The contest between SKU Amstetten and Austria Vienna (Am) is a tight one, with the model favouring an away win. The probabilities are 34 % for a home victory, 30 % for a draw, and 36 % for Austria Vienna to lift the trophy. On average, the match will see 2.5 goals, with a 27 % chance that the total will be exactly two. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, occurring with a 14.1 % probability, and this is the only scoreline to mention. SKU Amstetten, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.54 goals scored and 0.92 conceded. Austria Vienna, on the road against a similar side, averages 1.27 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.6 %), Under 6.5 (98.6 %), Home under 3.5 goals (96.3 %), Away under 3.5 goals (96.0 %), Under 5.5 (95.8 %), Under 4.5 (89.1 %), Over 2.5 cards (88.7 %), and Home under 2.5 goals (87.2 %).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
SKU Amstetten win
34.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
29.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Austria Vienna (Am) win
36.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
SKU Amstetten
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.27
1.60
1.07
1.33
1.47
vs Stronger (3)
1.67
1.33
2.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
1.44
1.26
1.54
0.92
1.36
1.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Vienna (Am)) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Austria Vienna (Am)
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.33
1.12
1.25
1.14
1.43
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (25)
1.24
1.36
1.21
1.29
1.27
1.45
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (SKU Amstetten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
72.5%
Under 1.5
27.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
45.6%
Under 2.5
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
24.2%
Under 3.5
75.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
52.2%
No
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
0-0
9.5%
0-1
9.1%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
6.2%
SKU Amstetten goals ↓
Austria Vienna (Am) goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.5%
9.1%
6.6%
2.8%
0.9%
1
8.8%
14%
8.1%
3.4%
1.1%
2
6.2%
7.9%
5.0%
2.1%
0.7%
3
2.6%
3.2%
2.1%
0.9%
0.3%
4
0.8%
1.0%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = SKU Amstetten goals (down), columns = Austria Vienna (Am) goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC BW Linz
2.40
Floridsdorfer AC
2.00
First Vienna
2.00
FC Liefering
2.00
Austria Salzburg
1.80
Wacker Innsbruck
1.80
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.80
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.40
Rapid Wien II
1.20
Sturm Graz II
1.20
Admira Wacker
1.20
SKU Amstetten
1.20
Voitsberg
1.00
WSPG Wels
0.80
SKN ST. Polten
0.60
SV Kapfenberg
0.60
SKU Amstetten is 0.60 points worse than Austria Vienna (Am) in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 1.80).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Liefering
2.60
FC BW Linz
2.60
Sturm Graz II
2.00
Austria Salzburg
2.00
Floridsdorfer AC
1.80
First Vienna
1.80
Voitsberg
1.40
Wacker Innsbruck
1.40
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.40
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.20
SV Kapfenberg
1.20
Rapid Wien II
1.20
WSPG Wels
1.20
Admira Wacker
1.20
SKU Amstetten
1.20
SKN ST. Polten
0.20
SKU Amstetten is 0.20 goals worse than Austria Vienna (Am) in terms of goals scored per game (1.20 vs 1.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC BW Linz
0.60
SKN ST. Polten
0.80
Wacker Innsbruck
1.00
Admira Wacker
1.00
Floridsdorfer AC
1.20
First Vienna
1.20
SKU Amstetten
1.20
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.20
Austria Salzburg
1.40
FC Liefering
1.60
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
2.00
Voitsberg
2.00
WSPG Wels
2.00
Rapid Wien II
2.20
SV Kapfenberg
2.40
Sturm Graz II
2.60
SKU Amstetten and Austria Vienna (Am) are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.20).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
SKU Amstetten
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Austria Vienna (Am)
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
SKU Amstetten
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
11.2
7.8
1.2
1.1
1.2
25.8
23.8
27.8
vs Stronger (5)
10.0
12.0
8.0
2.0
1.3
3.0
21.5
13.0
30.0
vs Similar (45)
9.4
11.0
7.8
1.1
1.1
1.1
26.9
26.5
27.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
80%
20%
18%
21%
15%
60%
60%
60%
% under line
50%
20%
80%
82%
79%
85%
40%
40%
40%
This opponent (Austria Vienna (Am)) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Austria Vienna (Am)
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.1
11.0
11.2
1.2
0.8
1.6
26.1
26.8
25.6
vs Stronger (4)
13.0
-
13.0
0.8
0.0
1.0
19.0
-
19.0
vs Similar (44)
11.0
11.0
11.0
1.3
0.9
1.7
26.7
26.8
26.6
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
71%
67%
75%
16%
8%
24%
86%
100%
75%
% under line
29%
33%
25%
84%
92%
76%
14%
0%
25%
This opponent (SKU Amstetten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
SKN ST. Polten
10.6
Austria Vienna (Am)
10.5
FC Liefering
10.3
SV Kapfenberg
10.3
SKU Amstetten
10.2
First Vienna
10.1
Floridsdorfer AC
10.0
Rapid Wien II
9.7
Voitsberg
9.0
FC BW Linz
8.8
Admira Wacker
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SV Kapfenberg
6.5
Voitsberg
5.7
SKN ST. Polten
5.5
Floridsdorfer AC
5.4
SKU Amstetten
5.3
First Vienna
5.0
FC Liefering
4.9
Admira Wacker
4.7
FC BW Linz
4.6
Austria Vienna (Am)
4.3
Rapid Wien II
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
First Vienna
26.4
Floridsdorfer AC
26.0
Voitsberg
25.3
Austria Vienna (Am)
25.2
FC Liefering
25.1
SV Kapfenberg
24.1
SKU Amstetten
23.8
Rapid Wien II
23.8
Admira Wacker
23.3
SKN ST. Polten
22.5
FC BW Linz
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
50.8%
Under 9.5
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
75.4%
Under 3.5
24.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
66.7%
Under 21.5
33.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
SKU Amstetten or Draw
63.9%
Avg Implied -
34%
30%
36%
covers SKU Amstetten + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
SKU Amstetten or Austria Vienna (Am)
70.4%
Avg Implied -
34%
30%
36%
covers SKU Amstetten + Austria Vienna (Am)
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Austria Vienna (Am)
65.7%
Avg Implied -
34%
30%
36%
covers Draw + Austria Vienna (Am)
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
SKU Amstetten over/under 0.5
Over
70.8%
Under
29.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKU Amstetten over/under 1.5
