Slavia Praha II are the clear favourites, with the model assigning a 74 % chance of a home win, a 16 % chance of a draw and only 10 % for Viktoria Žižkov to triumph. The prediction is driven by Slavia’s strong home form against weaker opposition, scoring an average of 1.82 goals and conceding 1.45, while Viktoria, playing away against a stronger side, averages just one goal scored and 1.5 conceded. The expected total is 3.8 goals, and the most likely total number of goals is three, with a 21 % probability. The single most likely scoreline is 2-0 for Slavia, carrying a 9 % chance. The model’s selections echo this dominance: Home +2 handicap (96.5 %), Home +1 handicap (89.9 %), Home or Draw (89.9 %), Home over 0.5 goals (93.8 %), Away under 3.5 goals (98.2 %), Away under 2.5 goals (92.2 %), Under 6.5 (91.2 %), Under 7.5 (96.2 %). Slavia’s recent 3-game winning streak, highlighted by a 4-1 victory over Hanácká, and Viktoria’s three straight defeats, including a 0-3 loss to Karviná, underline the predicted outcome.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Slavia Praha II win
75.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
15.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov win
9.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Slavia Praha II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.63
1.94
1.44
1.07
1.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
1.58
1.75
1.80
1.20
1.43
2.14
vs Weaker (18)
1.50
1.56
2.00
1.55
0.71
1.57
Clean sheet %
10% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Viktoria Žižkov) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Viktoria Žižkov
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
2.07
1.31
1.85
1.06
2.24
vs Stronger (8)
1.50
2.25
1.33
3.33
1.60
1.60
vs Similar (21)
1.10
1.95
1.30
1.40
0.91
2.45
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Slavia Praha II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (20%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
90.9%
Under 1.5
9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
75.1%
Under 2.5
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
55.2%
Under 3.5
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
60.9%
No
39.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
8.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.3%
3-0
8.1%
1-1
6.4%
4-1
6.0%
4-0
5.9%
1-0
5.2%
Slavia Praha II goals ↓
Viktoria Žižkov goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.6%
1.4%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
1
5.2%
6.4%
3.0%
1.0%
0.3%
2
8.4%
8.5%
4.3%
1.5%
0.4%
3
8.1%
8.3%
4.2%
1.4%
0.4%
4
5.9%
6.0%
3.1%
1.0%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Slavia Praha II goals (down), columns = Viktoria Žižkov goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ústí nad Labem
2.33
Karviná
2.00
Slavia Praha II
2.00
Příbram
2.00
Táborsko
1.83
Dukla Praha
1.67
Kladno
1.33
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.33
Baník Ostrava II
1.17
Vysočina Jihlava
1.17
Opava
1.00
Vlašim
1.00
Prostějov
0.83
Hanácká
0.67
Třinec
0.67
Viktoria Žižkov
0.50
Slavia Praha II is 1.50 points better than Viktoria Žižkov in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 0.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha II
2.67
Karviná
2.00
Dukla Praha
1.83
Baník Ostrava II
1.83
Ústí nad Labem
1.83
Příbram
1.83
Vlašim
1.67
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.50
Táborsko
1.33
Opava
1.33
Prostějov
1.33
Kladno
1.33
Vysočina Jihlava
1.17
Třinec
1.00
Hanácká
0.50
Viktoria Žižkov
0.50
Slavia Praha II is 2.17 goals better than Viktoria Žižkov in terms of goals scored per game (2.67 vs 0.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Táborsko
0.67
Ústí nad Labem
0.83
Vysočina Jihlava
1.00
Karviná
1.17
Kladno
1.17
Baník Ostrava II
1.33
Příbram
1.33
Dukla Praha
1.50
Prostějov
1.50
Vlašim
1.50
Opava
1.67
Slavia Praha II
1.67
Třinec
1.67
Arsenal Česká Lípa
2.00
Hanácká
2.17
Viktoria Žižkov
2.50
Slavia Praha II is 0.83 goals better than Viktoria Žižkov in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 2.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Slavia Praha II or Draw
90.4%
Avg Implied -
75%
15%
10%
covers Slavia Praha II + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Slavia Praha II or Viktoria Žižkov
85.0%
Avg Implied -
75%
15%
10%
covers Slavia Praha II + Viktoria Žižkov
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Viktoria Žižkov
24.5%
Avg Implied -
75%
15%
10%
covers Draw + Viktoria Žižkov
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Slavia Praha II over/under 0.5
Over
94.6%
Under
5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Praha II over/under 1.5
Over
78.7%
Under
21.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Praha II over/under 2.5
Over
55.7%
Under
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Praha II over/under 3.5
Over
33.3%
Under
66.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 0.5
Over
63.7%
Under
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 1.5
Over
27.0%
Under
73.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 2.5
Over
8.3%
Under
91.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 3.5
Over
2.0%
Under
98.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Slavia Praha II, so a minus line means Slavia Praha II give that many goals of a start and Viktoria Žižkov receive them. At -1, Slavia Praha II must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Slavia Praha II win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Slavia Praha II)
Slavia Praha II -2
36.1%
Draw -2
20.3%
Viktoria Žižkov +2
43.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Slavia Praha II)
Slavia Praha II -1
56.5%
Draw -1
19.0%
Viktoria Žižkov +1
