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Skenderbeu Korce vs Laci Prediction & Stats

Date: 28/10/2026
Time: 16:00
Skenderbeu Korce
Skenderbeu Korce
Vs
24%
32%
44%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Laci
Laci
Albania: Superliga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Skenderbeu Korce are set to host Laci in a tightly contested Albanian Superliga fixture, with defensive figures hinting at a low-scoring affair. The model projects a 26% chance of a home win, a 32% chance of a draw, and a 42% chance of an away victory, making an away win the most likely outcome. On average, Skenderbeu Korce will score 0.75 goals and concede 0.75 against a similar-strength opponent, while Laci, playing away, will average 1.33 goals scored and only 0.17 conceded. The expected total goals hover around 2.1, with a 28% probability that exactly two goals will be scored. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14.5% chance. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.8%), Under 6.5 (99.4%), Home under 3.5 goals (98.6%), Under 5.5 (97.8%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.3%), Home under 2.5 goals (93.6%), Under 4.5 (93.4%), and Away +2 handicap (90.7%). Skenderbeu Korce’s recent draw and Laci’s unbeaten streak add intrigue, but the odds favor Laci to edge the match.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Skenderbeu Korce win
23.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
32.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Laci win
44.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W00D10W10W10W40W11D01L22D01LA·APO14/03H·KOR18/03A·BES22/03H·ILI04/04A·BUR11/04H·KAS19/04A·POG25/04H·LAC04/05A·VLL21/08H·DIN31/08← 1st DivisionSuperliga →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.700.901.800.931.600.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.111.220.501.001.601.40
vs Weaker (21)1.950.762.270.911.600.60
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Laci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LaciLaci

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W53W11D31W21W20W21W10W11D21WA·KOR14/03H·BES18/03A·ILI22/03H·BUR04/04A·KAS11/04H·POG19/04H·FK 25/04A·SKE04/05H·AF 22/08A·PAR29/08← 1st DivisionSuperliga →
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.870.702.000.881.710.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.640.641.881.001.330.17
vs Weaker (16)2.060.752.120.752.000.75
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Skenderbeu Korce) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%14%024%128%218%39%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
61.8%
Under 1.5
38.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
33.4%
Under 2.5
66.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
15.0%
Under 3.5
85.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
40.8%
No
59.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
14.5%
1-1
14.3%
0-0
14.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
5.4%
2-0
4.4%
Skenderbeu Korce goals ↓
Laci goals →
01234
014%15%9.6%3.9%1.2%
19.4%14%7.9%3.2%1.0%
24.4%5.4%3.3%1.3%0.4%
31.2%1.5%0.9%0.4%0.1%
40.2%0.3%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Skenderbeu Korce goals (down), columns = Laci goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
AF Elbasani
1.74
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.69
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.62
Partizani
1.33
Dinamo Tirana
1.33
Tirana
1.22
Teuta Durrës
1.22
Vora
1.17
Skenderbeu Korce
1.17
Laci
1.09
Skenderbeu Korce is 0.07 points better than Laci in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.09).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
AF Elbasani
1.36
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.28
Dinamo Tirana
1.15
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.13
Vora
1.08
Partizani
1.06
Tirana
1.00
Skenderbeu Korce
0.91
Teuta Durrës
0.89
Laci
0.85
Skenderbeu Korce is 0.06 goals better than Laci in terms of goals scored per game (0.91 vs 0.85).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vllaznia Shkodër
0.85
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
0.90
Dinamo Tirana
0.97
Teuta Durrës
1.00
AF Elbasani
1.08
Vora
1.11
Skenderbeu Korce
1.21
Tirana
1.28
Laci
1.29
Partizani
1.33
Skenderbeu Korce is 0.08 goals better than Laci in terms of goals conceded per game (1.21 vs 1.29).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Skenderbeu Korce or Draw
55.9%
Avg Implied -
24%
32%
44%
covers Skenderbeu Korce + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce or Laci
67.7%
Avg Implied -
24%
32%
44%
covers Skenderbeu Korce + Laci
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Laci
76.3%
Avg Implied -
24%
32%
44%
covers Draw + Laci
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 0.5
Over
56.0%
Under
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 1.5
Over
19.9%
Under
80.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 2.5
Over
5.1%
Under
94.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 3.5
Over
1.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 0.5
Over
70.4%
Under
29.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 1.5
Over
34.4%
Under
65.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 2.5
Over
12.4%
Under
87.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 3.5
Over
3.5%
Under
96.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Skenderbeu Korce, so a minus line means Skenderbeu Korce give that many goals of a start and Laci receive them. At -1, Skenderbeu Korce must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Skenderbeu Korce win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Skenderbeu Korce)
Skenderbeu Korce -2
1.9%
Draw -2
6.1%
Laci +2
92.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Skenderbeu Korce)
Skenderbeu Korce -1
8.0%
Draw -1
15.7%
Laci +1
76.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Skenderbeu Korce)
Skenderbeu Korce +1
55.9%
Draw +1
23.9%
Laci -1
20.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Skenderbeu Korce)
Skenderbeu Korce +2
79.8%
Draw +2
13.3%
Laci -2
6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D00D00D20W10W00D00D00DA·APO14/03H·KOR18/03A·BES22/03H·ILI04/04A·BUR11/04H·KAS19/04A·POG25/04H·LAC04/05A·VLL21/08H·DIN31/08← 1st DivisionSuperliga →
Avg total
0.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.400.800.330.530.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.220.330.250.000.200.60
vs Weaker (21)0.860.431.000.450.700.40
Clean sheet %77% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Laci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LaciLaci

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D30W01L11D20W10W01L00D00D10WA·KOR14/03H·BES18/03A·ILI22/03H·BUR04/04A·KAS11/04H·POG19/04H·FK 25/04A·SKE04/05H·AF 22/08A·PAR29/08← 1st DivisionSuperliga →
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.230.940.250.640.21
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.860.071.120.120.500.00
vs Weaker (16)0.750.380.750.380.750.38
Clean sheet %80% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Skenderbeu Korce) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D10W10W10W20W01L01L22D01LA·APO14/03H·KOR18/03A·BES22/03H·ILI04/04A·BUR11/04H·KAS19/04A·POG25/04H·LAC04/05A·VLL21/08H·DIN31/08← 1st DivisionSuperliga →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.501.000.601.070.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.890.890.251.001.400.80
vs Weaker (21)1.100.331.270.450.900.20
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Laci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LaciLaci

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W23L10W20W01L10W20W10W11D11DA·KOR14/03H·BES18/03A·ILI22/03H·BUR04/04A·KAS11/04H·POG19/04H·FK 25/04A·SKE04/05H·AF 22/08A·PAR29/08← 1st DivisionSuperliga →
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.471.060.621.070.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.790.570.750.880.830.17
vs Weaker (16)1.310.381.380.381.250.38
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Skenderbeu Korce) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.9%-------
Under 6.599.5%-------
Home under 3.5 goals99.0%-------
Under 5.598.2%-------
Away under 3.5 goals96.5%-------
Home under 2.5 goals94.9%-------
Under 4.594.4%-------
Away +2 handicap92.0%-------
Away under 2.5 goals87.6%-------
Under 3.585.0%-------
Home under 1.5 goals80.1%-------
Home +2 handicap79.8%-------
Draw or Away76.3%-------
Away +1 handicap76.3%-------
Away over 0.5 goals70.4%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (24)
€7m
DT (27)
€7m
TD (22)
€6m
PAR (29)
€5m
AE (25)
€5m
TIR (20)
€5m
VS (23)
€4m
SK (27)
€4m
VOR (25)
€4m
LAC (22)
€3m
Skenderbeu Korce and Laci have a similar squad value (both €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
PAR (13)
€2m
TD (9)
€2m
AE (10)
€2m
TIR (7)
€2m
ER (6)
€2m
VOR (10)
€2m
SK (9)
€2m
LAC (6)
€1m
VS (6)
€1m
Skenderbeu Korce and Laci have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (5)
€2m
ER (5)
€1m
VS (7)
€1m
TIR (5)
€1m
AE (5)
€1m
LAC (6)
€1m
TD (4)
€1m
PAR (5)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
VOR (4)
€1m
Skenderbeu Korce and Laci have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (13)
€3m
TD (9)
€3m
VS (10)
€3m
TIR (8)
€2m
DT (11)
€2m
AE (10)
€2m
PAR (11)
€2m
SK (12)
€2m
LAC (10)
€1m
VOR (11)
€1m
Skenderbeu Korce and Laci have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
SK wins
1
Draws
4
LAC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Skenderbeu Korce vs Laci · H/A from SK
DateH/AGameScore
04/05/26HSK Vs Laci0-1
13/12/25ALaci Vs SK2-1
26/09/25HSK Vs Laci1-0
06/04/25ALaci Vs SK1-2
10/02/25HSK Vs Laci0-2
30/11/24ALaci Vs SK1-0
21/09/24HSK Vs Laci2-1
08/05/24HSK Vs Laci1-1

Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/26HSK Vs Dinamo Tirana0-1
21/08/26AVllaznia Shkodër Vs SK2-2
04/05/26HSK Vs Laci0-1
25/04/26APogradeci Vs SK1-1
19/04/26HSK Vs Kastrioti Krujë4-0
11/04/26ABurreli Vs SK0-1
04/04/26HSK Vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë1-0
22/03/26ABesa Kavajë Vs SK0-1
18/03/26HSK Vs Korabi Peshkopi0-0
14/03/26AApolonia Fier Vs SK0-1

LaciLaci

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26APartizani Vs LAC1-2
22/08/26HLAC Vs AF Elbasani1-1
04/05/26ASkenderbeu Korce Vs LAC0-1
25/04/26HLAC Vs FK Kukesi2-1
19/04/26HLAC Vs Pogradeci2-0
11/04/26AKastrioti Krujë Vs LAC1-2
04/04/26HLAC Vs Burreli3-1
22/03/26AIliria Fushë-Krujë Vs LAC1-1
18/03/26HLAC Vs Besa Kavajë5-3
14/03/26AKorabi Peshkopi Vs LAC0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Skenderbeu Korce
Skenderbeu Korce
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLDL2.00
HomeDWWLL2.04
AwayWWWDD1.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%64%56%
AVG goals2.382.642.12
Over 1.5 %64%72%56%
Over 2.5 %46%52%40%
Over 3.5 %18%20%16%
Scored1.541.721.36
Conceded0.840.920.76
BTTS46%48%44%
Clean Sheet44%40%48%
Corners---
Cards---
Laci
Laci
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDW2.00
HomeWWWWD2.20
AwayWDWWW1.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%64%52%
AVG goals2.362.642.08
Over 1.5 %70%80%60%
Over 2.5 %46%56%36%
Over 3.5 %16%20%12%
Scored1.541.801.28
Conceded0.820.840.80
BTTS52%64%40%
Clean Sheet36%32%40%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë26
100%
3.0
61+5
3.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2133.00.5
-
2Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës24
50%
2.0
31+2
2.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.50.5
-
3LaciLaci24
50%
2.0
32+1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.51.0
-
4Dinamo TiranaDinamo Tirana23
50%
1.5
11+0
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3220.50.5
-
5VoraVora23
50%
1.5
23-1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.01.5
-
6Vllaznia ShkodërVllaznia Shkodër22
0%
1.0
33+0
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1131.51.5
-
7AF ElbasaniAF Elbasani22
0%
1.0
22+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.0
-
8Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce21
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.01.5
-
9PartizaniPartizani21
0%
0.5
12-1
1.5
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2120.51.0
-
10TiranaTirana20
0%
0.0
16-5
3.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2120.53.0
-
Albania: Superliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Albania: Superliga stats & trends →

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