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Slovan Bratislava II vs Zlaté Moravce Result & Analysis

Date: 26/07/2026
Time: 08:30
Final 0-1
Slovan Bratislava II
Slovan Bratislava II
Vs
46%
23%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Zlaté Moravce
Zlaté Moravce
Slovakia: 2. liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Odd / Even7 Home & Away Over/Under8 Handicap9 Top picks for this game10 Squad value11 Games History12 Overall Statistics13 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Slovan Bratislava II a 46% win probability against Zlaté Moravce in the Slovakia: 2. liga on 2026-07-26, with 23% for the draw and 31% for Zlaté Moravce. The model estimates around 3.6 total goals, with 3 the most likely total (21%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (9.5%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 1.5 (89%), BTTS Yes (70%), Over 2.5 (70%).

Results analysis

Slovan Bratislava II finished 0-1 against Zlaté Moravce (Away win). Pythia had modelled a 46% home win, 23% draw and 31% away win. Missed: Over 1.5 (89%), BTTS Yes (70%), Over 2.5 (70%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Slovan Bratislava II win✗ Miss
45.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Zlaté Moravce win✓ Hit
30.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D31W11D41W11D21W42W11D51W12LA·ZLA20/03H·LIP28/03A·POV04/04H·SLÁ12/04H·MAL19/04A·LOK22/04H·ŽIL26/04A·ŠAM02/05H·STA08/05A·POH15/05
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.602.001.331.001.87
vs Stronger (2)2.501.004.002.001.000.00
vs Similar (26)1.381.651.921.310.852.00
vs Weaker (2)2.001.501.001.003.002.00
Clean sheet %13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Zlaté Moravce) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Zlaté MoravceZlaté Moravce

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D00D01L41W12L24L01L01L10W33DH·SLO20/03H·LOK02/04A·MAL07/04A·ŽIL12/04H·ŠAM17/04A·STA21/04H·POH26/04A·PÚC02/05H·PET08/05A·BAN15/05
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.901.631.931.271.872.00
vs Stronger (8)1.881.622.001.001.752.25
vs Similar (22)1.911.641.911.361.911.91
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Bratislava II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%3%08%118%221%319%414%516%6+
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
88.7%
Under 1.5
11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
70.5%
Under 2.5
29.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
49.4%
Under 3.5
50.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
70.5%
No
29.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
2-2
7.1%
1-2
7.0%
3-1
5.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-2
4.7%
1-0
4.4%
Slovan Bratislava II goals ↓
Zlaté Moravce goals →
01234
03.5%3.4%3.5%1.9%0.8%
14.4%9.5%7.0%3.8%1.6%
25.3%8.6%7.1%3.8%1.6%
33.5%5.8%4.7%2.6%1.1%
41.8%2.9%2.4%1.3%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Slovan Bratislava II goals (down), columns = Zlaté Moravce goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Tatran Prešov
1.68
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.62
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.60
Petržalka
1.60
Malženice
1.57
Zlaté Moravce
1.47
Pohronie
1.47
Inter Bratislava
1.40
Galanta
1.37
MFK Bytča
1.37
Slovan Bratislava II
1.33
Šamorín
1.27
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.17
Žilina II
1.10
Považská Bystrica
1.10
Humenné
0.59
Slovan Bratislava II is 0.13 points worse than Zlaté Moravce in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.47).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Zlaté Moravce
1.90
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.83
Tatran Prešov
1.80
Pohronie
1.57
Slovan Bratislava II
1.50
Petržalka
1.50
Galanta
1.47
MFK Bytča
1.47
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.47
Malženice
1.47
Šamorín
1.47
Žilina II
1.43
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.37
Považská Bystrica
1.27
Inter Bratislava
1.17
Humenné
0.64
Slovan Bratislava II is 0.40 goals worse than Zlaté Moravce in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.90).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Petržalka
1.03
Tatran Prešov
1.16
Pohronie
1.17
Inter Bratislava
1.20
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.22
Malženice
1.27
Galanta
1.42
MFK Bytča
1.42
Šamorín
1.53
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.57
Slovan Bratislava II
1.60
Zlaté Moravce
1.63
Považská Bystrica
1.63
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.73
Žilina II
1.97
Humenné
3.27
Slovan Bratislava II is 0.03 goals better than Zlaté Moravce in terms of goals conceded per game (1.60 vs 1.63).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔢 6. Odd / Even

🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 8. Handicap

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.588.7%-------✗ Miss
BTTS Yes70.5%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.570.5%-------✗ Miss

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (33)
€4m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (13)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (13)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Slovan Bratislava II vs Zlaté Moravce · H/A from SBI
DateH/AGameScore
20/03/26AZlaté Moravce Vs SBI2-2
31/08/25HSBI Vs Zlaté Moravce2-1
25/04/25AZlaté Moravce Vs SBI3-1
14/10/24HSBI Vs Zlaté Moravce0-1

Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/05/26APohronie Vs SBI2-1
08/05/26HSBI Vs Stará Ľubovňa5-1
02/05/26AŠamorín Vs SBI1-1
26/04/26HSBI Vs Žilina II4-2
22/04/26ALokomotíva Zvolen Vs SBI1-2
19/04/26HSBI Vs Malženice1-1
12/04/26HSBI Vs Slávia TU Košice4-1
04/04/26APovažská Bystrica Vs SBI1-1
28/03/26HSBI Vs Liptovský Mikuláš3-1
20/03/26AZlaté Moravce Vs SBI2-2

Zlaté MoravceZlaté Moravce

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/05/26ABaník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom Vs ZM3-3
08/05/26HZM Vs Petržalka1-0
02/05/26APúchov Vs ZM1-0
26/04/26HZM Vs Pohronie0-1
21/04/26AStará Ľubovňa Vs ZM4-2
17/04/26HZM Vs Šamorín1-2
12/04/26AŽilina II Vs ZM1-4
07/04/26AMalženice Vs ZM1-0
02/04/26HZM Vs Lokomotíva Zvolen0-0
20/03/26HZM Vs Slovan Bratislava II2-2

📊 12. Overall Statistics

Slovan Bratislava II
Slovan Bratislava II
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWL1.24
HomeWWDWW1.58
AwayDDWDL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%42%21%
AVG goals2.983.082.88
Over 1.5 %82%81%83%
Over 2.5 %52%50%54%
Over 3.5 %36%42%29%
Scored1.381.731.00
Conceded1.601.351.88
BTTS64%69%58%
Clean Sheet12%15%8%
Corners---
Cards---
Zlaté Moravce
Zlaté Moravce
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWD1.62
HomeDDLLW1.77
AwayLWLLD1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%50%42%
AVG goals3.082.853.33
Over 1.5 %76%77%75%
Over 2.5 %58%58%58%
Over 3.5 %38%31%46%
Scored1.761.771.75
Conceded1.321.081.58
BTTS68%65%71%
Clean Sheet22%27%17%
Corners---
Cards3.003.00-

🏆 13. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PetržalkaPetržalka412
100%
3.0
132+11
3.8
100%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.20.5
-
2Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica49
75%
2.2
85+3
3.2
100%
100%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.2
-
3ŠamorínŠamorín49
75%
2.2
74+3
2.8
100%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.0
-
4Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš48
50%
2.0
103+7
3.2
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.50.8
-
5PohroniePohronie47
50%
1.8
97+2
4.0
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.8
-
6Tatran PrešovTatran Prešov47
50%
1.8
66+0
3.0
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.51.5
-
7Žilina IIŽilina II47
50%
1.8
33+0
1.5
50%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.8
-
8Inter BratislavaInter Bratislava46
50%
1.5
74+3
2.8
75%
75%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.0
-
9Baník Lehota p.VtáčnikomBaník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom46
25%
1.5
86+2
3.5
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.5
-
10Zlaté MoravceZlaté Moravce45
25%
1.2
44+0
2.0
50%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
11MalženiceMalženice44
25%
1.0
67-1
3.2
100%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.8
-
12Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II43
25%
0.8
67-1
3.2
75%
75%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.8
-
13HumennéHumenné43
25%
0.8
38-5
2.8
75%
75%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.0
-
14Lokomotíva ZvolenLokomotíva Zvolen42
0%
0.5
35-2
2.0
50%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.2
-
15GalantaGalanta41
0%
0.2
19-8
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.22.2
-
16MFK BytčaMFK Bytča40
0%
0.0
115-14
4.0
100%
100%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.23.8
-
Slovakia: 2. liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →

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