Slavia Praha II is expected to secure a home win, with a predicted probability of 42%. The overall shape of the match is likely to be a closely contested, low-scoring affair with 2.7 goals expected on average. The most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, occurring 13.2% of the time.
Slavia Praha II has been in strong form at home, scoring an average of 6 goals and conceding just 1. On the other hand, Třinec has struggled away from home, scoring 0.42 goals and conceding 1.83.
The model's selections include Over 1.5 goals, occurring 77% of the time, and Under 3.5 goals, with a 70.6% chance of occurring. The model also predicts a home win, which is its selection.
The probabilities for the three possible outcomes are: home win (42%), draw (28%), and away win (31%). The model's selection, home win, is the favoured match result.
Results analysis
The win extends Slavia Praha II's run, their second victory in a row at home. The final score of 3-2 was a far cry from the predicted 2-1, the most likely outcome according to the model's data. The model's selection, Home win, was the correct choice, with a pre-match probability of 42%. The model's selection was the favourite, and it proved to be the correct call. The suggested picks also performed well, with Over 1.5 goals hitting and Under 3.5 goals missing. The Over 1.5 goals selection had a 77% probability, while the Under 3.5 goals selection had a 70.6% chance of success.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Slavia Praha II win✓ Hit
41.7%
Avg Implied 58.0% · @ 1.57
Edge
-16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.61
Pinnacle
1.60
Betano
1.60
10Bet
1.60
Superbet
1.59
Draw✗ Miss
27.8%
Avg Implied 23.3% · @ 3.91
Edge
+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
4.33
Dafabet
4.00
Betano
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.98
Třinec win✗ Miss
30.5%
Avg Implied 18.8% · @ 4.84
Edge
+11.8%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
5.25
Marathonbet
5.15
1xBet
5.12
Pinnacle
5.07
Betfair
5.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Slavia Praha II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.60
1.87
1.33
1.00
1.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
1.45
1.82
1.80
1.20
1.17
2.33
vs Weaker (19)
1.42
1.47
1.90
1.40
0.89
1.56
Clean sheet %
10% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Třinec) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Třinec
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.53
1.21
1.64
1.25
1.44
vs Stronger (29)
1.03
1.59
1.21
1.64
0.87
1.53
vs Similar (1)
7.00
0.00
-
-
7.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Slavia Praha II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.0%
@ 1.18-1.5%
Under 1.5
23.0%
@ 4.30+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.20
Betfair
1.20
888Sport
1.18
Under
BetVictor
4.80
Betfair
4.50
888Sport
4.50
Marathonbet
4.33
1xBet
4.33
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.6%
@ 1.62-6.0%
Under 2.5
48.4%
@ 2.19+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.77
10Bet
1.70
Bet365
1.70
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.58
Under
BetVictor
2.38
Betano
2.25
Betfair
2.25
888Sport
2.25
Superbet
2.22
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
29.4%
@ 2.53-7.3%
Under 3.5
70.6%
@ 1.47+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.89
10Bet
2.70
Bet365
2.62
Betfair
2.55
Betano
2.45
Under
BetVictor
1.53
Betfair
1.50
Betano
1.50
888Sport
1.50
Superbet
1.48
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.4%
@ 1.65+0.3%
No
43.6%
@ 2.11-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.73
Betfair
1.67
10Bet
1.67
888Sport
1.65
Betano
1.65
No
William Hil
2.20
BetVictor
2.20
Superbet
2.15
Betfair
2.15
Betano
2.12
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%@ 7.11+7.0%
2-1
9.0%@ 7.25+2.9%
1-0
8.4%@ 7.50+2.5%
0-0
7.7%@ 12.42+4.1%
1-2
7.5%@ 14.08+4.4%
2-0
7.2%@ 7.80+1.5%
0-1
6.9%@ 14.28+3.8%
2-2
5.6%@ 13.10+2.2%
Slavia Praha II goals ↓
Třinec goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.7%
6.9%
5.0%
2.1%
0.7%
1
8.4%
13%
7.5%
3.1%
1.0%
2
7.2%
9.0%
5.6%
2.3%
0.7%
3
3.6%
4.5%
2.8%
1.2%
0.4%
4
1.3%
1.7%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Slavia Praha II goals (down), columns = Třinec goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ústí nad Labem
2.33
Karviná
2.00
Slavia Praha II
2.00
Příbram
2.00
Táborsko
1.83
Dukla Praha
1.67
Kladno
1.33
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.33
Baník Ostrava II
1.17
Vysočina Jihlava
1.17
Opava
1.00
Vlašim
1.00
Prostějov
0.83
Hanácká
0.67
Třinec
0.67
Viktoria Žižkov
0.50
Slavia Praha II is 1.33 points better than Třinec in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 0.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha II
2.67
Karviná
2.00
Dukla Praha
1.83
Baník Ostrava II
1.83
Ústí nad Labem
1.83
Příbram
1.83
Vlašim
1.67
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.50
Táborsko
1.33
Opava
1.33
Prostějov
1.33
Kladno
1.33
Vysočina Jihlava
1.17
Třinec
1.00
Hanácká
0.50
Viktoria Žižkov
0.50
Slavia Praha II is 1.67 goals better than Třinec in terms of goals scored per game (2.67 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Táborsko
0.67
Ústí nad Labem
0.83
Vysočina Jihlava
1.00
Karviná
1.17
Kladno
1.17
Baník Ostrava II
1.33
Příbram
1.33
Dukla Praha
1.50
Prostějov
1.50
Vlašim
1.50
Opava
1.67
Slavia Praha II
1.67
Třinec
1.67
Arsenal Česká Lípa
2.00
Hanácká
2.17
Viktoria Žižkov
2.50
Slavia Praha II and Třinec are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.67).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Slavia Praha II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.83
0.67
0.73
0.40
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.55
0.82
0.60
0.20
0.50
1.33
vs Weaker (19)
0.53
0.84
0.70
1.00
0.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Třinec) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Třinec
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.67
0.36
0.79
0.38
0.56
vs Stronger (29)
0.28
0.69
0.36
0.79
0.20
0.60
vs Similar (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Slavia Praha II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Slavia Praha II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Praha II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Praha II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Třinec over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Třinec over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Třinec over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Slavia Praha II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.77
1.20
0.60
0.60
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.91
1.00
1.20
1.00
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (19)
0.89
0.63
1.20
0.40
0.56
0.89
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Třinec) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Třinec
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.87
0.86
0.86
0.88
0.88
vs Stronger (29)
0.76
0.90
0.86
0.86
0.67
0.93
vs Similar (1)
4.00
0.00
-
-
4.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Slavia Praha II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Slavia Praha II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Praha II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Praha II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Třinec over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Třinec over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Třinec over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
77.0%
1.18
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.20
Betfair
1.20
888Sport
1.18
-1.5%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
70.6%
1.47
BetVictor
1.53
Betfair
1.50
Betano
1.50
888Sport
1.50
Superbet
1.48
+7.3%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (26)
€11m
KAR (24)
€7m
DP (29)
€7m
VLA (22)
€4m
BOI (17)
€3m
TÁB (23)
€3m
PRO (25)
€3m
VJ (18)
€3m
VŽ (22)
€3m
ÚNL (22)
€3m
OPA (21)
€3m
HAN (24)
€2m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
KLA (11)
€2m
AČL (9)
€1m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Slavia Praha II's squad is €11m more valuable than Třinec's (€11m vs €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (11)
€4m
DP (13)
€3m
SPI (8)
€3m
VLA (8)
€2m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
BOI (6)
€1m
OPA (7)
€1m
TÁB (7)
€1m
VJ (4)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
VŽ (5)
€1m
AČL (3)
€0m
KLA (4)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Slavia Praha II's attack is €3m more valuable than Třinec's (€3m vs €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (5)
€2m
DP (6)
€1m
VŽ (9)
€1m
VJ (6)
€1m
VLA (5)
€1m
KAR (4)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
TÁB (6)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
ÚNL (6)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
BOI (3)
€1m
KLA (2)
€1m
AČL (2)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Slavia Praha II's midfield is €2m more valuable than Třinec's (€2m vs €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (13)
€6m
KAR (9)
€2m
DP (10)
€2m
BOI (8)
€2m
TÁB (10)
€1m
VLA (9)
€1m
PRO (11)
€1m
VJ (8)
€1m
VŽ (8)
€1m
HAN (10)
€1m
OPA (9)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
KLA (5)
€1m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
AČL (4)
€0m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Slavia Praha II's defence is €6m more valuable than Třinec's (€6m vs €0m).
Czech-Republic: FNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: FNL stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Ústí nad Labem
Karviná
Příbram
Táborsko
Dukla Praha
Kladno
Arsenal Česká Lípa
Baník Ostrava II
Vysočina Jihlava
Vlašim
Opava
Prostějov
Hanácká
Viktoria Žižkov