This opponent (Shamrock Rovers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Shamrock Rovers
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
0.77
2.00
0.40
0.80
1.13
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
2.20
1.50
0.50
0.00
3.33
vs Similar (11)
1.09
0.27
1.40
0.00
0.83
0.50
vs Weaker (14)
1.93
0.64
2.50
0.62
1.17
0.67
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Sligo Rovers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
58.1%
Under 1.5
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
29.8%
Under 2.5
70.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
12.6%
Under 3.5
87.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
39.1%
No
60.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
16.2%
1-1
14.8%
0-1
13.1%
1-0
12.5%
0-2
7.0%
1-2
6.6%
2-0
6.5%
2-1
6.3%
Sligo Rovers goals ↓
Shamrock Rovers goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
16%
13%
7.0%
2.3%
0.6%
1
13%
15%
6.6%
2.1%
0.5%
2
6.5%
6.3%
3.1%
1.0%
0.2%
3
2.0%
2.0%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.5%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sligo Rovers goals (down), columns = Shamrock Rovers goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Shamrock Rovers
2.19
Derry City
1.83
Dundalk
1.75
St Patrick's Athl.
1.69
Sligo Rovers
1.44
Bohemians
1.28
Shelbourne
1.14
Drogheda United
1.06
UCD
0.78
Finn Harps
0.56
Waterford
0.00
Sligo Rovers is 0.75 points worse than Shamrock Rovers in terms of average points per game (1.44 vs 2.19).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Shamrock Rovers
1.69
St Patrick's Athl.
1.58
Derry City
1.47
Dundalk
1.39
Sligo Rovers
1.36
Bohemians
1.25
Shelbourne
1.11
Drogheda United
0.94
Finn Harps
0.92
UCD
0.78
Waterford
0.00
Sligo Rovers is 0.33 goals worse than Shamrock Rovers in terms of goals scored per game (1.36 vs 1.69).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Shamrock Rovers
0.61
Derry City
0.75
Dundalk
0.89
Waterford
1.00
St Patrick's Athl.
1.03
Sligo Rovers
1.14
Bohemians
1.28
Shelbourne
1.36
Drogheda United
1.61
UCD
1.81
Finn Harps
1.97
Sligo Rovers is 0.53 goals worse than Shamrock Rovers in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 0.61).
âąïļ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Sligo Rovers
For 5.2 · Against 5.5 · Total 10.8
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.8
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 8.0 · Total 20.0
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Shamrock Rovers
For 3.9 · Against 4.1 · Total 8.0
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.6
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 15.0 · Total 25.8
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sligo Rovers
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (36)
10.8
11.0
10.5
0.5
0.8
0.3
20.0
20.0
-
vs Stronger (13)
10.5
12.0
9.0
1.2
2.0
0.6
20.0
20.0
-
vs Similar (19)
11.0
10.0
12.0
0.2
0.4
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
75%
100%
50%
11%
17%
6%
0%
0%
-
% under line
25%
0%
50%
89%
83%
94%
100%
100%
-
This opponent (Shamrock Rovers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Shamrock Rovers
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (40)
8.0
8.2
7.8
1.1
1.0
1.2
25.8
26.7
23.0
vs Stronger (5)
8.7
6.0
10.0
3.2
4.0
2.7
25.5
28.0
23.0
vs Similar (16)
6.0
8.5
1.0
0.7
0.6
0.8
29.0
29.0
-
vs Weaker (19)
10.0
10.0
10.0
0.9
0.7
1.2
23.0
23.0
-
% over line
50%
50%
50%
12%
10%
15%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
50%
50%
50%
88%
90%
85%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Sligo Rovers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Sligo Rovers
10.8
St Patrick's Athl.
10.2
Shamrock Rovers
8.0
Derry City
5.0
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
St Patrick's Athl.
7.7
Derry City
6.0
Shamrock Rovers
5.6
Sligo Rovers
4.8
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Shamrock Rovers
25.8
Sligo Rovers
20.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
51.0%
Under 9.5
49.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
62.4%
Under 3.5
37.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
68.3%
Under 21.5
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sligo Rovers
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.63
0.75
0.50
0.29
0.79
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
0.60
0.80
0.40
0.20
0.80
vs Similar (17)
0.47
0.65
0.60
0.60
0.29
0.71
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.67
2.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Shamrock Rovers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Shamrock Rovers
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.27
1.13
0.07
0.47
0.47
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
1.20
0.50
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (11)
0.55
0.00
0.80
0.00
0.33
0.00
vs Weaker (14)
1.21
0.14
1.50
0.12
0.83
0.17
Clean sheet %
83% (+54pp vs league)
This opponent (Sligo Rovers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sligo Rovers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shamrock Rovers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shamrock Rovers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shamrock Rovers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sligo Rovers
