Sogndal’s recent form shows a shaky start, with a defeat in their last match, while ODD Ballklubb, fresh from a win, looks poised for an away victory. The model favours an away win, giving ODD Ballklubb a 40% chance, Sogndal 36%, and a draw 23%. The expected total goals is 3.6, with the most likely total of three goals at 21%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 9.5% probability. Sogndal averages 1.36 goals scored and 1.5 conceded at home against similar opposition, whereas ODD Ballklubb averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.94 conceded on the road against similar teams. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (96.7%), Under 6.5 (92.3%), Home under 3.5 goals (89.6%), Over 1.5 (88.7%), Away under 3.5 goals (87.9%), Away over 0.5 goals (84.6%), Under 5.5 (83.8%), and Home over 0.5 goals (83.0%).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Sogndal win
36.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
23.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
ODD Ballklubb win
40.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Sogndal
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.70
1.33
1.73
1.80
1.67
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
2.33
1.00
5.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
1.70
1.63
1.36
1.50
2.08
1.77
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (ODD Ballklubb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ODD Ballklubb
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
2.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
2.00
1.29
2.07
1.50
1.94
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
5.00
1.00
5.00
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.43
1.79
1.33
1.58
1.50
1.94
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Sogndal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
88.7%
Under 1.5
11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
70.5%
Under 2.5
29.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
49.4%
Under 3.5
50.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
71.1%
No
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
7.7%
2-2
7.2%
1-3
5.1%
0-2
4.6%
3-1
4.5%
2-3
4.5%
Sogndal goals ↓
ODD Ballklubb goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.5%
4.0%
4.6%
2.9%
1.3%
1
3.8%
9.5%
8.1%
5.1%
2.4%
2
4.1%
7.7%
7.2%
4.5%
2.1%
3
2.4%
4.5%
4.3%
2.7%
1.2%
4
1.1%
2.0%
1.9%
1.2%
0.6%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sogndal goals (down), columns = ODD Ballklubb goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Stabaek
2.50
Kongsvinger
2.17
hodd
2.14
Haugesund
2.14
Stromsgodset
1.86
Bryne
1.86
Lyn
1.83
Strommen
1.67
Egersund
1.57
Sogndal
1.17
ODD Ballklubb
1.14
Asane
0.83
Sandnes ULF
0.57
Raufoss
0.50
Ranheim
0.50
Moss
0.29
Sogndal is 0.02 points better than ODD Ballklubb in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.14).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Stabaek
3.50
Haugesund
3.14
Lyn
3.00
Kongsvinger
2.83
Ranheim
2.50
hodd
2.43
Stromsgodset
2.14
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Strommen
2.00
Sogndal
1.83
Egersund
1.71
Asane
1.67
Moss
1.29
Bryne
1.14
Sandnes ULF
1.14
Raufoss
1.00
Sogndal is 0.17 goals worse than ODD Ballklubb in terms of goals scored per game (1.83 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Bryne
1.00
Stabaek
1.17
Haugesund
1.57
Stromsgodset
1.57
Egersund
1.71
Kongsvinger
1.83
Strommen
1.83
Sogndal
2.00
Lyn
2.17
Moss
2.29
ODD Ballklubb
2.29
Sandnes ULF
2.29
Asane
2.33
hodd
2.86
Raufoss
3.00
Ranheim
3.33
Sogndal is 0.29 goals better than ODD Ballklubb in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 2.29).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Sogndal or Draw
59.7%
Avg Implied -
36%
23%
40%
covers Sogndal + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sogndal or ODD Ballklubb
76.5%
Avg Implied -
36%
23%
40%
covers Sogndal + ODD Ballklubb
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or ODD Ballklubb
63.8%
Avg Implied -
36%
23%
40%
covers Draw + ODD Ballklubb
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Sogndal over/under 0.5
Over
83.0%
Under
17.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sogndal over/under 1.5
Over
52.9%
Under
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sogndal over/under 2.5
Over
26.2%
Under
73.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sogndal over/under 3.5
Over
10.4%
Under
89.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ODD Ballklubb over/under 0.5
Over
84.6%
Under
15.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ODD Ballklubb over/under 1.5
Over
55.8%
Under
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ODD Ballklubb over/under 2.5
Over
28.9%
Under
71.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ODD Ballklubb over/under 3.5
Over
12.1%
Under
87.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Sogndal, so a minus line means Sogndal give that many goals of a start and ODD Ballklubb receive them. At -1, Sogndal must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Sogndal win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Sogndal)
Sogndal -2
8.1%
Draw -2
11.0%
ODD Ballklubb +2
80.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Sogndal)
Sogndal -1
19.1%
Draw -1
17.1%
ODD Ballklubb +1
63.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Sogndal)
Sogndal +1
59.7%
Draw +1
18.1%
ODD Ballklubb -1
22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Sogndal)
Sogndal +2
77.8%
Draw +2
12.3%
ODD Ballklubb -2
9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sogndal
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.70
0.80
0.40
0.73
1.00
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.81
0.67
0.79
0.36
0.85
