This opponent (SV Horn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SV Horn
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.35
1.06
1.56
1.22
1.12
0.88
vs Stronger (1)
3.00
1.00
3.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (16)
1.25
1.06
1.38
1.25
1.12
0.88
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
18% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (SKN ST. Polten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.9%
Under 1.5
23.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
51.4%
Under 2.5
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.2%
Under 3.5
70.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.4%
No
43.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
2-1
8.8%
1-0
8.3%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
7.7%
0-1
7.1%
2-0
7.0%
2-2
5.6%
SKN ST. Polten goals ↓
SV Horn goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.7%
7.1%
5.3%
2.2%
0.7%
1
8.3%
13%
7.7%
3.2%
1.0%
2
7.0%
8.8%
5.6%
2.4%
0.8%
3
3.4%
4.3%
2.7%
1.2%
0.4%
4
1.2%
1.6%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = SKN ST. Polten goals (down), columns = SV Horn goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC BW Linz
2.03
Grazer AK
2.00
SKN ST. Polten
1.87
SV Horn
1.60
SKU Amstetten
1.50
Floridsdorfer AC
1.50
First Vienna
1.43
SV Lafnitz
1.37
FC Liefering
1.23
Admira Wacker
1.20
Dornbirn
1.17
Sturm Graz II
1.13
SV Kapfenberg
1.13
SK Vorwarts Steyr
1.07
Rapid Wien II
1.00
Austria Vienna (Am)
0.97
SKN ST. Polten is 0.27 points better than SV Horn in terms of average points per game (1.87 vs 1.60).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC BW Linz
2.10
Grazer AK
1.73
FC Liefering
1.73
SKN ST. Polten
1.70
SKU Amstetten
1.63
SV Lafnitz
1.60
Sturm Graz II
1.43
Dornbirn
1.43
Floridsdorfer AC
1.37
SV Kapfenberg
1.33
Admira Wacker
1.30
SV Horn
1.27
SK Vorwarts Steyr
1.20
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.13
First Vienna
1.13
Rapid Wien II
1.10
SKN ST. Polten is 0.43 goals better than SV Horn in terms of goals scored per game (1.70 vs 1.27).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
SKN ST. Polten
0.90
FC BW Linz
0.90
Grazer AK
0.97
Floridsdorfer AC
1.00
First Vienna
1.10
SV Horn
1.10
Admira Wacker
1.40
Dornbirn
1.47
SV Lafnitz
1.53
SKU Amstetten
1.63
SK Vorwarts Steyr
1.80
FC Liefering
1.80
Rapid Wien II
1.83
Sturm Graz II
1.87
SV Kapfenberg
1.87
Austria Vienna (Am)
2.03
SKN ST. Polten is 0.20 goals better than SV Horn in terms of goals conceded per game (0.90 vs 1.10).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Liefering
54%
SKN ST. Polten
53%
FC BW Linz
53%
Floridsdorfer AC
52%
Grazer AK
52%
First Vienna
51%
SV Horn
51%
SV Lafnitz
51%
Austria Vienna (Am)
50%
SKU Amstetten
49%
Rapid Wien II
49%
Admira Wacker
49%
SK Vorwarts Steyr
47%
Dornbirn
47%
SV Kapfenberg
41%
SKN ST. Polten is 1.8 percentage points better than SV Horn in terms of average possession (53% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
SKN ST. Polten
For 6.4 · Against 3.8 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 10.8 · Total 23.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SV Horn
For 5.9 · Against 3.9 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.4 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.3 · Against 15.1 · Total 32.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SKN ST. Polten
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (17)
10.2
11.0
9.7
0.9
0.9
1.0
23.6
23.0
24.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
10.2
11.0
9.7
0.9
0.9
1.0
23.6
23.0
24.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
60%
50%
67%
12%
12%
11%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
40%
50%
33%
88%
88%
89%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (SV Horn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SV Horn
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (17)
9.7
7.8
12.3
2.4
2.1
2.6
32.4
30.8
34.7
vs Stronger (1)
6.0
6.0
-
8.0
8.0
-
34.0
34.0
-
vs Similar (16)
10.3
8.3
12.3
2.0
1.4
2.6
32.2
29.7
34.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
43%
25%
67%
29%
22%
38%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
57%
75%
33%
71%
78%
62%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (SKN ST. Polten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
First Vienna
22.0
Dornbirn
12.8
SV Kapfenberg
11.3
FC Liefering
11.3
SK Vorwarts Steyr
11.0
FC BW Linz
10.5
SKN ST. Polten
10.2
Grazer AK
10.0
Floridsdorfer AC
9.9
Admira Wacker
9.8
SV Horn
9.7
Austria Vienna (Am)
9.6
SKU Amstetten
9.4
Rapid Wien II
9.2
SV Lafnitz
7.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SV Horn
5.7
Dornbirn
5.5
SV Lafnitz
5.2
First Vienna
5.0
Admira Wacker
4.9
Austria Vienna (Am)
4.9
SK Vorwarts Steyr
4.3
SV Kapfenberg
4.3
Floridsdorfer AC
4.3
FC Liefering
4.1
Grazer AK
4.0
SKU Amstetten
3.9
Rapid Wien II
3.8
FC BW Linz
3.6
SKN ST. Polten
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SV Horn
32.4
Floridsdorfer AC
29.0
Grazer AK
28.4
SV Lafnitz
26.5
SV Kapfenberg
26.4
Dornbirn
24.9
FC Liefering
24.5
FC BW Linz
24.0
Austria Vienna (Am)
24.0
SKN ST. Polten
23.6
Admira Wacker
23.4
SKU Amstetten
22.6
Rapid Wien II
21.8
SK Vorwarts Steyr
21.3
First Vienna
21.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
77.6%
Under 9.5
22.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
76.5%
Under 3.5
23.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
92.8%
Under 21.5
7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
SKN ST. Polten
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.06
0.29
1.25
0.38
0.89
0.22
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
1.06
0.29
1.25
0.38
0.89
0.22
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
71% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (SV Horn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SV Horn
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.41
0.71
0.44
0.78
0.38
0.62
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.38
0.75
0.38
0.88
0.38
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
41% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (SKN ST. Polten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Horn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Horn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Horn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
SKN ST. Polten
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.88
0.59
0.75
1.00
1.00
0.22
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.88
0.59
0.75
1.00
1.00
0.22
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
71% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (SV Horn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SV Horn
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.94
0.35
1.11
0.44
0.75
0.25
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.88
0.31
1.00
0.38
0.75
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
71% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (SKN ST. Polten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Horn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Horn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Horn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
92.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
89.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 9.5 corners
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 25.5 fouls
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Austria: 2. Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: 2. Liga stats & trends →