This opponent (Spartak Trnava) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spartak Trnava
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.23
2.07
1.07
1.27
1.40
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
1.33
1.00
0.33
0.67
2.33
vs Similar (16)
1.94
1.38
2.44
1.33
1.29
1.43
vs Weaker (8)
1.75
0.88
2.00
1.00
1.60
0.80
Clean sheet %
20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Skalica) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
74.5%
Under 1.5
25.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.2%
Under 2.5
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.4%
Under 3.5
73.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.1%
No
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
1-0
8.7%
0-0 ✓
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
5.8%
Skalica goals ↓
Spartak Trnava goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.7%
8.1%
5.8%
2.4%
0.8%
1
8.7%
14%
7.9%
3.3%
1.0%
2
6.7%
8.4%
5.3%
2.2%
0.7%
3
3.0%
3.8%
2.4%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.0%
1.3%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Skalica goals (down), columns = Spartak Trnava goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Slovan Bratislava
2.28
Dunajska Streda
1.81
Spartak Trnava
1.78
Žilina
1.72
Dukla Banská Bystrica
1.59
AS Trencin
1.53
Petržalka
1.50
Ružomberok
1.47
Skalica
1.25
Podbrezová
1.16
Zemplín Michalovce
0.88
FK Košice
0.84
Zlaté Moravce
0.38
Skalica is 0.53 points worse than Spartak Trnava in terms of average points per game (1.25 vs 1.78).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slovan Bratislava
2.38
Žilina
1.69
Dukla Banská Bystrica
1.56
Podbrezová
1.53
Dunajska Streda
1.53
AS Trencin
1.50
Spartak Trnava
1.47
Ružomberok
1.19
Skalica
1.09
Petržalka
1.00
Zemplín Michalovce
0.94
FK Košice
0.84
Zlaté Moravce
0.66
Skalica is 0.38 goals worse than Spartak Trnava in terms of goals scored per game (1.09 vs 1.47).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Spartak Trnava
0.91
Slovan Bratislava
0.97
Dunajska Streda
1.00
AS Trencin
1.06
Skalica
1.19
Dukla Banská Bystrica
1.28
Ružomberok
1.34
Žilina
1.41
Zemplín Michalovce
1.47
Petržalka
1.50
FK Košice
1.75
Podbrezová
1.88
Zlaté Moravce
2.06
Skalica is 0.28 goals worse than Spartak Trnava in terms of goals conceded per game (1.19 vs 0.91).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
AS Trencin
64%
Slovan Bratislava
57%
Žilina
56%
Podbrezová
55%
Dukla Banská Bystrica
49%
Dunajska Streda
48%
Zlaté Moravce
47%
Spartak Trnava
47%
Skalica
45%
Zemplín Michalovce
45%
Ružomberok
44%
FK Košice
42%
Skalica is 1.9 percentage points worse than Spartak Trnava in terms of average possession (45% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Skalica
For 5.2 · Against 4.3 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 11.7 · Total 23.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Spartak Trnava
For 4.7 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 10.3 · Total 20.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Skalica
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (36)
9.6
10.4
8.7
2.7
2.4
3.0
25.7
26.2
25.2
vs Stronger (13)
10.4
11.7
9.6
2.3
1.0
3.8
27.6
27.3
27.8
vs Similar (23)
9.2
10.0
8.0
3.0
3.4
2.6
24.7
25.9
23.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
43%
67%
18%
42%
33%
50%
83%
83%
82%
% under line
57%
33%
82%
58%
67%
50%
17%
17%
18%
This opponent (Spartak Trnava) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spartak Trnava
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (44)
9.4
9.4
9.4
3.8
4.6
3.0
23.9
24.4
23.2
vs Stronger (8)
9.1
8.3
9.8
5.1
4.8
5.5
28.9
31.3
27.0
vs Similar (21)
9.5
9.4
9.6
3.7
4.8
2.2
22.8
22.9
22.5
vs Weaker (15)
9.5
10.0
9.0
3.3
4.1
2.6
21.9
23.4
20.0
% over line
45%
47%
43%
52%
61%
43%
55%
58%
50%
% under line
55%
53%
57%
48%
39%
57%
45%
42%
50%
This opponent (Skalica) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Zemplín Michalovce