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (ODD Ballklubb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ODD Ballklubb
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.07
0.43
1.21
0.75
0.94
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.50
0.00
2.50
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.64
0.96
0.50
1.00
0.75
0.94
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Sogndal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sogndal over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sogndal over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sogndal over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ODD Ballklubb over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ODD Ballklubb over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ODD Ballklubb over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sogndal
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.00
0.53
1.33
1.07
0.67
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.33
0.00
4.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.89
0.96
0.57
1.14
1.23
0.77
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (ODD Ballklubb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ODD Ballklubb
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.93
0.86
0.86
0.75
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.50
1.00
2.50
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.79
0.82
0.83
0.58
0.75
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Sogndal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sogndal over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sogndal over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sogndal over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ODD Ballklubb over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ODD Ballklubb over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ODD Ballklubb over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
96.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
92.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
89.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
88.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
BTTS Yes
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
ODD Ballklubb · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Faniel Temesgen Tewelde21%
Mikael Ingebrigtsen19%
Torgeir Børven15%
Bork Bang-Kittilsen13%
Bilal Njie8%
Sheriff Sinyan8%
Tobias Hammer Svendsen7%
Steffen Hagen6%
Tony Miettinen6%
Samuel Skree Skjeldal5%
Syver Aas5%
Ole Erik Midtskogen4%
Filip Rønningen Jørgensen3%
André Hansen0%
Etzaz Hussain0%
Espen Ruud0%
Kjetil Haug0%
Sondre Solholm Johansen0%
Josef Baccay0%
Alexander Fransson0%
Solomon Owusu0%
Mihajlo Ivančević0%
Leon Hien0%
Ishaq Abdulrazak0%
Jesper Svenungsen Skau0%
Peder Nygaard Klausen0%
Casper Andersen0%
Oliver Jordan Hagen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Espen Ruud29%
Leon Hien29%
Tony Miettinen28%
Etzaz Hussain25%
Mihajlo Ivančević23%
Sondre Solholm Johansen20%
Solomon Owusu16%
Josef Baccay14%
Jesper Svenungsen Skau14%
Filip Rønningen Jørgensen14%
Mikael Ingebrigtsen11%
Alexander Fransson11%
Syver Aas10%
Kjetil Haug9%
Tobias Hammer Svendsen7%
Ole Erik Midtskogen7%
Bork Bang-Kittilsen4%
Bilal Njie4%
André Hansen0%
Steffen Hagen0%
Torgeir Børven0%
Sheriff Sinyan0%
Ishaq Abdulrazak0%
Samuel Skree Skjeldal0%
Peder Nygaard Klausen0%
Faniel Temesgen Tewelde0%
Casper Andersen0%
Oliver Jordan Hagen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Samuel Skree Skjeldal15%
Espen Ruud14%
Mikael Ingebrigtsen11%
Filip Rønningen Jørgensen10%
Sondre Solholm Johansen10%
Bilal Njie8%
Ole Erik Midtskogen4%
Etzaz Hussain4%
André Hansen0%
Steffen Hagen0%
Torgeir Børven0%
Kjetil Haug0%
Josef Baccay0%
Sheriff Sinyan0%
Alexander Fransson0%
Tony Miettinen0%
Tobias Hammer Svendsen0%
Solomon Owusu0%
Mihajlo Ivančević0%
Leon Hien0%
Syver Aas0%
Ishaq Abdulrazak0%
Jesper Svenungsen Skau0%
Peder Nygaard Klausen0%
Faniel Temesgen Tewelde0%
Bork Bang-Kittilsen0%
Casper Andersen0%
Oliver Jordan Hagen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Faniel Temesgen Tewelde29%
Oliver Jordan Hagen14%
Mikael Ingebrigtsen11%
Ole Erik Midtskogen11%
Torgeir Børven8%
Tony Miettinen6%
Syver Aas5%
André Hansen0%
Etzaz Hussain0%
Steffen Hagen0%
Espen Ruud0%
Bilal Njie0%
Kjetil Haug0%
Sondre Solholm Johansen0%
Josef Baccay0%
Sheriff Sinyan0%
Alexander Fransson0%
Tobias Hammer Svendsen0%
Solomon Owusu0%
Mihajlo Ivančević0%
Filip Rønningen Jørgensen0%
Leon Hien0%
Ishaq Abdulrazak0%
Samuel Skree Skjeldal0%
Jesper Svenungsen Skau0%
Peder Nygaard Klausen0%
Bork Bang-Kittilsen0%
Casper Andersen0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STA (24)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
HAU (24)
€9m
STR (22)
€7m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
STR (19)
€2m
Sogndal's squad is €5m less valuable than ODD Ballklubb's (€4m vs €9m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STA (9)
€5m
STR (9)
€3m
HAU (8)
€3m
KON (10)
€3m
OB (6)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
STR (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Sogndal's attack is €2m less valuable than ODD Ballklubb's (€1m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OB (7)
€3m
HAU (6)
€2m
STR (5)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
STR (4)
€0m
Sogndal's midfield is €2m less valuable than ODD Ballklubb's (€1m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HAU (10)
€4m
OB (12)
€3m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
STR (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
STR (10)
€1m
Sogndal's defence is €1m less valuable than ODD Ballklubb's (€2m vs €3m).
Norway: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →