Slovan Bratislava are the clear favourites, the model rating them at 71 % for a home win, 18 % for a draw and 10 % for a Zemplín Michalovce win. The 71 % reflects Slovan’s strong home form, scoring an average of 1.93 goals and conceding only 1.0 against weaker opposition, while Michalovce are struggling away, averaging 1.18 goals scored and 1.82 conceded against stronger teams. The expected total is 3.2 goals, with the most likely total of 3 goals at 22 %. The single most probable scoreline is 2-0, with a 11.8 % chance. The model’s suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.2 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 99.1 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.8 % with a 6 % edge, Under 7.5 at 98.4 %, Home +2 handicap at 96.9 %, Under 6.5 at 95.8 % with a 6 % edge, Away under 2.5 goals at 95.3 % with a 6 % edge, and Away under 1.5 HT goals at 94.0 % with a 4 % edge. Slovan’s unbeaten run in their last five, ending with a 2-1 win over FK Košice, and Michalovce’s recent win over Skalica, add context to the predicted outcome.
Results analysis
The upset came early as Slovan Bratislava, the pre-match favourite, fell short of their 70% chance to win, while Zemplín Michalovce snatched a 1-2 victory. The model had picked a home win with a 70% probability, but that call was wrong. All of the model’s suggested picks were settled: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.3%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 99.0%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 98.8%, Under 7.5 hit at 98.5%, Home +2 handicap hit at 96.6%, Under 6.5 hit at 96.0%, Away under 2.5 goals hit at 95.0%, and Away under 1.5 HT goals hit at 93.9%. The final score of 1-2 confirmed the away team’s triumph, ending Slovan’s run of defeats and extending Zemplín’s three-game winning streak.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Slovan Bratislava win✗ Miss
70.2%
Avg Implied 69.1% · @ 1.33
Edge
+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.38
Betano
1.36
William Hil
1.35
Superbet
1.34
1xBet
1.34
Draw✗ Miss
19.1%
Avg Implied 18.4% · @ 5.00
Edge
+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
5.40
BetVictor
5.25
Betano
5.20
Superbet
5.10
Pinnacle
5.09
Zemplín Michalovce win✓ Hit
10.7%
Avg Implied 12.6% · @ 7.31
Edge
-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
8.00
BetVictor
8.00
Marathonbet
7.90
1xBet
7.90
10Bet
7.70
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Slovan Bratislava
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
0.90
1.81
0.94
1.79
0.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
1.75
0.38
1.25
0.25
2.25
0.50
vs Weaker (22)
1.82
1.09
2.00
1.17
1.60
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Zemplín Michalovce) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zemplín Michalovce
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.70
1.31
1.69
1.18
1.71
vs Stronger (17)
1.12
1.82
1.29
1.57
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (12)
1.25
1.67
1.33
1.83
1.17
1.50
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Bratislava) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.7%
@ 1.10-1.3%
Under 1.5
17.3%
@ 5.82+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Pinnacle
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Under
Betfair
6.50
BetVictor
6.50
Pinnacle
6.22
Marathonbet
5.65
1xBet
5.65
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.5%
@ 1.39-6.0%
Under 2.5
39.5%
@ 2.75+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.42
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.40
Superbet
1.40
Under
BetVictor
2.88
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.85
10Bet
2.80
Superbet
2.75
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.1%
@ 2.00-8.4%
Under 3.5
61.9%
@ 1.75+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.05
Betfair
2.05
SBO
2.02
Pinnacle
2.02
1xBet
2.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.81
Marathonbet
