Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
π₯ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
βοΈ 7. Handicap
β±οΈ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Slavia Sofia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.47
0.67
0.27
0.53
0.67
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
0.60
0.00
0.33
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.70
0.55
0.90
0.30
0.50
0.80
vs Weaker (5)
0.60
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.67
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Varna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spartak Varna
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.47
1.14
0.21
0.81
0.69
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
1.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (24)
0.96
0.33
1.09
0.09
0.85
0.54
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Slavia Sofia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
π₯ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Slavia Sofia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Sofia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Sofia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Varna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Varna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Varna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
β±οΈ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Slavia Sofia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.70
0.53
0.60
0.33
0.80
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
1.20
0.33
1.33
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.40
0.55
0.50
0.40
0.30
0.70
vs Weaker (5)
0.40
0.80
1.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Varna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spartak Varna
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.37
1.07
0.29
0.94
0.44
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
1.04
0.46
1.09
0.36
1.00
0.54
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Slavia Sofia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
π₯ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Slavia Sofia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Sofia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Sofia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Varna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Varna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Varna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
π₯ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
90.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
88.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
Under 11.5 corners
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
Over 3.5 cards
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
Under 3.5
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Miss
Over 1.5
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
Under 10.5 corners
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
π½ 13. Player market rates
Slavia Sofia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Karl Kezy Fabien25%
Ventsislav Kerchev17%
Vladimir Nikolov12%
Ivan Minchev11%
Viktor Genev11%
Denislav Aleksandrov10%
Nikolay Krastev0%
Emil Stoev0%
Ertan Tombak0%
Tsvetelin Chunchukov0%
Svetoslav Vutsov0%
Galin Ivanov0%
Emil Martinov0%
Quentin Seedorf0%
Martin Georgiev0%
Chung Nguyen Do0%
Veljko JelenkoviΔ0%
Roberto Raychev0%
Kristiyan Stoyanov0%
Kristiyan Balov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tsvetelin Chunchukov50%
Chung Nguyen Do38%
Ivan Minchev33%
Viktor Genev33%
Ventsislav Kerchev33%
Veljko JelenkoviΔ22%
Emil Martinov17%
Roberto Raychev17%
Galin Ivanov12%
Karl Kezy Fabien12%
Kristiyan Stoyanov12%
Martin Georgiev10%
Denislav Aleksandrov0%
Nikolay Krastev0%
Emil Stoev0%
Ertan Tombak0%
Svetoslav Vutsov0%
Vladimir Nikolov0%
Quentin Seedorf0%
Kristiyan Balov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Quentin Seedorf29%
Denislav Aleksandrov20%
Nikolay Krastev0%
Ivan Minchev0%
