This opponent (Shamrock Rovers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Shamrock Rovers
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.27
1.40
1.00
1.20
1.53
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
2.38
0.00
1.67
1.00
2.80
vs Similar (16)
1.44
1.00
1.56
0.89
1.29
1.14
vs Weaker (6)
1.83
0.50
2.33
0.67
1.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Sligo Rovers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
61.7%
Under 1.5
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
33.3%
Under 2.5
66.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
14.9%
Under 3.5
85.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
41.2%
No
58.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%
0-0
14.4%
0-1
14.0%
1-0
10.0%
0-2
9.0%
1-2
7.7%
2-1 â
5.7%
2-0
4.9%
Sligo Rovers goals ↓
Shamrock Rovers goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
14%
14%
9.0%
3.5%
1.0%
1
10.0%
15%
7.7%
3.0%
0.9%
2
4.9%
5.7%
3.3%
1.3%
0.4%
3
1.4%
1.6%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
4
0.3%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sligo Rovers goals (down), columns = Shamrock Rovers goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Shamrock Rovers
1.83
Derry City
1.75
Shelbourne
1.64
Bohemians
1.50
St Patrick's Athl.
1.44
Drogheda United
1.42
Sligo Rovers
1.14
Waterford
1.14
Galway United
1.08
Cork City
0.67
Bray Wanderers
0.00
Sligo Rovers is 0.69 points worse than Shamrock Rovers in terms of average points per game (1.14 vs 1.83).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Shamrock Rovers
1.56
Derry City
1.44
Shelbourne
1.33
Bohemians
1.33
Sligo Rovers
1.17
St Patrick's Athl.
1.17
Waterford
1.16
Drogheda United
1.06
Galway United
1.03
Bray Wanderers
1.00
Cork City
0.92
Sligo Rovers is 0.39 goals worse than Shamrock Rovers in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 1.56).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
St Patrick's Athl.
0.89
Shamrock Rovers
0.92
Shelbourne
1.03
Drogheda United
1.06
Bohemians
1.08
Derry City
1.08
Galway United
1.22
Sligo Rovers
1.50
Waterford
1.65
Cork City
1.69
Bray Wanderers
2.00
Sligo Rovers is 0.58 goals worse than Shamrock Rovers in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 0.92).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
Shamrock Rovers
60%
Shelbourne
57%
Bohemians
56%
St Patrick's Athl.
54%
Derry City
54%
Sligo Rovers
49%
Waterford
47%
Cork City
46%
Galway United
41%
Drogheda United
36%
Sligo Rovers is 11.3 percentage points worse than Shamrock Rovers in terms of average possession (49% vs 60%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Sligo Rovers
For 5.3 · Against 5.1 · Total 10.4
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.4
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 11.3 · Total 22.8
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Shamrock Rovers
For 4.2 · Against 5.3 · Total 9.5
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.0
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 10.7 · Total 21.1
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sligo Rovers
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.0
9.3
5.2
5.8
4.7
25.8
26.4
25.1
vs Stronger (17)
9.4
9.1
9.6
6.5
7.0
6.0
26.2
27.0
25.4
vs Similar (33)
9.1
9.0
9.2
4.6
5.2
3.9
25.6
26.2
24.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
43%
36%
50%
72%
80%
64%
84%
92%
75%
% under line
57%
64%
50%
28%
20%
36%
16%
8%
25%
This opponent (Shamrock Rovers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Shamrock Rovers
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.1
10.4
5.0
5.2
4.8
23.2
22.6
23.8
vs Stronger (8)
9.8
8.5
10.7
4.2
3.3
4.8
20.4
23.5
18.3
vs Similar (28)
9.2
8.2
10.3
5.2
5.4
5.1
23.9
22.7
25.2
vs Weaker (14)
10.6
10.9
10.3
5.1
5.9
4.4
23.0
22.3
23.7
% over line
53%
48%
59%
74%
75%
73%
58%
57%
59%
% under line
47%
52%
41%
26%
25%
27%
42%
43%
41%
This opponent (Sligo Rovers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Bohemians
10.9
Waterford
9.9
Shamrock Rovers
9.9
St Patrick's Athl.
9.8
Galway United
9.7
Drogheda United
9.7
Derry City
9.4
Cork City
9.4
Sligo Rovers
9.1
Shelbourne
8.5
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Shelbourne
6.2
Bohemians
5.8
Waterford
5.5
Sligo Rovers
5.4
Shamrock Rovers
5.4
St Patrick's Athl.
5.3
Derry City
5.1
Cork City
5.1
Galway United
4.6
Drogheda United
4.6
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Sligo Rovers
25.8
Shelbourne
25.5
Cork City
25.3
Bohemians
24.9
Waterford
24.9
St Patrick's Athl.
24.4
Galway United
24.4
Derry City
24.2
Shamrock Rovers
23.2
Drogheda United
22.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
50.1%
Under 9.5
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
79.8%
Under 3.5
20.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
68.7%
Under 21.5
31.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sligo Rovers
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.60
0.47
0.47
0.53
0.73
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
0.67
0.25
0.25
0.80
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.48
0.57
0.55
0.55
0.40
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Shamrock Rovers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Shamrock Rovers
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.60
0.80
0.33
0.67
0.87
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
1.25
0.00
0.67
0.40
1.60
vs Similar (16)
0.94
0.50
0.89
0.33
1.00
0.71
vs Weaker (6)
0.83
0.00
1.33
0.00
0.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Sligo Rovers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sligo Rovers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shamrock Rovers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shamrock Rovers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shamrock Rovers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sligo Rovers
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.10
0.73
0.60
0.53
1.60
vs Stronger (9)
0.89
1.22
1.00
0.50
0.80
1.80
vs Similar (21)
0.52
1.05
0.64
0.64
0.40
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Shamrock Rovers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Shamrock Rovers
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.67
0.60
0.67
0.53
0.67
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
1.12
0.00
1.00
0.60
1.20
vs Similar (16)
0.50
0.50
0.67
0.56
0.29
0.43
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Sligo Rovers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sligo Rovers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shamrock Rovers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shamrock Rovers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shamrock Rovers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
91.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
85.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Sligo Rovers
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Owen Elding33%
Ryan O'Kane18%
Francely Lomboto17%
Jad Hakiki16%
Cian Kavanagh15%
Patrick McClean14%
Wilson Waweru12%
Gareth McElroy11%
Reece Hutchinson10%
Oliver Denham5%
Stephen Mallon0%
Jake Doyle Hayes0%
Sam Sargeant0%
Connor Malley0%
Ciaron Harkin0%
John Mahon0%
William Fitzgerald0%
Ronan Manning0%
Matthew Wolfe0%
Oskar van Hattum0%
Edwin Agbaje0%
Sean Stewart0%
Harvey Lintott0%
Seb Quirk0%
Conor Walsh0%
James McManus0%
Conor Reynolds0%
Kyle McDonagh0%
Daire Patton0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jake Doyle Hayes53%
John Mahon47%
Connor Malley40%
Ciaron Harkin33%
Edwin Agbaje33%
Cian Kavanagh23%
Conor Reynolds22%
Matthew Wolfe19%
Jad Hakiki19%
Harvey Lintott18%
Daire Patton17%
Oliver Denham16%
Gareth McElroy16%
James McManus15%
Owen Elding15%
Reece Hutchinson15%
Patrick McClean14%
Francely Lomboto13%
William Fitzgerald12%
Ronan Manning12%
Oskar van Hattum10%
Sean Stewart10%
Seb Quirk8%
Kyle McDonagh7%
Sam Sargeant7%
Stephen Mallon0%
Wilson Waweru0%
Ryan O'Kane0%
Conor Walsh0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
William Fitzgerald18%
Owen Elding12%
Jake Doyle Hayes12%
Ciaron Harkin11%
Connor Malley10%
Oskar van Hattum10%
Matthew Wolfe10%
Harvey Lintott9%
Daire Patton8%
Ronan Manning6%
Gareth McElroy5%
Reece Hutchinson5%
Cian Kavanagh4%
Jad Hakiki3%
Stephen Mallon0%
Sam Sargeant0%
Patrick McClean0%
John Mahon0%
Wilson Waweru0%
Ryan O'Kane0%
Oliver Denham0%
Edwin Agbaje0%
Francely Lomboto0%
Sean Stewart0%
Seb Quirk0%
Conor Walsh0%
