Slovan Liberec, fresh from a 1-0 win over Zlín, looks poised to keep the momentum at home, while Hradec Králové, after a 2-2 draw with Panathinaikos, appears less confident on the road. The model deems a home win the most likely outcome, assigning it a 40 % chance, with a draw at 32 % and an away win at 28 %. The expected goal total is 2.1, centring on a 2-goal match; the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.6 % probability. Slovan averages 1.12 goals scored and 0.62 conceded against similarly ranked opponents, whereas Hradec averages 1.20 scored and 0.90 conceded away. The model’s suggested selections include Under 7.5 (99.8 %), Under 6.5 (99.4 % with a 5 % edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.6 %), Away under 3.5 goals (98.5 % with a 6 % edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.1 % with a 7 % edge), Under 5.5 (97.9 % with a 6 % edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.5 % with a 5 % edge), and Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.3 % with an 8 % edge).
Results analysis
Slovan Liberec’s three-game winning streak continued as they secured a 2-0 victory over Hradec Králové, confirming the model’s home win prediction. The model had given the home side a 39% chance of triumph, and the result matched that forecast. The most likely scoreline of 1-1 proved a miss, but the 2-0 outcome was the actual result. Every suggested pick hit: Under 7.5 goals at 99.8%, Under 6.5 at 99.4%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.7%, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.3%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.1%, Under 5.5 at 97.9%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.2%, and Home under 3.5 goals at 97.0%. The match delivered a clean, low-scoring affair that aligned with the model’s comprehensive predictions.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Slovan Liberec win✓ Hit
38.8%
Avg Implied 52.8% · @ 1.76
Edge
-14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.83
Superbet
1.80
SBO
1.78
Betano
1.78
10Bet
1.78
Draw✗ Miss
32.3%
Avg Implied 26.3% · @ 3.53
Edge
+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.80
Pinnacle
3.62
BetVictor
3.60
Betfair
3.60
Bet365
3.60
Hradec Králové win✗ Miss
28.9%
Avg Implied 20.9% · @ 4.45
Edge
+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.78
BetVictor
4.60
Marathonbet
4.60
1xBet
4.58
Dafabet
4.50
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Slovan Liberec
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.97
1.15
0.85
1.35
1.06
vs Stronger (8)
1.00
1.75
0.67
1.67
1.20
1.80
vs Similar (17)
1.18
0.82
1.12
0.62
1.22
1.00
vs Weaker (5)
2.00
0.20
2.00
0.50
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Hradec Králové) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hradec Králové
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.97
1.44
0.69
1.00
1.29
vs Stronger (10)
1.00
1.70
1.20
1.40
0.80
2.00
vs Similar (20)
1.35
0.60
1.55
0.36
1.11
0.89
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Liberec) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
63.7%
@ 1.28-8.7%
Under 1.5
36.3%
@ 3.37+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.32
Betano
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Under
Unibet
3.55
Betfair
3.40
Betano
3.40
Bet365
3.40
BetVictor
3.40
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
35.4%
@ 1.93-13.4%
Under 2.5
64.6%
@ 1.84+13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
2.03
Pinnacle
2.03
Betano
1.98
Superbet
1.95
Bet365
1.95
Under
Unibet
1.92
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Betfair
1.87
Marathonbet
1.86
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
16.4%
@ 3.28-12.0%
Under 3.5
83.6%
@ 1.30+12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.54
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.40
BetVictor
3.40
Superbet
3.35
Under
Unibet
1.34
Betano
1.34
Pinnacle
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
43.6%
@ 1.83-7.0%
No
56.4%
@ 1.87+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.95
Superbet
1.87
Betfair
1.87
William Hil
1.85
BetVictor
1.83
No
Unibet
1.93
Betano
1.93
1xBet
1.90
Betfair
1.90
Marathonbet
1.88
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.7%@ 6.40+7.8%
0-0
13.4%@ 9.41+8.7%
1-0
12.6%@ 6.28+5.5%
0-1
10.3%@ 11.09+6.2%
2-0 ✓
8.0%@ 7.70+2.3%
2-1
