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Skanste vs JDFS Alberts Prediction & Stats

Date: 10/10/2026
Time: 16:00
Skanste
Skanste
Vs
55%
20%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
JDFS Alberts
JDFS Alberts
Latvia: 1. Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Skanste’s recent 6-2 win and JDFS Alberts’ three-game winning streak hint at a high-scoring affair, with the model projecting an average of 4.1 goals and a most likely total of 6+. The favourite result is a home win, with probabilities of 55% for Skanste, 20% for a draw and 24% for JDFS Alberts. The single most likely scoreline is 2-1 for Skanste, carrying an 8.3% chance. Skanste’s home form against weaker opposition sees them scoring 2.6 and conceding 1.5 goals, while JDFS Alberts, playing away against stronger teams, averages 2.0 goals scored and 0.91 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (94.3%), Over 1.5 (92.2%), Away under 3.5 goals (91.7%), Home over 0.5 goals (91.5%), Home +2 handicap (88.4%), Under 6.5 (87.9%), Away over 0.5 goals (80.4%) and Home or Away (79.7%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Skanste win
55.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
20.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
JDFS Alberts win
24.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SkansteSkanste

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-603L00D03L62W03L12L42W51W11D62WA·PRO18/10H·JFK25/10A·OGR01/11H·TUK08/11H·VAL18/07A·LEE25/07H·MĀR01/08H·RĒZ08/08A·SUP23/08H·TUK30/08
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.632.061.501.291.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.001.801.171.500.752.25
vs Weaker (20)2.051.552.601.501.501.60
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (JDFS Alberts) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W20W00D01L31W11D11D20W31W20WA·AUG01/11H·RIG08/11A·GRO20/11H·GRO23/11A·JFK18/07H·SUP25/07A·TUK03/08H·RIG08/08A·RĪG22/08A·MĀR29/08← Virsliga1. Liga →
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.870.901.540.772.121.00
vs Stronger (18)1.780.891.430.862.000.91
vs Similar (9)1.890.671.200.202.751.25
vs Weaker (3)2.331.674.003.001.501.00
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Skanste) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%2%05%115%219%320%416%523%6+
The model estimates around 4.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (23%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
92.2%
Under 1.5
7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
77.5%
Under 2.5
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
58.4%
Under 3.5
41.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
74.2%
No
25.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
8.3%
1-1
7.4%
3-1
6.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-2
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-0
5.1%
4-1
4.2%
Skanste goals ↓
JDFS Alberts goals →
01234
02.3%2.1%2.2%1.2%0.5%
13.4%7.4%5.5%3.0%1.2%
25.1%8.3%6.7%3.7%1.5%
34.2%6.8%5.5%3.0%1.2%
42.6%4.2%3.4%1.8%0.8%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Skanste goals (down), columns = JDFS Alberts goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Leevon / PPK
3.00
Valmiera / BSS
3.00
Metta / LU
2.67
Riga Mariners
2.60
JDFS Alberts
2.33
Skanste
1.67
Smiltene
1.00
Mārupe
0.86
Riga FC II
0.83
Tukums II
0.80
Super Nova 2
0.71
Rīgas FS II
0.50
JFK Ventspils
0.40
Rēzekne FA
0.00
Skanste is 0.67 points worse than JDFS Alberts in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 2.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Metta / LU
5.83
Valmiera / BSS
3.67
Skanste
2.83
Riga Mariners
2.80
Leevon / PPK
2.20
JDFS Alberts
2.00
Smiltene
1.50
Rīgas FS II
1.50
Tukums II
1.40
Super Nova 2
1.00
Riga FC II
1.00
Mārupe
1.00
JFK Ventspils
0.80
Rēzekne FA
0.67
Skanste is 0.83 goals better than JDFS Alberts in terms of goals scored per game (2.83 vs 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Metta / LU
0.50
Valmiera / BSS
0.67
JDFS Alberts
0.67
Leevon / PPK
1.00
Riga Mariners
1.00
Super Nova 2
1.57
JFK Ventspils
1.80
Skanste
1.83
Riga FC II
2.00
Mārupe
2.43
Rēzekne FA
3.00
Smiltene
3.33
Tukums II
4.00
Rīgas FS II
4.17
Skanste is 1.17 goals worse than JDFS Alberts in terms of goals conceded per game (1.83 vs 0.67).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Skanste or Draw
75.7%
Avg Implied -
55%
20%
24%
covers Skanste + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Skanste or JDFS Alberts
79.7%
Avg Implied -
55%
20%
24%
covers Skanste + JDFS Alberts
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or JDFS Alberts
44.7%
Avg Implied -
55%
20%
24%
covers Draw + JDFS Alberts
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Skanste over/under 0.5
Over
91.5%
Under
8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skanste over/under 1.5
Over
70.5%
Under
29.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skanste over/under 2.5
Over
44.6%
Under
55.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skanste over/under 3.5
Over
23.4%
Under
76.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JDFS Alberts over/under 0.5
Over
80.4%
Under
19.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JDFS Alberts over/under 1.5
Over
48.5%
Under
51.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JDFS Alberts over/under 2.5
Over
22.5%
Under
77.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JDFS Alberts over/under 3.5
Over
8.3%
Under
91.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Skanste, so a minus line means Skanste give that many goals of a start and JDFS Alberts receive them. At -1, Skanste must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Skanste win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Skanste)
Skanste -2
19.5%
Draw -2
16.3%
JDFS Alberts +2
64.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Skanste)
Skanste -1
35.9%
Draw -1
19.5%
JDFS Alberts +1
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Skanste)
Skanste +1
75.7%
Draw +1
12.7%
JDFS Alberts -1
11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Skanste)
Skanste +2
88.4%
Draw +2
7.2%
JDFS Alberts -2
4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SkansteSkanste