11.6
Podbrezová
11.2
Zlaté Moravce
11.0
Dunajska Streda
10.5
AS Trencin
10.5
Žilina
10.5
Dukla Banská Bystrica
10.3
FK Košice
10.0
Ružomberok
10.0
Skalica
9.6
Slovan Bratislava
9.5
Spartak Trnava
9.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
AS Trencin
5.1
Zlaté Moravce
5.0
Spartak Trnava
4.9
Podbrezová
4.7
Dunajska Streda
4.6
FK Košice
4.5
Slovan Bratislava
4.4
Skalica
4.3
Dukla Banská Bystrica
4.1
Ružomberok
4.0
Žilina
3.8
Zemplín Michalovce
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Ružomberok
27.6
Zlaté Moravce
27.1
FK Košice
27.0
Slovan Bratislava
26.8
Dunajska Streda
26.7
Skalica
25.7
Podbrezová
25.7
Dukla Banská Bystrica
24.6
Zemplín Michalovce
24.5
Spartak Trnava
23.9
Žilina
23.5
AS Trencin
23.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
56.1%
Under 9.5
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
46.3%
Under 3.5
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
67.3%
Under 21.5
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Skalica
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.40
0.47
0.53
0.60
0.27
vs Stronger (11)
0.55
0.55
0.50
0.83
0.60
0.20
vs Similar (19)
0.53
0.32
0.44
0.33
0.60
0.30
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Trnava) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spartak Trnava
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.37
1.13
0.20
0.40
0.53
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
0.67
0.33
0.00
0.00
1.33
vs Similar (16)
1.00
0.31
1.44
0.22
0.43
0.43
vs Weaker (8)
0.75
0.25
1.00
0.33
0.60
0.20
Clean sheet %
73% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Skalica) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Skalica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skalica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skalica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Trnava over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Trnava over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Trnava over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Skalica
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.70
0.93
0.53
0.47
0.87
vs Stronger (11)
0.64
1.00
0.67
0.50
0.60
1.60
vs Similar (19)
0.74
0.53
1.11
0.56
0.40
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Trnava) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spartak Trnava
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.87
0.93
0.87
0.87
0.87
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
0.67
0.67
0.33
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (16)
0.94
1.06
1.00
1.11
0.86
1.00
vs Weaker (8)
1.00
0.62
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.60
Clean sheet %
30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Skalica) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Skalica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skalica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skalica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Trnava over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Trnava over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Trnava over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Skalica
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adam Morong22%
Róbert Matejov18%
Daniel Smékal18%
Matej Hradecky15%
Martin Černek13%
Denis Baumgartner12%
Davi Alves10%
Alex Sobczyk7%
Adam Krčík7%
Martin Nagy6%
Martin Mášik6%
Oliver Podhorín6%
Ján Vlasko0%
Matěj Luksch0%
Ondřej Rudzan0%
Mário Hollý0%
Roman Haša0%
Martin Junas0%
Michal Ranko0%
Adam Gaži0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ondřej Rudzan50%
Adam Krčík33%
Mário Hollý30%
Martin Junas25%
Daniel Smékal24%
Ján Vlasko22%
Oliver Podhorín17%
Adam Morong17%
Alex Sobczyk13%
Martin Černek13%
Róbert Matejov12%
Martin Mášik12%
Adam Gaži12%
Davi Alves10%
Michal Ranko7%
Martin Nagy6%
Matej Hradecky0%
Denis Baumgartner0%
Matěj Luksch0%
Roman Haša0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Martin Černek13%
