This opponent (Shelbourne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Shelbourne
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
0.83
1.53
1.00
1.33
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
1.43
0.83
1.53
1.00
1.33
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Sligo Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
57.4%
Under 1.5
42.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
29.1%
Under 2.5
70.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
12.2%
Under 3.5
87.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
38.0%
No
62.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
16.6%
0-1 â
14.8%
1-1
14.6%
1-0
11.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-2
7.0%
2-1
5.5%
2-0
5.2%
Sligo Rovers goals ↓
Shelbourne goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
17%
15%
8.5%
3.0%
0.8%
1
11%
15%
7.0%
2.5%
0.7%
2
5.2%
5.5%
2.9%
1.0%
0.3%
3
1.4%
1.5%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sligo Rovers goals (down), columns = Shelbourne goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Shelbourne
1.75
Shamrock Rovers
1.69
St Patrick's Athl.
1.64
Derry City
1.53
Galway United
1.44
Sligo Rovers
1.36
Waterford
1.25
Bohemians
1.17
Drogheda United
1.00
Dundalk
0.72
Bray Wanderers
0.00
Sligo Rovers is 0.39 points worse than Shelbourne in terms of average points per game (1.36 vs 1.75).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
St Patrick's Athl.
1.42
Shamrock Rovers
1.39
Derry City
1.33
Waterford
1.19
Drogheda United
1.19
Shelbourne
1.11
Sligo Rovers
1.11
Bohemians
1.08
Bray Wanderers
1.00
Galway United
0.92
Dundalk
0.64
Sligo Rovers and Shelbourne are level in goals scored per game (both 1.11).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Shelbourne
0.75
Galway United
0.81
Derry City
0.86
Shamrock Rovers
0.97
St Patrick's Athl.
1.03
Bohemians
1.19
Waterford
1.31
Dundalk
1.39
Sligo Rovers
1.42
Drogheda United
1.59
Bray Wanderers
3.00
Sligo Rovers is 0.67 goals worse than Shelbourne in terms of goals conceded per game (1.42 vs 0.75).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
Shamrock Rovers
62%
Derry City
56%
Shelbourne
53%
St Patrick's Athl.
53%
Bohemians
52%
Waterford
50%
Dundalk
48%
Sligo Rovers
48%
Drogheda United
39%
Galway United
39%
Sligo Rovers is 5.9 percentage points worse than Shelbourne in terms of average possession (48% vs 53%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Sligo Rovers
For 3.9 · Against 3.4 · Total 7.3
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 4.0 · Against 2.2 · Total 6.2
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.5 · Against 11.8 · Total 28.3
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Shelbourne
For 4.6 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.9
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 3.3 · Total 5.4
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 15.0 · Total 25.5
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sligo Rovers
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
7.5
8.4
6.6
1.8
2.0
1.6
28.0
28.1
27.9
vs Stronger (18)
7.8
7.7
8.0
2.1
2.4
1.6
27.2
29.7
24.7
vs Similar (31)
7.3
8.8
5.8
1.7
1.8
1.6
28.5
27.2
29.8
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
19%
25%
12%
28%
29%
27%
94%
100%
88%
% under line
81%
75%
88%
72%
71%
73%
6%
0%
12%
This opponent (Shelbourne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Shelbourne
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.4
9.4
7.7
2.0
1.8
2.2
25.7
26.9
24.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (49)
8.4
9.4
7.7
2.0
1.8
2.3
25.7
26.9
24.7
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
28%
25%
30%
26%
19%
33%
78%
88%
70%
% under line
72%
75%
70%
74%
81%
67%
22%
12%
30%
This opponent (Sligo Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Waterford
11.3
Bohemians
11.2
Shamrock Rovers
10.3
Derry City
10.2
St Patrick's Athl.
9.5
Drogheda United
9.4
Galway United
9.0
Shelbourne
8.4
Sligo Rovers
8.2
Dundalk
7.9
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Waterford
6.7
St Patrick's Athl.
