This match between SKN St. Polten and Austria Vienna (Am) in the Austria: 2. Liga has an intriguing storyline, with Austria Vienna (Am) coming off a win against SKN St. Polten in their last encounter, while SKN St. Polten has struggled recently, suffering two consecutive defeats. However, the home side has a strong record at home, scoring an average of 2.36 goals and conceding just 0.73 against weaker opponents.
The model predicts a home win as the favourite, with a 52% chance of success, followed by a draw at 27%, and an away win at 21%. The expected total goals stand at 2.6, with the most likely score being 2 goals. The most likely score is a 1-1 draw, occurring 12.9% of the time.
The model's selection, the home win, is also the favourite, but the model has identified an edge in the Under 3.5 total goals, with a 73.6% chance of success and a 12% edge. The model's selection, the Under 3.5 total goals, is also the favourite, with a 73.6% chance of success. The model also suggests the Over 1.5 total goals, which has a 74.5% chance of success.
The upset of the day came as SKN ST. Polten's recent struggles at home continued, with the team suffering their third loss in a row after a 0-1 defeat to Austria Vienna (Am). This loss extends their run of consecutive home defeats to four games. The actual result was an away win for Austria Vienna (Am), which came as a surprise given the pre-match favourite was a home win, with a 52% probability of occurring. Unfortunately for the model, its selection was incorrect. The model's selection of a home win had a 52% probability, but the actual outcome was an away win. Meanwhile, the model's suggested picks included Under 3.5 goals, which hit with a 73.6% probability, and Over 1.5 goals, which missed with a 74.5% probability.
SKN ST. Polten| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.33 | 0.93 | 1.57 | 0.64 | 1.12 | 1.19 |
| vs Stronger (1) | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | - | - |
| vs Similar (24) | 1.42 | 0.88 | 1.75 | 0.67 | 1.08 | 1.08 |
| vs Weaker (5) | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheet % | 43% (+17pp vs league) | |||||
Austria Vienna (Am)| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.13 | 1.47 | 0.94 | 1.50 | 1.36 | 1.43 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| vs Similar (26) | 1.23 | 1.54 | 1.00 | 1.57 | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| vs Weaker (2) | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 20% (-6pp vs league) | |||||
| Austria Vienna (Am) goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 8.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 11% | 13% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 9.9% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
SKN ST. Polten
Austria Vienna (Am)
SKN ST. Polten| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 12.0 | 12.0 | 12.0 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 20.8 | 19.4 | 22.8 |
| vs Stronger (1) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (41) | 12.0 | 12.0 | 12.0 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 20.8 | 19.4 | 22.8 |
| vs Weaker (8) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| % over line | 58% | 57% | 60% | 14% | 21% | 8% | 42% | 29% | 60% |
| % under line | 42% | 43% | 40% | 86% | 79% | 92% | 58% | 71% | 40% |
Austria Vienna (Am)| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 10.8 | 10.3 | 11.2 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 26.1 | 26.6 | 25.6 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 13.0 | - | 13.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 19.0 | - | 19.0 |
| vs Similar (45) | 10.6 | 10.3 | 11.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 26.6 | 26.6 | 26.6 |
| vs Weaker (2) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| % over line | 67% | 57% | 75% | 18% | 12% | 24% | 87% | 100% | 75% |
| % under line | 33% | 43% | 25% | 82% | 88% | 76% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
SKN ST. Polten| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.53 | 0.43 | 0.79 | 0.36 | 0.31 | 0.50 |
| vs Stronger (1) | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | - | - |
| vs Similar (24) | 0.62 | 0.42 | 0.92 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.50 |
| vs Weaker (5) | 0.20 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| Clean sheet % | 63% (+37pp vs league) | |||||
Austria Vienna (Am)| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.67 | 0.83 | 0.44 | 0.69 | 0.93 | 1.00 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| vs Similar (26) | 0.73 | 0.88 | 0.50 | 0.79 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Weaker (2) | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 47% (+20pp vs league) | |||||
