The model favours a home win for SKU Amstetten, with a 43% chance, followed by a draw at 27% and an away win at 30%. The expected total of 2.8 goals points to a moderate scoring game, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 12.8% probability. SKU Amstetten, playing at home against a similar-strength side, averages 1.54 goals scored and 0.92 conceded, while Rapid Wien II, on the road, averages 1.4 scored and 1.67 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.1%), Under 6.5 (97.4%), Away under 3.5 goals (95.9%), Under 5.5 (93.1%), Home under 3.5 goals (92.7%), Over 2.5 cards (88.9%), Home +2 handicap (86.5%) and Away under 2.5 goals (86.1%). SKU Amstetten come off a defeat, while Rapid Wien II return after two straight losses, setting the stage for a tight contest.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
SKU Amstetten win
42.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
27.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rapid Wien II win
30.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
SKU Amstetten
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.27
1.60
1.07
1.33
1.47
vs Stronger (3)
1.67
1.33
2.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
1.44
1.26
1.54
0.92
1.36
1.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapid Wien II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rapid Wien II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.60
1.29
1.57
1.31
1.62
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (29)
1.34
1.62
1.29
1.57
1.40
1.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (SKU Amstetten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
78.8%
Under 1.5
21.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
54.1%
Under 2.5
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
31.8%
Under 3.5
68.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
58.2%
No
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
7.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
0-0
7.0%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
5.8%
SKU Amstetten goals ↓
Rapid Wien II goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.0%
6.3%
4.8%
2.0%
0.7%
1
7.9%
13%
7.5%
3.2%
1.0%
2
7.1%
9.1%
5.8%
2.5%
0.8%
3
3.7%
4.7%
3.0%
1.3%
0.4%
4
1.4%
1.8%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = SKU Amstetten goals (down), columns = Rapid Wien II goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC BW Linz
2.40
Floridsdorfer AC
2.00
First Vienna
2.00
FC Liefering
2.00
Austria Salzburg
1.80
Wacker Innsbruck
1.80
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.80
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.40
Rapid Wien II
1.20
Sturm Graz II
1.20
Admira Wacker
1.20
SKU Amstetten
1.20
Voitsberg
1.00
WSPG Wels
0.80
SKN ST. Polten
0.60
SV Kapfenberg
0.60
SKU Amstetten and Rapid Wien II are level in average points per game (both 1.20).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Liefering
2.60
FC BW Linz
2.60
Sturm Graz II
2.00
Austria Salzburg
2.00
Floridsdorfer AC
1.80
First Vienna
1.80
Voitsberg
1.40
Wacker Innsbruck
1.40
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.40
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.20
SV Kapfenberg
1.20
Rapid Wien II
1.20
WSPG Wels
1.20
Admira Wacker
1.20
SKU Amstetten
1.20
SKN ST. Polten
0.20
SKU Amstetten and Rapid Wien II are level in goals scored per game (both 1.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC BW Linz
0.60
SKN ST. Polten
0.80
Wacker Innsbruck
1.00
Admira Wacker
1.00
Floridsdorfer AC
1.20
First Vienna
1.20
SKU Amstetten
1.20
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.20
Austria Salzburg
1.40
FC Liefering
1.60
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
2.00
Voitsberg
2.00
WSPG Wels
2.00
Rapid Wien II
2.20
SV Kapfenberg
2.40
Sturm Graz II
2.60
SKU Amstetten is 1.00 goals better than Rapid Wien II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.20 vs 2.20).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
SKU Amstetten
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Rapid Wien II
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
SKU Amstetten
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
10.7
7.8
0.8
0.5
1.0
24.6
21.0
27.2
vs Stronger (5)
12.0
12.0
-
0.8
1.0
0.0
13.0
13.0
-
vs Similar (45)
8.5
10.0
7.8
0.8
0.5
1.0
26.5
25.0
27.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
43%
67%
25%
12%
12%
12%
43%
33%
50%
% under line
57%
33%
75%
88%
88%
88%
57%
67%
50%
This opponent (Rapid Wien II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rapid Wien II
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
11.4
9.8
0.8
0.6
0.9
21.4
19.6
23.8
vs Stronger (4)
10.0
10.0
-
0.8
1.0
0.0
24.0
24.0
-
vs Similar (46)
10.8
11.8
9.8
0.8
0.5
1.0
21.1
18.5
23.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
67%
80%
50%
12%
8%
16%
56%
40%
75%
% under line
33%
20%
50%
88%
92%
84%
44%
60%
25%
This opponent (SKU Amstetten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
SKN ST. Polten
10.6
Austria Vienna (Am)
10.5
FC Liefering
10.3
SV Kapfenberg
10.3
SKU Amstetten
10.2
First Vienna
10.1
Floridsdorfer AC
10.0
Rapid Wien II
9.7
Voitsberg
9.0
FC BW Linz
8.8
Admira Wacker
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SV Kapfenberg
6.5
Voitsberg
5.7
SKN ST. Polten
5.5
Floridsdorfer AC
5.4
SKU Amstetten
5.3
First Vienna
5.0
FC Liefering
4.9
Admira Wacker
4.7
FC BW Linz
4.6
Austria Vienna (Am)
4.3
Rapid Wien II
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
First Vienna
26.4
Floridsdorfer AC
26.0
Voitsberg
25.3
Austria Vienna (Am)
25.2
FC Liefering
25.1
SV Kapfenberg
24.1
SKU Amstetten
23.8
Rapid Wien II
23.8
Admira Wacker
23.3
SKN ST. Polten
22.5
FC BW Linz
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
49.6%
Under 9.5
50.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
