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Skanste vs Rēzekne FA Result & Analysis

Date: 08/08/2026
Time: 10:30
Final 5-1
Skanste
Skanste
Vs
55%
22%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Rēzekne FA
Rēzekne FA
Latvia: 1. Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Skanste's recent form is a story to tell, coming off a win in their last match against Mārupe with a 4-2 scoreline. However, their home form against weaker opponents has been somewhat inconsistent, scoring an average of 1.89 goals and conceding 1.33. Rēzekne FA, on the other hand, have struggled on the road, particularly against stronger opponents, scoring an average of 1.2 goals and conceding 3.1.

The model predicts a high-scoring match, with an expected total of 3.5 goals. The most likely score is 1-1, which carries a probability of 9.7%. The model's selection is Over 1.5, with a probability of 87.1%.

The model's favoured match result is a home win, with a probability of 55%. The draw percentage is 22%, while the away win percentage is 23%. The model's selection Over 1.5 is the most likely outcome, with the home win being the favourite.

Results analysis

The win extends Skanste's run, as they secured a 5-1 victory over Rēzekne FA. This result was the actual outcome, matching the model's prediction of a home win, which had a pre-match probability of 55%. The model's call was correct, as the favourite, Skanste, ultimately triumphed. The model's selection of a home win was the correct outcome. The suggested pick of Over 1.5 goals also came in, with a probability of 87.1%, and the most likely total goals was indeed 3, although the actual result saw 4 more goals scored.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Skanste win✓ Hit
55.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rēzekne FA win✗ Miss
22.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SkansteSkanste

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-621W10W11D03L00D03L62W03L12L42WA·RĒZ21/09A·MĀR28/09H·LEE04/10A·PRO18/10H·JFK25/10A·OGR01/11H·TUK08/11H·VAL18/07A·LEE25/07H·MĀR01/08
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.631.501.501.211.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.001.801.171.500.752.25
vs Weaker (20)1.551.551.701.501.401.60
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Rēzekne FA) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rēzekne FARēzekne FA

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-612L50W21W06L12L22D34L01L12L12LH·SKA21/09A·AUG27/09H·MĀR05/10A·RIG18/10H·LEE26/10A·SMI01/11H·PRO08/11A·SMI19/07H·MĀR25/07A·LEE01/08
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.302.101.211.711.382.44
vs Stronger (8)0.621.500.251.501.001.50
vs Similar (14)1.792.142.002.141.572.14
vs Weaker (8)1.122.620.671.001.403.60
Clean sheet %13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Skanste) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%120%222%319%413%514%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.1%
Under 1.5
12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
67.5%
Under 2.5
32.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
45.9%
Under 3.5
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.9%
No
34.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.8%
2-2
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
1-0
5.7%
3-0
5.1%
Skanste goals ↓
Rēzekne FA goals →
01234
04.0%3.2%2.8%1.2%0.4%
15.7%9.7%5.9%2.6%0.9%
27.1%9.5%6.3%2.8%0.9%
35.1%6.8%4.5%2.0%0.7%
42.7%3.6%2.4%1.1%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Skanste goals (down), columns = Rēzekne FA goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Leevon / PPK
3.00
Valmiera / BSS
3.00
Metta / LU
2.67
Riga Mariners
2.60
JDFS Alberts
2.33
Skanste
1.67
Smiltene
1.00
Mārupe
0.86
Riga FC II
0.83
Tukums II
0.80
Super Nova 2
0.71
Rīgas FS II
0.50
JFK Ventspils
0.40
Rēzekne FA
0.00
Skanste is 1.67 points better than Rēzekne FA in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 0.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Metta / LU
5.83
Valmiera / BSS
3.67
Skanste
2.83
Riga Mariners
2.80
Leevon / PPK
2.20
JDFS Alberts
2.00
Smiltene
1.50
Rīgas FS II
1.50
Tukums II
1.40
Super Nova 2
1.00
Riga FC II
1.00
Mārupe
1.00
JFK Ventspils
0.80
Rēzekne FA
0.67
Skanste is 2.17 goals better than Rēzekne FA in terms of goals scored per game (2.83 vs 0.67).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Metta / LU
0.50
Valmiera / BSS
0.67
JDFS Alberts
0.67
Leevon / PPK
1.00
Riga Mariners
1.00
Super Nova 2
1.57
JFK Ventspils
1.80
Skanste
1.83
Riga FC II
2.00
Mārupe
2.43
Rēzekne FA
3.00
Smiltene
3.33
Tukums II
4.00
Rīgas FS II
4.17
Skanste is 1.17 goals better than Rēzekne FA in terms of goals conceded per game (1.83 vs 3.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SkansteSkanste

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D11D01L00D01L32W01L11D21WA·RĒZ21/09A·MĀR28/09H·LEE04/10A·PRO18/10H·JFK25/10A·OGR01/11H·TUK08/11H·VAL18/07A·LEE25/07H·MĀR01/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.471.000.500.880.431.14
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.400.900.500.670.251.25
vs Weaker (20)0.501.050.501.000.501.10
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Rēzekne FA) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rēzekne FARēzekne FA

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W11D02L02L11D01L01L00D01LH·SKA21/09A·AUG27/09H·MĀR05/10A·RIG18/10H·LEE26/10A·SMI01/11H·PRO08/11A·SMI19/07H·MĀR25/07A·LEE01/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.930.360.640.691.19
vs Stronger (8)0.250.620.000.750.500.50
vs Similar (14)0.710.640.710.570.710.71
vs Weaker (8)0.501.750.000.670.802.40
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Skanste) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Skanste over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skanste over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skanste over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rēzekne FA over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rēzekne FA over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rēzekne FA over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SkansteSkanste

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W00D02L00D02L30W02L01L21WA·RĒZ21/09A·MĀR28/09H·LEE04/10A·PRO18/10H·JFK25/10A·OGR01/11H·TUK08/11H·VAL18/07A·LEE25/07H·MĀR01/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.631.000.620.790.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.600.900.670.830.501.00
vs Weaker (20)1.050.501.200.500.900.50
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Rēzekne FA) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rēzekne FARēzekne FA

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D40W10W04L10W11D33D00D12L11DH·SKA21/09A·AUG27/09H·MĀR05/10A·RIG18/10H·LEE26/10A·SMI01/11H·PRO08/11A·SMI19/07H·MĀR25/07A·LEE01/08
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.170.861.070.691.25
vs Stronger (8)0.380.880.250.750.501.00
vs Similar (14)1.071.501.291.570.861.43
vs Weaker (8)0.620.880.670.330.601.20
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Skanste) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Skanste over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skanste over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skanste over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rēzekne FA over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rēzekne FA over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rēzekne FA over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.587.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SN2 (3)
€0m
M/L (4)
€0m
L/P (1)
€0m
RFI (1)
€0m
TI (2)
€0m
JA (1)
€0m
RM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SN2 (2)
€0m
M/L (1)
€0m
RFI (1)
€0m
TI (1)
€0m
L/P (0)
€0m
JA (0)
€0m
RM (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SN2 (1)
€0m
M/L (1)
€0m
L/P (1)
€0m
RM (1)
€0m
JA (0)
€0m
RFI (0)
€0m
TI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
M/L (2)
€0m
JA (1)
€0m
TI (1)
€0m
L/P (0)
€0m
SN2 (0)
€0m
RFI (0)
€0m
RM (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
6
SKA wins
1
Draws
1
RF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Skanste vs Rēzekne FA · H/A from SKA
DateH/AGameScore
21/09/25ARēzekne FA Vs SKA1-2
10/05/25HSKA Vs Rēzekne FA1-1
01/09/24ARēzekne FA Vs SKA1-0
04/05/24HSKA Vs Rēzekne FA6-0
24/09/23HSKA Vs Rēzekne FA9-0
20/05/23ARēzekne FA Vs SKA0-2
08/10/22HSKA Vs Rēzekne FA1-0
27/05/22ARēzekne FA Vs SKA0-4

SkansteSkanste

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/08/26HSKA Vs Mārupe4-2
25/07/26ALeevon / PPK Vs SKA2-1
18/07/26HSKA Vs Valmiera / BSS0-3
08/11/25HSKA Vs Tukums II6-2
01/11/25AOgre United Vs SKA3-0
25/10/25HSKA Vs JFK Ventspils0-0
18/10/25AProgress / AFA Olaine Vs SKA3-0
04/10/25HSKA Vs Leevon / PPK1-1
28/09/25AMārupe Vs SKA0-1
21/09/25ARēzekne FA Vs SKA1-2

Rēzekne FARēzekne FA

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/08/26ALeevon / PPK Vs RF2-1
25/07/26HRF Vs Mārupe1-2
19/07/26ASmiltene Vs RF1-0
08/11/25HRF Vs Progress / AFA Olaine3-4
01/11/25ASmiltene Vs RF2-2
26/10/25HRF Vs Leevon / PPK1-2
18/10/25ARiga Mariners Vs RF6-0
05/10/25HRF Vs Mārupe2-1
27/09/25AAugšdaugava Vs RF0-5
21/09/25HRF Vs Skanste1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Skanste
Skanste
Latvia: 1. Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLW1.54
HomeDDWLW1.64
AwayWWLLL1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%48%44%
AVG goals2.883.002.76
Over 1.5 %70%72%68%
Over 2.5 %58%52%64%
Over 3.5 %28%28%28%
Scored1.441.681.20
Conceded1.441.321.56
BTTS44%40%48%
Clean Sheet28%36%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Rēzekne FA
Rēzekne FA
Latvia: 1. Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLL0.82
HomeLWLLL0.88
AwayWLDLL0.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%24%16%
AVG goals3.603.243.96
Over 1.5 %88%80%96%
Over 2.5 %70%68%72%
Over 3.5 %38%28%48%
Scored1.060.961.16
Conceded2.542.282.80
BTTS58%56%60%
Clean Sheet10%16%4%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Valmiera / BSSValmiera / BSS618
100%
3.0
224+18
4.3
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.70.7
-
2Metta / LUMetta / LU616
83%
2.7
353+32
6.3
100%
83%
83%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0005.80.5
-
3Leevon / PPKLeevon / PPK515
100%
3.0
115+6
3.2
80%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.0
-
4JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts614
67%
2.3
124+8
2.7
100%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.7
-
5Riga MarinersRiga Mariners513
80%
2.6
145+9
3.8
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.81.0
-
6SkansteSkanste610
50%
1.7
1711+6
4.7
100%
83%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.81.8
-
7MārupeMārupe76
29%
0.9
717-10
3.4
86%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.4
-
8SmilteneSmiltene66
33%
1.0
920-11
4.8
83%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.53.3
-
9Super Nova 2Super Nova 275
14%
0.7
711-4
2.6
100%
57%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
10Riga FC IIRiga FC II65
17%
0.8
612-6
3.0
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
11Tukums IITukums II54
20%
0.8
720-13
5.4
100%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.44.0
-
12Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II63
17%
0.5
925-16
5.7
100%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.54.2
-
13JFK VentspilsJFK Ventspils52
0%
0.4
49-5
2.6
100%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.8
-
14Rēzekne FARēzekne FA60
0%
0.0
418-14
3.7
83%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.73.0
-
Latvia: 1. Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Latvia: 1. Liga stats & trends →

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