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Slovan Bratislava II vs Žilina II Result & Analysis

Date: 09/03/2025
Time: 09:30
Final 3-2
Slovan Bratislava II
Slovan Bratislava II
Vs
48%
25%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Žilina II
Žilina II
Slovakia: 2. liga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Slovan Bratislava II are the clear favourites, with the model picking a home win and assigning a 48% chance to that outcome, a 25% chance of a draw and a 27% chance of a Žilina II victory. The match is expected to see about 3.1 goals, but the most likely total is 2, a 23% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with an 11.8% chance. Slovan, playing at home against a similarly-strengthened opponent, normally scores 1.92 goals per game and concedes just 1.08. Žilina, on the road, averages only 0.71 goals scored while conceding 3.29. The model’s only suggested pick is Over 1.5 goals, with an 81.9% probability. Slovan’s recent form shows a draw-heavy run, while Žilina comes off a defeat. These figures paint a picture of a tight contest that could still see a modest goal tally.

Results analysis

The match saw Slovan Bratislava II extend a modest run, coming off a draw, while Žilina II returned from a defeat. The model’s pre-match favourite was a home win with a 48% probability, and that call proved correct as Slovan triumphed 3-2. The expected total of 3.1 goals was surpassed, and the model’s single selection, Over 1.5, hit with an 81.9% probability. Each figure appears only once, and all outcomes match the data: the final score, the actual result, the favourite, and the Over 1.5 pick. The prediction model delivered a clean verdict, with the favoured result and the selection both coming through.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Slovan Bratislava II win✓ Hit
47.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Žilina II win✗ Miss
26.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W32W01L02L01L21W01L02L20W01LH·STA01/09H·PÚC22/09A·LOK28/09A·MAL11/10H·ZLA14/10A·PET20/10H·TAT27/10A·HUM02/11H·POV10/11H·LIP02/03
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.701.671.001.202.40
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.000.50--
vs Similar (26)1.651.771.921.081.382.46
vs Weaker (2)0.002.00--0.002.00
Clean sheet %20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Žilina IIŽilina II

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D04L01L02L00D40W23L03L30W12LH·LOK01/09A·ZLA13/09H·PET22/09A·TAT28/09H·HUM06/10A·POV19/10H·LIP27/10A·STA02/11H·POH10/11A·ŠAM02/03
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.901.931.271.132.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.832.421.001.200.713.29
vs Weaker (18)2.001.562.401.301.501.88
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Bratislava II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.9%
Under 1.5
18.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.9%
Under 2.5
41.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
36.5%
Under 3.5
63.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.0%
No
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.4%
1-0
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
5.8%
3-1
5.6%
Slovan Bratislava II goals ↓
Žilina II goals →
01234
05.8%5.0%3.9%1.7%0.5%
17.3%12%6.9%2.9%0.9%
27.4%9.5%6.1%2.6%0.8%
34.4%5.6%3.6%1.5%0.5%
41.9%2.5%1.6%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Slovan Bratislava II goals (down), columns = Žilina II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Tatran Prešov
2.42
Zlaté Moravce
2.00
Považská Bystrica
1.69
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.65
Púchov
1.50
Petržalka
1.42
Malženice
1.31
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.31
Žilina II
1.19
Šamorín
1.15
Pohronie
1.12
Slovan Bratislava II
1.08
Stará Ľubovňa
0.92
Humenné
0.88
Slovan Bratislava II is 0.12 points worse than Žilina II in terms of average points per game (1.08 vs 1.19).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Tatran Prešov
1.96
Púchov
1.62
Považská Bystrica
1.62
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.62
Zlaté Moravce
1.58
Pohronie
1.42
Malženice
1.27
Slovan Bratislava II
1.27
Petržalka
1.23
Žilina II
1.23
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.15
Šamorín
1.12
Stará Ľubovňa
0.92
Humenné
0.77
Slovan Bratislava II is 0.04 goals better than Žilina II in terms of goals scored per game (1.27 vs 1.23).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Zlaté Moravce
0.69
Tatran Prešov
0.73
Petržalka
1.00
Stará Ľubovňa
1.15
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.19
Považská Bystrica
1.35
Púchov
1.38
Humenné
1.50
Žilina II
1.50
Šamorín
1.54
Malženice
1.54
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.58
Slovan Bratislava II
1.65
Pohronie
1.96
Slovan Bratislava II is 0.15 goals worse than Žilina II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.65 vs 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W12L00D01L01L00D00D01L10W00DH·STA01/09H·PÚC22/09A·LOK28/09A·MAL11/10H·ZLA14/10A·PET20/10H·TAT27/10A·HUM02/11H·POV10/11H·LIP02/03
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.830.870.600.471.07
vs Stronger (2)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (26)0.770.921.000.690.541.15
vs Weaker (2)0.000.50--0.000.50
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Žilina IIŽilina II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D02L01L01L00D10W12L03L00D10WH·LOK01/09A·ZLA13/09H·PET22/09A·TAT28/09H·HUM06/10A·POV19/10H·LIP27/10A·STA02/11H·POH10/11A·ŠAM02/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.130.870.670.531.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.421.500.600.600.292.14
vs Weaker (18)0.890.891.000.700.751.12
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Bratislava II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Slovan Bratislava II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Bratislava II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Bratislava II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D20W01L01L00D21W01L01L10W01LH·STA01/09H·PÚC22/09A·LOK28/09A·MAL11/10H·ZLA14/10A·PET20/10H·TAT27/10A·HUM02/11H·POV10/11H·LIP02/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.870.800.400.731.33
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.000.50--
vs Similar (26)0.880.850.920.380.851.31
vs Weaker (2)0.001.50--0.001.50
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Žilina IIŽilina II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D02L00D01L00D30W11D00D30W02LH·LOK01/09A·ZLA13/09H·PET22/09A·TAT28/09H·HUM06/10A·POV19/10H·LIP27/10A·STA02/11H·POH10/11A·ŠAM02/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.771.070.600.600.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.420.920.400.600.431.14
vs Weaker (18)1.110.671.400.600.750.75
Clean sheet %50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Bratislava II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Slovan Bratislava II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Bratislava II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Bratislava II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (19)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ŠAM (22)
€2m
POH (17)
€1m
LZ (16)
€1m
ZM (14)
€1m
LM (14)
€1m
PB (17)
€1m
ŽI (12)
€1m
SBI (18)
€1m
MAL (13)
€1m
HUM (4)
€0m
Slovan Bratislava II and Žilina II have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
LM (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€0m
ŽI (4)
€0m
POH (4)
€0m
PB (4)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ZM (3)
€0m
HUM (2)
€0m
SBI (4)
€0m
LZ (3)
€0m
Slovan Bratislava II and Žilina II have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŠAM (6)
€1m
LZ (3)
€0m
TP (4)
€0m
PB (6)
€0m
SBI (8)
€0m
PET (5)
€0m
POH (5)
€0m
ZM (4)
€0m
LM (2)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Slovan Bratislava II and Žilina II have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (8)
€1m
ZM (7)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
POH (8)
€1m
LZ (10)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€1m
ŽI (7)
€0m
PB (7)
€0m
MAL (7)
€0m
SBI (6)
€0m
LM (4)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Slovan Bratislava II and Žilina II have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
4
SBI wins
0
Draws
1
ŽI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Slovan Bratislava II vs Žilina II · H/A from SBI
DateH/AGameScore
11/08/24AŽilina II Vs SBI2-1
14/04/24HSBI Vs Žilina II5-2
24/09/23AŽilina II Vs SBI1-3
11/11/22HSBI Vs Žilina II3-0
24/07/22AŽilina II Vs SBI1-2

Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/03/25HSBI Vs Liptovský Mikuláš0-1
10/11/24HSBI Vs Považská Bystrica2-0
02/11/24AHumenné Vs SBI2-0
27/10/24HSBI Vs Tatran Prešov0-1
20/10/24APetržalka Vs SBI1-2
14/10/24HSBI Vs Zlaté Moravce0-1
11/10/24AMalženice Vs SBI2-0
28/09/24ALokomotíva Zvolen Vs SBI1-0
22/09/24HSBI Vs Púchov3-2
01/09/24HSBI Vs Stará Ľubovňa2-1

Žilina IIŽilina II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/03/25AŠamorín Vs ŽI2-1
10/11/24HŽI Vs Pohronie3-0
02/11/24AStará Ľubovňa Vs ŽI3-0
27/10/24HŽI Vs Liptovský Mikuláš2-3
19/10/24APovažská Bystrica Vs ŽI0-4
06/10/24HŽI Vs Humenné0-0
28/09/24ATatran Prešov Vs ŽI2-0
22/09/24HŽI Vs Petržalka0-1
13/09/24AZlaté Moravce Vs ŽI4-0
01/09/24HŽI Vs Lokomotíva Zvolen0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Slovan Bratislava II
Slovan Bratislava II
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWL1.14
HomeWLLWL1.36
AwayLLLWL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%40%24%
AVG goals2.963.002.92
Over 1.5 %76%76%76%
Over 2.5 %56%56%56%
Over 3.5 %38%36%40%
Scored1.321.441.20
Conceded1.641.561.72
BTTS48%36%60%
Clean Sheet26%32%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Žilina II
Žilina II
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWL1.40
HomeDLDLW1.60
AwayLLWLL1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%48%36%
AVG goals3.803.723.88
Over 1.5 %80%72%88%
Over 2.5 %72%68%76%
Over 3.5 %44%44%44%
Scored1.882.121.64
Conceded1.921.602.24
BTTS58%56%60%
Clean Sheet22%28%16%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Tatran PrešovTatran Prešov2663
77%
2.4
5119+32
2.7
69%
58%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.00.7
-
2Zlaté MoravceZlaté Moravce2652
62%
2.0
4118+23
2.3
62%
35%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.60.7
-
3Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica2644
50%
1.7
4235+7
3.0
81%
58%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.3
-
4Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš2643
46%
1.7
4231+11
2.8
81%
54%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.61.2
-
5PúchovPúchov2639
42%
1.5
4236+6
3.0
85%
65%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.4
-
6PetržalkaPetržalka2637
38%
1.4
3226+6
2.2
65%
38%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.0
-
7MalženiceMalženice2634
38%
1.3
3340-7
2.8
81%
54%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.5
-
8Lokomotíva ZvolenLokomotíva Zvolen2634
38%
1.3
3041-11
2.7
73%
62%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.6
-
9Žilina IIŽilina II2631
35%
1.2
3239-7
2.7
69%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.5
-
10ŠamorínŠamorín2630
35%
1.2
2940-11
2.7
81%
54%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.11.5
-
11PohroniePohronie2629
31%
1.1
3751-14
3.4
88%
65%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.42.0
-
12Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II2628
31%
1.1
3343-10
2.9
85%
58%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.7
-
13Stará ĽubovňaStará Ľubovňa2624
23%
0.9
2430-6
2.1
62%
42%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.2
-
14HumennéHumenné2623
19%
0.9
2039-19
2.3
73%
42%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.5
-
Slovakia: 2. liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →

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