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Skenderbeu Korce vs Teuta Durrës Result & Analysis

Date: 25/01/2025
Time: 15:30
Final 2-1
Skenderbeu Korce
Skenderbeu Korce
Vs
35%
32%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Teuta Durrës
Teuta Durrës
Albania: Superliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Skenderbeu Korce win✓ Hit
35.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
32.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës win✗ Miss
32.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L11D22D01L00D01L22D02L11D04LA·VLL03/11A·TEU09/11H·DIN23/11A·LAC30/11H·TIR05/12A·EGN08/12H·BYL15/12H·AF 20/12A·PAR11/01H·VLL19/01
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.270.941.381.001.14
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.931.360.931.470.921.23
vs Weaker (2)1.500.001.000.002.000.00
Clean sheet %20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Teuta Durrës) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D11D12L02L11D00D21W00D13L02LA·PAR04/11H·SKE09/11A·VLL23/11A·DIN30/11H·LAC04/12A·TIR09/12H·EGN15/12H·BYL22/12A·AF 11/01H·PAR19/01
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.070.870.871.001.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)0.901.100.870.870.931.36
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Skenderbeu Korce) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%022%128%219%311%45%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
65.1%
Under 1.5
34.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
36.9%
Under 2.5
63.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.4%
Under 3.5
82.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.1%
No
54.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.8%
0-0
12.8%
1-0
11.3%
0-1
10.8%
2-1 ✓
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.5%
Skenderbeu Korce goals ↓
Teuta Durrës goals →
01234
013%11%6.5%2.3%0.6%
111%15%7.1%2.5%0.7%
27.0%7.4%3.9%1.4%0.4%
32.6%2.7%1.5%0.5%0.1%
40.7%0.8%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Skenderbeu Korce goals (down), columns = Teuta Durrës goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.66
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.58
Partizani
1.50
Dinamo Tirana
1.45
AF Elbasani
1.39
Teuta Durrës
1.22
Bylis
1.17
Tirana
1.08
Skenderbeu Korce
1.06
Laci
1.03
Skenderbeu Korce is 0.17 points worse than Teuta Durrës in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 1.22).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.47
Dinamo Tirana
1.34
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.34
Tirana
1.19
AF Elbasani
1.11
Partizani
1.05
Skenderbeu Korce
0.97
Bylis
0.92
Laci
0.86
Teuta Durrës
0.81
Skenderbeu Korce is 0.17 goals better than Teuta Durrës in terms of goals scored per game (0.97 vs 0.81).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
0.79
Partizani
0.89
Laci
1.03
AF Elbasani
1.06
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.16
Teuta Durrës
1.17
Dinamo Tirana
1.18
Tirana
1.22
Skenderbeu Korce
1.25
Bylis
1.39
Skenderbeu Korce is 0.08 goals worse than Teuta Durrës in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 1.17).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L10W21W01L00D00D10W00D01L01LA·VLL03/11A·TEU09/11H·DIN23/11A·LAC30/11H·TIR05/12A·EGN08/12H·BYL15/12H·AF 20/12A·PAR11/01H·VLL19/01
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.430.620.310.430.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.500.460.600.330.380.62
vs Weaker (2)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Teuta Durrës) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L01L01L01L01L00D10W00D10W00DA·PAR04/11H·SKE09/11A·VLL23/11A·DIN30/11H·LAC04/12A·TIR09/12H·EGN15/12H·BYL22/12A·AF 11/01H·PAR19/01
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.430.270.400.400.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)0.310.450.270.400.360.50
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Skenderbeu Korce) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L01L00D00D01L12L02L10W03LA·VLL03/11A·TEU09/11H·DIN23/11A·LAC30/11H·TIR05/12A·EGN08/12H·BYL15/12H·AF 20/12A·PAR11/01H·VLL19/01
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.830.311.060.570.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.430.890.331.130.540.62
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Teuta Durrës) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W11D01L10W00D11D00D03L02LA·PAR04/11H·SKE09/11A·VLL23/11A·DIN30/11H·LAC04/12A·TIR09/12H·EGN15/12H·BYL22/12A·AF 11/01H·PAR19/01
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.630.600.470.600.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)0.590.660.600.470.570.86
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Skenderbeu Korce) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.582.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (24)
€7m
DT (27)
€7m
TD (22)
€6m
PAR (29)
€5m
AE (25)
€5m
TIR (20)
€5m
VS (23)
€4m
SK (27)
€4m
LAC (22)
€3m
Skenderbeu Korce's squad is €2m less valuable than Teuta Durrës's (€4m vs €6m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
PAR (13)
€2m
TD (9)
€2m
AE (10)
€2m
TIR (7)
€2m
ER (6)
€2m
SK (9)
€2m
LAC (6)
€1m
VS (6)
€1m
Skenderbeu Korce and Teuta Durrës have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (5)
€2m
ER (5)
€1m
VS (7)
€1m
TIR (5)
€1m
AE (5)
€1m
LAC (6)
€1m
TD (4)
€1m
PAR (5)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
Skenderbeu Korce and Teuta Durrës have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (13)
€3m
TD (9)
€3m
VS (10)
€3m
TIR (8)
€2m
DT (11)
€2m
AE (10)
€2m
PAR (11)
€2m
SK (12)
€2m
LAC (10)
€1m
Skenderbeu Korce's defence is €1m less valuable than Teuta Durrës's (€2m vs €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
1
SK wins
1
Draws
4
TD wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Skenderbeu Korce vs Teuta Durrës · H/A from SK
DateH/AGameScore
09/11/24ATeuta Durrës Vs SK1-1
11/09/24HSK Vs Teuta Durrës2-3
13/04/24HSK Vs Teuta Durrës0-1
03/02/24ATeuta Durrës Vs SK3-0
24/11/23HSK Vs Teuta Durrës3-1
19/09/23ATeuta Durrës Vs SK1-0

Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/01/25HSK Vs Vllaznia Shkodër0-4
11/01/25APartizani Vs SK1-1
20/12/24HSK Vs AF Elbasani0-2
15/12/24HSK Vs Bylis2-2
08/12/24AEgnatia Rrogozhinë Vs SK1-0
05/12/24HSK Vs Tirana0-0
30/11/24ALaci Vs SK1-0
23/11/24HSK Vs Dinamo Tirana2-2
09/11/24ATeuta Durrës Vs SK1-1
03/11/24AVllaznia Shkodër Vs SK2-0

Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/01/25HTD Vs Partizani0-2
11/01/25AAF Elbasani Vs TD3-1
22/12/24HTD Vs Bylis0-0
15/12/24HTD Vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë2-1
09/12/24ATirana Vs TD0-0
04/12/24HTD Vs Laci1-1
30/11/24ADinamo Tirana Vs TD2-0
23/11/24AVllaznia Shkodër Vs TD2-1
09/11/24HTD Vs Skenderbeu Korce1-1
04/11/24APartizani Vs TD1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Skenderbeu Korce
Skenderbeu Korce
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 0 Wins / 5 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLDL1.16
HomeDDDLL1.35
AwayLDLLD0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%35%25%
AVG goals2.282.042.54
Over 1.5 %62%54%71%
Over 2.5 %34%27%42%
Over 3.5 %20%23%17%
Scored1.020.961.08
Conceded1.261.081.46
BTTS42%38%46%
Clean Sheet24%31%17%
Corners---
Cards---
Teuta Durrës
Teuta Durrës
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDLL1.30
HomeDDWDL1.44
AwayDLLDL1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%36%28%
AVG goals2.041.962.12
Over 1.5 %62%60%64%
Over 2.5 %38%36%40%
Over 3.5 %16%12%20%
Scored0.981.080.88
Conceded1.060.881.24
BTTS42%44%40%
Clean Sheet36%36%36%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë3863
45%
1.7
5130+21
2.1
74%
34%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2131.30.8
-
2Vllaznia ShkodërVllaznia Shkodër3860
42%
1.6
5644+12
2.6
79%
55%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1131.51.2
-
3PartizaniPartizani3857
37%
1.5
4034+6
1.9
68%
26%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.10.9
-
4Dinamo TiranaDinamo Tirana3855
37%
1.4
5145+6
2.5
82%
50%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.31.2
-
5AF ElbasaniAF Elbasani3650
31%
1.4
4038+2
2.2
75%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.11.1
-
6Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës3644
28%
1.2
2942-13
2.0
64%
39%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2130.81.2
-
7BylisBylis3642
31%
1.2
3350-17
2.3
64%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
8TiranaTirana3639
19%
1.1
4344-1
2.4
72%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.21.2
-
9Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce3638
25%
1.1
3545-10
2.2
69%
42%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.01.2
-
10LaciLaci3637
22%
1.0
3137-6
1.9
58%
33%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.91.0
-
Albania: Superliga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Albania: Superliga stats & trends →

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