This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aarhus
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
1.13
1.93
1.07
1.80
1.20
vs Stronger (6)
1.17
0.83
0.67
0.33
1.67
1.33
vs Similar (23)
2.04
1.22
2.25
1.25
1.82
1.18
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Sonderjyske) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.1%
Under 1.5
16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
60.7%
Under 2.5
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.3%
Under 3.5
61.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.6%
No
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
11.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
2-2
6.5%
0-1
6.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-0
5.4%
0-0
5.4%
Sonderjyske goals ↓
Aarhus goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.4%
6.1%
5.9%
3.2%
1.3%
1
5.4%
12%
8.8%
4.8%
2.0%
2
4.8%
7.9%
6.5%
3.6%
1.5%
3
2.4%
4.0%
3.2%
1.8%
0.7%
4
0.9%
1.5%
1.2%
0.7%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sonderjyske goals (down), columns = Aarhus goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Aarhus
2.09
FC Midtjylland
1.88
FC Copenhagen
1.58
FC Nordsjaelland
1.56
Brondby
1.39
Viborg
1.38
Sonderjyske
1.38
Odense
1.28
Silkeborg
1.12
Randers FC
1.09
FC Fredericia
1.06
Vejle
0.75
Sonderjyske is 0.72 points worse than Aarhus in terms of average points per game (1.38 vs 2.09).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Midtjylland
2.25
FC Copenhagen
2.06
Aarhus
1.94
FC Nordsjaelland
1.59
Odense
1.59
Viborg
1.53
FC Fredericia
1.41
Sonderjyske
1.38
Brondby
1.36
Silkeborg
1.28
Vejle
1.12
Randers FC
1.03
Sonderjyske is 0.56 goals worse than Aarhus in terms of goals scored per game (1.38 vs 1.94).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Aarhus
1.00
Brondby
1.09
FC Midtjylland
1.12
FC Copenhagen
1.36
FC Nordsjaelland
1.44
Randers FC
1.47
Sonderjyske
1.53
Viborg
1.59
Odense
1.88
Vejle
1.88
Silkeborg
2.09
FC Fredericia
2.12
Sonderjyske is 0.53 goals worse than Aarhus in terms of goals conceded per game (1.53 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Nordsjaelland
57%
FC Copenhagen
55%
FC Midtjylland
54%
Aarhus
54%
Odense
51%
Brondby
51%
Silkeborg
49%
Randers FC
48%
Viborg
48%
Vejle
45%
FC Fredericia
44%
Sonderjyske
44%
Sonderjyske is 9.6 percentage points worse than Aarhus in terms of average possession (44% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sonderjyske
For 4.9 · Against 5.4 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 10.0 · Total 20.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aarhus
For 6.8 · Against 4.2 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.3 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 13.7 · Total 25.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sonderjyske
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.7
9.8
3.3
3.5
3.2
21.2
20.5
22.0
vs Stronger (11)
9.0
10.0
8.0
3.6
3.7
3.6
22.1
21.6
22.6
vs Similar (37)
10.0
9.6
10.4
3.4
3.4
3.4
20.9
20.2
21.8
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
53%
52%
55%
38%
38%
38%
42%
35%
50%
% under line
47%
48%
45%
62%
62%
62%
58%
65%
50%
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aarhus
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.6
8.9
2.9
3.2
2.7
22.4
21.9
23.0
vs Stronger (11)
10.8
11.2
10.2
3.8
3.2
4.6
21.0
20.8
21.2
vs Similar (37)
8.7
8.9
8.5
2.6
2.8
2.4
22.6
21.8
23.4
vs Weaker (2)
10.0
10.0
-
4.5
9.0
0.0
28.0
28.0
-
% over line
37%
35%
38%
42%
46%
38%
59%
60%
57%
% under line
63%
65%
62%
58%
54%
62%
41%
40%
43%
This opponent (Sonderjyske) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FC Fredericia
11.6
Viborg
10.4
FC Midtjylland
10.3
Vejle
10.2
Odense
10.0
Sonderjyske
9.9
Randers FC
9.7
Aarhus
9.6
Brondby
9.5
Silkeborg
9.3
FC Copenhagen
8.3
FC Nordsjaelland