James McManus0%
Conor Reynolds0%
Kyle McDonagh0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Owen Elding33%
Jad Hakiki25%
Ryan O'Kane18%
Cian Kavanagh15%
Gareth McElroy11%
Seb Quirk8%
Francely Lomboto4%
Stephen Mallon0%
Jake Doyle Hayes0%
Sam Sargeant0%
Connor Malley0%
Reece Hutchinson0%
Patrick McClean0%
Ciaron Harkin0%
John Mahon0%
William Fitzgerald0%
Wilson Waweru0%
Ronan Manning0%
Matthew Wolfe0%
Oskar van Hattum0%
Oliver Denham0%
Edwin Agbaje0%
Sean Stewart0%
Harvey Lintott0%
Conor Walsh0%
James McManus0%
Conor Reynolds0%
Kyle McDonagh0%
Daire Patton0%
Shamrock Rovers
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rory Gaffney27%
Graham Burke25%
Aaron Greene22%
Joshua Honohan16%
Michael Noonan16%
Daniel Mandroiu10%
Daniel Grant10%
Dan Cleary9%
Connor Malley8%
Matthew Healy8%
Aaron McEneff8%
Lee Grace8%
John McGovern6%
Jack Byrne5%
Adam Matthews5%
Dylan Watts3%
Roberto Lopes3%
Sean Kavanagh0%
Trevor Clarke0%
Darragh Nugent0%
Edward McGinty0%
Gary O'Neill0%
John O'Sullivan0%
Cory O'Sullivan0%
Cian Barrett0%
Max Kovaleskis0%
Victor Ozhianvuna0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dan Cleary31%
Joshua Honohan29%
Gary O'Neill27%
Jack Byrne26%
Daniel Grant23%
Lee Grace23%
Darragh Nugent20%
Cory O'Sullivan20%
Graham Burke19%
Sean Kavanagh17%
John O'Sullivan17%
Matthew Healy16%
Adam Matthews15%
Trevor Clarke14%
Cian Barrett14%
Max Kovaleskis14%
Roberto Lopes11%
Rory Gaffney10%
Dylan Watts9%
Aaron Greene9%
Connor Malley8%
John McGovern6%
Daniel Mandroiu5%
Aaron McEneff4%
Edward McGinty0%
Michael Noonan0%
Victor Ozhianvuna0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jack Byrne21%
Daniel Mandroiu20%
Trevor Clarke14%
Graham Burke14%
Joshua Honohan13%
Lee Grace12%
Daniel Grant10%
Aaron McEneff8%
Dan Cleary6%
Michael Noonan6%
Dylan Watts6%
Matthew Healy5%
Adam Matthews5%
Aaron Greene4%
Rory Gaffney0%
Connor Malley0%
Sean Kavanagh0%
Roberto Lopes0%
Darragh Nugent0%
Edward McGinty0%
Gary O'Neill0%
John McGovern0%
John O'Sullivan0%
Cory O'Sullivan0%
Cian Barrett0%
Max Kovaleskis0%
Victor Ozhianvuna0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Graham Burke33%
Daniel Mandroiu15%
Rory Gaffney13%
Michael Noonan9%
Joshua Honohan6%
Lee Grace4%
Daniel Grant3%
Dan Cleary3%
Connor Malley0%
Adam Matthews0%
Jack Byrne0%
Sean Kavanagh0%
Roberto Lopes0%
Trevor Clarke0%
Aaron McEneff0%
Darragh Nugent0%
Dylan Watts0%
Aaron Greene0%
Edward McGinty0%
Gary O'Neill0%
John McGovern0%
Matthew Healy0%
John O'Sullivan0%
Cory O'Sullivan0%
Cian Barrett0%
Max Kovaleskis0%
Victor Ozhianvuna0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (31)
€7m
SPA (22)
€5m
BOH (23)
€4m
DC (22)
€4m
SHE (22)
€4m
DU (19)
€3m
SR (21)
€3m
GU (21)
€3m
WAT (19)
€2m
CC (2)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
Sligo Rovers's squad is €4m less valuable than Shamrock Rovers's (€3m vs €7m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (14)
€3m
SPA (6)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (7)
€1m
SHE (8)
€1m
SR (10)
€1m
WAT (6)
€1m
DU (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
CC (2)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
Sligo Rovers's attack is €2m less valuable than Shamrock Rovers's (€1m vs €3m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (7)
€2m
SPA (7)
€1m
DC (6)
€1m
BOH (5)
€1m
SHE (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (5)
€1m
SR (3)
€1m
DU (4)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
Sligo Rovers's midfield is €1m less valuable than Shamrock Rovers's (€1m vs €2m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (10)
€2m
SPA (9)
€2m
DU (11)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (9)
€2m
SHE (10)
€2m
SR (8)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (8)
€1m
CC (0)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
Sligo Rovers and Shamrock Rovers have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Ireland: Premier Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: Premier Division stats & trends →
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Derry City
Shelbourne
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Waterford
Galway United
Cork City
Bray Wanderers