SKN ST. Polten are tipped to win, with a 46% chance of a home victory, 30% for a draw and 24% for Austria Salzburg. The average total goals is 2.3, so a 2-goal match is most likely, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, a 14% chance. Polten’s home form shows 1.5 goals scored and 0.71 conceded against similar opposition, while Salzburg, away, averages 1.07 scored and 1.21 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.7%), Under 6.5 (99.1% with a 7% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.8%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.6% with a 6% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.7% with a 6% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.6% with a 3% edge), Under 5.5 (97.0% with a 7% edge) and Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.4% with a 7% edge). Polten, after four straight defeats, lost 0-1 to Wacker Innsbruck, whereas Salzburg, fresh from a win, edged SV Kapfenberg 3-2.
Results analysis
The win extends SKN ST. Polten’s recent run, their last five games ending with a victory over Austria Salzburg. The model predicted a home win with a 46% probability, and the result matched the forecast. The final score was 1-0, confirming the home advantage. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5 hit at 99.7%, Under 6.5 hit at 99.1%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.8%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 98.6%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.7%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.6%, Under 5.5 hit at 97.0%, and Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 96.4%. All eight selections settled in the model’s favour.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
SKN ST. Polten win✓ Hit
46.3%
Avg Implied 47.0% · @ 1.97
Edge
-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
2.20
Pinnacle
2.20
Superbet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.06
Dafabet
2.04
Draw✗ Miss
30.0%
Avg Implied 26.7% · @ 3.47
Edge
+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.66
Pinnacle
3.59
10Bet
3.55
BetVictor
3.50
Unibet
3.50
Austria Salzburg win✗ Miss
23.7%
Avg Implied 26.3% · @ 3.51
Edge
-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
4.00
1xBet
3.90
BetVictor
3.80
William Hil
3.70
Unibet
3.60
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
SKN ST. Polten
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.97
1.38
0.69
1.00
1.29
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (25)
1.28
0.96
1.50
0.71
1.00
1.27
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.33
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Salzburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Austria Salzburg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.23
1.71
1.14
1.38
1.31
vs Stronger (2)
2.00
1.50
2.00
0.00
2.00
3.00
vs Similar (27)
1.37
1.22
1.69
1.23
1.07
1.21
vs Weaker (1)
5.00
1.00
-
-
5.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (SKN ST. Polten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
68.0%
@ 1.24-6.6%
Under 1.5
32.0%
@ 3.65+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.27
Betano
1.27
BetVictor
1.25
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Under
Betfair
4.00
BetVictor
3.75
Pinnacle
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.65
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.2%
@ 1.81-11.5%
Under 2.5
59.8%
@ 1.94+11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.86
Bet365
1.85
SBO
1.84
Marathonbet
1.83
Betano
1.83
Under
SBO
2.00
Pinnacle
1.97
1xBet
1.96
Superbet
1.95
10Bet
1.95
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.9%
@ 3.00-10.9%
Under 3.5
80.1%
@ 1.34+10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.11
BetVictor
3.10
Unibet
3.05
Bet365
3.00
10Bet
3.00
Under
10Bet
1.36
Superbet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.1%
@ 1.68-8.7%
No
53.9%
@ 2.04+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.70
William Hil
1.70
1xBet
1.69
Unibet
1.68
No
Superbet
2.10
Betfair
2.10
Marathonbet
2.06
BetVictor
2.05
Betano
2.05
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%@ 6.11+7.0%
1-0 ✓
12.6%@ 6.96+6.4%
0-0
11.4%@ 9.98+7.1%
2-0
9.6%@ 8.47+4.5%
2-1
8.8%@ 7.39+2.9%
0-1
8.0%@ 10.30+3.8%
1-2
5.8%@ 10.85+1.9%
3-0
4.4%@ 14.74+1.5%
SKN ST. Polten goals ↓
Austria Salzburg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
8.0%
4.2%
1.3%
0.3%
1
13%
14%
5.8%
1.8%
0.4%
2
9.6%
8.8%
4.0%
1.2%
0.3%
3
4.4%
4.0%
1.8%
0.6%
0.1%
4
1.5%
1.4%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = SKN ST. Polten goals (down), columns = Austria Salzburg goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC BW Linz
2.40
Floridsdorfer AC
2.00
First Vienna
2.00
FC Liefering
2.00
Austria Salzburg
