The match between Sonderjyske and FC Nordsjaelland is expected to be a closely contested affair, with FC Nordsjaelland's recent 4-game winning run a notable storyline. The model predicts an away win, with a 50% probability of an FC Nordsjaelland victory, 24% probability of a draw, and 24% probability of Sonderjyske winning. The expected total goals is 2.9, with the most likely total number of goals being 2. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 12% probability. Sonderjyske have struggled at home, scoring 1.4 goals on average and conceding 2.4, while FC Nordsjaelland have excelled away from home, scoring 1.57 goals and conceding 1.14 versus weaker opponents. The model's selections include Over 1.5 with an 80% probability and Home or Away with a 73.1% probability. Sonderjyske have a 24% chance of winning, a 26% chance of drawing, and a 50% chance of losing.
Results analysis
Sonderjyske’s recent run of two defeats left them vulnerable, while FC Nordsjaelland extended a five-game winning streak. The model’s favourite, an away win, was confirmed as the final score was 0-3, a result that matched the predicted outcome. The pre-match probability for the favourite was 54 %. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5 hit at 99 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.2 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 97.7 %, Under 6.5 at 97 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 96.3 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 94.9 %, Home under 3.5 goals at 94.7 %, and Away under 3.5 goals at 93.1 %. All eight picks settled in favour of the model’s predictions.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Sonderjyske win✗ Miss
21.1%
Avg Implied 23.7% · @ 3.95
Edge
-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
4.33
Dafabet
4.10
Superbet
4.10
Betano
4.10
Pinnacle
4.06
Draw✗ Miss
24.4%
Avg Implied 23.2% · @ 4.03
Edge
+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.39
Betfair
4.20
Superbet
4.10
Dafabet
4.10
1xBet
4.10
FC Nordsjaelland win✓ Hit
54.4%
Avg Implied 53.1% · @ 1.76
Edge
+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.85
888Sport
1.80
Superbet
1.78
Betano
1.78
Pinnacle
1.78
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Sonderjyske
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.50
1.50
1.36
1.12
1.62
vs Stronger (9)
1.33
2.00
1.40
2.40
1.25
1.50
vs Similar (20)
1.25
1.30
1.56
0.78
1.00
1.73
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Nordsjaelland
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.20
2.18
0.82
1.08
1.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
1.00
1.57
1.33
0.83
0.75
2.12
vs Weaker (16)
2.31
0.88
2.64
0.82
1.60
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Sonderjyske) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.3%
@ 1.12-2.5%
Under 1.5
18.7%
@ 5.78+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Pinnacle
1.14
10Bet
1.14
888Sport
1.13
Under
Betfair
6.50
Pinnacle
6.32
Bet365
6.00
BetVictor
5.75
Superbet
5.75
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.9%
@ 1.44-7.4%
Under 2.5
42.1%
@ 2.70+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.48
10Bet
1.48
Unibet
1.47
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.46
Under
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.82
Betano
2.75
BetVictor
2.75
Bet365
2.70
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.5%
@ 2.13-8.9%
Under 3.5
64.5%
@ 1.70+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
2.19
Unibet
2.18
Superbet
2.17
Pinnacle
2.17
Betano
2.15
Under
Betano
1.75
Pinnacle
1.75
Betfair
1.73
1xBet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.71
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.2%
@ 1.44-6.1%
No
41.8%
@ 2.60+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Unibet
1.45
Betfair
1.44
William Hil
1.44
No
Betfair
2.70
1xBet
2.63
BetVictor
2.63
888Sport
2.63
William Hil
2.62
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.5%@ 8.02+5.8%
1-2
9.9%@ 7.99+4.2%
0-2
8.8%@ 10.53+4.5%
0-1
8.3%@ 10.56+4.0%
1-3
6.2%@ 11.26+2.2%
0-0
6.0%@ 17.37+3.4%
2-1
5.8%@ 12.45+2.2%
0-3 ✓
5.6%@ 14.96+2.5%
Sonderjyske goals ↓
FC Nordsjaelland goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.0%
8.3%
8.8%
5.6%
2.6%
1
4.5%
11%
9.9%
6.2%
2.9%
2
3.1%
5.8%
5.5%
3.5%
1.6%
3
1.1%
2.2%
2.0%
1.3%
0.6%
4
0.3%
0.6%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sonderjyske goals (down), columns = FC Nordsjaelland goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Copenhagen
2.50
FC Midtjylland