7.7%@ 7.54+1.8%
1-2
6.4%@ 13.32+3.1%
0-2
5.6%@ 22.30+3.6%
Slovan Liberec goals ↓
Hradec Králové goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
10%
5.6%
1.8%
0.4%
1
13%
15%
6.4%
2.1%
0.5%
2
8.0%
7.7%
3.7%
1.2%
0.3%
3
3.1%
3.0%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
4
0.9%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Slovan Liberec goals (down), columns = Hradec Králové goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Slavia Praha
2.33
Mlada Boleslav
2.20
Slovan Liberec
2.17
Zbrojovka Brno
2.17
FK Jablonec
2.00
Baník Ostrava
1.80
Sigma Olomouc
1.67
Teplice
1.67
Sparta Praha
1.50
Hradec Králové
1.40
Plzen
1.20
Bohemians 1905
1.20
Artis
0.67
Slovácko
0.33
Pardubice
0.17
Zlin
0.00
Slovan Liberec is 0.77 points better than Hradec Králové in terms of average points per game (2.17 vs 1.40).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha
2.83
Plzen
2.20
Mlada Boleslav
2.20
Teplice
2.00
Sparta Praha
2.00
Zbrojovka Brno
1.67
Sigma Olomouc
1.67
Slovan Liberec
1.33
Bohemians 1905
1.20
FK Jablonec
1.20
Artis
1.00
Zlin
0.83
Pardubice
0.83
Slovácko
0.83
Hradec Králové
0.80
Baník Ostrava
0.80
Slovan Liberec is 0.53 goals better than Hradec Králové in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 0.80).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Slovan Liberec
0.50
FK Jablonec
0.80
Slavia Praha
0.83
Zbrojovka Brno
0.83
Hradec Králové
1.00
Bohemians 1905
1.20
Mlada Boleslav
1.20
Baník Ostrava
1.20
Sigma Olomouc
1.33
Sparta Praha
1.67
Pardubice
2.00
Teplice
2.00
Slovácko
2.00
Artis
2.17
Zlin
2.17
Plzen
2.40
Slovan Liberec is 0.50 goals better than Hradec Králové in terms of goals conceded per game (0.50 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Sparta Praha
65%
Plzen
59%
Sigma Olomouc
58%
Slavia Praha
54%
Hradec Králové
54%
FK Jablonec
52%
Mlada Boleslav
50%
Teplice
49%
Slovácko
48%
Slovan Liberec
47%
Baník Ostrava
47%
Bohemians 1905
47%
Zbrojovka Brno
45%
Zlin
43%
Artis
42%
Pardubice
40%
Slovan Liberec is 7.0 percentage points worse than Hradec Králové in terms of average possession (47% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Slovan Liberec
For 4.7 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.6 · Against 2.5 · Total 6.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 13.6 · Total 27.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hradec Králové
For 5.0 · Against 6.1 · Total 11.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 11.0 · Total 23.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Slovan Liberec
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.4
10.2
5.0
4.9
5.0
28.6
29.0
28.2
vs Stronger (12)
10.2
10.3
10.2
5.7
5.7
5.6
28.6
29.1
27.8
vs Similar (30)
9.9
9.0
10.6
4.9
4.8
5.1
28.8
29.5
28.2
vs Weaker (8)
9.0
9.0
9.0
4.0
3.7
4.2
27.9
26.7
28.8
% over line
47%
43%
50%
78%
74%
81%
87%
91%
83%
% under line
53%
57%
50%
22%
26%
19%
13%
9%
17%
This opponent (Hradec Králové) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hradec Králové
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.7
9.9
3.2
3.9
2.6
22.6
23.0
22.3
vs Stronger (13)
11.2
13.2
9.2
3.8
4.3
3.3
20.9
21.0
20.8
vs Similar (36)
9.2
8.4
10.1
3.1
3.8
2.4
23.3
23.6
22.9
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
47%
43%
50%
38%
58%
19%
60%
57%
64%
% under line
53%
57%
50%
62%
42%
81%
40%
43%
36%
This opponent (Slovan Liberec) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Mlada Boleslav
11.2
Slavia Praha
10.8
Zbrojovka Brno
10.6
Bohemians 1905
10.3
Slovácko
10.3
Hradec Králové
9.9
Baník Ostrava
9.9
Pardubice
9.9
FK Jablonec
9.8
Slovan Liberec
9.8
Sparta Praha
9.7
Plzen
9.5
Zlin
9.3
Sigma Olomouc
9.3
Teplice
9.0
Artis
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Slovan Liberec
5.3
Plzen
5.3
Sparta Praha
4.8
Slavia Praha
4.5
Teplice
4.5
Pardubice
4.4
Baník Ostrava
4.2
Sigma Olomouc
4.2
Mlada Boleslav
4.1
FK Jablonec
4.1
Zlin
3.9
Slovácko
3.9
Hradec Králové
3.7
Bohemians 1905
3.7
Zbrojovka Brno
3.6
Artis
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Slovan Liberec
28.9
Zlin
28.6
Teplice
28.2
Slavia Praha
26.7
Slovácko
26.6
Sigma Olomouc
26.6
FK Jablonec
26.5
Artis
26.5
Plzen
26.1
Pardubice
25.5
Mlada Boleslav
25.5
Baník Ostrava
24.5
Sparta Praha
24.4
Bohemians 1905
22.9
Hradec Králové
22.8
Zbrojovka Brno
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
51.6%
@ 1.69-3.3%
Under 9.5
48.4%
