 3.31-6.5%
Under
78.4%
@ 1.29+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.40
10Bet
3.35
1xBet
3.30
Betano
3.20
Under
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
Dunajska Streda over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
5.9%
@ 8.27-5.4%
Under
94.1%
@ 1.05+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.90
10Bet
8.50
Betano
7.40
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+6.0%
✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals
97.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.4%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5
95.7%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.02
-
+5.4%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 2H goals
94.1%
1.05
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
-
-
+5.4%
✗ Miss
Away under 3.5 goals
93.5%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
-
+6.6%
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
92.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
91.5%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.01
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
90.7%
1.04
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
-
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
90.4%
1.04
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.03
-
-
-
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.3%
1.10
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
+4.3%
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
88.8%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Pinnacle
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.11
+5.7%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
87.7%
1.07
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
-
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
82.7%
1.17
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
-
+3.4%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.7%
1.20
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.18
Superbet
1.18
+4.1%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
81.0%
1.27
Betano
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Pinnacle
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
+8.0%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals
78.4%
1.29
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
-
+6.5%
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
77.6%
1.15
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Betfair
1.14
10Bet
1.14
-3.3%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
75.9%
1.21
Betano
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.22
10Bet
1.20
-0.8%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
75.9%
1.31
10Bet
1.36
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
Betfair
1.30
Unibet
1.23
+9.0%
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
75.3%
1.35
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
Pinnacle
1.39
10Bet
1.36
Betfair
1.36
+7.0%
✗ Miss
Draw or Away
75.2%
1.18
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Unibet
1.19
-3.2%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
75.2%
1.18
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
-
-
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
73.5%
1.46
Pinnacle
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Betano
1.47
Marathonbet
1.44
Superbet
1.42
+10.4%
-
Over 1.5
72.9%
1.23
Betano
1.26
Unibet
1.26
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
-2.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
72.6%
1.29
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Pinnacle
1.30
Superbet
1.29
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
71.5%
1.23
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.24
-3.7%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Skalica · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Petr Pudhorocký24%
Roman Potočný23%
Adam Ravas20%
Marek Švec14%
Philip Onyedika14%
Erik Daniel13%
Tomáš Smejkal12%
Mário Hollý11%
Lukáš Šimko11%
Marek Ujlaky11%
Lukas Leginus8%
Samuel Suľa8%
Adam Morong7%
Mario Šuver6%
Damián Bariš6%
Oliver Podhorín0%
Branislav Niňaj0%
Lukáš Fabiš0%
Marek Fábry0%
Martin Nagy0%
Sean Seitz0%
Martin Mášik0%
Martin Junas0%
Adam Gaži0%
Martin Černek0%
Abbati Abdullahi Samaila0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Branislav Niňaj50%
Oliver Podhorín33%
Marek Ujlaky33%
Roman Potočný23%
Adam Gaži21%
Erik Daniel20%
Martin Mášik18%
Martin Junas16%
Adam Morong14%
Philip Onyedika14%
Tomáš Smejkal12%
Petr Pudhorocký12%