2.33
Viborg
2.17
FC Nordsjaelland
2.17
Brondby
2.17
Randers FC
1.17
AC Horsens
1.17
Silkeborg
0.83
Odense
0.83
Lyngby
0.50
Aarhus
0.50
Sonderjyske
0.17
Sonderjyske is 2.00 points worse than FC Nordsjaelland in terms of average points per game (0.17 vs 2.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Copenhagen
2.50
Brondby
1.83
Viborg
1.67
FC Midtjylland
1.67
FC Nordsjaelland
1.50
AC Horsens
1.33
Lyngby
1.17
Aarhus
1.17
Silkeborg
0.83
Sonderjyske
0.83
Randers FC
0.83
Odense
0.83
Sonderjyske is 0.67 goals worse than FC Nordsjaelland in terms of goals scored per game (0.83 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Viborg
0.67
FC Nordsjaelland
0.67
FC Midtjylland
0.83
Odense
1.17
Brondby
1.17
Randers FC
1.33
FC Copenhagen
1.33
Silkeborg
1.50
AC Horsens
1.67
Lyngby
1.83
Aarhus
1.83
Sonderjyske
2.17
Sonderjyske is 1.50 goals worse than FC Nordsjaelland in terms of goals conceded per game (2.17 vs 0.67).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Nordsjaelland
59%
Aarhus
58%
FC Midtjylland
55%
Brondby
55%
FC Copenhagen
52%
Lyngby
52%
Odense
51%
Silkeborg
47%
Viborg
47%
Randers FC
43%
AC Horsens
43%
Sonderjyske
39%
Sonderjyske is 19.7 percentage points worse than FC Nordsjaelland in terms of average possession (39% vs 59%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sonderjyske
For 3.9 · Against 6.8 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 10.7 · Total 24.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Nordsjaelland
For 7.4 · Against 3.6 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 2.3 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 10.5 · Total 23.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sonderjyske
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
9.9
10.6
3.3
3.8
3.0
21.7
21.5
21.9
vs Stronger (11)
9.3
8.8
9.8
3.9
4.7
3.0
23.5
24.3
22.6
vs Similar (38)
10.6
10.3
10.8
3.3
3.4
3.1
21.1
20.6
21.7
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
62%
58%
65%
36%
42%
31%
47%
50%
43%
% under line
38%
42%
35%
64%
58%
69%
53%
50%
57%
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Nordsjaelland
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.2
9.0
3.3
3.5
3.1
21.2
20.0
22.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
9.1
8.7
9.6
3.2
3.3
3.2
22.1
20.7
23.7
vs Weaker (26)
9.1
9.5
8.6
3.3
3.7
3.0
20.4
19.4
21.4
% over line
43%
46%
41%
42%
46%
38%
46%
33%
59%
% under line
57%
54%
59%
58%
54%
62%
54%
67%
41%
This opponent (Sonderjyske) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Odense
10.9
AC Horsens
10.7
Lyngby
10.1
Sonderjyske
10.1
FC Midtjylland
10.1
Viborg
9.9
FC Copenhagen
9.9
Randers FC
9.8
Aarhus
9.7
Brondby
9.6
Silkeborg
9.4
FC Nordsjaelland
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Brondby
4.6
FC Midtjylland
4.3
Aarhus
3.8
FC Copenhagen
3.8
Sonderjyske
3.8
AC Horsens
3.7
Lyngby
3.7
Viborg
3.7
FC Nordsjaelland
3.6
Randers FC
3.3
Odense
3.2
Silkeborg
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Midtjylland
27.5
Viborg
24.5
Brondby
24.4
FC Copenhagen
23.9
Lyngby
23.9
Aarhus
23.5
Sonderjyske
21.9
Odense
21.7
Randers FC
21.7
FC Nordsjaelland
21.1
AC Horsens
19.4
Silkeborg
18.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
54.5%
@ 1.74+1.3%
Under 9.5
45.5%
@ 1.98-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.77
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.71
Under
Betano
2.05
Pinnacle
2.03
Unibet
2.02
1xBet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.96
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
48.4%
@ 1.82-2.4%
Under 3.5
51.6%
@ 1.88+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.93
Superbet
1.87
Unibet
1.66
Under
Unibet
2.05
Superbet
1.80
Betano
1.80
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
63.7%
Under 21.5
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Sonderjyske or Draw✗ Miss
60.6%
Avg Implied 46.5% · @ 2.02
Edge
+14.2%
21%
24%
54%
covers Sonderjyske + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.10
Betfair
2.10
SBO
2.07
Bet365
2.05
Superbet
2.05
Sonderjyske or FC Nordsjaelland✓ Hit
73.1%
Avg Implied 77.3% · @ 1.21
Edge
-4.2%
21%
24%
54%
covers Sonderjyske + FC Nordsjaelland
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Unibet
1.23
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Draw or FC Nordsjaelland✓ Hit
66.3%
Avg Implied 76.2% · @ 1.23
Edge
-9.9%
21%
24%
54%
covers Draw + FC Nordsjaelland
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.26
William Hil
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Superbet
1.24
