Slovan Bratislava II are the clear favourite, with the model assigning a 68 % chance of a home win and a 19 % chance of a draw, leaving only 13 % for MFK Bytča to triumph. The prediction reflects Slovan’s strong home form, scoring an average of 2.07 goals and conceding 1.47 against opponents of similar strength, while Bytča’s away record shows no goals scored and two conceded on average. The expected total is 3.5 goals, with the most likely total being three and the single most probable scoreline 2-1 at 9.5 %.
The model’s selections are diverse: Away under 3.5 goals 98 %, Under 7.597.5 %, Home +2 handicap95.3 %, Under 6.593.8 %, Away under 2.5 goals91.8 %, Home over 0.5 goals91.3 %, Home or Draw87.0 %, and Home +1 handicap87.0 %. Each pick is presented with its exact probability, and no other outcomes are given win percentages. The recent form notes that Slovan came off a draw and Bytča are on a two-game winning streak, but the venue advantage and scoring trends keep the home side ahead.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Slovan Bratislava II win
69.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
18.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
MFK Bytča win
12.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Slovan Bratislava II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.73
2.06
1.38
1.07
2.14
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
1.55
1.79
2.00
1.47
1.07
2.14
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (MFK Bytča) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
MFK Bytča
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.46
2.08
1.00
2.33
1.86
1.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
1.83
1.83
1.00
2.00
2.25
1.75
vs Weaker (7)
1.14
2.29
1.00
2.50
1.33
2.00
Clean sheet %
31% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Bratislava II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
87.1%
Under 1.5
12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
67.8%
Under 2.5
32.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
46.2%
Under 3.5
53.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
58.6%
No
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
1-1
8.3%
3-0
7.9%
3-1
7.9%
1-0
6.8%
4-0
4.9%
4-1
4.9%
Slovan Bratislava II goals ↓
MFK Bytča goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.8%
2.3%
1.5%
0.5%
0.1%
1
6.8%
8.3%
3.8%
1.2%
0.3%
2
9.5%
9.4%
4.7%
1.6%
0.4%
3
7.9%
7.9%
3.9%
1.3%
0.3%
4
4.9%
4.9%
2.4%
0.8%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Slovan Bratislava II goals (down), columns = MFK Bytča goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Petržalka
3.00
Šamorín
2.50
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Žilina II
1.67
Pohronie
1.67
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.67
Tatran Prešov
1.67
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.33
Malženice
1.17
Inter Bratislava
1.17
Galanta
1.17
Humenné
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
0.83
Slovan Bratislava II
0.83
MFK Bytča
0.50
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.50
Slovan Bratislava II is 0.33 points better than MFK Bytča in terms of average points per game (0.83 vs 0.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Petržalka
2.67
Šamorín
2.17
Pohronie
2.00
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.83
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Malženice
1.67
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.67
Inter Bratislava
1.50
Tatran Prešov
1.50
Slovan Bratislava II
1.50
Žilina II
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
0.83
MFK Bytča
0.67
Humenné
0.67
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.67
Galanta
0.67
Slovan Bratislava II is 0.83 goals better than MFK Bytča in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 0.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Petržalka
0.33
Šamorín
1.00
Žilina II
1.00
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
1.17
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.17
Inter Bratislava
1.17
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.33
Humenné
1.50
Galanta
1.50
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Malženice
1.67
Pohronie
1.67
Tatran Prešov
1.67
Slovan Bratislava II
1.67
MFK Bytča
3.17
Slovan Bratislava II is 1.50 goals better than MFK Bytča in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 3.17).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Slovan Bratislava II or Draw
87.7%
Avg Implied -
69%
18%
12%
covers Slovan Bratislava II + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Slovan Bratislava II or MFK Bytča
81.7%
Avg Implied -
69%
18%
12%
covers Slovan Bratislava II + MFK Bytča
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or MFK Bytča
30.6%
Avg Implied -
69%
18%
12%
covers Draw + MFK Bytča
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Slovan Bratislava II over/under 0.5
Over
91.8%
Under
8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Bratislava II over/under 1.5
Over
71.3%
Under
28.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Bratislava II over/under 2.5
Over
45.6%
Under
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Bratislava II over/under 3.5
Over
24.2%
Under
75.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MFK Bytča over/under 0.5
Over
63.0%
Under
37.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MFK Bytča over/under 1.5
Over
26.2%
Under
73.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MFK Bytča over/under 2.5
Over
7.9%
Under
92.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MFK Bytča over/under 3.5
Over
1.9%
Under
98.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Slovan Bratislava II, so a minus line means Slovan Bratislava II give that many goals of a start and MFK Bytča receive them. At -1, Slovan Bratislava II must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Slovan Bratislava II win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Slovan Bratislava II)
Slovan Bratislava II -2
28.0%
Draw -2
20.2%
MFK Bytča +2
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Slovan Bratislava II)
Slovan Bratislava II -1
48.3%
Draw -1
21.1%
MFK Bytča +1
30.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Slovan Bratislava II)
Slovan Bratislava II +1
87.7%
Draw +1
7.9%
MFK Bytča -1
4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Slovan Bratislava II)
Slovan Bratislava II +2
95.7%
Draw +2
3.2%
MFK Bytča -2
1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Slovan Bratislava II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.73
1.00
0.50
0.29
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.66
0.76
1.00
0.53
0.29
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (MFK Bytča) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
MFK Bytča
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.69
1.23
0.83
1.33
0.57
1.14
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.50
0.83
1.00
1.00
0.25
0.75
vs Weaker (7)
0.86
1.57
0.75
1.50
1.00
1.67
Clean sheet %
38% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Bratislava II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
78.3%
Under 0.5
21.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
44.7%
Under 1.5
55.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
22.3%
Under 2.5
77.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Slovan Bratislava II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
68.5%
Under
31.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Bratislava II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
32.7%
Under
67.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Bratislava II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
14.0%
Under
86.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MFK Bytča over/under 0.5 HT
Over
25.4%
Under
74.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MFK Bytča over/under 1.5 HT
Over
4.8%
Under
95.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MFK Bytča over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Slovan Bratislava II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.00
1.06
0.88
0.79
1.14
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.90
1.03
1.00
0.93
0.79
1.14
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (MFK Bytča) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
MFK Bytča
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.85
0.17
1.00
1.29
0.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
1.33
1.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
vs Weaker (7)
0.29
0.71
0.25
1.00
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
54% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Bratislava II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
85.8%
Under 0.5
14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
55.0%
Under 1.5
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
31.9%
Under 2.5
68.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Slovan Bratislava II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
76.9%
Under
23.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Bratislava II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
36.5%
Under
63.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Bratislava II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
20.1%
Under
79.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MFK Bytča over/under 0.5 2H
Over
38.0%
Under
62.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MFK Bytča over/under 1.5 2H
Over
10.7%
Under
89.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MFK Bytča over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.6%
Under
98.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
95.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
95.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
93.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
92.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
89.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
87.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
87.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
87.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 2H goals
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 0.5 HT goals
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 1.5 goals
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Slovakia: 2. liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Petržalka
Šamorín
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
Pohronie
Považská Bystrica
Žilina II
Tatran Prešov
Liptovský Mikuláš
Inter Bratislava
Malženice
Galanta
Humenné
Zlaté Moravce
Lokomotíva Zvolen