1.77
1xBet
1.77
SBO
1.76
Betfair
1.75
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.0%
@ 1.64-5.2%
No
49.0%
@ 2.11+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.73
Betfair
1.67
Superbet
1.66
Betano
1.65
Marathonbet
1.63
No
Betfair
2.15
BetVictor
2.15
William Hil
2.15
1xBet
2.14
Marathonbet
2.11
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.7%@ 7.62+5.8%
2-1
9.6%@ 7.88+3.9%
1-0
9.3%@ 9.19+4.4%
1-1
9.1%@ 9.68+4.4%
3-0
9.0%@ 9.11+4.1%
3-1
7.4%@ 9.33+2.6%
4-0
5.2%@ 13.72+2.0%
0-0
5.2%@ 18.00+2.7%
Slovan Bratislava goals ↓
Zemplín Michalovce goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.2%
2.7%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
1
9.3%
9.1%
3.4%
0.9%
0.2%
2
12%
9.6%
3.9%
1.1%
0.2%
3
9.0%
7.4%
3.0%
0.8%
0.2%
4
5.2%
4.3%
1.7%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Slovan Bratislava goals (down), columns = Zemplín Michalovce goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dunajska Streda
2.60
Slovan Bratislava
2.40
Žilina
2.17
Spartak Trnava
2.17
Podbrezová
1.67
FK Košice
1.20
Skalica
1.17
Zemplín Michalovce
1.17
AS Trencin
1.00
Dukla Banská Bystrica
0.67
Komárno
0.50
Ružomberok
0.17
Slovan Bratislava is 1.23 points better than Zemplín Michalovce in terms of average points per game (2.40 vs 1.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dunajska Streda
3.40
Slovan Bratislava
3.00
FK Košice
2.80
Žilina
2.50
Spartak Trnava
2.17
Podbrezová
1.67
Skalica
1.50
AS Trencin
1.40
Komárno
1.00
Dukla Banská Bystrica
1.00
Zemplín Michalovce
0.83
Ružomberok
0.67
Slovan Bratislava is 2.17 goals better than Zemplín Michalovce in terms of goals scored per game (3.00 vs 0.83).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Dunajska Streda
0.40
Slovan Bratislava
0.60
Spartak Trnava
0.83
Zemplín Michalovce
1.17
Komárno
1.83
Žilina
2.00
Podbrezová
2.00
AS Trencin
2.20
Ružomberok
2.50
Skalica
2.50
Dukla Banská Bystrica
2.50
FK Košice
2.60
Slovan Bratislava is 0.57 goals better than Zemplín Michalovce in terms of goals conceded per game (0.60 vs 1.17).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Slovan Bratislava
For 3.5 · Against 4.1 · Total 7.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 14.7 · Total 26.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Zemplín Michalovce
For 5.4 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.0 · Against 12.8 · Total 27.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Slovan Bratislava
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
9.5
8.2
2.5
2.8
2.2
24.6
23.9
25.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
9.7
9.2
10.2
4.2
3.9
4.7
24.0
22.6
25.4
vs Weaker (37)
8.3
9.6
7.0
1.8
2.3
1.5
24.9
24.8
25.1
% over line
38%
54%
23%
36%
45%
29%
81%
77%
85%
% under line
62%
46%
77%
64%
55%
71%
19%
23%
15%
This opponent (Zemplín Michalovce) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zemplín Michalovce
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.9
9.7
2.4
2.7
2.1
26.1
27.4
24.8
vs Stronger (24)
10.1
10.8
9.6
2.0
2.1
1.9
26.2
28.2
24.9
vs Similar (25)
9.6
9.4
9.8
2.8
3.1
2.6
26.1
27.0
24.7
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
52%
53%
50%
34%
39%
30%
86%
87%
86%
% under line
48%
47%
50%
66%
61%
70%
14%
13%
14%
This opponent (Slovan Bratislava) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
AS Trencin
11.2
Podbrezová
10.6
FK Košice
10.5
Ružomberok
10.2
Dukla Banská Bystrica
10.2
Zemplín Michalovce
10.0
Dunajska Streda
10.0
Slovan Bratislava
9.9
Komárno
9.8
Skalica
9.7
Žilina
9.6
Spartak Trnava
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Spartak Trnava
5.1
Slovan Bratislava
5.0
Dunajska Streda
4.9
Skalica
4.8
Podbrezová
4.7
AS Trencin
4.7
Komárno
4.5
Zemplín Michalovce
4.4
Ružomberok
4.4
FK Košice
4.2
Žilina
3.9
Dukla Banská Bystrica
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Spartak Trnava
28.1
Skalica
27.2
Komárno
27.0
Zemplín Michalovce
26.8
Podbrezová
26.5
Žilina
26.3
Dunajska Streda
26.3
Ružomberok
25.9
Slovan Bratislava
25.5
