SKN ST. Polten are the clear favourites, with the model assigning a 63 % chance of a home win and a 23 % chance of a draw versus the 14 % chance of an away victory. The 2.9 expected goals suggest a moderately high-scoring affair, yet the most likely total is 2 goals, a 24 % probability. The single most likely scoreline is 2-0 for the hosts, with a 11.5 % chance. Home form is solid: the team averages one goal scored and none conceded against weaker opposition at home, while Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz, playing away against stronger sides, averages 1.5 goals scored and 4.5 conceded. The model’s suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.1 %), Away under 3.5 goals (98.8 %), Under 6.5 (97.3 %), Home +2 handicap (95.2 %), Away under 2.5 goals (94.3 %), Under 5.5 (92.9 %), Over 2.5 cards (87.2 %) and Home over 0.5 goals (86.5 %). The recent form notes that Polten come off four straight defeats and a 0-1 loss to Wacker Innsbruck, while Bregenz arrive after a win, adding context to the predicted outcome.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
SKN ST. Polten win
64.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
22.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz win
12.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
SKN ST. Polten
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.93
1.25
0.62
1.00
1.29
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (25)
1.20
0.92
1.36
0.64
1.00
1.27
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.33
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.93
1.43
1.57
1.12
2.25
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
2.50
1.00
0.50
1.50
4.50
vs Similar (25)
1.12
1.92
1.50
1.75
0.77
2.08
vs Weaker (1)
5.00
0.00
-
-
5.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (SKN ST. Polten) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
76.6%
Under 1.5
23.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
51.3%
Under 2.5
48.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
29.2%
Under 3.5
70.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
47.0%
No
53.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.6%
1-0
11.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.2%
0-0
7.5%
3-1
6.3%
0-1
4.0%
SKN ST. Polten goals ↓
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.5%
4.0%
1.9%
0.5%
0.1%
1
12%
11%
3.8%
1.0%
0.2%
2
13%
9.6%
3.7%
0.9%
0.2%
3
8.2%
6.3%
2.4%
0.6%
0.1%
4
4.0%
3.1%
1.2%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = SKN ST. Polten goals (down), columns = Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC BW Linz
2.40
Floridsdorfer AC
2.00
First Vienna
2.00
FC Liefering
2.00
Austria Salzburg
1.80
Wacker Innsbruck
1.80
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.80
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.40
Rapid Wien II
1.20
Sturm Graz II
1.20
Admira Wacker
1.20
SKU Amstetten
1.20
Voitsberg
1.00
WSPG Wels
0.80
SKN ST. Polten
0.60
SV Kapfenberg
0.60
SKN ST. Polten is 0.80 points worse than Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz in terms of average points per game (0.60 vs 1.40).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Liefering
2.60
FC BW Linz
2.60
Sturm Graz II
2.00
Austria Salzburg
2.00
Floridsdorfer AC
1.80
First Vienna
1.80
Voitsberg
1.40
Wacker Innsbruck
1.40
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.40
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.20
SV Kapfenberg
1.20
Rapid Wien II
1.20
WSPG Wels
1.20
Admira Wacker
1.20
SKU Amstetten
1.20
SKN ST. Polten
0.20
SKN ST. Polten is 1.00 goals worse than Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz in terms of goals scored per game (0.20 vs 1.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC BW Linz
0.60
SKN ST. Polten
0.80
Wacker Innsbruck
1.00
Admira Wacker
1.00
Floridsdorfer AC
1.20
First Vienna
1.20
SKU Amstetten
1.20
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.20
Austria Salzburg
1.40
FC Liefering
1.60
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
2.00
Voitsberg
2.00
WSPG Wels
2.00
Rapid Wien II
2.20
SV Kapfenberg
2.40
Sturm Graz II
2.60
SKN ST. Polten is 1.20 goals better than Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz in terms of goals conceded per game (0.80 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
SKN ST. Polten
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
SKN ST. Polten
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
14.2
14.2
14.0
0.5
0.8
0.2
18.8
16.5
23.5
vs Stronger (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (40)
14.2
14.2
14.0
0.6
0.9
0.2
18.8
16.5
23.5
vs Weaker (8)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
67%
75%
50%
6%
12%
0%
17%
0%
50%
% under line
33%
25%
50%
94%
88%
100%
83%
100%
50%
This opponent (Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (8)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (40)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (SKN ST. Polten) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
SKN ST. Polten
10.6
Austria Vienna (Am)
10.5
FC Liefering
10.3
SV Kapfenberg
10.3
SKU Amstetten
10.2
First Vienna
10.1
Floridsdorfer AC
10.0
Rapid Wien II
9.7
Voitsberg
9.0
FC BW Linz
8.8
Admira Wacker
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SV Kapfenberg
6.5
Voitsberg
5.7
SKN ST. Polten
