This match between SKU Amstetten and Admira Wacker is shaping up to be a closely contested affair, with the home side coming off a draw against Voitsberg. The model's selection for the match result is a home win, with a probability of 36%. The opposing probabilities are a draw at 31% and an away win at 33%.
The expected total number of goals is 2.3, with the most likely total number of goals being 2. The model's most likely score is a 1-1 draw, with a probability of 14.5%. SKU Amstetten's home form against stronger opponents is marked by scoring an average of 0.67 goals and conceding 0.33. Admira Wacker, on the other hand, scores an average of 1.7 goals when playing away against weaker opponents and concedes 0.9.
The model's selection for the total number of goals is Under 3.5, with a probability of 79.5%. This selection has a 12% edge. The model also selects Over 3.5 cards, with a probability of 71.7%. The home win percentage is 36%, the draw percentage is 31%, and the away win percentage is 33%.
Results analysis
The win extends SKU Amstetten's recent run, having come off a win and boasting a strong home form. The final score of 2-1 was a home win, in line with the actual result. The model's selection, a home win, was correct, with a pre-match probability of 36%. The model's call was also in line with the pre-match favourite.
The model's selection of a home win hit, while the selection of Under 3.5 goals, with a probability of 79.5%, also came in, as the final score was 2-1. The model's call on the most likely total goals, 2, was not the actual outcome, but the selection of Under 3.5 goals was correct.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
SKU Amstetten win✓ Hit
36.3%
Avg Implied 42.6% · @ 2.15
Edge
-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
SBO
2.21
Bet365
2.20
10Bet
2.20
Dafabet
2.19
Pinnacle
2.17
Draw✗ Miss
30.8%
Avg Implied 25.8% · @ 3.56
Edge
+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.95
1xBet
3.78
Marathonbet
3.78
Unibet
3.75
Betano
3.65
Admira Wacker win✗ Miss
32.9%
Avg Implied 31.6% · @ 2.90
Edge
+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
3.00
Dafabet
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Pinnacle
2.97
Betano
2.95
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
SKU Amstetten
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.23
1.53
1.00
1.33
1.47
vs Stronger (3)
1.67
1.33
2.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
1.41
1.22
1.46
0.85
1.36
1.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Admira Wacker) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Admira Wacker
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
1.03
1.93
1.00
1.53
1.07
vs Stronger (4)
1.50
1.50
2.50
0.50
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (26)
1.77
0.96
1.85
1.08
1.69
0.85
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (SKU Amstetten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.7%
@ 1.22-7.4%
Under 1.5
31.3%
@ 3.89+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.24
BetVictor
1.22
Betfair
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.20
Pinnacle
4.05
Bet365
4.00
BetVictor
3.90
10Bet
3.90
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
41.0%
@ 1.72-13.2%
Under 2.5
59.0%
@ 2.03+13.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.75
Pinnacle
1.75
Marathonbet
1.73
1xBet
1.73
Betfair
1.73
Under
Pinnacle
2.09
1xBet
2.05
Betano
2.05
Bet365
2.05
Marathonbet
2.05
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.5%
@ 2.82-12.4%
Under 3.5
79.5%
@ 1.38+12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.94
BetVictor
2.90
888Sport
2.88
Betfair
2.88
10Bet
2.85
Under
10Bet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.4%
@ 1.61-8.9%
No
51.6%
@ 2.16+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betano
1.65
Bet365
1.62
888Sport
1.62
William Hil
1.62
1xBet
1.61
No
Betfair
2.25
Bet365
2.20
BetVictor
2.20
1xBet
2.18
Superbet
2.17
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%@ 6.28+7.6%
0-0
11.1%@ 11.06+7.2%
1-0
10.4%@ 8.06+5.0%
0-1
9.7%@ 9.56+5.2%
2-1 ✓
7.9%@ 7.88+2.4%
1-2
7.4%@ 9.25+2.7%
2-0
7.0%@ 10.37+2.8%
0-2
6.2%@ 13.97+3.1%
SKU Amstetten goals ↓
Admira Wacker goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
9.7%
6.2%
2.3%
0.7%
1
10%
15%
7.4%
2.8%
0.8%
2
7.0%
7.9%
4.4%
1.7%
0.5%
3
2.8%
3.1%
1.8%
0.7%
0.2%
4
0.8%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = SKU Amstetten goals (down), columns = Admira Wacker goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC BW Linz
2.40
Floridsdorfer AC
2.00
First Vienna
2.00
FC Liefering
2.00
Austria Salzburg
1.80
Wacker Innsbruck
1.80
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.80
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.40
Rapid Wien II
1.20
Sturm Graz II
1.20
Admira Wacker
1.20
SKU Amstetten
1.20
Voitsberg
1.00
WSPG Wels
0.80
SKN ST. Polten
0.60
SV Kapfenberg
0.60
SKU Amstetten and Admira Wacker are level in average points per game (both 1.20).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Liefering
2.60
FC BW Linz
2.60
Sturm Graz II
2.00
Austria Salzburg
2.00
Floridsdorfer AC
1.80
First Vienna
1.80
Voitsberg
1.40
Wacker Innsbruck
1.40
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.40
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.20
SV Kapfenberg
1.20
Rapid Wien II
1.20
WSPG Wels
1.20
Admira Wacker
1.20
SKU Amstetten
1.20
SKN ST. Polten
0.20
SKU Amstetten and Admira Wacker are level in goals scored per game (both 1.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC BW Linz
0.60
SKN ST. Polten
0.80
Wacker Innsbruck
1.00
Admira Wacker
1.00
Floridsdorfer AC
1.20
First Vienna
1.20
SKU Amstetten
1.20
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.20
Austria Salzburg
1.40
FC Liefering
1.60
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
2.00
Voitsberg
2.00
WSPG Wels
2.00
Rapid Wien II
2.20
SV Kapfenberg
2.40
Sturm Graz II
2.60
SKU Amstetten is 0.20 goals worse than Admira Wacker in terms of goals conceded per game (1.20 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
SKU Amstetten
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Admira Wacker
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
SKU Amstetten
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
11.0
7.8
1.6
2.0
1.2
25.2
23.4
27.8
vs Stronger (5)
10.0
12.0
8.0
2.0
1.3
3.0
21.5
13.0
30.0
vs Similar (45)
9.6
10.8
7.8
1.5
2.0
1.1
26.0
25.2
27.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
71%
20%
22%
29%
15%
58%
57%
60%
% under line
50%
29%
80%
78%
71%
85%
42%
43%
40%
This opponent (Admira Wacker) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Admira Wacker
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
7.2
7.5
7.1
0.8
0.6
1.0
23.2
25.0
22.2
vs Stronger (5)
7.0
-
7.0
1.0
0.0
1.7
23.0
-
23.0
vs Similar (44)
7.3
7.5
7.1
0.8
0.7
1.0
23.2
25.0
22.1
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
17%
25%
12%
14%
8%
19%
67%
75%
62%
% under line
83%
75%
88%
86%
92%
81%
33%
25%
38%
This opponent (SKU Amstetten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
SKN ST. Polten
10.6
Austria Vienna (Am)
10.5
FC Liefering
10.3
SV Kapfenberg
10.3
SKU Amstetten
10.2
First Vienna
10.1
Floridsdorfer AC
10.0
Rapid Wien II
9.7
Voitsberg
9.0
FC BW Linz
8.8
Admira Wacker
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SV Kapfenberg
6.5
Voitsberg
5.7
SKN ST. Polten
5.5
Floridsdorfer AC
5.4
SKU Amstetten
5.3
First Vienna
5.0
FC Liefering
4.9
Admira Wacker
4.7
FC BW Linz
4.6
Austria Vienna (Am)
4.3
Rapid Wien II
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
First Vienna
26.4
Floridsdorfer AC
26.0
Voitsberg
25.3
Austria Vienna (Am)
25.2
FC Liefering
25.1
SV Kapfenberg
24.1
SKU Amstetten
23.8
Rapid Wien II
23.8
Admira Wacker
23.3
SKN ST. Polten
22.5
FC BW Linz
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
46.6%
@ 1.87-3.2%
Under 9.5
53.4%
@ 1.85+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.98
10Bet
1.91
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.84
Under
Pinnacle
1.93
Superbet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Betano
1.83
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
73.2%
Under 3.5
26.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
63.8%
Under 21.5
36.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
SKU Amstetten
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.50
0.80
0.27
0.53
0.73
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
0.33
1.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.63
0.52
0.69
0.23
0.57
0.79
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Admira Wacker) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Admira Wacker
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.50
0.87
0.53
0.53
0.47
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.75
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (26)
0.73
0.46
0.85
0.62
0.62
0.31
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (SKU Amstetten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
SKU Amstetten over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKU Amstetten over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKU Amstetten over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Admira Wacker over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Admira Wacker over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Admira Wacker over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
SKU Amstetten
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.73
0.73
0.73
0.80
0.73
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.00
0.50
1.50
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.78
0.70
0.77
0.62
0.79
0.79
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Admira Wacker) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Admira Wacker
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.53
1.07
0.47
1.00
0.60
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
0.75
1.50
0.50
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (26)
1.04
0.50
1.00
0.46
1.08
0.54
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (SKU Amstetten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
SKU Amstetten over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKU Amstetten over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKU Amstetten over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Admira Wacker over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Admira Wacker over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Admira Wacker over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
79.5%
1.38
10Bet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.40
+12.4%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
76.2%
1.31
Superbet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
-
-
+6.4%
-
Over 3.5 cards
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FL (17)
€5m
FBL (21)
€5m
FV (24)
€5m
AV( (23)
€5m
SSP (20)
€4m
AW (23)
€4m
RWI (24)
€4m
SGI (22)
€4m
AS (22)
€4m
SB (22)
€3m
WW (19)
€3m
SA (20)
€3m
FA (19)
€3m
SK (23)
€3m
SKU Amstetten's squad is €1m less valuable than Admira Wacker's (€3m vs €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FL (4)
€3m
RWI (12)
€2m
FBL (9)
€2m
AW (7)
€2m
AV( (7)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
SGI (7)
€1m
FV (7)
€1m
SB (9)
€1m
WW (7)
€1m
SA (7)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
AS (7)
€1m
SK (7)
€1m
SKU Amstetten and Admira Wacker have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FV (8)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
FBL (4)
€1m
FL (6)
€1m
FA (5)
€1m
AV( (5)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
SB (5)
€1m
SGI (6)
€1m
SA (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
WW (4)
€1m
RWI (4)
€1m
AS (4)
€1m
SKU Amstetten and Admira Wacker have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AV( (11)
€2m
AS (11)
€2m
FBL (8)
€2m
AW (11)
€2m
FV (9)
€2m
SGI (9)
€2m
FL (7)
€2m
WW (8)
€1m
SSP (8)
€1m
RWI (8)
€1m
SA (8)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
SK (10)
€1m
SKU Amstetten and Admira Wacker have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Austria: 2. Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: 2. Liga stats & trends →