Skenderbeu Korce vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Result & Analysis

Skenderbeu Korce’s defensive record at home shows a solid 0.6 goals conceded per game, while their 1.5 goals scored average suggests a cautious approach. Egnatia Rrogozhinë, on the road, averages 1.7 goals for and 1.0 against against similar opposition, indicating a slightly more aggressive style. The model projects a tight 2-goal encounter, with the most probable total of two goals. The single most likely scoreline is a 0-1 result, carrying a 14.9% chance. The predicted outcome favours the away side, with a 49% chance of victory, a 31% draw probability, and a 20% chance of a home win. The expected total of 2.1 goals aligns with the low-scoring forecast. Suggested picks include the Under 3.5 goal selection, with an 83.5% probability of success. Skenderbeu Korce entered the match after a defeat, while Egnatia Rrogozhinë came off an unbeaten streak of five games.

The pre-match favourite, an away win for Egnatia Rrogozhinë with a 49% probability, failed to materialise as the match ended 1-1, a draw that extended Skenderbeu Korce’s recent winless run and capped Egnatia’s unbeaten streak. The model’s prediction was therefore wrong. The model’s selection of Under 3.5 goals, with an 83.5% chance, proved correct, as the total of two goals fell well below the threshold. No other suggested picks were listed. The final score of 1-1 matched the model’s most likely outcome of a 1-1 draw, but the away win call did not.