Slatina host Metalul Buzău in a finely balanced Romania: Liga II encounter, with both sides enjoying recent form boosts. Slatina is on a 4-game winning run, having beaten CS Dinamo București 5-1 in their last outing. Meanwhile, Metalul Buzău comes into this match off the back of a win, having overcome CS Afumati 3-1.
The model predicts a home win for Slatina, with a 39% probability of this outcome. The draw is seen as a 31% possibility, while Metalul Buzău's away win is also given a 31% chance. The expected total number of goals is 2.3, with the most likely score being a 1-1 draw, occurring 28% of the time.
At home, Slatina averages 1 goal scored and 0.89 conceded per game against similar opponents. Away from home, Metalul Buzău averages 1.67 goals scored and 1.44 conceded versus similar opponents. The model's selection is the under 3.5 goals, occurring 79.6% of the time. Suggested picks include the under 3.5 goals (79.6%), with no other selections provided. Home win percentage is 39%, draw percentage is 31%, and away win percentage is 31%.
The model’s forecast proved spot on as Slatina secured a 2-0 win, extending their winning streak. The pre-match favourite, Home win, had a 37 % probability and the model’s pick was correct. The most likely scoreline of 1-1 was not achieved, but the actual result matched the favoured outcome. Every suggested pick landed: Under 7.5 (99.8 %) hit, Under 6.5 (99.2 %) hit, Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.7 %) hit, Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.8 %) hit, Away under 3.5 goals (97.7 %) hit, Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.5 %) hit, Under 5.5 (97.4 %) hit, and Home under 3.5 goals (97.0 %) hit. The model’s selections performed consistently across the match.
Slatina| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.67 | 1.13 | 1.36 | 0.86 | 1.94 | 1.38 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.00 | 2.50 | 0.00 | 2.50 | - | - |
| vs Similar (23) | 1.61 | 1.13 | 1.00 | 0.56 | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| vs Weaker (5) | 2.60 | 0.60 | 3.33 | 0.67 | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| Clean sheet % | 30% (-2pp vs league) | |||||
Metalul Buzău| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.93 | 1.17 | 1.86 | 1.21 | 2.00 | 1.12 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (22) | 1.73 | 1.36 | 1.12 | 1.50 | 2.07 | 1.29 |
| vs Weaker (8) | 2.50 | 0.62 | 2.83 | 0.83 | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 33% (+2pp vs league) | |||||
| Metalul Buzău goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 12% | 10% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 11% | 15% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| 2 | 7.3% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Slatina| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.63 | 0.67 | 0.79 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.81 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.00 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 1.50 | - | - |
| vs Similar (23) | 0.57 | 0.65 | 0.67 | 0.33 | 0.50 | 0.86 |
| vs Weaker (5) | 1.20 | 0.40 | 1.67 | 0.33 | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Clean sheet % | 53% (+22pp vs league) | |||||
Metalul Buzău| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.93 | 0.60 | 0.64 | 0.57 | 1.19 | 0.62 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (22) | 0.95 | 0.77 | 0.50 | 0.88 | 1.21 | 0.71 |
| vs Weaker (8) | 0.88 | 0.12 | 0.83 | 0.17 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 60% (+28pp vs league) | |||||
Slatina| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.03 | 0.47 | 0.57 | 0.36 | 1.44 | 0.56 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | - | - |
| vs Similar (23) | 1.04 | 0.48 | 0.33 | 0.22 | 1.50 | 0.64 |
| vs Weaker (5) | 1.40 | 0.20 | 1.67 | 0.33 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 63% (+32pp vs league) | |||||
Metalul Buzău| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.00 | 0.57 | 1.21 | 0.64 | 0.81 | 0.50 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (22) | 0.77 | 0.59 | 0.62 | 0.62 | 0.86 | 0.57 |
| vs Weaker (8) | 1.62 | 0.50 | 2.00 | 0.67 | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 53% (+22pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 7.5 | 99.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Under 6.5 | 99.2% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.1% | ✓ Hit |
| Away under 2.5 HT goals | 98.7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Home under 2.5 HT goals | 97.8% | 1.01 | 1.02 | 1.01 | - | - | - | +4.9% | ✓ Hit |
| Away under 3.5 goals | 97.7% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.2% | ✓ Hit |
| Away under 2.5 2H goals | 97.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Under 5.5 | 97.4% | 1.02 | 1.04 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.01 | - | +4.3% | ✓ Hit |
| Home under 3.5 goals | 97.0% | 1.04 | 1.06 | 1.04 | 1.03 | - | - | +7.2% | ✓ Hit |
| Home under 2.5 2H goals | 96.0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Under 4.5 | 92.6% | 1.07 | 1.11 | 1.09 | 1.06 | 1.06 | 1.05 | +6.6% | ✓ Hit |
| Away under 1.5 HT goals | 91.5% | 1.04 | 1.06 | 1.04 | 1.03 | - | - | +2.3% | ✓ Hit |
| Away under 2.5 goals | 90.9% | 1.05 | 1.07 | 1.06 | 1.04 | 1.03 | - | +1.6% | ✓ Hit |
| Under 2.5 HT goals | 90.5% | 1.07 | 1.09 | 1.08 | 1.08 | 1.05 | 1.05 | +3.2% | ✓ Hit |
| Home under 2.5 goals | 88.9% | 1.17 | 1.21 | 1.19 | 1.17 | 1.16 | 1.13 | +10.0% | ✓ Hit |