@ 2.05+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.68
Marathonbet
1.67
Betano
1.67
Under
Unibet
2.20
Betano
2.12
Pinnacle
2.10
1xBet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.05
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
59.1%
@ 1.45-3.4%
Under 3.5
40.9%
@ 2.41+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.53
Superbet
1.37
Under
Superbet
2.60
Betano
2.22
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
84.4%
Under 21.5
15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Slovan Liberec or Draw✓ Hit
71.1%
Avg Implied 79.1% · @ 1.18
Edge
-8.0%
39%
32%
29%
covers Slovan Liberec + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.22
BetVictor
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Slovan Liberec or Hradec Králové✓ Hit
67.7%
Avg Implied 74.4% · @ 1.25
Edge
-6.7%
39%
32%
29%
covers Slovan Liberec + Hradec Králové
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
Draw or Hradec Králové✗ Miss
61.2%
Avg Implied 46.5% · @ 2.00
Edge
+14.7%
39%
32%
29%
covers Draw + Hradec Králové
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
2.05
SBO
2.04
1xBet
2.02
Unibet
2.02
Betano
2.02
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Slovan Liberec over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
68.5%
@ 1.16-11.3%
Under
31.5%
@ 4.58+11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
BetVictor
1.15
Under
Betfair
5.00
1xBet
4.90
Unibet
4.80
BetVictor
4.60
Bet365
4.50
Slovan Liberec over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
32.1%
@ 1.86-17.9%
Under
67.9%
@ 1.85+17.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.93
Superbet
1.92
10Bet
1.90
Betano
1.88
BetVictor
1.87
Under
Unibet
1.96
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.89
Pinnacle
1.86
Betano
1.85
Slovan Liberec over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.1%
@ 3.69-14.0%
Under
88.9%
@ 1.24+14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.00
Superbet
3.90
10Bet
3.80
BetVictor
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Under
Unibet
1.29
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
Slovan Liberec over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.0%
@ 8.36-8.2%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.05+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
1xBet
8.90
Betfair
8.50
Superbet
8.30
Betano
7.10
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.05
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.02
Hradec Králové over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
61.7%
@ 1.52+0.5%
Under
38.3%
@ 2.40-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.58
BetVictor
1.55
Betano
1.52
Superbet
1.52
1xBet
1.51
Under
Betfair
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.42
10Bet
2.40
Pinnacle
2.40
Hradec Králové over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
25.0%
@ 3.58-0.9%
Under
75.0%
@ 1.25+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.98
BetVictor
3.75
Marathonbet
3.72
1xBet
3.62
Superbet
3.55
Under
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
Unibet
1.27
1xBet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Hradec Králové over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
7.3%
@ 9.97-2.2%
Under
92.7%
@ 1.05+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Marathonbet
11.00
1xBet
11.00
Betfair
9.50
Superbet
9.30
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Hradec Králové over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.7%
@ 23.17-2.5%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.01+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
29.00
Superbet
28.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Slovan Liberec, so a minus line means Slovan Liberec give that many goals of a start and Hradec Králové receive them. At -1, Slovan Liberec must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Slovan Liberec win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (Hradec Králové) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hradec Králové
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.37
0.56
0.25
0.43
0.50
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
0.60
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.80
vs Similar (20)
0.55
0.25
0.64
0.18
0.44
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Liberec) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