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Brondby
4.3
Aarhus
4.1
FC Copenhagen
4.0
Viborg
4.0
Sonderjyske
3.9
FC Midtjylland
3.9
Odense
3.8
Randers FC
3.8
FC Nordsjaelland
3.5
Vejle
3.3
Silkeborg
3.2
FC Fredericia
2.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Midtjylland
24.0
Viborg
23.5
FC Copenhagen
23.3
Aarhus
22.8
Odense
22.5
Randers FC
21.8
Brondby
21.7
Vejle
21.5
Sonderjyske
21.4
FC Nordsjaelland
20.8
FC Fredericia
20.3
Silkeborg
19.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
49.7%
Under 9.5
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
50.6%
Under 3.5
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
57.3%
Under 21.5
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sonderjyske
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.50
0.93
0.43
0.62
0.56
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
1.00
0.67
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.74
0.39
1.00
0.27
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aarhus
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.37
1.07
0.33
0.80
0.40
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.67
0.00
vs Similar (23)
1.04
0.48
1.25
0.42
0.82
0.55
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Sonderjyske) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sonderjyske over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sonderjyske over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sonderjyske over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sonderjyske
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.80
1.07
0.71
1.31
0.88
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
1.17
1.33
0.67
0.67
1.67
vs Similar (23)
1.26
0.70
1.00
0.73
1.50
0.67
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aarhus
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.77
0.87
0.73
1.00
0.80
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
0.83
0.33
0.33
1.00
1.33
vs Similar (23)
1.00
0.74
1.00
0.83
1.00
0.64
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Sonderjyske) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sonderjyske over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sonderjyske over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sonderjyske over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sonderjyske
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kristall Máni Ingason43%
Matthew Hoppe21%
Lirim Qamili20%
Olti Hyseni16%
Mohamed Haidara15%
Magnus Jensen14%
Alexander Lyng11%
Maxime Soulas10%
Sefer Emini10%
Mads Agger10%
Daníel Grétarsson7%
Rasmus Vinderslev4%
Tobias Klysner0%
Marcus Bundgaard Sorensen0%
Nicolai Flø0%
Andreas Oggesen0%
Rúnar Þór Sigurgeirsson0%
Dalton Wilkins0%
Chidiebube Duru0%
Tobias Sommer0%
Simon Wæver0%
Lukas Björklund0%
Anders Bergholt0%
Pachanga Kristensen0%
Albert Rrahmani0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dalton Wilkins43%
Lukas Björklund25%
Matthew Hoppe24%
Daníel Grétarsson22%
Tobias Sommer15%
Mohamed Haidara15%
Sefer Emini14%
Maxime Soulas13%
Andreas Oggesen11%
Alexander Lyng11%
Magnus Jensen10%
Olti Hyseni10%
Pachanga Kristensen8%
Rasmus Vinderslev8%
Kristall Máni Ingason7%
Chidiebube Duru5%
Tobias Klysner5%
Mads Agger5%
Lirim Qamili4%
Marcus Bundgaard Sorensen0%
Nicolai Flø0%
Rúnar Þór Sigurgeirsson0%
Simon Wæver0%
Anders Bergholt0%
Albert Rrahmani0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Anders Bergholt20%
Tobias Sommer15%
Kristall Máni Ingason14%
Mads Agger14%
Olti Hyseni13%
Tobias Klysner10%
Daníel Grétarsson7%
Andreas Oggesen7%
Sefer Emini5%
Marcus Bundgaard Sorensen4%
Lirim Qamili4%
Mohamed Haidara4%
Alexander Lyng4%
Rasmus Vinderslev0%
Nicolai Flø0%
Maxime Soulas0%
Rúnar Þór Sigurgeirsson0%
Magnus Jensen0%
Dalton Wilkins0%
Chidiebube Duru0%
Matthew Hoppe0%
Simon Wæver0%
Lukas Björklund0%
Pachanga Kristensen0%
Albert Rrahmani0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Matthew Hoppe17%
Lirim Qamili12%
Mohamed Haidara11%
Olti Hyseni10%
Kristall Máni Ingason7%
Mads Agger5%
Tobias Sommer4%
Magnus Jensen3%
Rasmus Vinderslev0%
Tobias Klysner0%
Marcus Bundgaard Sorensen0%
Nicolai Flø0%
Andreas Oggesen0%
Maxime Soulas0%
Daníel Grétarsson0%
Rúnar Þór Sigurgeirsson0%
Dalton Wilkins0%
Sefer Emini0%
Chidiebube Duru0%
Simon Wæver0%
Alexander Lyng0%
Lukas Björklund0%
Anders Bergholt0%
Pachanga Kristensen0%
Albert Rrahmani0%
Aarhus
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tobias Bech31%
Patrick Mortensen28%
Kristian Arnstad26%
Rasmus Carstensen17%
Markus Solbakken17%
Gift Links12%
Frederik Emmery12%
Kevin Yakob12%
Janni Serra10%
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson10%
Stefen Tchamche8%
Henrik Dalsgaard6%
Felix Beijmo6%
Frederik Tingager5%
Nicolai Poulsen5%
Sebastian Jørgensen4%
Jesper Hansen0%
Mads Emil Madsen0%
Magnus Knudsen0%
Eric Kahl0%
Youssouph Badji0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Jacob Andersen0%
Luka Callø0%
James Bogere0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
James Bogere33%
Kristian Arnstad26%
Nicolai Poulsen25%
Felix Beijmo16%
Magnus Knudsen14%
Rasmus Carstensen12%
Gift Links12%
Eric Kahl12%
Frederik Tingager10%
Henrik Dalsgaard9%
Tobias Bech9%
Markus Solbakken8%
Kevin Yakob8%
Patrick Mortensen6%
Jesper Hansen3%
Mads Emil Madsen0%
Sebastian Jørgensen0%
Janni Serra0%
Youssouph Badji0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Jacob Andersen0%
Luka Callø0%
Frederik Emmery0%
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson0%
Stefen Tchamche0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gift Links16%
Mads Emil Madsen14%
Jacob Andersen14%
Kristian Arnstad13%
Tobias Bech12%
Felix Beijmo12%
Frederik Emmery12%
Nicolai Poulsen10%
Kevin Yakob8%
Sebastian Jørgensen7%
Frederik Tingager5%
Rasmus Carstensen4%
Henrik Dalsgaard3%
Eric Kahl3%
Patrick Mortensen0%
Jesper Hansen0%
Janni Serra0%
Magnus Knudsen0%
Markus Solbakken0%
Youssouph Badji0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Luka Callø0%
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson0%
Stefen Tchamche0%
James Bogere0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tobias Bech38%
James Bogere33%
Kristian Arnstad26%
Patrick Mortensen25%
Kevin Yakob15%
Gift Links12%
Nicolai Poulsen10%
Frederik Emmery4%
Henrik Dalsgaard0%
Frederik Tingager0%
Jesper Hansen0%
Rasmus Carstensen0%
Mads Emil Madsen0%
Sebastian Jørgensen0%
Janni Serra0%
Felix Beijmo0%
Magnus Knudsen0%
Markus Solbakken0%
Eric Kahl0%
Youssouph Badji0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Jacob Andersen0%
Luka Callø0%
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson0%
Stefen Tchamche0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
ODE (24)
€17m
RF (24)
€14m
SON (26)
€13m
VEJ (22)
€9m
FF (17)
€8m
Sonderjyske's squad is €23m less valuable than Aarhus's (€13m vs €36m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
ODE (9)
€8m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
VEJ (7)
€3m
SON (6)
€3m
FF (5)
€2m
Sonderjyske's attack is €11m less valuable than Aarhus's (€3m vs €14m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
SON (7)
€3m
RF (5)
€3m
FF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
VEJ (6)
€2m
Sonderjyske's midfield is €10m less valuable than Aarhus's (€3m vs €14m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
ODE (9)
€7m
SON (13)
€6m
RF (10)
€6m
VEJ (9)
€4m
FF (7)
€3m
Sonderjyske's defence is €2m less valuable than Aarhus's (€6m vs €8m).
Denmark: Superliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →
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FC Midtjylland
FC Copenhagen
FC Nordsjaelland
Brondby
Viborg
Odense
Silkeborg
Randers FC
FC Fredericia
Vejle