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L00D01L32W01L11D21W21W11D52WA·PRO18/10H·JFK25/10A·OGR01/11H·TUK08/11H·VAL18/07A·LEE25/07H·MĀR01/08H·RĒZ08/08A·SUP23/08H·TUK30/08
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.100.941.000.501.21
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.400.900.500.670.251.25
vs Weaker (20)0.901.201.201.200.601.20
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (JDFS Alberts) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D01L00D01L10W10W11D20WA·AUG01/11H·RIG08/11A·GRO20/11H·GRO23/11A·JFK18/07H·SUP25/07A·TUK03/08H·RIG08/08A·RĪG22/08A·MĀR29/08← Virsliga1. Liga →
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.370.540.460.880.29
vs Stronger (18)0.720.330.570.430.820.27
vs Similar (9)0.560.220.200.201.000.25
vs Weaker (3)1.331.002.002.001.000.50
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Skanste) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Skanste over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skanste over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skanste over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JDFS Alberts over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JDFS Alberts over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JDFS Alberts over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SkansteSkanste

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L00D02L30W02L01L21W30W00D10WA·PRO18/10H·JFK25/10A·OGR01/11H·TUK08/11H·VAL18/07A·LEE25/07H·MĀR01/08H·RĒZ08/08A·SUP23/08H·TUK30/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.531.120.500.790.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.600.900.670.830.501.00
vs Weaker (20)1.150.351.400.300.900.40
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (JDFS Alberts) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W20W00D00D31W10W01L10W20W00DA·AUG01/11H·RIG08/11A·GRO20/11H·GRO23/11A·JFK18/07H·SUP25/07A·TUK03/08H·RIG08/08A·RĪG22/08A·MĀR29/08← Virsliga1. Liga →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.531.000.311.240.71
vs Stronger (18)1.060.560.860.431.180.64
vs Similar (9)1.330.441.000.001.751.00
vs Weaker (3)1.000.672.001.000.500.50
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Skanste) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Skanste over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skanste over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skanste over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JDFS Alberts over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JDFS Alberts over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JDFS Alberts over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.594.3%-------
Over 1.592.2%-------
Away under 3.5 goals91.7%-------
Home over 0.5 goals91.5%-------
Home +2 handicap88.4%-------
Under 6.587.9%-------
Away over 0.5 goals80.4%-------
Home or Away79.7%-------
Over 2.577.5%-------
Away under 2.5 goals77.5%-------
Under 5.577.0%-------
Home under 3.5 goals76.6%-------
Home or Draw75.7%-------
Home +1 handicap75.7%-------
BTTS Yes74.2%-------
Home over 1.5 goals70.5%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SN2 (3)
€0m
M/L (4)
€0m
L/P (1)
€0m
RFI (1)
€0m
TI (2)
€0m
JA (1)
€0m
RM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SN2 (2)
€0m
M/L (1)
€0m
RFI (1)
€0m
TI (1)
€0m
L/P (0)
€0m
JA (0)
€0m
RM (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SN2 (1)
€0m
M/L (1)
€0m
L/P (1)
€0m
RM (1)
€0m
JA (0)
€0m
RFI (0)
€0m
TI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
M/L (2)
€0m
JA (1)
€0m
TI (1)
€0m
L/P (0)
€0m
SN2 (0)
€0m
RFI (0)
€0m
RM (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
SKA wins
5
Draws
2
JA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Skanste vs JDFS Alberts · H/A from SKA
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/25AJDFS Alberts Vs SKA2-2
26/04/25HSKA Vs JDFS Alberts1-1
14/09/24AJDFS Alberts Vs SKA0-1
12/05/24HSKA Vs JDFS Alberts0-1
04/11/23HSKA Vs JDFS Alberts0-1
23/07/23AJDFS Alberts Vs SKA1-1
13/11/22HSKA Vs JDFS Alberts1-1
30/07/22AJDFS Alberts Vs SKA1-1

SkansteSkanste

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26HSKA Vs Tukums II6-2
23/08/26ASuper Nova 2 Vs SKA1-1
08/08/26HSKA Vs Rēzekne FA5-1
01/08/26HSKA Vs Mārupe4-2
25/07/26ALeevon / PPK Vs SKA2-1
18/07/26HSKA Vs Valmiera / BSS0-3
08/11/25HSKA Vs Tukums II6-2
01/11/25AOgre United Vs SKA3-0
25/10/25HSKA Vs JFK Ventspils0-0
18/10/25AProgress / AFA Olaine Vs SKA3-0

JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26AMārupe Vs JA0-2
22/08/26ARīgas FS II Vs JA1-3
08/08/26HJA Vs Riga FC II2-0
03/08/26ATukums II Vs JA1-1
25/07/26HJA Vs Super Nova 21-1
18/07/26AJFK Ventspils Vs JA1-3
23/11/25HJA Vs Grobiņa0-1
20/11/25AGrobiņa Vs JA0-0
08/11/25HJA Vs Riga Mariners2-0
01/11/25AAugšdaugava Vs JA0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Skanste
Skanste
Latvia: 1. Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDW1.68
HomeWLWWW1.88
AwayWLLLD1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%56%44%
AVG goals3.043.322.76
Over 1.5 %72%76%68%
Over 2.5 %60%56%64%
Over 3.5 %30%32%28%
Scored1.682.121.24
Conceded1.361.201.52
BTTS50%48%52%
Clean Sheet28%36%20%
Corners---
Cards---
JDFS Alberts
JDFS Alberts
Latvia: 1. Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWW2.18
HomeWWLDW2.44
AwayDWDWW1.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %66%76%56%
AVG goals2.962.843.08
Over 1.5 %80%72%88%
Over 2.5 %46%44%48%
Over 3.5 %34%32%36%
Scored2.142.162.12
Conceded0.820.680.96
BTTS48%40%56%
Clean Sheet44%52%36%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Valmiera / BSSValmiera / BSS618
100%
3.0
224+18
4.3
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.70.7
-
2Metta / LUMetta / LU616
83%
2.7
353+32
6.3
100%
83%
83%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0005.80.5
-
3Leevon / PPKLeevon / PPK515
100%
3.0
115+6
3.2
80%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.0
-
4JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts614
67%
2.3
124+8
2.7
100%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.7
-
5Riga MarinersRiga Mariners513
80%
2.6
145+9
3.8
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.81.0
-
6SkansteSkanste610
50%
1.7
1711+6
4.7
100%
83%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.81.8
-
7MārupeMārupe76
29%
0.9
717-10
3.4
86%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.4
-
8SmilteneSmiltene66
33%
1.0
920-11
4.8
83%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.53.3
-
9Super Nova 2Super Nova 275
14%
0.7
711-4
2.6
100%
57%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
10Riga FC IIRiga FC II65
17%
0.8
612-6
3.0
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
11Tukums IITukums II54
20%
0.8
720-13
5.4
100%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.44.0
-
12Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II63
17%
0.5
925-16
5.7
100%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.54.2
-
13JFK VentspilsJFK Ventspils52
0%
0.4
49-5
2.6
100%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.8
-
14Rēzekne FARēzekne FA60
0%
0.0
418-14
3.7
83%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.73.0
-
Latvia: 1. Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Latvia: 1. Liga stats & trends →

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