Slovan Bratislava II are tipped to win, with a 40% chance of a home victory, 25% for a draw and 35% for a Žilina II win. The model expects 3.3 goals on average, with the most likely total of three goals at a 22% probability. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, carrying a 11.1% chance. Slovan’s home form shows they average 1.08 goals scored and 1.83 conceded against similar opposition, while Žilina II, playing away, average 1.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. The model’s selection list contains only one pick: Over 1.5 goals, with an 84.9% probability. The recent form notes that Slovan are coming off a draw, whereas Žilina II are returning from a defeat. The match is projected to be high-scoring, with both sides likely to find the net.
Results analysis
Slovan Bratislava II’s recent draw streak has been broken as they clinched a 5-2 victory over Žilina II, extending their modest home form. The model’s favourite, Home win, with a 40% probability, proved correct. The predicted 3-goal total fell short, yet the model’s single selection, Over 1.5, hit with an 84.9% chance. The final score of 5-2 confirmed the home side’s dominance, matching the actual result of a home win. All suggested picks were settled: Over 1.5 hit, while the model’s favoured outcome was accurate, underscoring the reliability of the predictions.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Slovan Bratislava II win✓ Hit
39.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Žilina II win✗ Miss
35.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Slovan Bratislava II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.63
1.29
1.71
1.06
1.56
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (24)
1.21
1.79
1.08
1.83
1.33
1.75
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
1.33
5.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Žilina II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.33
1.90
2.56
1.94
2.07
1.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
2.00
2.42
2.43
2.43
1.40
2.40
vs Weaker (18)
2.56
1.56
2.67
1.56
2.44
1.56
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Bratislava II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.9%
Under 1.5
15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.6%
Under 2.5
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
41.5%
Under 3.5
58.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.9%
No
34.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.0%
2-2
6.8%
2-0
5.4%
1-0
5.4%
0-1
5.0%
3-1
4.8%
Slovan Bratislava II goals ↓
Žilina II goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.8%
5.0%
4.7%
2.5%
1.0%
1
5.4%
11%
8.0%
4.2%
1.7%
2
5.4%
8.6%
6.8%
3.6%
1.4%
3
3.0%
4.8%
3.8%
2.0%
0.8%
4
1.3%
2.0%
1.6%
0.9%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Slovan Bratislava II goals (down), columns = Žilina II goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Komárno
2.23
Petržalka
2.13
Tatran Prešov
2.00
Humenné
1.67
Púchov
1.57
Považská Bystrica
1.57
Spartak Myjava
1.47
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.40
Žilina II
1.33
Pohronie
1.30
Šamorín
1.27
Slovan Bratislava II
1.20
Slavoj Trebišov
1.17
Malženice
0.93
Dolný Kubín
0.67
Spišská Nová Ves
0.43
Slovan Bratislava II is 0.13 points worse than Žilina II in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 1.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Komárno
2.13
Petržalka
2.13
Žilina II
1.90
Púchov
1.80
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.77
Tatran Prešov
1.67
Šamorín
1.63
Považská Bystrica
1.60
Slovan Bratislava II
1.53
Pohronie
1.47
Humenné
1.43
Spartak Myjava
1.40
Malženice
1.20
Slavoj Trebišov
1.13
Dolný Kubín
0.90
Spišská Nová Ves
0.73
Slovan Bratislava II is 0.37 goals worse than Žilina II in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.90).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Tatran Prešov
0.77
Komárno
0.93
Petržalka
0.97
Humenné
1.07
Považská Bystrica
1.27
Spartak Myjava
1.40
Malženice
1.60
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.60
Púchov
1.63
Pohronie
1.67
Slavoj Trebišov
1.67
Slovan Bratislava II
1.83
Spišská Nová Ves
1.83
Šamorín
1.87
Žilina II
2.07
Dolný Kubín
2.27
Slovan Bratislava II is 0.23 goals better than Žilina II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.83 vs 2.07).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Slovan Bratislava II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.90
0.71
1.00
0.44
0.81
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.62
0.96
0.75
1.00
0.50
0.92
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.67
1.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Žilina II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.90
1.19
0.75
1.00
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
1.00
1.08
1.00
1.14
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (18)
1.17
0.78
1.33
0.44
1.00
1.11
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Bratislava II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Slovan Bratislava II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Bratislava II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Bratislava II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Slovan Bratislava II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.73
0.57
0.71
0.62
0.75
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.58
0.83
0.33
0.83
0.83
0.83
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.67
4.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Žilina II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.00
1.38
1.19
1.07
0.79
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
1.00
1.33
1.43
1.29
0.40
1.40
vs Weaker (18)
1.39
0.78
1.33
1.11
1.44
0.44
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Bratislava II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Slovan Bratislava II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Bratislava II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Bratislava II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOM (24)
€3m
TP (19)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ŠAM (22)
€2m
POH (17)
€1m
LM (14)
€1m
PB (17)
€1m
ŽI (12)
€1m
SBI (18)
€1m
MAL (13)
€1m
HUM (4)
€0m
Slovan Bratislava II and Žilina II have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOM (10)
€1m
TP (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
LM (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€0m
ŽI (4)
€0m
POH (4)
€0m
PB (4)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
HUM (2)
€0m
SBI (4)
€0m
Slovan Bratislava II and Žilina II have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOM (5)
€1m
ŠAM (6)
€1m
TP (4)
€0m
PB (6)
€0m
SBI (8)
€0m
PET (5)
€0m
POH (5)
€0m
LM (2)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Slovan Bratislava II and Žilina II have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOM (9)
€1m
PET (8)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
POH (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€1m
ŽI (7)
€0m
PB (7)
€0m
MAL (7)
€0m
SBI (6)
€0m
LM (4)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Slovan Bratislava II and Žilina II have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Slovakia: 2. liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Komárno
Petržalka
Tatran Prešov
Humenné
Považská Bystrica
Púchov
Spartak Myjava
Liptovský Mikuláš
Pohronie
Šamorín
Slavoj Trebišov
Malženice
Dolný Kubín
Spišská Nová Ves