66.5%
@ 1.39-0.2%
Under 0.5
33.5%
@ 2.79+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
BetVictor
1.41
Superbet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Under
Betfair
3.00
Pinnacle
2.93
William Hil
2.80
1xBet
2.77
Marathonbet
2.77
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
29.2%
@ 2.83-3.6%
Under 1.5
70.8%
@ 1.38+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Betano
2.95
Betfair
2.88
Superbet
2.82
Under
Unibet
1.42
Betano
1.40
BetVictor
1.39
Pinnacle
1.38
Superbet
1.38
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
9.8%
@ 7.24-3.0%
Under 2.5
90.2%
@ 1.07+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.50
William Hil
7.50
Marathonbet
7.10
1xBet
7.10
Under
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Slovan Liberec over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
43.0%
@ 1.76-9.8%
Under
57.0%
@ 1.97+9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.83
Superbet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.79
10Bet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.76
Under
Unibet
2.07
Pinnacle
2.01
1xBet
2.00
10Bet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.93
Slovan Liberec over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.1%
@ 4.90-8.8%
Under
89.9%
@ 1.14+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.15
1xBet
5.00
Superbet
4.85
10Bet
4.75
Betano
4.75
Under
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Slovan Liberec over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 12.83-5.5%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.02+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
15.00
10Bet
13.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Hradec Králové over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
40.2%
@ 2.67+5.5%
Under
59.8%
@ 1.42-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.92
Marathonbet
2.68
Superbet
2.67
Betano
2.67
10Bet
2.65
Under
Unibet
1.45
1xBet
1.44
Betano
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Superbet
1.42
Hradec Králové over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.0%
@ 10.05+0.7%
Under
90.0%
@ 1.03-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
12.00
1xBet
10.00
Superbet
10.00
10Bet
9.50
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Hradec Králové over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.3%
@ 45.00-98.7%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
45.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Slovan Liberec
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.53
0.69
0.46
0.88
0.59
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
0.88
0.67
0.67
0.80
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.71
0.53
0.62
0.50
0.78
0.56
vs Weaker (5)
1.20
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Hradec Králové) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hradec Králové
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.60
0.88
0.44
0.57
0.79
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
1.10
0.80
1.00
0.40
1.20
vs Similar (20)
0.80
0.35
0.91
0.18
0.67
0.56
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Liberec) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
73.6%
@ 1.23-1.6%
Under 0.5
26.4%
@ 3.73+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.25
10Bet
1.22
Under
1xBet
3.90
Marathonbet
3.88
Betano
3.85
10Bet
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
38.7%
@ 2.12-5.3%
Under 1.5
61.3%
@ 1.66+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.25
Bet365
2.20
Superbet
2.17
Betano
2.10
Marathonbet
2.08
Under
Betano
1.72
10Bet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
1xBet
1.69
Unibet
1.68
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
15.9%
@ 4.63-4.2%
Under 2.5
84.1%
@ 1.17+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
William Hil
5.00
Superbet
4.65
Marathonbet
4.45
1xBet
4.45
Under
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Slovan Liberec over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
49.4%
@ 1.56-10.3%
Under
50.6%
@ 2.31+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.58
10Bet
1.55
1xBet
1.55
Betano
1.55
Under
Betano
2.37
10Bet
2.30
1xBet
2.30
Superbet
2.25
Slovan Liberec over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.5%
@ 3.58-11.4%
Under
85.5%
@ 1.25+11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.75