| Away under 1.5 2H goals | 88.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Home under 1.5 HT goals | 88.2% | 1.11 | 1.13 | 1.13 | 1.08 | - | - | +4.8% | ✓ Hit |
| Home +2 handicap | 87.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Away +2 handicap | 84.1% | 1.24 | 1.26 | 1.25 | 1.23 | 1.20 | - | +12.2% | ✗ Miss |
| Under 2.5 2H goals | 83.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Home under 1.5 2H goals | 82.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Under 3.5 | 81.6% | 1.25 | 1.30 | 1.30 | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.24 | +8.0% | ✓ Hit |
| Over 0.5 2H goals | 76.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Away under 1.5 goals | 71.4% | 1.27 | 1.34 | 1.32 | 1.26 | 1.26 | 1.25 | -0.9% | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 | A | 1-3 | |
| 16/08/25 | H | 2-3 | |
| 14/09/24 | A | 1-0 |
Slatina| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 15/08/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 12/08/26 | A | 0-3 | |
| 08/08/26 | H | 5-1 | |
| 02/08/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 09/05/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 02/05/26 | A | 1-3 | |
| 25/04/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 18/04/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 10/04/26 | H | 1-1 |
Metalul Buzău| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 15/08/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 12/08/26 | A | 2-4 | |
| 08/08/26 | H | 3-1 | |
| 01/08/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 09/05/26 | A | 0-3 | |
| 02/05/26 | H | 1-3 | |
| 25/04/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 18/04/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 10/04/26 | H | 1-0 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | FC Politehnica Timisoara | 5 | 13 | 80% | 2.6 | 11 | 2 | +9 | 2.6 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.2 | 0.4 | - |
| 2 | Slatina | 5 | 13 | 80% | 2.6 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 2.4 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.0 | 0.4 | - |
| 3 | Concordia | 5 | 12 | 80% | 2.4 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 3.8 | 100% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2.2 | 1.6 | - |
| 4 | CSM Reşiţa | 5 | 12 | 80% | 2.4 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 3.0 | 100% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 5 | Chindia Targoviste | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 3.0 | 80% | 80% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - |
| 6 | Popești-Leordeni | 5 | 9 | 40% | 1.8 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 3.2 | 100% | 40% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 1.2 | - |
| 7 | Gloria Bistriţa | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 2.2 | 60% | 60% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.4 | 0.8 | - |
| 8 | FC Bacau | 5 | 8 | 40% | 1.6 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 3.0 | 80% | 80% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - |
| 9 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 5 | 8 | 40% | 1.6 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 2.2 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.0 | - |
| 10 | Cetatea Suceava | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 7 | 7 | +0 | 2.8 | 100% | 40% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 1.4 | - |
| 11 | Metaloglobus | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3.0 | 80% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.4 | 1.6 | - |
| 12 | Metalul Buzău | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 2.2 | 60% | 40% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.2 | - |
| 13 | CS Afumati | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3.0 | 100% | 80% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.8 | - |
| 14 | Bihor Oradea | 5 | 6 | 20% | 1.2 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 2.0 | 80% | 20% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | - |
| 15 | Ştefăneşti | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 2.8 | 80% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.8 | 2.0 | - |
| 16 | Viitorul Şelimbăr | 5 | 5 | 20% | 1.0 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 2.4 | 80% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.4 | - |
| 17 | ASA Targu Mures | 5 | 4 | 20% | 0.8 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 2.2 | 80% | 40% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.6 | 1.6 | - |
| 18 | Dumbrăviţa | 5 | 3 | 0% | 0.6 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 2.0 | 60% | 20% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 19 | CS Dinamo București | 5 | 3 | 20% | 0.6 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 2.8 | 60% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.8 | 2.0 | - |
| 20 | CSM Satu Mare | 5 | 2 | 0% | 0.4 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1.4 | 60% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.2 | 1.2 | - |
| 21 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3.2 | 100% | 100% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 2.2 | - |
| 22 | Unirea Slobozia | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 2.4 | 80% | 60% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.6 | 1.8 | - |
| 23 | AFC Hermannstadt | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | - | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 11 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - |