PythiaFootballBETA
Skalica is expected to secure a home win, with a strong recent form note as they're on a 2-game winning run. However, the expected total goals in this match is relatively low at 2.4. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 13.2%.
At home, Skalica typically scores 1.2 goals and concedes 0.6, while Ružomberok, when away, scores 0.9 goals and concedes 2.3 against a similar opponent strength.
The model's selection is a home win, with a 52% probability of winning, a 28% chance of a draw, and an 20% probability of an away win. The home side has a 52% chance of winning, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 20% chance of losing.
The model suggests selecting Over 21.5 fouls with a probability of 83.3%, Under 3.5 with a probability of 76.9% and an edge of 1, and Over 1.5 with a probability of 71.4% and an edge of 3.
The win extends Skalica's run, with their 2-1 victory over Ružomberok marking their third win in a row. The actual result was a home win, which matches the model's call. Skalica were the favourites, with a pre-match probability of 52%. The model's selection of a home win proved correct. The model also correctly identified the Under 3.5 total goals outcome, which hit with a probability of 76.9%. Additionally, the Over 1.5 total goals outcome was predicted to hit, and it indeed did, with a probability of 71.4%.
Skalica| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.10 | 1.43 | 1.23 | 0.92 | 1.00 | 1.82 |
| vs Stronger (11) | 0.91 | 2.18 | 0.50 | 1.50 | 1.14 | 2.57 |
| vs Similar (19) | 1.21 | 1.00 | 1.56 | 0.67 | 0.90 | 1.30 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 23% (-4pp vs league) | |||||
Ružomberok| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.13 | 1.13 | 1.53 | 1.53 |
| vs Stronger (5) | 1.40 | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.33 | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (24) | 1.33 | 1.42 | 1.17 | 1.08 | 1.50 | 1.75 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 1.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 30% (+3pp vs league) | |||||
| Ružomberok goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 9.9% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12% | 13% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 10% | 9.3% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
SkalicaRužomberokSkalica| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 9.1 | 9.4 | 8.7 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2.6 | 26.8 | 27.2 | 26.2 |
| vs Stronger (15) | 9.3 | 8.5 | 10.3 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 24.3 | 26.8 | 21.0 |
| vs Similar (35) | 9.0 | 9.7 | 8.2 | 3.6 | 3.8 | 3.4 | 27.4 | 27.4 | 27.5 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line | 41% | 41% | 40% | 46% | 57% | 37% | 75% | 76% | 73% |
| % under line | 59% | 59% | 60% | 54% | 43% | 63% | 25% | 24% | 27% |
Ružomberok| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 10.5 | 9.9 | 11.1 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 26.1 | 26.2 | 25.9 |
| vs Stronger (7) | 9.6 | 8.5 | 10.3 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 6.0 | 24.6 | 21.0 | 27.0 |
| vs Similar (41) | 10.8 | 10.2 | 11.3 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 26.4 | 27.3 | 25.6 |
| vs Weaker (2) | - | - | - | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| % over line | 62% | 42% | 79% | 24% | 29% | 19% | 77% | 83% | 71% |
| % under line | 38% | 58% | 21% | 76% | 71% | 81% | 23% | 17% | 29% |
Skalica| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.50 | 0.83 | 0.62 | 0.38 | 0.41 | 1.18 |
| vs Stronger (11) | 0.45 | 1.45 | 0.25 | 0.75 | 0.57 | 1.86 |
| vs Similar (19) | 0.53 | 0.47 | 0.78 | 0.22 | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+23pp vs league) | |||||
Ružomberok| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.63 | 0.63 | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| vs Stronger (5) | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (24) | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+29pp vs league) | |||||
Skalica| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.62 | 0.54 | 0.59 | 0.65 |
| vs Stronger (11) | 0.45 | 0.73 | 0.25 | 0.75 | 0.57 | 0.71 |
| vs Similar (19) | 0.68 | 0.53 | 0.78 | 0.44 | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+23pp vs league) | |||||
Ružomberok| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.53 | 0.53 | 0.87 | 0.87 |
| vs Stronger (5) | 0.80 | 0.60 | 0.67 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Similar (24) | 0.67 | 0.75 | 0.50 | 0.42 | 0.83 | 1.08 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 1.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+29pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 fouls | 91.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 21.5 fouls | 83.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 2.5 cards | 81.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 3.5 | 76.9% | 1.23 | 1.26 | 1.25 | 1.24 | 1.23 | 1.22 | +1.2% | ✓ Hit |
| Under 5.5 cards | 71.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 23.5 fouls | 71.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 1.5 | 71.4% | 1.36 | 1.38 | 1.38 | 1.36 | 1.36 | 1.36 | +2.9% | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 11/04/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 01/11/25 | H | 0-0 | |
| 12/08/25 | A | 1-3 | |
| 19/04/25 | H | 1-0 | |
| 29/03/25 | A | 3-2 | |
| 16/02/25 | H | 1-0 | |
| 29/09/24 | A | 1-2 |
Skalica| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 16/05/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 09/05/26 | A | 3-0 | |
| 05/05/26 | H | 3-1 | |
| 25/04/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 19/04/26 | H | 4-1 | |
| 11/04/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 04/04/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 22/03/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 15/03/26 | A | 2-1 |
Ružomberok| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 16/05/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 09/05/26 | H | 4-3 | |
| 02/05/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 25/04/26 | A | 3-1 | |
| 18/04/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 11/04/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 04/04/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 21/03/26 | A | 3-1 | |
| 14/03/26 | H | 1-1 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 |  Spartak Trnava | 5 | 13 | 80% | 2.6 | 12 | 2 | +10 | 2.8 | 100% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 56% |
| 2 |  Slovan Bratislava | 4 | 12 | 100% | 3.0 | 14 | 1 | +13 | 3.8 | 100% | 100% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 44 | 26 | 6 | 12 | 3.5 | 0.2 | 59% |
| 3 |  Dunajska Streda | 4 | 10 | 75% | 2.5 | 11 | 1 | +10 | 3.0 | 100% | 50% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 53% |
| 4 |  Žilina | 5 | 10 | 60% | 2.0 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 4.6 | 80% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 50% |
| 5 |  Podbrezová | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 3.6 | 100% | 80% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 51% |
| 6 | Skalica | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 3.4 | 100% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 42% |
| 7 |  FK Košice | 4 | 5 | 25% | 1.2 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 5.8 | 100% | 100% | 75% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 49% |
| 8 |  Zemplín Michalovce | 5 | 4 | 20% | 0.8 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 1.8 | 80% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 52% |
| 9 |  Dukla Banská Bystrica | 5 | 3 | 20% | 0.6 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 3.4 | 80% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | 2.6 | - |
| 10 |  AS Trencin | 4 | 2 | 0% | 0.5 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3.8 | 100% | 75% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 8 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 51% |
| 11 |  Komárno | 5 | 2 | 0% | 0.4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 2.6 | 100% | 60% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 48% |
| 12 | Ružomberok | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 3.2 | 80% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.6 | 2.6 | 43% |