6.5
Shelbourne
5.5
Sligo Rovers
5.5
Derry City
5.4
Dundalk
5.3
Bohemians
5.1
Shamrock Rovers
4.8
Drogheda United
4.1
Galway United
3.5
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Sligo Rovers
27.5
Dundalk
27.4
Shelbourne
25.7
Waterford
25.5
St Patrick's Athl.
24.4
Bohemians
24.2
Derry City
24.0
Shamrock Rovers
23.2
Galway United
22.0
Drogheda United
20.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
36.5%
Under 9.5
63.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
80.0%
Under 3.5
20.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
80.1%
Under 21.5
19.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sligo Rovers
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.57
0.47
0.47
0.53
0.67
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
0.60
0.20
0.40
0.40
0.80
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.55
0.60
0.50
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Shelbourne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Shelbourne
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.33
0.53
0.40
0.47
0.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.50
0.33
0.53
0.40
0.47
0.27
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Sligo Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sligo Rovers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shelbourne over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shelbourne over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shelbourne over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sligo Rovers
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.87
0.47
0.53
0.33
1.20
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
0.80
0.20
0.60
0.60
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.40
0.90
0.60
0.50
0.20
1.30
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Shelbourne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Shelbourne
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.50
1.00
0.60
0.87
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.93
0.50
1.00
0.60
0.87
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Sligo Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sligo Rovers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shelbourne over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shelbourne over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shelbourne over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
91.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
89.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 3.5
87.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 11.5 corners
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 3.5 cards
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 10.5 corners
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Under 2.5
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Sligo Rovers
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Wilson Waweru25%
Ellis Chapman21%
Fabrice Hartmann19%
Max Mata14%
Simon Power11%
Luke Pearce10%
Connor Malley9%
William Fitzgerald7%
Reece Hutchinson6%
Kailin Barlow4%
Niall Morahan3%
Stephen Mallon0%
Edward McGinty0%
John Ross Wilson0%
Stefan RadosavljeviÄ0%
Nando Pijnaker0%
Oliver Denham0%
Rein Smit0%
Charlie Wiggett0%
Jack Henry-Francis0%
Owen Elding0%
Gareth McElroy0%
Conor Reynolds0%
Kyle McDonagh0%
Daire Patton0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Conor Reynolds75%
Nando Pijnaker50%
Niall Morahan38%
Gareth McElroy33%
Charlie Wiggett29%
John Ross Wilson28%
Oliver Denham24%
Reece Hutchinson23%
Connor Malley21%
Luke Pearce20%
Kyle McDonagh20%
Ellis Chapman18%
Rein Smit18%
Stephen Mallon17%
Fabrice Hartmann14%
Kailin Barlow12%
Simon Power11%
Jack Henry-Francis10%
Owen Elding10%
William Fitzgerald7%
Stefan RadosavljeviÄ7%
Edward McGinty6%
Wilson Waweru4%
Max Mata0%
Daire Patton0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Fabrice Hartmann19%
Nando Pijnaker14%
Max Mata14%
Simon Power11%
William Fitzgerald10%
Jack Henry-Francis10%
Ellis Chapman9%
John Ross Wilson7%
Stefan RadosavljeviÄ7%
Oliver Denham6%
Charlie Wiggett5%
Wilson Waweru4%
Niall Morahan3%
Stephen Mallon0%
Connor Malley0%
Reece Hutchinson0%
Edward McGinty0%
Luke Pearce0%
Rein Smit0%
Kailin Barlow0%
Owen Elding0%
Gareth McElroy0%
Conor Reynolds0%
Kyle McDonagh0%
Daire Patton0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Simon Power22%
Ellis Chapman12%
Luke Pearce10%
Fabrice Hartmann10%
Nando Pijnaker7%
Max Mata7%
William Fitzgerald7%
Stefan RadosavljeviÄ7%
Connor Malley6%
Stephen Mallon0%
Reece Hutchinson0%
Edward McGinty0%
Niall Morahan0%
John Ross Wilson0%
Wilson Waweru0%
Oliver Denham0%
Rein Smit0%
Charlie Wiggett0%
Jack Henry-Francis0%
Kailin Barlow0%
Owen Elding0%
Gareth McElroy0%
Conor Reynolds0%
Kyle McDonagh0%
Daire Patton0%
Shelbourne
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sean Boyd30%
Will Jarvis22%
Aiden O'Brien14%
John Martin13%
Rayhaan Tulloch9%
Evan Caffrey9%
Alistair Coote7%
Harry Wood7%
Liam Burt6%
Matthew Smith6%
Mark Coyle6%
Gavin Molloy5%
John O'Sullivan4%
Tyreke Wilson3%
Sean Gannon0%
Sam Bone0%
Jonathan Lunney0%
Shane Griffin0%
Conor Kearns0%
Shane Farrell0%
Dean Williams0%
Paddy Barrett0%
Kameron Ledwidge0%
Jad Hakiki0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mark Coyle50%
Sean Gannon41%
Paddy Barrett34%
John Martin33%
Shane Griffin31%
John O'Sullivan28%
Shane Farrell24%
Sean Boyd22%
Jonathan Lunney22%
Alistair Coote21%
Harry Wood21%
Liam Burt16%
Matthew Smith16%
Tyreke Wilson14%
Evan Caffrey14%
Dean Williams13%
Kameron Ledwidge9%
Conor Kearns5%
Rayhaan Tulloch0%
Aiden O'Brien0%
Sam Bone0%
Gavin Molloy0%
Will Jarvis0%
Jad Hakiki0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Will Jarvis15%
John Martin10%
Tyreke Wilson9%
Sean Boyd7%
Harry Wood7%
Matthew Smith6%
Shane Farrell6%
Evan Caffrey6%
Liam Burt3%
Sean Gannon3%
Jonathan Lunney3%
Mark Coyle3%
Paddy Barrett3%
Conor Kearns3%
Rayhaan Tulloch0%
Aiden O'Brien0%
John O'Sullivan0%
Sam Bone0%
Shane Griffin0%
Dean Williams0%
Alistair Coote0%
Kameron Ledwidge0%
Gavin Molloy0%
Jad Hakiki0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sean Boyd19%
Will Jarvis19%
Aiden O'Brien14%
Alistair Coote7%
Harry Wood7%
Liam Burt6%
Evan Caffrey6%
Mark Coyle3%
Paddy Barrett3%
Rayhaan Tulloch0%
John O'Sullivan0%
Matthew Smith0%
Sean Gannon0%
Sam Bone0%
Jonathan Lunney0%
John Martin0%
Shane Griffin0%
Conor Kearns0%
Shane Farrell0%
Dean Williams0%
Tyreke Wilson0%
Kameron Ledwidge0%
Gavin Molloy0%
Jad Hakiki0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (31)
€7m
SPA (22)
€5m
BOH (23)
€4m
DC (22)
€4m
SHE (22)
€4m
DU (19)
€3m
SR (21)
€3m
DUN (20)
€3m
GU (21)
€3m
WAT (19)
€2m
BW (1)
€0m
Sligo Rovers and Shelbourne have a similar squad value (both €3m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (14)
€3m
SPA (6)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (7)
€1m
SHE (8)
€1m
SR (10)
€1m
WAT (6)
€1m
DU (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
DUN (3)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
Sligo Rovers and Shelbourne have a similar attack value (both €1m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (7)
€2m
SPA (7)
€1m
DC (6)
€1m
BOH (5)
€1m
SHE (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (5)
€1m
DUN (6)
€1m
SR (3)
€1m
DU (4)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
Sligo Rovers and Shelbourne have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (10)
€2m
SPA (9)
€2m
DU (11)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (9)
€2m
DUN (11)
€2m
SHE (10)
€2m
SR (8)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (8)
€1m
BW (0)
€0m
Sligo Rovers and Shelbourne have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Ireland: Premier Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: Premier Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
Galway United
Waterford
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Bray Wanderers