5.5
Floridsdorfer AC
5.4
SKU Amstetten
5.3
First Vienna
5.0
FC Liefering
4.9
Admira Wacker
4.7
FC BW Linz
4.6
Austria Vienna (Am)
4.3
Rapid Wien II
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
First Vienna
26.4
Floridsdorfer AC
26.0
Voitsberg
25.3
Austria Vienna (Am)
25.2
FC Liefering
25.1
SV Kapfenberg
24.1
SKU Amstetten
23.8
Rapid Wien II
23.8
Admira Wacker
23.3
SKN ST. Polten
22.5
FC BW Linz
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
51.2%
Under 9.5
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
73.0%
Under 3.5
27.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
62.4%
Under 21.5
37.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
SKN ST. Polten or Draw
87.2%
Avg Implied -
64%
23%
13%
covers SKN ST. Polten + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
SKN ST. Polten or Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
77.3%
Avg Implied -
64%
23%
13%
covers SKN ST. Polten + Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
35.6%
Avg Implied -
64%
23%
13%
covers Draw + Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 0.5
Over
85.9%
Under
14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 1.5
Over
58.3%
Under
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 2.5
Over
31.2%
Under
68.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 3.5
Over
13.6%
Under
86.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz over/under 0.5
Over
53.6%
Under
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz over/under 1.5
Over
18.0%
Under
82.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz over/under 2.5
Over
4.3%
Under
95.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz over/under 3.5
Over
0.8%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to SKN ST. Polten, so a minus line means SKN ST. Polten give that many goals of a start and Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz receive them. At -1, SKN ST. Polten must win by two or more to land; a one-goal SKN ST. Polten win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (SKN ST. Polten)
SKN ST. Polten -2
20.1%
Draw -2
20.2%
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz +2
59.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (SKN ST. Polten)
SKN ST. Polten -1
40.2%
Draw -1
24.2%
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz +1
35.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (SKN ST. Polten)
SKN ST. Polten +1
87.2%
Draw +1
8.9%
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz -1
4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (SKN ST. Polten)
SKN ST. Polten +2
96.0%
Draw +2
3.1%
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz -2
0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
SKN ST. Polten
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.43
0.50
0.38
0.29
0.50
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.48
0.44
0.57
0.36
0.36
0.55
vs Weaker (4)
0.00
0.25
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.07
0.71
0.86
0.50
1.25
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.75
0.50
0.00
1.00
3.50
vs Similar (25)
0.48
1.00
0.75
1.00
0.23
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (SKN ST. Polten) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
SKN ST. Polten
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.50
0.75
0.25
0.71
0.79
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.72
0.48
0.79
0.29
0.64
0.73
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.75
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.87
0.71
0.71
0.62
1.00
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.75
0.50
0.50
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.64
0.92
0.75
0.75
0.54
1.08
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (SKN ST. Polten) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
96.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
95.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
94.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FL (17)
€5m
FBL (21)
€5m
FV (24)
€5m
AV( (23)
€5m
SSP (20)
€4m
AW (23)
€4m
RWI (24)
€4m
SGI (22)
€4m
AS (22)
€4m
SB (22)
€3m
WW (19)
€3m
SA (20)
€3m
FA (19)
€3m
SK (23)
€3m
SKN ST. Polten and Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz have a similar squad value (both €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FL (4)
€3m
RWI (12)
€2m
FBL (9)
€2m
AW (7)
€2m
AV( (7)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
SGI (7)
€1m
FV (7)
€1m
SB (9)
€1m
WW (7)
€1m
SA (7)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
AS (7)
€1m
SK (7)
€1m
SKN ST. Polten and Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FV (8)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
FBL (4)
€1m
FL (6)
€1m
FA (5)
€1m
AV( (5)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
SB (5)
€1m
SGI (6)
€1m
SA (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
WW (4)
€1m
RWI (4)
€1m
AS (4)
€1m
SKN ST. Polten and Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AV( (11)
€2m
AS (11)
€2m
FBL (8)
€2m
AW (11)
€2m
FV (9)
€2m
SGI (9)
€2m
FL (7)
€2m
WW (8)
€1m
SSP (8)
€1m
RWI (8)
€1m
SA (8)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
SK (10)
€1m
SKN ST. Polten and Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Austria: 2. Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: 2. Liga stats & trends →