AS Trencin
25.5
FK Košice
24.0
Dukla Banská Bystrica
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
50.4%
@ 1.58-8.2%
Under 9.5
49.6%
@ 2.23+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.65
Betano
1.62
Pinnacle
1.56
1xBet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.52
Under
Pinnacle
2.31
1xBet
2.27
Marathonbet
2.27
Betano
2.22
Superbet
2.10
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
68.8%
Under 3.5
31.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
83.2%
Under 21.5
16.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Slovan Bratislava or Draw✗ Miss
89.3%
Avg Implied 87.2% · @ 1.06
Edge
+2.1%
70%
19%
11%
covers Slovan Bratislava + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.12
BetVictor
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Slovan Bratislava or Zemplín Michalovce✓ Hit
80.9%
Avg Implied 82.5% · @ 1.12
Edge
-1.6%
70%
19%
11%
covers Slovan Bratislava + Zemplín Michalovce
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.18
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
Draw or Zemplín Michalovce✓ Hit
29.8%
Avg Implied 30.3% · @ 3.05
Edge
-0.5%
70%
19%
11%
covers Draw + Zemplín Michalovce
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.30
Betano
3.25
BetVictor
3.25
10Bet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.08
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Slovan Bratislava over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
90.1%
@ 1.05+1.0%
Under
9.9%
@ 8.62-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Under
Betfair
9.50
1xBet
9.50
Bet365
8.00
Betano
7.50
Slovan Bratislava over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
67.2%
@ 1.32-3.4%
Under
32.8%
@ 3.17+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.35
Betano
1.34
Superbet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Pinnacle
1.31
Under
Pinnacle
3.31
BetVictor
3.30
Bet365
3.25
10Bet
3.20
Betfair
3.20
Slovan Bratislava over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
40.7%
@ 2.00-5.7%
Under
59.3%
@ 1.73+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.08
Pinnacle
2.04
Betano
2.02
Superbet
2.02
Betfair
2.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.78
BetVictor
1.78
Marathonbet
1.77
Betano
1.75
10Bet
1.75
Slovan Bratislava over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
20.3%
@ 3.56-5.7%
Under
79.7%
@ 1.25+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
Pinnacle
3.66
BetVictor
3.60
Superbet
3.55
Betfair
3.50
Under
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.26
1xBet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Zemplín Michalovce over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
55.7%
@ 1.55-4.2%
Under
44.3%
@ 2.32+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
1xBet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.55
Betano
1.55
Under
Pinnacle
2.46
BetVictor
2.38
10Bet
2.38
Betfair
2.38
Betano
2.35
Zemplín Michalovce over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
19.7%
@ 3.60-6.1%
Under
80.3%
@ 1.25+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.00
1xBet
3.62
Pinnacle
3.62
Marathonbet
3.62
BetVictor
3.60
Under
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.27
Betfair
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Zemplín Michalovce over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
5.0%
@ 9.70-4.7%
Under
95.0%
@ 1.04+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
13.00
Marathonbet
10.00
Betfair
9.50
Bet365
9.00
Superbet
8.80
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Zemplín Michalovce over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.0%
@ 14.75-5.4%
Under
99.0%
@ 1.01+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Slovan Bratislava, so a minus line means Slovan Bratislava give that many goals of a start and Zemplín Michalovce receive them. At -1, Slovan Bratislava must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Slovan Bratislava win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap +2 (Slovan Bratislava)Actual: Slovan Bratislava
Slovan Bratislava +2
96.6%
@ 1.01+2.4%
Draw +2
2.6%
@ 23.50-1.5%
Zemplín Michalovce -2
0.8%
@ 56.00-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.01
Draw
Betfair
26.00
Bet365
21.00
Away
Betfair
71.00
Bet365
41.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Slovan Bratislava
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.33
0.56
0.31
0.86
0.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.62
0.25
0.25
0.25
1.00
0.25
vs Weaker (22)
0.73
0.36
0.67
0.33
0.80
0.40
Clean sheet %
73% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Zemplín Michalovce) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zemplín Michalovce
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.70
0.31
0.77
0.35
0.65
vs Stronger (17)
0.29
0.71
0.29
0.57
0.30
0.80
vs Similar (12)
0.25
0.75
0.33
1.00
0.17
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Bratislava) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
74.9%
@ 1.21-1.9%
Under 0.5
25.1%
@ 4.02+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Under
1xBet
4.30
BetVictor
4.10
Superbet
4.10
Bet365
4.00
William Hil
4.00
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
39.4%
@ 2.02-6.5%
Under 1.5
60.6%
@ 1.72+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.12
Bet365
2.10
Pinnacle
2.09
SBO
2.05
1xBet
2.03
Under
Pinnacle
1.76
10Bet
1.75
SBO
1.73
Superbet
1.73
Betfair
1.73
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.1%
@ 4.24-4.8%
Under 2.5
82.9%
@ 1.19+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.50
Betfair
4.50
William Hil
4.33
Bet365
4.33
Betano
4.25
Under
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.18
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Slovan Bratislava over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
64.4%
@ 1.39-2.4%
Under
35.6%
@ 2.80+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
Superbet
1.39
Pinnacle
1.38
10Bet
1.38
1xBet
1.37
Under
Pinnacle
2.93
1xBet
2.85
10Bet
2.80
Superbet
2.77
Betano
2.65
Slovan Bratislava over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
29.5%
@ 2.86-3.0%
Under
70.5%
@ 1.38+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.95
Betano
2.95
Marathonbet
2.89
10Bet
2.80
1xBet
2.70
Under
1xBet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.39
10Bet
1.38
Betano
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
Slovan Bratislava over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.9%
@ 6.87-5.6%
Under
92.1%
@ 1.07+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
7.00
1xBet
6.80
Betano
6.80
Under
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Zemplín Michalovce over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
28.8%
@ 2.65-6.3%
Under
71.2%
@ 1.43+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.87
Betano
2.65
Marathonbet
2.64
1xBet
2.60
Superbet
2.57
Under
10Bet
1.45
Superbet
1.45
1xBet
1.44
Betano
1.44
Marathonbet
1.41
Zemplín Michalovce over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.1%
@ 9.56-3.6%
Under
93.9%
@ 1.03+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
11.00
1xBet
10.00
10Bet
9.00
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
Zemplín Michalovce over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.7%
Under
99.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Slovan Bratislava
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.57
1.25
0.62
0.93
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
1.12
0.12
1.00
0.00
1.25
0.25
vs Weaker (22)
1.09
0.73
1.33
0.83
0.80
0.60
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Zemplín Michalovce) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zemplín Michalovce
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.00
1.00
0.92
0.82
1.06
vs Stronger (17)
0.82
1.12
1.00
1.00
0.70
1.20
vs Similar (12)
1.00
0.92
1.00
0.83
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Bratislava) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