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Sonderjyske over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
75.2%
@ 1.28+2.8%
Under
24.8%
@ 3.36-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.31
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Under
Pinnacle
3.68
888Sport
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Bet365
3.40
Marathonbet
3.34
Sonderjyske over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
40.7%
@ 2.41+2.0%
Under
59.3%
@ 1.52-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.54
Bet365
2.50
Superbet
2.45
Unibet
2.45
1xBet
2.41
Under
Pinnacle
1.55
10Bet
1.55
888Sport
1.53
Betfair
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
Sonderjyske over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
16.5%
@ 5.52-0.3%
Under
83.5%
@ 1.11+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
1xBet
5.85
Marathonbet
5.85
BetVictor
5.75
Superbet
5.65
Under
888Sport
1.14
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.13
10Bet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Sonderjyske over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.3%
@ 13.94-1.5%
Under
94.7%
@ 1.02+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
888Sport
15.00
Superbet
14.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
78.2%
@ 1.09-6.9%
Under
21.8%
@ 6.23+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.11
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Under
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
6.50
BetVictor
6.50
Superbet
6.30
Betano
6.00
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
45.0%
@ 1.54-15.7%
Under
55.0%
@ 2.38+15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.57
10Bet
1.57
888Sport
1.57
Superbet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.53
Under
Betfair
2.50
Pinnacle
2.47
1xBet
2.41
Marathonbet
2.41
BetVictor
2.40
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
19.7%
@ 2.68-15.0%
Under
80.3%
@ 1.43+15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.80
Pinnacle
2.79
888Sport
2.75
Unibet
2.70
1xBet
2.68
Under
Betano
1.45
Betfair
1.44
1xBet
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.9%
@ 5.38-10.4%
Under
93.1%
@ 1.12+10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
888Sport
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.45
1xBet
5.45
Under
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
888Sport
1.13
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Sonderjyske, so a minus line means Sonderjyske give that many goals of a start and FC Nordsjaelland receive them. At -1, Sonderjyske must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Sonderjyske win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Sonderjyske)Actual: FC Nordsjaelland
Sonderjyske -2
5.8%
@ 18.50+0.8%
Draw -2
10.1%
@ 11.25+2.0%
FC Nordsjaelland +2
84.1%
@ 1.06-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
21.00
Betfair
20.00
Superbet
17.00
Unibet
16.00
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
12.00
Unibet
10.00
Superbet
10.00
Away
Betfair
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Unibet
1.05
Handicap -1 (Sonderjyske)Actual: FC Nordsjaelland
Sonderjyske -1
15.9%
@ 8.16+4.8%
Draw -1
17.8%
@ 5.94+2.6%
FC Nordsjaelland +1
66.3%
@ 1.22-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.50
Marathonbet
8.30
Unibet
8.00
10Bet
7.00
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.20
Betfair
6.00
Unibet
5.75
10Bet
5.25
Away
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.22
Unibet
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Handicap +1 (Sonderjyske)Actual: FC Nordsjaelland
Sonderjyske +1
60.6%
@ 2.00+16.0%
Draw +1
19.5%
@ 3.85-3.7%
FC Nordsjaelland -1
19.9%
@ 2.78-12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
2.05
Marathonbet
2.04
Superbet
2.02
Unibet
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.94
Superbet
3.85
10Bet
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Away
10Bet
3.00
Bet365
2.75
Superbet
2.75
Unibet
2.75
Marathonbet
2.75
Handicap +2 (Sonderjyske)Actual: FC Nordsjaelland
Sonderjyske +2
80.1%
@ 1.39+15.4%
Draw +2
12.1%
@ 5.01-5.9%
FC Nordsjaelland -2
7.8%
@ 5.19-9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Unibet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.36
Draw
Marathonbet
5.35
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Superbet
4.90
Away
10Bet
5.75
Unibet
5.20
Marathonbet
5.20
Superbet
5.00
Bet365
5.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sonderjyske
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.73
0.79
0.71