Róbert Matejov12%
Mário Hollý10%
Matej Hradecky8%
Adam Krčík7%
Roman Haša7%
Daniel Smékal6%
Adam Morong6%
Oliver Podhorín0%
Alex Sobczyk0%
Ján Vlasko0%
Denis Baumgartner0%
Matěj Luksch0%
Ondřej Rudzan0%
Martin Nagy0%
Martin Mášik0%
Martin Junas0%
Michal Ranko0%
Adam Gaži0%
Davi Alves0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adam Morong17%
Davi Alves10%
Martin Černek7%
Martin Nagy6%
Martin Mášik6%
Adam Gaži6%
Oliver Podhorín0%
Alex Sobczyk0%
Ján Vlasko0%
Matej Hradecky0%
Denis Baumgartner0%
Róbert Matejov0%
Matěj Luksch0%
Ondřej Rudzan0%
Adam Krčík0%
Mário Hollý0%
Roman Haša0%
Martin Junas0%
Michal Ranko0%
Daniel Smékal0%
Spartak Trnava
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Michal Ďuriš25%
Marco Đuričin25%
Adrian Zeljković18%
Samuel Štefánik14%
Marek Ujlaky14%
Erik Daniel10%
Philip Azango9%
Kelvin Ofori8%
Tomáš Poznar8%
Martin Mikovič5%
Roman Procházka0%
Dominik Takáč0%
Milan Ristovski0%
Filip Bainović0%
Lukáš Štetina0%
Kristián Koštrna0%
Jan Bernát0%
Martin Šulek0%
Jakub Paur0%
Martin Bukata0%
Sebastian Kóša0%
Andrej Đurić0%
Kazeem Bolaji Soliu0%
Miha Kompan Breznik0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Roman Procházka36%
Adrian Zeljković32%
Miha Kompan Breznik25%
Sebastian Kóša24%
Martin Mikovič23%
Martin Bukata18%
Lukáš Štetina17%
Michal Ďuriš15%
Marek Ujlaky14%
Jan Bernát13%
Jakub Paur12%
Kristián Koštrna9%
Tomáš Poznar8%
Andrej Đurić8%
Erik Daniel5%
Martin Šulek5%
Philip Azango4%
Dominik Takáč4%
Kelvin Ofori4%
Milan Ristovski0%
Filip Bainović0%
Marco Đuričin0%
Samuel Štefánik0%
Kazeem Bolaji Soliu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Samuel Štefánik14%
Jakub Paur12%
Erik Daniel10%
Martin Mikovič9%
Philip Azango9%
Kelvin Ofori8%
Roman Procházka7%
Jan Bernát7%
Michal Ďuriš5%
Kristián Koštrna5%
Dominik Takáč0%
Milan Ristovski0%
Filip Bainović0%
Marco Đuričin0%
Lukáš Štetina0%
Martin Šulek0%
Martin Bukata0%
Tomáš Poznar0%
Sebastian Kóša0%
Adrian Zeljković0%
Andrej Đurić0%
Kazeem Bolaji Soliu0%
Marek Ujlaky0%
Miha Kompan Breznik0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Michal Ďuriš25%
Erik Daniel15%
Filip Bainović12%
Jan Bernát7%
Martin Bukata6%
Adrian Zeljković5%
Philip Azango4%
Kelvin Ofori4%
Roman Procházka0%
Dominik Takáč0%
Milan Ristovski0%
Martin Mikovič0%
Marco Đuričin0%
Lukáš Štetina0%
Kristián Koštrna0%
Martin Šulek0%
Jakub Paur0%
Samuel Štefánik0%
Tomáš Poznar0%
Sebastian Kóša0%
Andrej Đurić0%
Kazeem Bolaji Soliu0%
Marek Ujlaky0%
Miha Kompan Breznik0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (28)
€35m
DS (27)
€15m
ŽIL (25)
€12m
AT (27)
€7m
ST (27)
€7m
FK (25)
€6m
POD (22)
€5m
RUŽ (26)
€5m
ZM (22)
€4m
DBB (24)
€3m
SKA (22)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ZM (14)
€1m
Skalica's squad is €4m less valuable than Spartak Trnava's (€2m vs €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (12)
€15m
DS (10)
€7m
ŽIL (10)
€4m
ST (9)
€2m
POD (8)
€2m
AT (9)
€2m
FK (5)
€1m
RUŽ (10)
€1m
ZM (8)
€1m
DBB (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
SKA (6)
€0m
ZM (3)
€0m
Skalica's attack is €2m less valuable than Spartak Trnava's (€0m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (6)
€7m
DS (6)
€4m
FK (9)
€2m
AT (6)
€2m
POD (5)
€1m
ŽIL (4)
€1m
ST (6)
€1m
RUŽ (5)
€1m
ZM (5)
€1m
DBB (6)
€1m
SKA (5)
€1m
PET (5)
€0m
ZM (4)
€0m
Skalica and Spartak Trnava have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (10)
€13m
ŽIL (11)
€6m
DS (11)
€5m
AT (12)
€4m
ST (12)
€3m
FK (11)
€2m
RUŽ (11)
€2m
POD (9)
€2m
ZM (9)
€2m
SKA (11)
€1m
DBB (11)
€1m
PET (8)
€1m
ZM (7)
€1m
Skalica's defence is €2m less valuable than Spartak Trnava's (€1m vs €3m).
Slovakia: Super Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: Super Liga stats & trends →
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Slovan Bratislava
Dunajska Streda
Žilina
Dukla Banská Bystrica
AS Trencin
Ružomberok
Podbrezová
Zemplín Michalovce
FK Košice
Zlaté Moravce
Petržalka