83.2%
@ 1.12+0.1%
Under 0.5
16.8%
@ 5.51-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Under
1xBet
6.10
Betano
5.60
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.50
Superbet
5.35
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
52.5%
@ 1.62-4.7%
Under 1.5
47.5%
@ 2.17+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.67
William Hil
1.67
Superbet
1.63
Betano
1.62
10Bet
1.60
Under
Betano
2.27
10Bet
2.20
1xBet
2.19
Marathonbet
2.19
Superbet
2.15
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
25.6%
@ 2.89-6.5%
Under 2.5
74.4%
@ 1.37+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
William Hil
3.00
Superbet
2.92
Betano
2.82
Marathonbet
2.81
Under
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.35
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Slovan Bratislava over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
74.1%
@ 1.25-0.4%
Under
25.9%
@ 3.63+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Under
1xBet
3.70
Betano
3.60
10Bet
3.60
Slovan Bratislava over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
38.9%
@ 2.18-3.7%
Under
61.1%
@ 1.62+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.27
10Bet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.16
Betano
2.15
1xBet
2.12
Under
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.64
Marathonbet
1.62
10Bet
1.60
Superbet
1.57
Slovan Bratislava over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
17.1%
@ 4.60-3.1%
Under
82.9%
@ 1.16+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.75
1xBet
4.60
Betano
4.45
Under
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Zemplín Michalovce over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
34.4%
@ 2.18-8.1%
Under
65.6%
@ 1.61+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.20
Superbet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.18
Betano
2.15
10Bet
2.15
Under
Betano
1.65
10Bet
1.62
Superbet
1.60
1xBet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
Zemplín Michalovce over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.3%
@ 7.20-5.6%
Under
92.7%
@ 1.07+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.90
1xBet
7.50
10Bet
7.00
Betano
6.40
Under
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
Zemplín Michalovce over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.2%
@ 12.00-6.6%
Under
98.8%
@ 1.01+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.01
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
99.0%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.8%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+6.6%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.5%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+5.7%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
96.6%
1.01
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-
-
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.0%
1.04
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.04
-
+6.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
95.0%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.03
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.9%
1.03
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
-
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
92.7%
1.07
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
-
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
92.1%
1.07
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
-
-
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
90.3%
1.11
Pinnacle
1.13
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.10
+6.4%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
90.1%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.03
-
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
89.3%
1.06
Betano
1.12
BetVictor
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
+2.1%
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
89.3%
1.05
Betfair
1.06
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
+2.3%