24.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Slavia Praha II)
Slavia Praha II +1
90.4%
Draw +1
6.2%
Viktoria Žižkov -1
3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Slavia Praha II)
Slavia Praha II +2
96.7%
Draw +2
2.5%
Viktoria Žižkov -2
0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Slavia Praha II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.83
0.81
0.75
0.36
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.50
0.83
0.60
0.20
0.43
1.29
vs Weaker (18)
0.67
0.83
0.91
1.00
0.29
0.57
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Viktoria Žižkov) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Viktoria Žižkov
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.97
0.46
1.15
0.59
0.82
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
1.12
0.33
2.33
0.80
0.40
vs Similar (21)
0.52
0.86
0.50
0.80
0.55
0.91
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Slavia Praha II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
74.8%
Under 0.5
25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
41.2%
Under 1.5
58.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
16.8%
Under 2.5
83.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Slavia Praha II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
56.6%
Under
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Praha II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
21.9%
Under
78.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Praha II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
6.6%
Under
93.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 0.5 HT
Over
38.4%
Under
61.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 1.5 HT
Over
8.6%
Under
91.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.5%
Under
97.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Slavia Praha II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.80
1.12
0.69
0.71
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
1.08
0.92
1.20
1.00
1.00
0.86
vs Weaker (18)
0.83
0.72
1.09
0.55
0.43
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Viktoria Žižkov) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Viktoria Žižkov
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.10
0.85
0.69
0.47
1.41
vs Stronger (8)
0.88
1.12
1.00
1.00
0.80
1.20
vs Similar (21)
0.57
1.10
0.80
0.60
0.36
1.55
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Slavia Praha II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
84.4%
Under 0.5
15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
54.6%
Under 1.5
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
26.6%
Under 2.5
73.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Slavia Praha II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
64.9%
Under
35.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Praha II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
32.3%
Under
67.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Praha II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
9.9%
Under
90.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 0.5 2H
Over
46.3%
Under
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 1.5 2H
Over
12.5%
Under
87.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.2%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 3.5 goals
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
96.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
95.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
94.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
93.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
90.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
90.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
87.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 1.5 goals
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home win
75.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (26)
€11m
KAR (24)
€7m
DP (29)
€7m
VLA (22)
€4m
BOI (17)
€3m
TÁB (23)
€3m
PRO (25)
€3m
VJ (18)
€3m
VŽ (22)
€3m
ÚNL (22)
€3m
OPA (21)
€3m
HAN (24)
€2m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
KLA (11)
€2m
AČL (9)
€1m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Slavia Praha II's squad is €8m more valuable than Viktoria Žižkov's (€11m vs €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (11)
€4m
DP (13)
€3m
SPI (8)
€3m
VLA (8)
€2m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
BOI (6)
€1m
OPA (7)
€1m
TÁB (7)
€1m
VJ (4)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
VŽ (5)
€1m
AČL (3)
€0m
KLA (4)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Slavia Praha II's attack is €2m more valuable than Viktoria Žižkov's (€3m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (5)
€2m
DP (6)
€1m
VŽ (9)
€1m
VJ (6)
€1m
VLA (5)
€1m
KAR (4)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
TÁB (6)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
ÚNL (6)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
BOI (3)
€1m
KLA (2)
€1m
AČL (2)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Slavia Praha II and Viktoria Žižkov have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (13)
€6m
KAR (9)
€2m
DP (10)
€2m
BOI (8)
€2m
TÁB (10)
€1m
VLA (9)
€1m
PRO (11)
€1m
VJ (8)
€1m
VŽ (8)
€1m
HAN (10)
€1m
OPA (9)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
KLA (5)
€1m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
AČL (4)
€0m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Slavia Praha II's defence is €5m more valuable than Viktoria Žižkov's (€6m vs €1m).
Czech-Republic: FNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: FNL stats & trends →
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Ústí nad Labem
Karviná
Příbram
Táborsko
Dukla Praha
Kladno
Arsenal Česká Lípa
Baník Ostrava II
Vysočina Jihlava
Vlašim
Opava
Prostějov
Třinec
Hanácká