75.8%
Under 3.5
24.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
66.7%
Under 21.5
33.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
SKU Amstetten or Draw
69.8%
Avg Implied -
43%
27%
30%
covers SKU Amstetten + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
SKU Amstetten or Rapid Wien II
72.9%
Avg Implied -
43%
27%
30%
covers SKU Amstetten + Rapid Wien II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Rapid Wien II
57.3%
Avg Implied -
43%
27%
30%
covers Draw + Rapid Wien II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
SKU Amstetten over/under 0.5
Over
79.0%
Under
21.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKU Amstetten over/under 1.5
Over
46.2%
Under
53.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKU Amstetten over/under 2.5
Over
20.7%
Under
79.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKU Amstetten over/under 3.5
Over
7.3%
Under
92.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapid Wien II over/under 0.5
Over
72.3%
Under
27.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapid Wien II over/under 1.5
Over
36.7%
Under
63.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapid Wien II over/under 2.5
Over
13.9%
Under
86.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapid Wien II over/under 3.5
Over
4.1%
Under
95.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to SKU Amstetten, so a minus line means SKU Amstetten give that many goals of a start and Rapid Wien II receive them. At -1, SKU Amstetten must win by two or more to land; a one-goal SKU Amstetten win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (SKU Amstetten)
SKU Amstetten -2
8.9%
Draw -2
13.2%
Rapid Wien II +2
77.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (SKU Amstetten)
SKU Amstetten -1
22.1%
Draw -1
20.6%
Rapid Wien II +1
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (SKU Amstetten)
SKU Amstetten +1
69.8%
Draw +1
16.7%
Rapid Wien II -1
13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (SKU Amstetten)
SKU Amstetten +2
86.5%
Draw +2
8.9%
Rapid Wien II -2
4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
SKU Amstetten
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.50
0.80
0.27
0.47
0.73
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
0.33
1.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.59
0.52
0.69
0.23
0.50
0.79
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapid Wien II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rapid Wien II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.50
0.50
0.36
0.88
0.62
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (29)
0.72
0.48
0.50
0.36
0.93
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (SKU Amstetten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
SKU Amstetten over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKU Amstetten over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKU Amstetten over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapid Wien II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapid Wien II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapid Wien II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
SKU Amstetten
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.77
0.80
0.80
0.87
0.73
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.00
0.50
1.50
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.85
0.74
0.85
0.69
0.86
0.79
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapid Wien II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rapid Wien II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.10
0.79
1.21
0.44
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (29)
0.62
1.14
0.79
1.21
0.47
1.07
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (SKU Amstetten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
SKU Amstetten over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKU Amstetten over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKU Amstetten over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapid Wien II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapid Wien II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapid Wien II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
95.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
93.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
88.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
86.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FL (17)
€5m
FBL (21)
€5m
FV (24)
€5m
AV( (23)
€5m
SSP (20)
€4m
AW (23)
€4m
RWI (24)
€4m
SGI (22)
€4m
AS (22)
€4m
SB (22)
€3m
WW (19)
€3m
SA (20)
€3m
FA (19)
€3m
SK (23)
€3m
SKU Amstetten and Rapid Wien II have a similar squad value (both €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FL (4)
€3m
RWI (12)
€2m
FBL (9)
€2m
AW (7)
€2m
AV( (7)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
SGI (7)
€1m
FV (7)
€1m
SB (9)
€1m
WW (7)
€1m
SA (7)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
AS (7)
€1m
SK (7)
€1m
SKU Amstetten and Rapid Wien II have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FV (8)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
FBL (4)
€1m
FL (6)
€1m
FA (5)
€1m
AV( (5)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
SB (5)
€1m
SGI (6)
€1m
SA (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
WW (4)
€1m
RWI (4)
€1m
AS (4)
€1m
SKU Amstetten and Rapid Wien II have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AV( (11)
€2m
AS (11)
€2m
FBL (8)
€2m
AW (11)
€2m
FV (9)
€2m
SGI (9)
€2m
FL (7)
€2m
WW (8)
€1m
SSP (8)
€1m
RWI (8)
€1m
SA (8)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
SK (10)
€1m
SKU Amstetten and Rapid Wien II have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Austria: 2. Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: 2. Liga stats & trends →