1xBet
3.60
10Bet
3.60
Marathonbet
3.55
Betano
3.40
Under
Betano
1.29
Marathonbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Superbet
1.23
Slovan Liberec over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.1%
@ 9.35-6.8%
Under
96.9%
@ 1.03+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.50
Superbet
10.00
10Bet
9.00
Betano
7.90
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Hradec Králové over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
42.7%
@ 2.15-0.5%
Under
57.3%
@ 1.63+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.20
1xBet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.18
Betano
2.12
10Bet
2.05
Under
10Bet
1.70
Betano
1.67
Superbet
1.60
1xBet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
Hradec Králové over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.8%
@ 7.10-0.2%
Under
87.2%
@ 1.07+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.10
1xBet
7.40
Superbet
7.20
10Bet
6.50
Betano
6.30
Under
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
Hradec Králové over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.8%
@ 21.50-1.7%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.01+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
26.00
10Bet
26.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.4%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.3%
1.01
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+5.5%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
97.9%
1.02
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.2%
1.01
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.0%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.05
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.02
+8.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.9%
1.03
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
+6.8%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
93.6%
1.09
Betano
1.13
Unibet
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Pinnacle
1.10
Betfair
1.10
+8.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
92.7%
1.05
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.04
-
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
92.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.2%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.0%
1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
-
-0.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
89.9%
1.14
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
+8.8%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
89.1%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.04
-
-
-
-0.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
88.9%
1.24
Unibet
1.29
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
+14.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
87.2%
1.07
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
+0.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
85.5%
1.25
Betano
1.29
Marathonbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Superbet
1.23
+11.4%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
84.1%
1.17
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
83.6%
1.30
Unibet
1.34
Betano
1.34
Pinnacle
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
+12.0%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
83.1%
1.32
Bet365
1.36
Unibet
1.36
Superbet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
Betfair
1.30
+15.4%
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
78.0%
1.24
Betano
1.24
-
-
-
-
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
76.5%
1.38
Superbet
1.42
Betano
1.33
-
-
-
+10.5%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 goals
75.0%
1.25
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
Unibet
1.27
1xBet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
73.6%
1.23
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.25
10Bet
1.22
-1.6%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
72.0%
1.40
Unibet
1.48
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.40
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.36
+6.6%
✗ Miss
Home or Draw
71.1%
1.18
Betano
1.22
BetVictor
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
-8.0%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
71.1%
1.18
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.18
Unibet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
