This opponent (FC Liefering) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Liefering
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
1.33
1.75
1.31
1.93
1.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
1.83
1.50
2.33
1.00
1.33
2.00
vs Weaker (24)
1.83
1.29
1.62
1.38
2.09
1.18
Clean sheet %
10% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (SKN ST. Polten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
75.2%
Under 1.5
24.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.0%
Under 2.5
51.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.2%
Under 3.5
72.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.3%
No
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.0%
0-0 ✓
8.4%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-2
5.3%
SKN ST. Polten goals ↓
FC Liefering goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.4%
9.2%
7.6%
3.7%
1.4%
1
7.2%
14%
9.0%
4.4%
1.6%
2
5.0%
7.2%
5.3%
2.6%
0.9%
3
1.9%
2.8%
2.1%
1.0%
0.4%
4
0.6%
0.8%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = SKN ST. Polten goals (down), columns = FC Liefering goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ried
2.17
Admira Wacker
1.97
SV Kapfenberg
1.80
SKN ST. Polten
1.77
First Vienna
1.63
FC Liefering
1.43
Sturm Graz II
1.40
SKU Amstetten
1.40
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.27
Austria Lustenau
1.23
Floridsdorfer AC
1.23
Rapid Wien II
1.23
Stripfing
1.13
Voitsberg
1.07
SV Horn
1.00
SV Lafnitz
0.53
SKN ST. Polten is 0.33 points better than FC Liefering in terms of average points per game (1.77 vs 1.43).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ried
1.97
SKN ST. Polten
1.87
SV Kapfenberg
1.77
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.70
SKU Amstetten
1.63
Rapid Wien II
1.63
First Vienna
1.63
Sturm Graz II
1.60
Admira Wacker
1.60
FC Liefering
1.43
SV Lafnitz
1.33
SV Horn
1.33
Stripfing
1.30
Floridsdorfer AC
1.00
Voitsberg
1.00
Austria Lustenau
0.80
SKN ST. Polten is 0.43 goals better than FC Liefering in terms of goals scored per game (1.87 vs 1.43).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ried
0.77
Austria Lustenau
0.87
Admira Wacker
1.03
SKN ST. Polten
1.13
Floridsdorfer AC
1.17
SKU Amstetten
1.33
Voitsberg
1.37
Sturm Graz II
1.43
FC Liefering
1.43
Stripfing
1.43
First Vienna
1.47
SV Kapfenberg
1.63
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.90
Rapid Wien II
1.90
SV Horn
2.03
SV Lafnitz
2.70
SKN ST. Polten is 0.30 goals better than FC Liefering in terms of goals conceded per game (1.13 vs 1.43).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Ried
56%
Admira Wacker
52%
FC Liefering
51%
First Vienna
51%
SKN ST. Polten
51%
SV Kapfenberg
51%
Floridsdorfer AC
50%
Rapid Wien II
50%
Voitsberg
50%
Austria Lustenau
49%
SV Lafnitz
49%
SV Horn
46%
SKU Amstetten
45%
SKN ST. Polten is 0.4 percentage points worse than FC Liefering in terms of average possession (51% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
SKN ST. Polten
For 4.5 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.9 · Against 3.0 · Total 6.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 12.7 · Total 26.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Liefering
For 7.1 · Against 5.5 · Total 12.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 9.3 · Total 20.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SKN ST. Polten
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.7
9.5
4.2
2.9
5.5
23.6
23.5
23.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (46)
10.1
10.7
9.5
4.6
3.2
6.0
23.6
23.5
23.8
vs Weaker (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
54%
59%
50%
58%
48%
68%
63%
65%
62%
% under line
46%
41%
50%
42%
52%