Damián Bariš11%
Mário Hollý11%
Lukáš Šimko11%
Abbati Abdullahi Samaila11%
Lukas Leginus8%
Samuel Suľa8%
Martin Nagy8%
Mario Šuver6%
Martin Černek6%
Lukáš Fabiš0%
Marek Fábry0%
Sean Seitz0%
Marek Švec0%
Adam Ravas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lukáš Fabiš25%
Abbati Abdullahi Samaila22%
Tomáš Smejkal12%
Lukáš Šimko11%
Samuel Suľa8%
Roman Potočný8%
Martin Nagy8%
Adam Morong7%
Adam Gaži7%
Martin Mášik6%
Petr Pudhorocký6%
Martin Černek6%
Oliver Podhorín0%
Branislav Niňaj0%
Erik Daniel0%
Marek Fábry0%
Damián Bariš0%
Mario Šuver0%
Sean Seitz0%
Lukas Leginus0%
Mário Hollý0%
Martin Junas0%
Marek Švec0%
Marek Ujlaky0%
Adam Ravas0%
Philip Onyedika0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Erik Daniel27%
Roman Potočný15%
Marek Švec14%
Abbati Abdullahi Samaila11%
Adam Morong7%
Petr Pudhorocký6%
Martin Černek6%
Oliver Podhorín0%
Branislav Niňaj0%
Samuel Suľa0%
Lukáš Fabiš0%
Marek Fábry0%
Damián Bariš0%
Martin Nagy0%
Tomáš Smejkal0%
Mario Šuver0%
Sean Seitz0%
Lukas Leginus0%
Martin Mášik0%
Mário Hollý0%
Martin Junas0%
Lukáš Šimko0%
Adam Gaži0%
Marek Ujlaky0%
Adam Ravas0%
Philip Onyedika0%
Dunajska Streda · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Viktor Đukanović44%
Damir Redzic40%
Christián Herc33%
Abdoulaye Gueye27%
Ammar Ramadan25%
Matúš Kmeť22%
Alioune Sylla17%
Pa Assan Corr14%
Nino Kukovec12%
Máté Tuboly11%
Samsindin Ouro6%
Andreas Gruber6%
Tsotne Kapanadze0%
Jan-Christoph Bartels0%
Aleksandar Popović0%
Matej Trusa0%
Taras Kacharaba0%
Filip Blažek0%
Klemen Nemanič0%
Alex Mendez0%
Giorgi Gagua0%
Nathan Udvaros0%
Rhyan Modesto0%
Karol Blaško0%
Julien Eymard Bationo0%
Rachid Sande Barro0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tsotne Kapanadze24%
Nathan Udvaros23%
Rhyan Modesto23%
Klemen Nemanič21%
Jan-Christoph Bartels20%
Filip Blažek18%
Máté Tuboly17%
Giorgi Gagua14%
Pa Assan Corr14%
Ammar Ramadan12%
Julien Eymard Bationo12%
Taras Kacharaba12%
Matúš Kmeť11%
Alex Mendez8%
Samsindin Ouro6%
Alioune Sylla6%
Andreas Gruber0%
Aleksandar Popović0%
Christián Herc0%
Matej Trusa0%
Nino Kukovec0%
Damir Redzic0%
Viktor Đukanović0%
Karol Blaško0%
Abdoulaye Gueye0%
Rachid Sande Barro0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Pa Assan Corr29%
Samsindin Ouro25%
Andreas Gruber24%
Damir Redzic20%
Tsotne Kapanadze12%
Viktor Đukanović11%
Rhyan Modesto8%
Giorgi Gagua7%
Taras Kacharaba6%
Jan-Christoph Bartels0%
Aleksandar Popović0%
Christián Herc0%
Matúš Kmeť0%
Matej Trusa0%
Filip Blažek0%
Klemen Nemanič0%
Nino Kukovec0%
Alex Mendez0%
Nathan Udvaros0%
Ammar Ramadan0%
Máté Tuboly0%
Alioune Sylla0%
Karol Blaško0%
Abdoulaye Gueye0%
Julien Eymard Bationo0%
Rachid Sande Barro0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Damir Redzic60%
Ammar Ramadan50%
Christián Herc33%
Viktor Đukanović33%
Abdoulaye Gueye27%
Andreas Gruber18%
Nino Kukovec12%
Julien Eymard Bationo12%
Alioune Sylla11%
Alex Mendez8%
Giorgi Gagua7%
Klemen Nemanič5%
Tsotne Kapanadze0%
Jan-Christoph Bartels0%
Aleksandar Popović0%
Matúš Kmeť0%
Matej Trusa0%
Taras Kacharaba0%
Filip Blažek0%
Samsindin Ouro0%
Nathan Udvaros0%
Máté Tuboly0%
Rhyan Modesto0%
Karol Blaško0%
Pa Assan Corr0%
Rachid Sande Barro0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (28)
€35m
DS (27)
€15m
ŽIL (25)
€12m
AT (27)
€7m
ST (27)
€7m
FK (25)
€6m
POD (22)
€5m
RUŽ (26)
€5m
ZM (22)
€4m
KOM (24)
€3m
DBB (24)
€3m
SKA (22)
€2m
Skalica's squad is €13m less valuable than Dunajska Streda's (€2m vs €15m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (12)
€15m
DS (10)
€7m
ŽIL (10)
€4m
ST (9)
€2m
POD (8)
€2m
AT (9)
€2m
FK (5)
€1m
RUŽ (10)
€1m
KOM (10)
€1m
ZM (8)
€1m
DBB (7)
€1m
SKA (6)
€0m
Skalica's attack is €6m less valuable than Dunajska Streda's (€0m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (6)
€7m
DS (6)
€4m
FK (9)
€2m
AT (6)
€2m
POD (5)
€1m
ŽIL (4)
€1m
ST (6)
€1m
RUŽ (5)
€1m
ZM (5)
€1m
DBB (6)
€1m
KOM (5)
€1m
SKA (5)
€1m
Skalica's midfield is €3m less valuable than Dunajska Streda's (€1m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (10)
€13m
ŽIL (11)
€6m
DS (11)
€5m
AT (12)
€4m
ST (12)
€3m
FK (11)
€2m
RUŽ (11)
€2m
POD (9)
€2m
ZM (9)
€2m
SKA (11)
€1m
KOM (9)
€1m
DBB (11)
€1m
Skalica's defence is €4m less valuable than Dunajska Streda's (€1m vs €5m).
Slovakia: Super Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: Super Liga stats & trends →
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Spartak Trnava
Žilina
Slovan Bratislava
Podbrezová
Zemplín Michalovce
FK Košice
AS Trencin
Dukla Banská Bystrica
Komárno
Ružomberok