Slovan Bratislava II is the clear favourite to win this match, with a 92% probability of securing a home win. The model's high rating is largely due to Humenne's struggles away from home, particularly against stronger opponents, where they have conceded an average of 2.14 goals. Slovan Bratislava II, on the other hand, has been impressive at home, scoring an average of 1 goal and conceding 1 goal against weaker opponents.
The expected total goals is 4.5, with the most likely score being 3-0, 4-0, or 2-0, with the latter having a 8.6% probability. Slovan Bratislava II's home scoring and conceding statistics are 1 goal scored and 1 goal conceded against weaker opponents. Meanwhile, Humenne's away scoring and conceding statistics are 0.64 goals scored and 2.14 goals conceded against stronger opponents.
The model's selections are Over 1.5 with a 94.1% probability, Home win with a 91.6% probability, and Over 2.5 with an 82.6% probability. The home win percentage is 92%, the draw percentage is 6%, and the away win percentage is 2%.
Results analysis
Slovan Bratislava II’s recent draw against Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom set the stage for a home victory, and the model’s prediction of a home win proved correct as the match finished 3-0. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was assigned a 92 % probability, and the model’s call was right. Every suggested selection performed as expected: Away under 3.5 goals hit at 99.6 %, Home +2 handicap at 99.5 %, Home over 0.5 goals at 98.0 %, Away under 2.5 goals at 97.6 %, Over 1.5 at 94.1 %, and Home or Away at 93.7 %. The final score of 3-0 matched the most likely 3-0 outcome, confirming the model’s overall accuracy.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Slovan Bratislava II win✓ Hit
91.6%
Avg Implied 45.5% · @ 2.00
Edge
+46.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.11
Betano
2.05
Dafabet
2.05
BetVictor
2.05
Unibet
2.02
Draw✗ Miss
6.3%
Avg Implied 25.5% · @ 3.57
Edge
-19.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.91
1xBet
3.68
Dafabet
3.65
Marathonbet
3.64
Betfair
3.60
Humenné win✗ Miss
2.1%
Avg Implied 29.0% · @ 3.14
Edge
-26.9%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.60
10Bet
3.25
Dafabet
3.25
Betano
3.20
BetVictor
3.20
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Slovan Bratislava II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.73
1.94
1.44
0.93
2.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
1.47
1.73
1.94
1.44
0.93
2.07
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
10% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Humenné) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Humenné
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.30
1.00
0.87
1.13
1.73
vs Stronger (30)
1.07
1.30
1.00
0.87
1.13
1.73
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Bratislava II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 4.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
94.1%
@ 1.19+17.2%
Under 1.5
5.9%
@ 3.96-17.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Unibet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Under
Betfair
4.33
1xBet
4.15
Marathonbet
4.15
10Bet
3.90
Unibet
3.75
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
82.6%
@ 1.67+27.1%
Under 2.5
17.4%
@ 2.07-27.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.75
10Bet
1.70
BetVictor
1.67
Betano
1.65
Betfair
1.65
Under
Pinnacle
2.17
Betfair
2.10
1xBet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.10
BetVictor
2.10
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
65.7%
@ 2.67+31.3%
Under 3.5
34.3%
@ 1.40-31.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.88
10Bet
2.75
Pinnacle
2.70
Marathonbet
2.62
1xBet
2.62
Under
Betfair
1.44
Pinnacle
1.42
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.38
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
44.8%
@ 1.57-13.3%
No
55.2%
@ 2.19+13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.62
Betfair
1.60
Betano
1.57
10Bet
1.57
BetVictor
1.57
No
BetVictor
2.25
Betfair
2.25
1xBet
2.22
Unibet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.20
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
3-0 ✓
11.1%@ 15.00+8.4%
4-0
10.8%@ 31.20+9.5%
2-0
8.6%@ 9.10+4.0%
5-0
8.4%@ 73.80+7.9%
3-1
6.8%@ 12.80+3.5%
4-1
6.6%@ 27.20+5.0%
6-0
5.5%@ 120.75+5.1%
2-1
5.2%@ 7.70-0.2%
Slovan Bratislava II goals ↓
Humenné goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
1.4%
0.4%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
1
4.1%
2.9%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
2
8.6%
5.2%
1.6%
0.3%
0.0%
3
11%
6.8%
2.1%
0.4%
0.1%
4
11%
6.6%