32%
37%
35%
38%
This opponent (FC Liefering) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Liefering
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.8
9.6
3.7
3.6
3.8
26.2
26.0
26.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
9.3
10.0
8.6
4.5
4.3
4.7
26.6
29.2
24.0
vs Weaker (38)
10.6
11.1
10.0
3.5
3.4
3.6
26.0
24.9
27.2
% over line
50%
60%
39%
54%
54%
54%
72%
75%
68%
% under line
50%
40%
61%
46%
46%
46%
28%
25%
32%
This opponent (SKN ST. Polten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
First Vienna
11.5
FC Liefering
10.8
SV Kapfenberg
10.6
Floridsdorfer AC
10.5
SKU Amstetten
10.4
SV Lafnitz
10.2
Admira Wacker
9.9
Austria Lustenau
9.8
SKN ST. Polten
9.8
Ried
9.5
Rapid Wien II
9.3
SV Horn
9.3
Voitsberg
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SV Kapfenberg
6.4
Voitsberg
6.1
SV Lafnitz
5.4
SKN ST. Polten
5.1
Admira Wacker
5.1
Floridsdorfer AC
5.0
SV Horn
5.0
Austria Lustenau
4.9
First Vienna
4.9
Ried
4.8
FC Liefering
4.7
SKU Amstetten
4.4
Rapid Wien II
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Voitsberg
27.7
Floridsdorfer AC
27.0
First Vienna
26.6
FC Liefering
25.9
SV Kapfenberg
25.6
SV Horn
25.3
Rapid Wien II
25.0
SV Lafnitz
24.7
SKU Amstetten
24.1
Ried
24.1
Admira Wacker
24.1
SKN ST. Polten
23.4
Austria Lustenau
22.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
58.6%
Under 9.5
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
78.8%
Under 3.5
21.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
68.3%
Under 21.5
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
SKN ST. Polten
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.73
0.64
0.57
0.50
0.88
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.54
0.69
0.58
0.50
0.50
0.86
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Liefering) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Liefering
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.30
0.94
0.31
0.86
0.29
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.83
0.50
1.33
0.67
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (24)
0.92
0.25
0.85
0.23
1.00
0.27
Clean sheet %
73% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (SKN ST. Polten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Liefering over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Liefering over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Liefering over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
SKN ST. Polten
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.97
0.36
0.79
1.06
1.12
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.65
0.96
0.42
0.75
0.86
1.14
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
1.00
0.00
1.00
2.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Liefering) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Liefering
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.03
0.81
1.00
1.07
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.33
1.00
1.67
vs Weaker (24)
0.92
1.04
0.77
1.15
1.09
0.91
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (SKN ST. Polten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Liefering over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Liefering over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Liefering over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Liefering
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gaoussou Diakite46%
Enrique Aguilar22%
Luka Reischl20%
Valentin Sulzbacher20%
Phillip Verhounig20%
Aboubacar Camara20%
Alexander Murillo18%
Zétény Jánó17%
Oghenetejiri Adejenughure17%
Tim Paumgartner14%
Bryan Okoh10%
Julian Hussauf10%
Jannik Schuster8%
Tolgahan Sahin6%
Benjamin Ožegović0%
Raphael Hofer0%
Rocco Žiković0%
Marcel Moswitzer0%
Salko Hamzic0%
Tim Trummer0%
Oliver Lukić0%
John Mellberg0%
Kristjan Bendra0%
Lassina Traoré0%
Christian Zawieschitzky0%
Jakob Brandtner0%
Marc Striednig0%
Quirin Rackl0%
Rüstü Erdogan0%
Johannes Moser0%
Jakob Zangerl0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Zétény Jánó50%
Oghenetejiri Adejenughure50%
Luka Reischl40%
John Mellberg36%
Tim Paumgartner36%
Benjamin Ožegović33%
Raphael Hofer33%
Jannik Schuster33%
Rüstü Erdogan33%
Gaoussou Diakite31%
Kristjan Bendra23%
Bryan Okoh20%
Tolgahan Sahin19%
Marcel Moswitzer17%
Oliver Lukić17%
Christian Zawieschitzky14%
Rocco Žiković11%
Enrique Aguilar11%
Julian Hussauf10%
Jakob Brandtner9%
Salko Hamzic0%
Valentin Sulzbacher0%
Tim Trummer0%
Phillip Verhounig0%
Alexander Murillo0%
Aboubacar Camara0%
Lassina Traoré0%
Marc Striednig0%
Quirin Rackl0%
Johannes Moser0%
Jakob Zangerl0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Oliver Lukić25%
Valentin Sulzbacher20%
Phillip Verhounig20%
Aboubacar Camara20%
Tim Trummer14%
Lassina Traoré12%
Julian Hussauf10%
John Mellberg9%
Jakob Brandtner9%
Kristjan Bendra8%
Gaoussou Diakite8%
Tolgahan Sahin6%
Benjamin Ožegović0%
Bryan Okoh0%
Luka Reischl0%
Raphael Hofer0%
Tim Paumgartner0%
Rocco Žiković0%
Zétény Jánó0%
Marcel Moswitzer0%
Salko Hamzic0%
Alexander Murillo0%
Jannik Schuster0%
Oghenetejiri Adejenughure0%
Enrique Aguilar0%
Christian Zawieschitzky0%
Marc Striednig0%
Quirin Rackl0%
Rüstü Erdogan0%
Johannes Moser0%
Jakob Zangerl0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Valentin Sulzbacher40%
Zétény Jánó33%
Gaoussou Diakite23%
Enrique Aguilar11%
Kristjan Bendra8%
Benjamin Ožegović0%
Bryan Okoh0%
Luka Reischl0%
Tolgahan Sahin0%
Raphael Hofer0%
Tim Paumgartner0%
Rocco Žiković0%
Marcel Moswitzer0%
Salko Hamzic0%
Tim Trummer0%
Oliver Lukić0%
Phillip Verhounig0%
John Mellberg0%
Alexander Murillo0%
Aboubacar Camara0%
Lassina Traoré0%
Jannik Schuster0%
Oghenetejiri Adejenughure0%
Christian Zawieschitzky0%
Jakob Brandtner0%
Marc Striednig0%
Julian Hussauf0%
Quirin Rackl0%
Rüstü Erdogan0%
Johannes Moser0%
Jakob Zangerl0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIE (24)
€7m
FL (17)
€5m
AL (22)
€5m
FV (24)
€5m
SSP (20)
€4m
AW (23)
€4m
RWI (24)
€4m
SGI (22)
€4m
SB (22)
€3m
SA (20)
€3m
FA (19)
€3m
SK (23)
€3m
SKN ST. Polten's squad is €1m less valuable than FC Liefering's (€4m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FL (4)
€3m
AL (10)
€2m
RIE (7)
€2m
RWI (12)
€2m
AW (7)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
SGI (7)
€1m
FV (7)
€1m
SB (9)
€1m
SA (7)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
SK (7)
€1m
SKN ST. Polten's attack is €1m less valuable than FC Liefering's (€1m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIE (8)
€3m
FV (8)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
FL (6)
€1m
FA (5)
€1m
AL (3)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
SB (5)
€1m
SGI (6)
€1m
SA (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
RWI (4)
€1m
SKN ST. Polten and FC Liefering have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIE (9)
€3m
AW (11)
€2m
AL (9)
€2m
FV (9)
€2m
SGI (9)
€2m
FL (7)
€2m
SSP (8)
€1m
RWI (8)
€1m
SA (8)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
SK (10)
€1m
SKN ST. Polten and FC Liefering have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Austria: 2. Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: 2. Liga stats & trends →
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Ried
Admira Wacker
SV Kapfenberg
First Vienna
SKU Amstetten
Sturm Graz II
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
Austria Lustenau
Floridsdorfer AC
Rapid Wien II
Stripfing
Voitsberg
SV Horn
SV Lafnitz