-
-2.9%
✓ Hit
Under 1.5 HT goals
70.8%
1.38
Unibet
1.42
Betano
1.40
BetVictor
1.39
Pinnacle
1.38
Superbet
1.38
+3.6%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Slovan Liberec
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Patrik Dulay50%
Lukáš Mašek33%
Ghislain Vénuste Baboula25%
Soliu Afolabi25%
Aziz Kayondo17%
Lukáš Masopust0%
Tomáš Koubek0%
Vasil Kušej0%
Jan Mikula0%
Lukáš Hůlka0%
Raimonds Krollis0%
Josef Koželuh0%
Augustin Drakpe0%
Vojtěch Stránský0%
Petr Hodouš0%
Milan Lexa0%
Fallou Faye0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Soliu Afolabi50%
Raimonds Krollis40%
Lukáš Hůlka33%
Vojtěch Stránský33%
Fallou Faye33%
Jan Mikula25%
Patrik Dulay25%
Petr Hodouš20%
Lukáš Masopust17%
Josef Koželuh17%
Aziz Kayondo17%
Tomáš Koubek0%
Vasil Kušej0%
Augustin Drakpe0%
Lukáš Mašek0%
Ghislain Vénuste Baboula0%
Milan Lexa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Vasil Kušej25%
Ghislain Vénuste Baboula25%
Patrik Dulay25%
Lukáš Masopust0%
Tomáš Koubek0%
Jan Mikula0%
Lukáš Hůlka0%
Raimonds Krollis0%
Josef Koželuh0%
Augustin Drakpe0%
Vojtěch Stránský0%
Lukáš Mašek0%
Aziz Kayondo0%
Petr Hodouš0%
Milan Lexa0%
Soliu Afolabi0%
Fallou Faye0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lukáš Mašek33%
Ghislain Vénuste Baboula25%
Soliu Afolabi25%
Raimonds Krollis20%
Petr Hodouš20%
Josef Koželuh17%
Fallou Faye17%
Lukáš Masopust0%
Tomáš Koubek0%
Vasil Kušej0%
Jan Mikula0%
Lukáš Hůlka0%
Augustin Drakpe0%
Vojtěch Stránský0%
Aziz Kayondo0%
Milan Lexa0%
Patrik Dulay0%
Hradec Králové
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
František Čech20%
M. van Buren17%
Vladimír Darida17%
T. Slončík17%
Ondřej Mihálik0%
S. Dancák0%
D. Trubač0%
A. Vlkanova0%
M. Valenta0%
A. Zadražil0%
Filip Čihák0%
D. Horák0%
J. Uhrinčať0%
D. Ludvíček0%
Elione Neto0%
A. Umar0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
S. Dancák33%
Filip Čihák33%
Elione Neto33%
M. Valenta20%
František Čech20%
A. Umar20%
Vladimír Darida17%
D. Trubač17%
D. Horák17%
M. van Buren0%
Ondřej Mihálik0%
A. Vlkanova0%
A. Zadražil0%
J. Uhrinčať0%
D. Ludvíček0%
T. Slončík0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
D. Horák17%
J. Uhrinčať17%
M. van Buren0%
Vladimír Darida0%
Ondřej Mihálik0%
S. Dancák0%
D. Trubač0%
A. Vlkanova0%
M. Valenta0%
A. Zadražil0%
Filip Čihák0%
František Čech0%
D. Ludvíček0%
Elione Neto0%
T. Slončík0%
A. Umar0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
M. van Buren33%
Vladimír Darida33%
D. Horák33%
T. Slončík33%
D. Trubač17%
Ondřej Mihálik0%
S. Dancák0%
A. Vlkanova0%
M. Valenta0%
A. Zadražil0%
Filip Čihák0%
František Čech0%
J. Uhrinčať0%
D. Ludvíček0%
Elione Neto0%
A. Umar0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (38)
€123m
SP (35)
€92m
PLZ (28)
€57m
SO (32)
€30m
SL (30)
€27m
BO (31)
€19m
HK (27)
€14m
FJ (28)
€14m
PAR (29)
€14m
MB (28)
€11m
ZB (31)
€10m
ART (30)
€9m
TEP (28)
€8m
SLO (29)
€8m
B1 (24)
€7m
ZLI (27)
€7m
Slovan Liberec's squad is €12m more valuable than Hradec Králové's (€27m vs €14m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (14)
€43m
SP (10)
€27m
SL (10)
€17m
PLZ (8)
€15m
SO (10)
€7m
BO (10)
€5m
FJ (10)
€4m
HK (8)
€4m
PAR (9)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
TEP (10)
€3m
ZB (10)
€3m
ART (9)
€2m
ZLI (8)
€2m
SLO (7)
€2m
B1 (6)
€2m
Slovan Liberec's attack is €13m more valuable than Hradec Králové's (€17m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (8)
€35m
SP (10)
€27m
PLZ (8)
€22m
SO (9)
€10m
BO (9)
€7m
PAR (8)
€4m
FJ (6)
€4m
SL (7)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
HK (6)
€3m
SLO (9)
€3m
B1 (7)
€2m
ZLI (6)
€2m
TEP (8)
€2m
ZB (8)
€2m
ART (8)
€2m
Slovan Liberec's midfield is €1m more valuable than Hradec Králové's (€4m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (20)
€61m
SP (11)
€22m
PLZ (12)
€20m
SO (13)
€12m
BO (12)
€7m
HK (13)
€7m
FJ (12)
€6m
PAR (12)
€5m
SL (13)
€5m
ART (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
SLO (13)
€4m
B1 (11)
€3m
TEP (10)
€3m
MB (10)
€3m
ZLI (13)
€2m
Slovan Liberec's defence is €2m less valuable than Hradec Králové's (€5m vs €7m).
Czech-Republic: Czech Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: Czech Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Slavia Praha
Zbrojovka Brno
Mlada Boleslav
Sigma Olomouc
FK Jablonec
Teplice
Sparta Praha
Baník Ostrava
Bohemians 1905
Plzen
Artis
Slovácko
Pardubice
Zlin