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
83.2%
1.12
William Hil
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
10Bet
1.11
+0.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
82.9%
1.16
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.16
10Bet
1.15
-
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
82.9%
1.19
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.18
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
82.7%
1.10
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Pinnacle
1.12
Superbet
1.11
-1.3%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
80.9%
1.12
William Hil
1.18
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
-1.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
80.3%
1.25
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.27
Betfair
1.25
10Bet
1.25
+6.1%
✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals
79.7%
1.25
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.26
1xBet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Superbet
1.25
+5.7%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
79.3%
1.30
Pinnacle
1.32
Betano
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.30
+7.9%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
74.9%
1.21
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Superbet
1.20
-1.9%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
74.4%
1.37
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.35
+6.5%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 2H goals
74.1%
1.25
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.23
-
-
-0.4%
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
73.0%
1.48
Pinnacle
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Superbet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.46
Betano
1.45
+10.4%
-
Away under 0.5 HT goals
71.2%
1.43
10Bet
1.45
Superbet
1.45
1xBet
1.44
Betano
1.44
Marathonbet
1.41
+6.3%
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
70.5%
1.38
1xBet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.39
10Bet
1.38
Betano
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Home win
70.2%
1.33
Pinnacle
1.38
Betano
1.36
William Hil
1.35
Superbet
1.34
1xBet
1.34
+1.1%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Slovan Bratislava · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Andraž Šporar55%
Tigran Barseghyan28%
Mykola Kukharevych25%
Marko Tolić22%
Nino Marcelli17%
Kelvin Ofori17%
Guram Kashia13%
Vladimír Weiss11%
Svetozar Marković10%
Rahim Ibrahim10%
Róbert Mak8%
César Blackman8%
Alasana Yirajang6%
Artur Gajdoš6%
Danylo Ignatenko5%
Dominik Takáč0%
Peter Pokorný0%
Niko Janković0%
Kevin Wimmer0%
Matsuoka Daiki0%
Sandro Cruz0%
Kenan Bajrić0%
Kyriakos Savvidis0%
Alen Mustafić0%
Martin Trnovský0%
Filip Lichý0%
Adam Griger0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marko Tolić67%
Vladimír Weiss42%
César Blackman29%
Kenan Bajrić29%
Rahim Ibrahim24%
Danylo Ignatenko20%
Andraž Šporar18%
Nino Marcelli17%
Peter Pokorný13%
Róbert Mak12%
Kevin Wimmer12%
Alen Mustafić12%
Tigran Barseghyan11%
Artur Gajdoš11%
Niko Janković10%
Svetozar Marković10%
Sandro Cruz9%
Guram Kashia7%
Dominik Takáč6%
Matsuoka Daiki0%
Kyriakos Savvidis0%
Kelvin Ofori0%
Martin Trnovský0%
Filip Lichý0%
Mykola Kukharevych0%
Adam Griger0%
Alasana Yirajang0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andraž Šporar55%
Marko Tolić22%
Tigran Barseghyan22%
Nino Marcelli22%
Sandro Cruz14%
César Blackman12%
Kevin Wimmer12%
Artur Gajdoš11%
Vladimír Weiss11%
Kyriakos Savvidis8%
Peter Pokorný7%
Guram Kashia7%
Alasana Yirajang6%
Róbert Mak4%
Dominik Takáč0%
Niko Janković0%
Matsuoka Daiki0%
Svetozar Marković0%
Kenan Bajrić0%
Alen Mustafić0%
Danylo Ignatenko0%
Kelvin Ofori0%
Martin Trnovský0%
Rahim Ibrahim0%
Filip Lichý0%
Mykola Kukharevych0%
Adam Griger0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Andraž Šporar36%
Kelvin Ofori33%
Tigran Barseghyan28%
Nino Marcelli17%
Mykola Kukharevych12%
Marko Tolić11%
Artur Gajdoš11%
Danylo Ignatenko10%