Viktor Genev0%
Ventsislav Kerchev0%
Emil Stoev0%
Ertan Tombak0%
Tsvetelin Chunchukov0%
Svetoslav Vutsov0%
Vladimir Nikolov0%
Galin Ivanov0%
Emil Martinov0%
Karl Kezy Fabien0%
Martin Georgiev0%
Chung Nguyen Do0%
Veljko JelenkoviΔ0%
Roberto Raychev0%
Kristiyan Stoyanov0%
Kristiyan Balov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ivan Minchev33%
Galin Ivanov25%
Karl Kezy Fabien25%
Roberto Raychev17%
Vladimir Nikolov12%
Viktor Genev11%
Denislav Aleksandrov0%
Nikolay Krastev0%
Ventsislav Kerchev0%
Emil Stoev0%
Ertan Tombak0%
Tsvetelin Chunchukov0%
Svetoslav Vutsov0%
Emil Martinov0%
Quentin Seedorf0%
Martin Georgiev0%
Chung Nguyen Do0%
Veljko JelenkoviΔ0%
Kristiyan Stoyanov0%
Kristiyan Balov0%
Spartak Varna
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ahmed Ahmedov43%
Dimitar Mitkov22%
Berna20%
Antonio Vutov18%
Xandy12%
Felix Strauss12%
Christian IliΔ0%
Deyan Lozev0%
Viktor Mitev0%
Milen Stoev0%
Yoan Baurenski0%
Aleksandar Tsvetkov0%
Alexander Georgiev0%
Franjo Prce0%
Lesnyak Philip0%
Radoslav Dimitrov0%
Pa Konate0%
Yvey Nathaniel0%
Martin Velichkov0%
Franck Rivollier0%
Angel Granchov0%
Daniel Ivanov0%
Mateo JuriΔ-PetraΕ‘ilo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Angel Granchov45%
Yvey Nathaniel44%
Deyan Lozev43%
Radoslav Dimitrov40%
Antonio Vutov36%
Franjo Prce33%
Yoan Baurenski29%
Felix Strauss25%
Christian IliΔ18%
Milen Stoev17%
Franck Rivollier17%
Daniel Ivanov17%
Martin Velichkov15%
Aleksandar Tsvetkov14%
Mateo JuriΔ-PetraΕ‘ilo13%
Xandy12%
Dimitar Mitkov11%
Viktor Mitev8%
Pa Konate8%
Lesnyak Philip7%
Alexander Georgiev0%
Ahmed Ahmedov0%
Berna0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daniel Ivanov17%
Ahmed Ahmedov14%
Lesnyak Philip13%
Yvey Nathaniel11%
Antonio Vutov9%
Christian IliΔ0%
Deyan Lozev0%
Viktor Mitev0%
Milen Stoev0%
Yoan Baurenski0%
Aleksandar Tsvetkov0%
Alexander Georgiev0%
Franjo Prce0%
Radoslav Dimitrov0%
Pa Konate0%
Dimitar Mitkov0%
Martin Velichkov0%
Franck Rivollier0%
Angel Granchov0%
Xandy0%
Felix Strauss0%
Berna0%
Mateo JuriΔ-PetraΕ‘ilo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Antonio Vutov18%
Berna13%
Dimitar Mitkov11%
Christian IliΔ0%
Deyan Lozev0%
Viktor Mitev0%
Milen Stoev0%
Yoan Baurenski0%
Aleksandar Tsvetkov0%
Alexander Georgiev0%
Ahmed Ahmedov0%
Franjo Prce0%
Lesnyak Philip0%
Radoslav Dimitrov0%
Pa Konate0%
Yvey Nathaniel0%
Martin Velichkov0%
Franck Rivollier0%
Angel Granchov0%
Xandy0%
Felix Strauss0%
Daniel Ivanov0%
Mateo JuriΔ-PetraΕ‘ilo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
π° 14. Squad value
π° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LUD (29)
€46m
LS (27)
€38m
CS (25)
€26m
C1 (30)
€18m
BP (29)
€11m
AK (20)
€10m
LP (23)
€9m
LS (25)
€8m
SS (25)
€7m
CMV (22)
€6m
SV (22)
€6m
BV (23)
€6m
SS (20)
€3m
H1 (19)
€3m
PB (17)
€2m
MAR (19)
€2m
BER (13)
€2m
Slavia Sofia's squad is €2m more valuable than Spartak Varna's (€7m vs €6m).
βοΈ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LUD (12)
€27m
LS (10)
€11m
CS (9)
€10m
C1 (14)
€9m
BP (12)
€5m
AK (7)
€3m
LS (11)
€3m
CMV (8)
€3m
LP (8)
€3m
SS (11)
€2m
BV (8)
€2m
SV (7)
€2m
H1 (8)
€2m
SS (8)
€1m
BER (5)
€1m
PB (5)
€0m
MAR (4)
€0m
Slavia Sofia and Spartak Varna have a similar attack value (both €2m).
π§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LS (5)
€8m
CS (6)
€6m
LUD (4)
€6m
AK (3)
€3m
LS (6)
€2m
C1 (4)
€2m
BP (6)
€2m
LP (5)
€2m
SS (4)
€2m
BV (5)
€1m
CMV (5)
€1m
SV (4)
€1m
SS (4)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
MAR (6)
€1m
H1 (2)
€0m
BER (2)
€0m
Slavia Sofia and Spartak Varna have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
π‘οΈ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LS (12)
€19m
LUD (13)
€13m
CS (10)
€10m
C1 (12)
€7m
BP (11)
€4m
LP (10)
€4m
AK (10)
€3m
SS (10)
€3m
LS (8)
€3m
SV (11)
€3m
CMV (9)
€2m
BV (10)
€2m
SS (8)
€2m
H1 (9)
€1m
BER (6)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
Slavia Sofia and Spartak Varna have a similar defence value (both €3m).
Bulgaria: First League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: First League stats & trends →