Over
34.9%
Under
65.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKU Amstetten over/under 2.5
Over
12.7%
Under
87.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKU Amstetten over/under 3.5
Over
3.7%
Under
96.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Vienna (Am) over/under 0.5
Over
71.9%
Under
28.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Vienna (Am) over/under 1.5
Over
36.2%
Under
63.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Vienna (Am) over/under 2.5
Over
13.6%
Under
86.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Vienna (Am) over/under 3.5
Over
4.0%
Under
96.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to SKU Amstetten, so a minus line means SKU Amstetten give that many goals of a start and Austria Vienna (Am) receive them. At -1, SKU Amstetten must win by two or more to land; a one-goal SKU Amstetten win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (SKU Amstetten)
SKU Amstetten -2
5.1%
Draw -2
10.2%
Austria Vienna (Am) +2
84.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (SKU Amstetten)
SKU Amstetten -1
15.3%
Draw -1
19.1%
Austria Vienna (Am) +1
65.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (SKU Amstetten)
SKU Amstetten +1
63.9%
Draw +1
19.7%
Austria Vienna (Am) -1
16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (SKU Amstetten)
SKU Amstetten +2
83.6%
Draw +2
10.8%
Austria Vienna (Am) -2
5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
SKU Amstetten
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.50
0.80
0.27
0.47
0.73
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
0.33
1.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.59
0.52
0.69
0.23
0.50
0.79
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Vienna (Am)) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Austria Vienna (Am)
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.70
0.69
0.44
0.64
1.00
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (25)
0.76
0.72
0.79
0.50
0.73
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (SKU Amstetten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
66.5%
Under 0.5
33.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
30.4%
Under 1.5
69.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
10.1%
Under 2.5
89.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
SKU Amstetten over/under 0.5 HT
Over
48.8%
Under
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKU Amstetten over/under 1.5 HT
Over
14.1%
Under
85.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKU Amstetten over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.7%
Under
97.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Vienna (Am) over/under 0.5 HT
Over
36.8%
Under
63.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Vienna (Am) over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.6%
Under
90.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Vienna (Am) over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
SKU Amstetten
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.77
0.80
0.80
0.87
0.73
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.00
0.50
1.50
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.85
0.74
0.85
0.69
0.86
0.79
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Vienna (Am)) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Austria Vienna (Am)
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.63
0.44
0.81
0.50
0.43
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (25)
0.48
0.64
0.43
0.79
0.55
0.45
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (SKU Amstetten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
75.0%
Under 0.5
25.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
39.7%
Under 1.5
60.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.6%
Under 2.5
84.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
SKU Amstetten over/under 0.5 2H
Over
56.3%
Under
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKU Amstetten over/under 1.5 2H
Over
19.1%
Under
80.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKU Amstetten over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.4%
Under
95.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Vienna (Am) over/under 0.5 2H
Over
44.7%
Under
55.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Vienna (Am) over/under 1.5 2H
Over
11.7%
Under
88.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Vienna (Am) over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.1%
Under
97.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
96.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
96.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
95.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
89.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
88.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
84.4%
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-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
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Over 19.5 fouls
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
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Away over 0.5 goals
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
70.8%
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-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FL (17)
€5m
FBL (21)
€5m
FV (24)
€5m
AV( (23)
€5m
SSP (20)
€4m
AW (23)
€4m
RWI (24)
€4m
SGI (22)
€4m
AS (22)
€4m
SB (22)
€3m
WW (19)
€3m
SA (20)
€3m
FA (19)
€3m
SK (23)
€3m
SKU Amstetten's squad is €1m less valuable than Austria Vienna (Am)'s (€3m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FL (4)
€3m
RWI (12)
€2m
FBL (9)
€2m
AW (7)
€2m
AV( (7)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
SGI (7)
€1m
FV (7)
€1m
SB (9)
€1m
WW (7)
€1m
SA (7)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
AS (7)
€1m
SK (7)
€1m
SKU Amstetten and Austria Vienna (Am) have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FV (8)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
FBL (4)
€1m
FL (6)
€1m
FA (5)
€1m
AV( (5)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
SB (5)
€1m
SGI (6)
€1m
SA (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
WW (4)
€1m
RWI (4)
€1m
AS (4)
€1m
SKU Amstetten and Austria Vienna (Am) have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AV( (11)
€2m
AS (11)
€2m
FBL (8)
€2m
AW (11)
€2m
FV (9)
€2m
SGI (9)
€2m
FL (7)
€2m
WW (8)
€1m
SSP (8)
€1m
RWI (8)
€1m
SA (8)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
SK (10)
€1m
SKU Amstetten and Austria Vienna (Am) have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Austria: 2. Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: 2. Liga stats & trends →