0.38
0.75
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
1.00
0.80
1.60
0.50
0.25
vs Similar (20)
0.50
0.65
0.78
0.22
0.27
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Nordsjaelland
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.57
0.82
0.24
0.46
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.21
0.93
0.33
0.50
0.12
1.25
vs Weaker (16)
1.06
0.25
1.09
0.09
1.00
0.60
Clean sheet %
63% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Sonderjyske) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
70.5%
@ 1.22-5.8%
Under 0.5
29.5%
@ 3.91+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.24
Unibet
1.23
Betano
1.23
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Under
Betano
4.05
Bet365
4.00
William Hil
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Superbet
3.90
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
35.2%
@ 2.09-9.6%
Under 1.5
64.8%
@ 1.70+9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.19
Unibet
2.16
SBO
2.14
Superbet
2.12
Marathonbet
2.11
Under
Betano
1.82
Betfair
1.73
10Bet
1.70
Superbet
1.70
William Hil
1.70
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.6%
@ 4.47-9.2%
Under 2.5
88.4%
@ 1.17+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
4.70
1xBet
4.60
Marathonbet
4.60
Superbet
4.55
Betfair
4.50
Under
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Betfair
1.17
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sonderjyske over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
46.2%
@ 2.08+1.5%
Under
53.8%
@ 1.68-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.20
Unibet
2.15
Superbet
2.12
Marathonbet
2.06
1xBet
2.04
Under
Betano
1.75
10Bet
1.73
1xBet
1.69
Pinnacle
1.68
Marathonbet
1.66
Sonderjyske over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.6%
@ 6.52-2.7%
Under
88.4%
@ 1.08+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.30
Unibet
6.75
Superbet
6.60
1xBet
6.50
10Bet
6.25
Under
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.09
Unibet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Sonderjyske over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.8%
@ 19.25-3.2%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.01+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Superbet
23.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
46.4%
@ 1.58-12.7%
Under
53.6%
@ 2.28+12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.59
Unibet
1.58
10Bet
1.57
Superbet
1.55
Under
Betano
2.42
Pinnacle
2.36
1xBet
2.35
Superbet
2.30
Unibet
2.25
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.4%
@ 3.65-13.0%
Under
87.6%
@ 1.24+13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.84
Unibet
3.80
10Bet
3.75
Superbet
3.60
1xBet
3.50
Under
Betano
1.29
1xBet
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Unibet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.3%
@ 9.40-7.6%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.03+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
10.50
1xBet
9.70
10Bet
9.50
Superbet
9.50
Betano
7.80
Under
Betano
1.06
Unibet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sonderjyske
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.77
0.71
0.64
0.75
0.88
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
1.00
0.60
0.80
0.75
1.25
vs Similar (20)
0.75
0.65
0.78
0.56
0.73
0.73
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Nordsjaelland
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.63
1.35
0.59
0.62
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.79
0.64
1.00
0.33
0.62
0.88
vs Weaker (16)
1.25
0.62
1.55
0.73
0.60
0.40
Clean sheet %
60% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Sonderjyske) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.5%
@ 1.13-4.3%
Under 0.5
21.5%
@ 5.39+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
William Hil
1.14
Unibet
1.12
Under
1xBet
5.75
Marathonbet
5.75
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
5.45
Unibet
5.30
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
42.9%
@ 1.68-12.9%
Under 1.5
57.1%
@ 2.12+12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
Superbet
1.70
Bet365
1.67
William Hil
1.67
Marathonbet
1.65
Under
1xBet
2.16
Marathonbet
2.16
Superbet
2.12
Unibet
2.12
William Hil
2.10
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
19.6%
@ 3.06-10.8%
Under 2.5
80.4%
@ 1.34+10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Betano
3.20
Superbet
3.10
William Hil
3.00
Unibet
3.00
Under
Superbet
1.35
Unibet
1.34
Betano
1.34
William Hil
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sonderjyske over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
52.0%
@ 1.78+0.0%
Under
48.0%
@ 1.93-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.83
Superbet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.76
1xBet
1.75
Under
1xBet
1.96
Marathonbet
1.93
Superbet
1.92
Betano
1.90
Sonderjyske over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
17.2%
@ 4.85-1.8%
Under
82.8%
@ 1.14+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.05
Superbet
4.85
Betano
4.80
1xBet
4.70
Under
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
Sonderjyske over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.7%
@ 12.75-3.7%
Under
96.3%
@ 1.02+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
15.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
55.8%
@ 1.38-11.4%
Under
44.2%
@ 2.82+11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.38
1xBet
1.35
Under
1xBet
2.90
Superbet
2.80
Betano
2.77
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
18.8%
@ 2.74-14.9%
Under
81.2%
@ 1.40+14.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.85
Superbet
2.80
Marathonbet
2.72
1xBet
2.60
Under
1xBet
1.43
Betano
1.39
Marathonbet
1.39
Superbet
1.38
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.1%
@ 6.53-9.0%
Under
94.9%
@ 1.08+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
6.70
Betano
6.50
1xBet
6.40
Under
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.0%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.7%
1.03
Betano
1.06
Unibet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
+7.6%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.0%
1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.03
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
94.9%
1.08
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
-
-
+9.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
94.7%
1.02
Betano
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
93.1%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
888Sport
1.13
+10.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
92.4%
1.09
Betano
1.13
Pinnacle
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
888Sport
1.10
+6.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.4%
1.08
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.09
Unibet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.4%
1.17
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Betfair
1.17
+9.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
87.6%
1.24
Betano
1.29
1xBet
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Unibet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
+13.0%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
84.4%
1.36
Unibet
1.36
-
-
-
-
+17.1%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
84.1%
1.06
Betfair
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Unibet
1.05
-
-2.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
83.5%
1.11
888Sport
1.14
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.13
10Bet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
+0.3%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
82.9%
1.27
Betano
1.31
Pinnacle
1.31
Betfair
1.30
Superbet
1.29
10Bet
1.28
+9.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
82.8%
1.14
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
-
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.3%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Pinnacle
1.14
10Bet
1.14
888Sport
1.13
-2.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
81.2%
1.40
1xBet
1.43
Betano
1.39
Marathonbet
1.39
Superbet
1.38
-
+14.9%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.4%
1.34
Superbet
1.35
Unibet
1.34
Betano
1.34
William Hil
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
+10.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
80.3%
1.43
Betano
1.45
Betfair
1.44
1xBet
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
+15.0%
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
80.1%
1.39
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Unibet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.36
+15.4%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.5%
1.13
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
William Hil
1.14
Unibet
1.12
-4.3%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
78.2%
1.09
888Sport
1.11
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-6.9%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
75.2%
1.28
Superbet
1.31
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
+2.8%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
73.1%
1.21
888Sport
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Unibet
1.23
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
-4.2%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
70.7%
1.44
Unibet
1.52
Superbet
1.35
-
-
-
+7.3%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.5%
1.22
Superbet
1.24
Unibet
1.23
Betano
1.23
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-5.8%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sonderjyske
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mohamed Cherif Haidara33%
Bubacarr Tambedou25%
Marcus Bundgaard Sorensen0%
Jacob Christensen0%
Andreas Oggesen0%
Brynjar Ingi Bjarnason0%
Maxime Soulas0%
Daníel Grétarsson0%
Dalton Wilkins0%
Sefer Emini0%
Chidiebube Duru0%
Matthew Hoppe0%
Ismaïl Seydi0%
Anders Hoeg0%
David Boison Frimpong0%
Gustav Wagner0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sefer Emini50%
Ismaïl Seydi40%
Matthew Hoppe33%
Maxime Soulas17%
Marcus Bundgaard Sorensen0%
Jacob Christensen0%
Andreas Oggesen0%
Brynjar Ingi Bjarnason0%
Daníel Grétarsson0%
Dalton Wilkins0%
Chidiebube Duru0%
Bubacarr Tambedou0%
Mohamed Cherif Haidara0%
Anders Hoeg0%
David Boison Frimpong0%
Gustav Wagner0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ismaïl Seydi20%
Maxime Soulas17%
Sefer Emini17%
Marcus Bundgaard Sorensen0%
Jacob Christensen0%
Andreas Oggesen0%
Brynjar Ingi Bjarnason0%
Daníel Grétarsson0%
Dalton Wilkins0%
Chidiebube Duru0%
Matthew Hoppe0%
Bubacarr Tambedou0%
Mohamed Cherif Haidara0%
Anders Hoeg0%
David Boison Frimpong0%
Gustav Wagner0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohamed Cherif Haidara50%
Bubacarr Tambedou25%
Maxime Soulas17%
Marcus Bundgaard Sorensen0%
Jacob Christensen0%
Andreas Oggesen0%
Brynjar Ingi Bjarnason0%
Daníel Grétarsson0%
Dalton Wilkins0%
Sefer Emini0%
Chidiebube Duru0%
Matthew Hoppe0%
Ismaïl Seydi0%
Anders Hoeg0%
David Boison Frimpong0%
Gustav Wagner0%
FC Nordsjaelland
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
M. Walker67%
Levy Nene33%
N. Røjkjær30%
Villum Berthelsen30%
Hjalte Boe Rasmussen30%
A. Lind17%
Lamine Sadio14%
Ibrahim Adel11%
Runar Robinsonn Norheim11%
Prince Amoako Junior11%
Juho Lähteenmäki10%
Justin Janssen10%
Peter Ankersen0%
M. Brink0%
Andreas Hansen0%
Tobias Salquist0%
Noah Markmann0%
M. Heyde0%
Stephen Acquah0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ibrahim Adel33%
Juho Lähteenmäki30%
Justin Janssen30%
Peter Ankersen22%
Noah Markmann17%
Tobias Salquist12%
Prince Amoako Junior11%
N. Røjkjær10%
Villum Berthelsen10%
M. Brink0%
Andreas Hansen0%
A. Lind0%
Runar Robinsonn Norheim0%
M. Heyde0%
Levy Nene0%
M. Walker0%
Stephen Acquah0%
Hjalte Boe Rasmussen0%
Lamine Sadio0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ibrahim Adel33%
Lamine Sadio29%
M. Brink22%
Juho Lähteenmäki20%
A. Lind17%
Tobias Salquist12%
Peter Ankersen11%
Runar Robinsonn Norheim11%
Prince Amoako Junior11%
N. Røjkjær10%
Villum Berthelsen10%
Hjalte Boe Rasmussen10%
Andreas Hansen0%
Noah Markmann0%
M. Heyde0%
Levy Nene0%
Justin Janssen0%
M. Walker0%
Stephen Acquah0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ibrahim Adel33%
Levy Nene33%
Hjalte Boe Rasmussen30%
Lamine Sadio29%
Prince Amoako Junior22%
Runar Robinsonn Norheim11%
Villum Berthelsen10%
Peter Ankersen0%
M. Brink0%
N. Røjkjær0%
Andreas Hansen0%
Tobias Salquist0%
A. Lind0%
Juho Lähteenmäki0%
Noah Markmann0%
M. Heyde0%
Justin Janssen0%
M. Walker0%
Stephen Acquah0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
ODE (24)
€17m
RF (24)
€14m
SON (26)
€13m
LYN (22)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
Sonderjyske's squad is €24m less valuable than FC Nordsjaelland's (€13m vs €37m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
ODE (9)
€8m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
AH (9)
€4m
SON (6)
€3m
LYN (5)
€3m
Sonderjyske's attack is €15m less valuable than FC Nordsjaelland's (€3m vs €18m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
LYN (8)
€5m
SON (7)
€3m
RF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
AH (6)
€2m
Sonderjyske's midfield is €3m less valuable than FC Nordsjaelland's (€3m vs €7m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
ODE (9)
€7m
SON (13)
€6m
RF (10)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
AH (12)
€4m
Sonderjyske's defence is €6m less valuable than FC Nordsjaelland's (€6m vs €12m).
Denmark: Superliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Copenhagen
FC Midtjylland
Viborg
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