Peter Pokorný7%
Alasana Yirajang6%
Róbert Mak4%
Dominik Takáč0%
César Blackman0%
Niko Janković0%
Kevin Wimmer0%
Matsuoka Daiki0%
Sandro Cruz0%
Vladimír Weiss0%
Svetozar Marković0%
Guram Kashia0%
Kenan Bajrić0%
Kyriakos Savvidis0%
Alen Mustafić0%
Martin Trnovský0%
Rahim Ibrahim0%
Filip Lichý0%
Adam Griger0%
Zemplín Michalovce · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gytis Paulauskas50%
Hugo Ahl35%
Samuel Ramos21%
Ben Cottrell19%
Patrik Danek14%
Kido Taylor-Hart12%
Park Tae-Rang12%
Polydefkis Volanakis11%
José López10%
Kai Brosnan6%
Kingsley Madu0%
Adam Jakubech0%
Tornike Dzotsenidze0%
Nikita Mihhailov0%
Martin Bednár0%
Matej Čurma0%
Matúš Begala0%
Stanislav Danko0%
Abdul Zubairu0%
Lukáš Pauschek0%
Patrik Lukáč0%
Franck Bahi0%
Tomasz Walczak0%
Yushi Shimamura0%
Artúr Musák0%
Christos Makrygiannis0%
Luka Lemisko0%
William Francois0%
Vasilios Theofanopoulos0%
Orestis Kalemi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tornike Dzotsenidze44%
Orestis Kalemi38%
Matúš Begala33%
Polydefkis Volanakis33%
William Francois25%
Abdul Zubairu22%
Martin Bednár20%
Matej Čurma16%
Samuel Ramos16%
Adam Jakubech12%
Ben Cottrell12%
Gytis Paulauskas12%
Franck Bahi12%
Yushi Shimamura12%
Park Tae-Rang12%
Lukáš Pauschek11%
José López10%
Luka Lemisko9%
Kido Taylor-Hart6%
Kai Brosnan6%
Kingsley Madu0%
Nikita Mihhailov0%
Stanislav Danko0%
Patrik Danek0%
Patrik Lukáč0%
Hugo Ahl0%
Tomasz Walczak0%
Artúr Musák0%
Christos Makrygiannis0%
Vasilios Theofanopoulos0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gytis Paulauskas25%
Franck Bahi25%
Kai Brosnan22%
Hugo Ahl15%
Patrik Danek14%
Tornike Dzotsenidze12%
Ben Cottrell12%
Matej Čurma11%
Samuel Ramos11%
José López10%
Stanislav Danko10%
Luka Lemisko9%
Abdul Zubairu6%
Kingsley Madu0%
Adam Jakubech0%
Nikita Mihhailov0%
Martin Bednár0%
Matúš Begala0%
Lukáš Pauschek0%
Patrik Lukáč0%
Polydefkis Volanakis0%
Kido Taylor-Hart0%
Tomasz Walczak0%
Yushi Shimamura0%
Artúr Musák0%
Christos Makrygiannis0%
William Francois0%
Park Tae-Rang0%
Vasilios Theofanopoulos0%
Orestis Kalemi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gytis Paulauskas38%
Samuel Ramos32%
Patrik Danek29%
Hugo Ahl25%
Kido Taylor-Hart19%
Kai Brosnan11%
José López10%
Tomasz Walczak9%
Ben Cottrell6%
Abdul Zubairu6%
Kingsley Madu0%
Adam Jakubech0%
Tornike Dzotsenidze0%
Nikita Mihhailov0%
Martin Bednár0%
Matej Čurma0%
Matúš Begala0%
Stanislav Danko0%
Lukáš Pauschek0%
Patrik Lukáč0%
Polydefkis Volanakis0%
Franck Bahi0%
Yushi Shimamura0%
Artúr Musák0%
Christos Makrygiannis0%
Luka Lemisko0%
William Francois0%
Park Tae-Rang0%
Vasilios Theofanopoulos0%
Orestis Kalemi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (28)
€35m
DS (27)
€15m
ŽIL (25)
€12m
AT (27)
€7m
ST (27)
€7m
FK (25)
€6m
POD (22)
€5m
RUŽ (26)
€5m
ZM (22)
€4m
KOM (24)
€3m
DBB (24)
€3m
SKA (22)
€2m
Slovan Bratislava's squad is €31m more valuable than Zemplín Michalovce's (€35m vs €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (12)
€15m
DS (10)
€7m
ŽIL (10)
€4m
ST (9)
€2m
POD (8)
€2m
AT (9)
€2m
FK (5)
€1m
RUŽ (10)
€1m
KOM (10)
€1m
ZM (8)
€1m
DBB (7)
€1m
SKA (6)
€0m
Slovan Bratislava's attack is €14m more valuable than Zemplín Michalovce's (€15m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (6)
€7m
DS (6)
€4m
FK (9)
€2m
AT (6)
€2m
POD (5)
€1m
ŽIL (4)
€1m
ST (6)
€1m
RUŽ (5)
€1m
ZM (5)
€1m
DBB (6)
€1m
KOM (5)
€1m
SKA (5)
€1m
Slovan Bratislava's midfield is €6m more valuable than Zemplín Michalovce's (€7m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (10)
€13m
ŽIL (11)
€6m
DS (11)
€5m
AT (12)
€4m
ST (12)
€3m
FK (11)
€2m
RUŽ (11)
€2m
POD (9)
€2m
ZM (9)
€2m
SKA (11)
€1m
KOM (9)
€1m
DBB (11)
€1m
Slovan Bratislava's defence is €12m more valuable than Zemplín Michalovce's (€13m vs €2m).
Slovakia: Super Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: Super Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Dunajska Streda
Spartak Trnava
Žilina
Podbrezová
Skalica
FK Košice
AS Trencin
Dukla Banská Bystrica
Komárno
Ružomberok