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.53
0.75
0.38
0.71
0.71
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
0.70
0.60
0.20
0.40
1.20
vs Similar (17)
0.82
0.47
0.80
0.50
0.86
0.43
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Shamrock Rovers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Shamrock Rovers
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.50
0.87
0.33
0.33
0.67
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
1.00
1.00
0.50
0.00
1.33
vs Similar (11)
0.55
0.27
0.60
0.00
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (14)
0.71
0.50
1.00
0.50
0.33
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Sligo Rovers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sligo Rovers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shamrock Rovers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shamrock Rovers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shamrock Rovers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Sligo Rovers · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
William Fitzgerald21%
Jad Hakiki17%
Cian Kavanagh13%
Archie Meekison10%
A. Nolan10%
Mai Traore7%
Sean McHale6%
Ryan O'Kane6%
D. Patton5%
Carl McHugh5%
J. Esua4%
G. McElroy4%
S. Sargeant0%
Shane Blaney0%
Ciaron Harkin0%
Jamie McGonigle0%
Oliver Denham0%
Sean Stewart0%
S. Quirk0%
J. McManus0%
Jack Shorrock0%
Kyle McDonagh0%
Guilherme Rego Priosti0%
Luke Pearce0%
Trey George0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ciaron Harkin40%
J. Esua22%
Luke Pearce20%
S. Quirk19%
Carl McHugh18%
J. McManus16%
G. McElroy14%
William Fitzgerald12%
Sean Stewart12%
Oliver Denham12%
Shane Blaney10%
A. Nolan10%
Cian Kavanagh9%
S. Sargeant7%
Mai Traore7%
Sean McHale6%
Ryan O'Kane6%
Archie Meekison5%
D. Patton5%
Jamie McGonigle0%
Jad Hakiki0%
Jack Shorrock0%
Kyle McDonagh0%
Guilherme Rego Priosti0%
Trey George0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jamie McGonigle25%
Luke Pearce20%
Archie Meekison14%
William Fitzgerald12%
Cian Kavanagh9%
Sean Stewart6%
Ryan O'Kane6%
A. Nolan5%
Carl McHugh5%
J. Esua4%
S. Sargeant0%
Shane Blaney0%
Ciaron Harkin0%
Mai Traore0%
Oliver Denham0%
S. Quirk0%
J. McManus0%
Jad Hakiki0%
Jack Shorrock0%
G. McElroy0%
D. Patton0%
Kyle McDonagh0%
Guilherme Rego Priosti0%
Sean McHale0%
Trey George0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cian Kavanagh22%
Mai Traore7%
S. Quirk6%
Ryan O'Kane6%
A. Nolan5%
S. Sargeant0%
Shane Blaney0%
Carl McHugh0%
Archie Meekison0%
Ciaron Harkin0%
William Fitzgerald0%
J. Esua0%
Jamie McGonigle0%
Oliver Denham0%
Sean Stewart0%
J. McManus0%
Jad Hakiki0%
Jack Shorrock0%
G. McElroy0%
D. Patton0%
Kyle McDonagh0%
Guilherme Rego Priosti0%
Sean McHale0%
Luke Pearce0%
Trey George0%
Shamrock Rovers
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rory Gaffney20%
Graham Burke0%
Richie Towell0%
Chris McCann0%
Jack Byrne0%
Dan Cleary0%
Sean Gannon0%
Sean Hoare0%
Alan Mannus0%
Lee Grace0%
Sean Kavanagh0%
Roberto Lopes0%
Ronan Finn0%
Dylan Watts0%
Aaron Greene0%
Andy Lyons0%
Neil Farrugia0%
Gary O'Neill0%
Justin Ferizaj0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sean Kavanagh60%
Dan Cleary50%
Sean Gannon50%
Gary O'Neill40%
Richie Towell33%
Neil Farrugia33%
Jack Byrne25%
Rory Gaffney20%
Aaron Greene20%
Justin Ferizaj20%
Graham Burke0%
Chris McCann0%
Sean Hoare0%
Alan Mannus0%
Lee Grace0%
Roberto Lopes0%
Ronan Finn0%
Dylan Watts0%
Andy Lyons0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Richie Towell33%
Rory Gaffney0%
Graham Burke0%
Chris McCann0%
Jack Byrne0%
Dan Cleary0%
Sean Gannon0%
Sean Hoare0%
Alan Mannus0%
Lee Grace0%
Sean Kavanagh0%
Roberto Lopes0%
Ronan Finn0%
Dylan Watts0%
Aaron Greene0%
Andy Lyons0%
Neil Farrugia0%
Gary O'Neill0%
Justin Ferizaj0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ronan Finn20%
Dylan Watts20%
Rory Gaffney0%
Graham Burke0%
Richie Towell0%
Chris McCann0%
Jack Byrne0%
Dan Cleary0%
Sean Gannon0%
Sean Hoare0%
Alan Mannus0%
Lee Grace0%
Sean Kavanagh0%
Roberto Lopes0%
Aaron Greene0%
Andy Lyons0%
Neil Farrugia0%
Gary O'Neill0%
Justin Ferizaj0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (31)
€7m
SPA (22)
€5m
BOH (23)
€4m
DC (22)
€4m
SHE (22)
€4m
DU (19)
€3m
SR (21)
€3m
DUN (20)
€3m
WAT (19)
€2m
FH (2)
€0m
Sligo Rovers's squad is €4m less valuable than Shamrock Rovers's (€3m vs €7m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (14)
€3m
SPA (6)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (7)
€1m
SHE (8)
€1m
SR (10)
€1m
WAT (6)
€1m
DU (4)
€1m
DUN (3)
€0m
FH (1)
€0m
Sligo Rovers's attack is €2m less valuable than Shamrock Rovers's (€1m vs €3m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (7)
€2m
SPA (7)
€1m
DC (6)
€1m
BOH (5)
€1m
SHE (4)
€1m
WAT (5)
€1m
DUN (6)
€1m
SR (3)
€1m
DU (4)
€0m
FH (1)
€0m
Sligo Rovers's midfield is €1m less valuable than Shamrock Rovers's (€1m vs €2m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (10)
€2m
SPA (9)
€2m
DU (11)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (9)
€2m
DUN (11)
€2m
SHE (10)
€2m
SR (8)
€1m
WAT (8)
€1m
FH (0)
€0m
Sligo Rovers and Shamrock Rovers have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Ireland: Premier Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: Premier Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Derry City
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
UCD
Finn Harps
Waterford