2.0%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Slovan Bratislava II goals (down), columns = Humenné goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Petržalka
3.00
Šamorín
2.50
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Žilina II
1.67
Pohronie
1.67
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.67
Tatran Prešov
1.67
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.33
Inter Bratislava
1.17
Galanta
1.17
Humenné
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
0.83
Slovan Bratislava II
0.83
Malženice
0.80
MFK Bytča
0.60
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.50
Slovan Bratislava II is 0.17 points worse than Humenné in terms of average points per game (0.83 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Petržalka
2.67
Šamorín
2.17
Pohronie
2.00
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.83
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.67
Inter Bratislava
1.50
Tatran Prešov
1.50
Slovan Bratislava II
1.50
Malženice
1.40
Žilina II
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
0.83
Humenné
0.67
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.67
Galanta
0.67
MFK Bytča
0.60
Slovan Bratislava II is 0.83 goals better than Humenné in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 0.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Petržalka
0.33
Šamorín
1.00
Žilina II
1.00
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
1.17
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.17
Inter Bratislava
1.17
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.33
Humenné
1.50
Galanta
1.50
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Pohronie
1.67
Tatran Prešov
1.67
Slovan Bratislava II
1.67
Malženice
1.80
MFK Bytča
3.20
Slovan Bratislava II is 0.17 goals worse than Humenné in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Slovan Bratislava II or Draw✓ Hit
97.9%
Avg Implied 71.9% · @ 1.28
Edge
+26.0%
92%
6%
2%
covers Slovan Bratislava II + Draw
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Betano
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Slovan Bratislava II or Humenné✓ Hit
93.7%
Avg Implied 74.8% · @ 1.23
Edge
+18.9%
92%
6%
2%
covers Slovan Bratislava II + Humenné
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Betfair
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Draw or Humenné✗ Miss
8.4%
Avg Implied 53.3% · @ 1.72
Edge
-44.9%
92%
6%
2%
covers Draw + Humenné
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.83
10Bet
1.77
William Hil
1.75
Betano
1.75
Betfair
1.73
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Slovan Bratislava II over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
98.0%
@ 1.14+18.1%
Under
2.0%
@ 4.51-18.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.13
Under
1xBet
4.70
10Bet
4.33
Slovan Bratislava II over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
90.0%
@ 1.87+40.8%
Under
10.0%
@ 1.81-40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.95
Betano
1.88
Marathonbet
1.86
Unibet
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Under
1xBet
1.84
Betano
1.82
Marathonbet
1.82
Pinnacle
1.81
10Bet
1.80
Slovan Bratislava II over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
74.5%
@ 3.50+48.3%
Under
25.5%
@ 1.24-48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.50
Under
1xBet
1.24
Slovan Bratislava II over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
54.4%
@ 8.00+42.9%
Under
45.6%
@ 1.04-42.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.00
Under
1xBet
1.04
Humenné over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
45.5%
@ 1.35-22.5%
Under
54.5%
@ 2.88+22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.44
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.30
1xBet
1.28
Under
1xBet
3.14
10Bet
3.00
Pinnacle
2.70
Betano
2.70
Humenné over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
12.4%
@ 2.45-25.0%
Under
87.6%
@ 1.47+25.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.55
Betano
2.50
1xBet
2.48
Marathonbet
2.43
Pinnacle
2.40
Under
Pinnacle
1.54
Betano
1.47
Marathonbet
1.47
Unibet
1.45
1xBet
1.45
Humenné over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
2.4%
@ 7.80-9.4%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.04+9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.80
Under
1xBet
1.04
Humenné over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.4%
Under
99.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Slovan Bratislava II, so a minus line means Slovan Bratislava II give that many goals of a start and Humenné receive them. At -1, Slovan Bratislava II must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Slovan Bratislava II win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Slovan Bratislava II)Actual: Slovan Bratislava II