1.80
Wacker Innsbruck
1.80
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.80
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.40
Rapid Wien II
1.20
Sturm Graz II
1.20
Admira Wacker
1.20
SKU Amstetten
1.20
Voitsberg
1.00
WSPG Wels
0.80
SKN ST. Polten
0.60
SV Kapfenberg
0.60
SKN ST. Polten is 1.20 points worse than Austria Salzburg in terms of average points per game (0.60 vs 1.80).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Liefering
2.60
FC BW Linz
2.60
Sturm Graz II
2.00
Austria Salzburg
2.00
Floridsdorfer AC
1.80
First Vienna
1.80
Voitsberg
1.40
Wacker Innsbruck
1.40
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.40
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.20
SV Kapfenberg
1.20
Rapid Wien II
1.20
WSPG Wels
1.20
Admira Wacker
1.20
SKU Amstetten
1.20
SKN ST. Polten
0.20
SKN ST. Polten is 1.80 goals worse than Austria Salzburg in terms of goals scored per game (0.20 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC BW Linz
0.60
SKN ST. Polten
0.80
Wacker Innsbruck
1.00
Admira Wacker
1.00
Floridsdorfer AC
1.20
First Vienna
1.20
SKU Amstetten
1.20
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.20
Austria Salzburg
1.40
FC Liefering
1.60
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
2.00
Voitsberg
2.00
WSPG Wels
2.00
Rapid Wien II
2.20
SV Kapfenberg
2.40
Sturm Graz II
2.60
SKN ST. Polten is 0.60 goals better than Austria Salzburg in terms of goals conceded per game (0.80 vs 1.40).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
SKN ST. Polten
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Austria Salzburg
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
SKN ST. Polten
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
12.2
12.8
11.0
0.7
1.2
0.3
18.6
18.7
18.3
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (41)
12.2
12.8
11.0
0.9
1.4
0.3
18.6
18.7
18.3
vs Weaker (8)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
56%
67%
33%
8%
16%
0%
22%
17%
33%
% under line
44%
33%
67%
92%
84%
100%
78%
83%
67%
This opponent (Austria Salzburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Austria Salzburg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (37)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (34)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (SKN ST. Polten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
SKN ST. Polten
10.6
Austria Vienna (Am)
10.5
FC Liefering
10.3
SV Kapfenberg
10.3
SKU Amstetten
10.2
First Vienna
10.1
Floridsdorfer AC
10.0
Rapid Wien II
9.7
Voitsberg
9.0
FC BW Linz
8.8
Admira Wacker
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SV Kapfenberg
6.5
Voitsberg
5.7
SKN ST. Polten
5.5
Floridsdorfer AC
5.4
SKU Amstetten
5.3
First Vienna
5.0
FC Liefering
4.9
Admira Wacker
4.7
FC BW Linz
4.6
Austria Vienna (Am)
4.3
Rapid Wien II
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
First Vienna
26.4
Floridsdorfer AC
26.0
Voitsberg
25.3
Austria Vienna (Am)
25.2
FC Liefering
25.1
SV Kapfenberg
24.1
SKU Amstetten
23.8
Rapid Wien II
23.8
Admira Wacker
23.3
SKN ST. Polten
22.5
FC BW Linz
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
51.4%
@ 1.95+3.6%
Under 9.5
48.6%
@ 1.78-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.03
Bet365
2.00
Marathonbet
1.93
1xBet
1.93
Superbet
1.90
Under
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.80
Superbet
1.80
1xBet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.76
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
73.0%
Under 3.5
27.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
62.0%
Under 21.5
38.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
SKN ST. Polten or Draw✓ Hit
76.3%
Avg Implied 74.8% · @ 1.24
Edge
+1.5%
46%
30%
24%
covers SKN ST. Polten + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Betano
1.29
Betfair
1.29
BetVictor
1.25
SKN ST. Polten or Austria Salzburg✓ Hit
70.0%
Avg Implied 74.3% · @ 1.25
Edge
-4.3%
46%
30%
24%
covers SKN ST. Polten + Austria Salzburg
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
Superbet
1.27
Draw or Austria Salzburg✗ Miss
53.7%
Avg Implied 50.9% · @ 1.82
Edge
+2.8%
46%
30%
24%
covers Draw + Austria Salzburg
Best 5 market prices
SBO
1.97
10Bet
1.95
Bet365
1.91
1xBet
1.89
William Hil
1.85
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
74.8%
@ 1.18-4.2%
Under
25.2%
@ 4.43+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.22
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.20
10Bet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Under
1xBet
4.85
BetVictor
4.60
10Bet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
SKN ST. Polten over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
40.0%
@ 1.94-8.1%
Under
60.0%
@ 1.79+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.13
Marathonbet
2.03
Betfair
2.00
Superbet
1.97
Betano
1.93
Under
10Bet
1.90
1xBet
1.88
Bet365
1.83
BetVictor
1.83
Betano
1.80
SKN ST. Polten over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
16.1%
@ 3.92-7.6%
Under
83.9%
@ 1.22+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.40
Pinnacle
4.12
Superbet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Betano
3.90
Under
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.23
BetVictor
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
SKN ST. Polten over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.1%
@ 8.27-6.2%
Under
94.9%
@ 1.06+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
9.50
Betano
7.80
Bet365
7.50
Under
Bet365
1.07
Betano
1.06
Betfair
1.04
Austria Salzburg over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
60.0%
@ 1.38-7.3%
Under
40.0%
@ 2.84+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.44
10Bet
1.44
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.41
BetVictor
1.40
Under
Pinnacle
3.26
Betfair
3.00
Marathonbet
2.98
Superbet
2.95
BetVictor
2.75
Austria Salzburg over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
23.3%
@ 2.91-8.8%
Under
76.7%
@ 1.38+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
10Bet
3.20
1xBet
3.10
BetVictor
3.00
Betano
2.85
Under
Pinnacle
1.48
Superbet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.41
Betfair
1.40
Betano
1.39
Austria Salzburg over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
6.5%
@ 7.05-6.6%
Under
93.5%
@ 1.07+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.60
Bet365
7.50
Marathonbet
7.10
Betfair
6.50
Betano
6.40
Under
Superbet
1.09
Betano
1.09
Betfair
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
Austria Salzburg over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.4%
@ 12.12-6.3%
Under
98.6%
@ 1.01+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to SKN ST. Polten, so a minus line means SKN ST. Polten give that many goals of a start and Austria Salzburg receive them. At -1, SKN ST. Polten must win by two or more to land; a one-goal SKN ST. Polten win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (SKN ST. Polten)Actual: Austria Salzburg
SKN ST. Polten -2
8.6%
@ 7.40-3.6%
Draw -2
14.3%
@ 5.58-1.9%
Austria Salzburg +2
77.1%
@ 1.26+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
8.60
Betfair
8.50
10Bet
6.50
Bet365
6.00
Draw
Marathonbet
6.30
Betfair
6.00
10Bet
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Away
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
Handicap -1 (SKN ST. Polten)Actual: Draw
SKN ST. Polten -1
22.9%
@ 3.50-2.8%
Draw -1
23.5%
@ 3.71-0.8%
Austria Salzburg +1
53.7%
@ 1.79+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
3.90
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.25
10Bet
3.10
Draw
Marathonbet
3.84
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.50
Away
10Bet
1.95
Bet365
1.80
Betfair
1.73
Marathonbet
1.69
Handicap +1 (SKN ST. Polten)Actual: SKN ST. Polten
SKN ST. Polten +1
76.3%
@ 1.25+4.0%
Draw +1
15.2%
@ 5.50-1.3%
Austria Salzburg -1
8.5%
@ 8.05-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.30
Bet365
1.20
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.00
Away
Bet365
9.00
Marathonbet
7.10
Handicap +2 (SKN ST. Polten)Actual: SKN ST. Polten
SKN ST. Polten +2
91.5%
@ 1.05+2.7%
Draw +2
6.3%
@ 13.00-0.9%
Austria Salzburg -2
2.2%
@ 23.00-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.05
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Away
Bet365
23.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
SKN ST. Polten
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.43
0.69
0.38
0.29
0.50
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.60
0.44
0.79
0.36
0.36
0.55
vs Weaker (4)
0.00
0.25
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Salzburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Austria Salzburg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.57
0.93
0.57
0.56
0.56
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.67
0.59
1.00
0.62
0.36
0.57
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (SKN ST. Polten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
65.7%
@ 1.34-3.4%
Under 0.5
34.3%
@ 3.02+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
Superbet
1.34
Under
Betfair
3.20
Pinnacle
3.16
10Bet
3.10
William Hil
3.10
Superbet
3.00
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
30.1%
@ 2.60-5.5%
Under 1.5
69.9%
@ 1.44+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.77
Betano
2.72
Marathonbet
2.66
Betfair
2.63
1xBet
2.62
Under
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.45
BetVictor
1.45
William Hil
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
9.9%
@ 6.32-4.8%
Under 2.5
90.1%
@ 1.08+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.00
Marathonbet
6.70
1xBet
6.55
Bet365
6.50
William Hil
6.00
Under
Superbet
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Betano
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Bet365
1.10
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
45.9%
@ 1.82-5.0%
Under
54.1%
@ 1.90+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.92
Betano
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
Superbet
1.83
1xBet
1.75
Under
10Bet
2.00
1xBet
1.95
Superbet
1.87
Pinnacle
1.87
Betano
1.85
SKN ST. Polten over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.8%
@ 5.12-6.4%
Under
88.2%
@ 1.14+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.90
1xBet
5.20
Betano
4.90
10Bet
4.50
Under
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
SKN ST. Polten over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.3%
@ 11.00-6.2%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.02+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
12.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.02
Austria Salzburg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
37.3%
@ 2.28-3.4%
Under
62.7%
@ 1.56+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.35
1xBet
2.30
10Bet
2.30
Pinnacle
2.28
Superbet
2.22
Under
Pinnacle
1.62
Superbet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.57
10Bet
1.55
Betano
1.53
Austria Salzburg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.6%
@ 8.10-3.8%
Under
92.4%
@ 1.05+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.00
Marathonbet
8.60
10Bet
8.00
Betano
6.80
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Austria Salzburg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
SKN ST. Polten
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.53
0.69
0.31
0.71
0.79
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.68
0.52
0.71
0.36
0.64
0.73
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.75
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Salzburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Austria Salzburg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.67
0.79
0.57
0.81
0.75
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (27)
0.70
0.63
0.69
0.62
0.71
0.64
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
1.00
-
-
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (SKN ST. Polten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
75.8%
@ 1.21-0.8%
Under 0.5
24.2%
@ 3.95+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Under
1xBet
4.10
Marathonbet
4.05
Superbet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Betano
3.85
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
38.9%
@ 2.01-7.3%
Under 1.5
61.1%
@ 1.73+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.03
1xBet
2.02
Bet365
2.00
William Hil
2.00
Under
Betano
1.75
William Hil
1.73
Bet365
1.73
1xBet
1.73
Superbet
1.72
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
14.3%
@ 4.11-8.2%
Under 2.5
85.7%
@ 1.19+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.33
1xBet
4.25
William Hil
4.20
Superbet
4.10
Bet365
4.00
Under
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.16
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
52.8%
@ 1.55-7.0%
Under
47.2%
@ 2.31+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.60
Betano
1.55
10Bet
1.53
1xBet
1.53
Under
10Bet
2.35
1xBet
2.35
Betano
2.32
Superbet
2.20
SKN ST. Polten over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
16.1%
@ 3.67-9.1%
Under
83.9%
@ 1.24+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.15
10Bet
3.55
Betano
3.50
1xBet
3.50
Under
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.19
SKN ST. Polten over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.6%
@ 8.83-6.9%
Under
96.4%
@ 1.03+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.70
10Bet
9.00
Betano
7.80
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Austria Salzburg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
43.9%
@ 1.96-3.4%
Under
56.1%
@ 1.75+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.10
1xBet
1.97
Betano
1.93
Superbet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.88
Under
Superbet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.80
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.74
10Bet
1.65
Austria Salzburg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
11.2%
@ 6.04-4.1%
Under
88.8%
@ 1.09+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
7.00
1xBet
6.00
Marathonbet
5.95
Betano
5.20
Under
Betano
1.13
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Austria Salzburg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.4%
@ 18.12-2.9%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.01+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+6.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.6%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+6.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.7%
1.02
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+6.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.6%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
97.0%
1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.01
-
+6.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.4%
1.03
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+6.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
94.9%
1.06
Bet365
1.07
Betano
1.06
Betfair
1.04
-
-
+6.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
93.5%
1.07
Superbet
1.09
Betano
1.09
Betfair
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
+6.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.4%
1.05
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
91.7%
1.11
Pinnacle
1.13
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.11
+8.3%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
91.5%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.1%
1.08
Superbet
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Betano
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Bet365
1.10
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
88.8%
1.09
Betano
1.13
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
10Bet
1.07
-
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.2%
1.14
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
-
+6.4%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
85.7%
1.19
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.16
+8.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
83.9%
1.24
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.19
-
+9.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
83.9%
1.22
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.23
BetVictor
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
+7.6%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
80.1%
1.34
10Bet
1.36
Superbet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
+10.9%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
77.1%
1.26
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
-
+5.5%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
76.7%
1.38
Pinnacle
1.48
Superbet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.41
Betfair
1.40
Betano
1.39
+8.8%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
76.3%
1.24
Marathonbet
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Betano
1.29
Betfair
1.29
BetVictor
1.25
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
76.3%
1.25
Marathonbet
1.30
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
75.8%
1.21
William Hil
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.21
-0.8%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
74.8%
1.18
Pinnacle
1.22
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.20
10Bet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
-4.2%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
72.2%
1.27
Superbet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.23
-
-
+0.2%
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FL (17)
€5m
FBL (21)
€5m
FV (24)
€5m
AV( (23)
€5m
SSP (20)
€4m
AW (23)
€4m
RWI (24)
€4m
SGI (22)
€4m
AS (22)
€4m
SB (22)
€3m
WW (19)
€3m
SA (20)
€3m
FA (19)
€3m
SK (23)
€3m
SKN ST. Polten and Austria Salzburg have a similar squad value (both €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FL (4)
€3m
RWI (12)
€2m
FBL (9)
€2m
AW (7)
€2m
AV( (7)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
SGI (7)
€1m
FV (7)
€1m
SB (9)
€1m
WW (7)
€1m
SA (7)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
AS (7)
€1m
SK (7)
€1m
SKN ST. Polten and Austria Salzburg have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FV (8)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
FBL (4)
€1m
FL (6)
€1m
FA (5)
€1m
AV( (5)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
SB (5)
€1m
SGI (6)
€1m
SA (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
WW (4)
€1m
RWI (4)
€1m
AS (4)
€1m
SKN ST. Polten and Austria Salzburg have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AV( (11)
€2m
AS (11)
€2m
FBL (8)
€2m
AW (11)
€2m
FV (9)
€2m
SGI (9)
€2m
FL (7)
€2m
WW (8)
€1m
SSP (8)
€1m
RWI (8)
€1m
SA (8)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
SK (10)
€1m
SKN ST. Polten and Austria Salzburg have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Austria: 2. Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: 2. Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC BW Linz
FC Liefering
First Vienna
Floridsdorfer AC
Wacker Innsbruck
Austria Vienna (Am)
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
Admira Wacker
SKU Amstetten
Sturm Graz II
Rapid Wien II
Voitsberg
WSPG Wels
SV Kapfenberg