SKN ST. Polten| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.80 | 0.50 | 0.79 | 0.29 | 0.81 | 0.69 |
| vs Stronger (1) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | - |
| vs Similar (24) | 0.79 | 0.46 | 0.83 | 0.33 | 0.75 | 0.58 |
| vs Weaker (5) | 1.00 | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 60% (+34pp vs league) | |||||
Austria Vienna (Am)| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.47 | 0.63 | 0.50 | 0.81 | 0.43 | 0.43 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Similar (26) | 0.50 | 0.65 | 0.50 | 0.79 | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| vs Weaker (2) | 0.50 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 53% (+27pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 cards | 87.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 19.5 fouls | 76.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 1.5 | 74.5% | 1.16 | 1.19 | 1.18 | 1.18 | 1.18 | 1.17 | -5.3% | ✗ Miss |
| Under 3.5 | 73.6% | 1.51 | 1.54 | 1.53 | 1.53 | 1.53 | 1.53 | +12.2% | ✓ Hit |
| Over 3.5 cards | 73.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 11.5 corners | 71.8% | 1.29 | 1.35 | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | +1.1% | - |
| Under 25.5 fouls | 70.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/12/25 | H | 2-0 | |
| 02/08/25 | A | 1-4 | |
| 10/03/23 | A | 0-2 | |
| 28/10/22 | H | 5-0 |
SKN ST. Polten| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 24/07/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 14/05/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 08/05/26 | A | 0-3 | |
| 02/05/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 24/04/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 19/04/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 10/04/26 | A | 3-0 | |
| 06/04/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 03/04/26 | A | 0-1 |
Austria Vienna (Am)| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/26 | H | 0-3 | |
| 14/05/26 | H | 1-2 | |
| 08/05/26 | A | 2-2 | |
| 02/05/26 | H | 0-5 | |
| 24/04/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 17/04/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 06/04/26 | H | 3-1 | |
| 03/04/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 21/03/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 15/03/26 | A | 0-2 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | FC BW Linz | 5 | 12 | 80% | 2.4 | 13 | 3 | +10 | 3.2 | 80% | 80% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2.6 | 0.6 | - |
| 2 | FC Liefering | 5 | 10 | 60% | 2.0 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 4.2 | 100% | 100% | 80% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2.6 | 1.6 | - |
| 3 | First Vienna | 5 | 10 | 60% | 2.0 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 3.0 | 60% | 60% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 4 | Floridsdorfer AC | 5 | 10 | 60% | 2.0 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 3.0 | 80% | 40% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 5 | Austria Salzburg | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 3.4 | 80% | 60% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 1.4 | - |
| 6 | Wacker Innsbruck | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 2.4 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 1.0 | - |
| 7 | Austria Vienna (Am) | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 2.6 | 80% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.4 | 1.2 | - |
| 8 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 3.2 | 80% | 60% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 2.0 | - |
| 9 | Admira Wacker | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 2.2 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | - |
| 10 | SKU Amstetten | 5 | 6 | 20% | 1.2 | 6 | 6 | +0 | 2.4 | 80% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | - |
| 11 | Sturm Graz II | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 4.6 | 100% | 80% | 80% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 2.6 | - |
| 12 | Rapid Wien II | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3.4 | 80% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 2.2 | - |
| 13 | Voitsberg | 5 | 5 | 20% | 1.0 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 3.4 | 80% | 60% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 2.0 | - |
| 14 | WSPG Wels | 5 | 4 | 20% | 0.8 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 3.2 | 100% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 2.0 | - |
| 15 | SKN ST. Polten | 5 | 3 | 20% | 0.6 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.2 | 0.8 | - |
| 16 | SV Kapfenberg | 5 | 3 | 20% | 0.6 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 3.6 | 80% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 2.4 | - |