Slovan Bratislava II -2
62.5%
@ 7.30+50.3%
Draw -2
17.4%
@ 5.70+1.8%
Humenné +2
20.1%
@ 1.23-52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
7.30
Draw
Marathonbet
5.70
Away
Marathonbet
1.23
Handicap -1 (Slovan Bratislava II)Actual: Slovan Bratislava II
Slovan Bratislava II -1
79.9%
@ 3.52+55.3%
Draw -1
11.7%
@ 3.61-12.3%
Humenné +1
8.4%
@ 1.69-43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
3.74
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Unibet
3.20
Draw
Marathonbet
3.80
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.70
Unibet
3.20
Away
10Bet
1.77
Betfair
1.73
Marathonbet
1.66
Unibet
1.58
Handicap +1 (Slovan Bratislava II)Actual: Slovan Bratislava II
Slovan Bratislava II +1
97.9%
@ 1.27+31.6%
Draw +1
1.6%
@ 4.38-17.6%
Humenné -1
0.5%
@ 5.80-14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.28
Unibet
1.26
Draw
Marathonbet
4.85
Unibet
3.90
Away
Marathonbet
6.60
Unibet
5.00
Handicap +2 (Slovan Bratislava II)Actual: Slovan Bratislava II
Slovan Bratislava II +2
99.5%
Draw +2
0.4%
Humenné -2
0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Slovan Bratislava II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.73
0.94
0.50
0.29
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.63
0.73
0.94
0.50
0.29
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Humenné) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Humenné
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.57
0.47
0.07
0.40
1.07
vs Stronger (30)
0.43
0.57
0.47
0.07
0.40
1.07
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Bratislava II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Slovan Bratislava II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Bratislava II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Bratislava II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Slovan Bratislava II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
1.00
1.00
0.94
0.64
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.83
1.00
1.00
0.94
0.64
1.07
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Humenné) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Humenné
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.73
0.53
0.80
0.73
0.67
vs Stronger (30)
0.63
0.73
0.53
0.80
0.73
0.67
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Bratislava II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Slovan Bratislava II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Bratislava II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Bratislava II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 3.5 goals
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
98.0%
1.14
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.13
-
-
-
+18.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
97.6%
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-
-
-
-
+9.4%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
94.1%
1.19
Betano
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Unibet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
+17.2%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
93.7%
1.23
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Betfair
1.22
Unibet
1.21
+18.9%
✓ Hit
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (19)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ŠAM (22)
€2m
POH (17)
€1m
LZ (16)
€1m
ZM (14)
€1m
LM (14)
€1m
BLP (20)
€1m
PB (17)
€1m
ŽI (12)
€1m
IB (18)
€1m
SBI (18)
€1m
MAL (13)
€1m
HUM (4)
€0m
Slovan Bratislava II and Humenné have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
LM (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€0m
ŽI (4)
€0m
POH (4)
€0m
BLP (6)
€0m
IB (5)
€0m
PB (4)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ZM (3)
€0m
HUM (2)
€0m
SBI (4)
€0m
LZ (3)
€0m
Slovan Bratislava II and Humenné have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŠAM (6)
€1m
LZ (3)
€0m
TP (4)
€0m
PB (6)
€0m
SBI (8)
€0m
PET (5)
€0m
POH (5)
€0m
ZM (4)
€0m
BLP (3)
€0m
IB (4)
€0m
LM (2)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Slovan Bratislava II and Humenné have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (8)
€1m
ZM (7)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
POH (8)
€1m
LZ (10)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€1m
BLP (11)
€0m
ŽI (7)
€0m
PB (7)
€0m
IB (9)
€0m
MAL (7)
€0m
SBI (6)
€0m
LM (4)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Slovan Bratislava II and Humenné have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Slovakia: 2. liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →